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The usual approach for this government, can’t hit target? Change the target of course. |
The UK Coronavirus daily press conference has been cancelled.
No more updates because the pubs will be open soon and Covid has been beaten :rolleyes: |
Hancock said "
Our plan is working. Having protected the NHS & reduced the number of coronavirus cases we can now carefully lift restrictions. We must continue to protect our NHS & stay vigilant & stay alert." 60000 deaths Highest death rate in Europe Highest excess death rate in the world Failed to protect care homes Failed on testing Failed on PPE Failed on getting kids back to school Failed on Track and Trace app But remember, the plan is working. |
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More depressing economic news, this time looking just at the Scottish economy:
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Positive headlines for Boris when he announces pubs reopening. Positive headlines for Boris when pubs do reopen. Distraction from those nasty questions and how angry he gets when asked them. Yep, the plan's working. |
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Most of the headlines today have been completely irresponsible (no change there, you may say). The 2m rule has not been 'scrapped', or 'axed', or even 'halved'. Where possible, it still applies; the change is that where it isn't possible, and as a result certain activities or venues were banned, a minimum 1m distancing plus additional measures is now permitted. Boris is, of course, completely unable to convey this.
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He wants to give the impression that the Coronavirus crisis has been successfully managed through to a conclusion and the "scrapping" of the 2 metre rule is an important part of that (as is the opening of pubs). It hasn't actually been scrapped because when a lack of social distancing causes the second wave* of infection in a few weeks or months time he can blame small businesses and the public, not his government and its horribly incompetent handling of the whole thing. * - of course it could just be a continuation of the first wave |
Boris Johnson at PMQs "I wonder if the Right Honourable gentleman can name a single country in the world that has a functional contact tracing app?"
Keir Starmer - "Germany" |
My local MPs Simon Clarke for Middlesbrough South and Jacob Young for Redcar(Both Tory) have put out a joint statement saying that it's our patriotic duty to go out and enjoy ourselves.
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In the absence of the Coronavirus briefing, here are today’s deaths
Germany 0 Belgium 9 Netherlands 2 Portugal 3 Switzerland 2 Austria 0 Denmark 0 UK 152 |
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Major incident declared as thousands flock to the South coast.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...nd-south-coast |
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Even the patrons at our local "harbour bath" seemed somewhat behaved when I walked past there yesterday - I would have joined them as I was coming off a 6 hour shift in the afternoon heat, but it was right before closing time. |
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The Danish foreign ministry published revised travel recommendations today, reducing most of th EU27 countries to yellow (ie. you can travel there, but pay attention to local restrictions and follow the usual guidelines). The countries that remains orange (ie. travel restrictions apply) are Romania, Portugal, UK, Ireland, Malta and Sweden (with the exception of the Norrbotten region). The expectations is that the list will be updated once per week to reflect the current infection situation, and should a country go back to orange/red, travellers are advised to end their travel immediately, return to Denmark, and be tested. The updated travel recommendations are reciprocal, so travellers from the same countries are permitted to travel to Denmark, provided they provide proof of a booked six-day stay. |
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PS I'm not surprised that my brain-dead lickspittle of an MP was on that list. I am soooo glad I'm retired and so out of all that. Shame The Sister isn't, but she caught Covid at work (at a hospital which has been in the nationals news recently), so that's alright then. |
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I’m English don’t you know! We don’t get ill cos 2 WWs & 1 World Cup
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The nation calls a state of emergency because of tens of thousands of nitwits deciding that they absolutely need to go to the beach, take a dump in the dunes and leave their garbage there but the lead story on the BBC website is that Liverpool has won the Premier league and thousands of supporters decided that they wanted to put their lives at risk by gathering at Anfield without masks of social distancing.
:mad: |
Yet another example of the UK government's complete lack of leadership on Coronavirus.
The background to this is that the UK government has made a series of announcements regarding the lifting of "lockdown" restrictions in England. Although it represents an incremental lifting of restrictions and some of the announced things (such as pubs opening) will not come into effect for more than a week - the headlines in the right wing tabloids have given the impression that it's all over and we're back to normal. It's hardly surprising therefore that tens of thousands of people decided to go to the beach yesterday, causing chaos, failing to observe social distancing and leaving tonnes of waste in their wake. The local authorities responded by calling a "major incident". Rather than taking charge of the situation, the government has said: Quote:
We used to have a couple of stereotypical middle class older parents as neighbours a few years ago. We had the "pleasure" of hearing months of empty threats of punishment while their ill-behaved brood ran wild safe in the knowledge that the parents would never follow through on those threats. I get the same feeling about the government's approach to lockdown. As the number of cases and deaths start to increase again, they'll say how disappointed they are with the public's behaviour and they'll threaten to close the pubs, but the person in the street knows that unless there are literally thousands dying daily, nothing will actually happen. Indeed, it seems that they're relying on the capriciousness of the British weather instead of, you know, actually taking charge of the situation. Quote:
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Meanwhile, Sweden is repeating the same messaging as the United States :(
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Edited to add...... It worries me when countries reject comparisons on the ground that they're not applicable or that their country is special in some way - the UK government's refusal to acknowledge that the UK seems to have one of the highest per-capita death tolls because apparently numbers cannot be compared internationally is an example of this. |
Meanwhile, Wales is hardly covering itself in glory:
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IMO if there is a repeat this kind of thing, the Welsh government won't hesitate to delay plans to lift lockdown restrictions. |
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Which is exactly what Johnson's government wanted - polling numbers are down you know! |
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There is an increasing gap opening up between Scotland and England. It's hard to get England-only figures but it's getting to the point that you could just take the "UK" figures for new infections and deaths and call it England and you wouldn't be far out. Admittedly Wales has had a slaughterhouse cluster which has inflated its figures, but apart from that it's doing pretty well. Northern Ireland, although worse than the republic, has always been the best-performing of the four UK nations and why they don't go to an all-Ireland disease control strategy as has been the case for animal diseases for decades I don't know. (OK I do actually.)
But today in Scotland? Scotland not far away from eliminating coronavirus Our 7-day average of new cases is only about 16,* which is firmly in the "beating coronavirus" category according to the endcoronavirus.org web site. We had no new deaths reported today and the 7-day average of new deaths is down to only 1.7 per day. They're not telling us where the clusters are still appearing beyond local authority area, but vast swathes of the country haven't seen a new case for a week, some for several weeks. Really, outside of Glasgow, the lower Clyde conurbation, Edinburgh, Dundee and Aberdeen, there's not a lot happening. We're getting horrendous political flak for this. Because we've come out of lockdown a bit more slowly than England, and haven't participated in either the ill-fated app or the SERCO-centralised contact tracing, we've been accused of petty nationalism, or hating the English, of "lagging behind", of "playing catch-up", of not caring about businesses or jobs or the economy, and yesterday a banner portraying our First Minister as Hitler was removed from railings in Edinburgh. But it's working. People are visibly more relaxed even though they're still distancing and more and more masks are appearing in and around shops. The determination to eliminate local community transmission of the virus appears to have strengthened in our politicians. In particular if we can do this our children may be able to return to school normally in six weeks or so. The politics of the vilification of Scotland for doing this is something else. It's not pretty. But the fact is that nobody can reasonably talk about "the UK" as if it was one coronavirus entity any longer. *ETA: Having unpicked some dodgy statistical reporting I can confirm that the correct figure for Scotland's 7-day average for new cases is in fact 16.4 per day. And as we're about to drop a couple of high-ish days from the rolling average it's set to come down some more over the weekend. |
I went for a two hour walk today, passed through three parks on my way. Despite the heat people were maintaining appropriate distance, clustering in tiny groups.
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"Ben Waugh, who runs a bicycle hire shop on the seafront at Bournemouth, has lived in the seaside resort all his life but has never seen so many people packed on to the beach – and so much terrible behaviour. “I understand why people wanted to come,” he said, as the cleanup continued around him. “It’s the best beach around and when the weather’s good it’s like being in Benidorm. But what happened here this week was horrific.” Waugh watched aghast as groups of revellers took drugs and drank their way through countless crates of beer. “There was a Lord of the Flies vibe to it. The atmosphere was ugly.” And there were stabbings during a brawl and open abuse of council workers who were jut trying clean up or deter people from lighting bbqs. Boxes of faeces left behind ... There's a note of something close to insanity in a fair slice of the English population at the moment. Our intended move back to the UK is stalled for a number of reasons, but we're glad we're heading to Wales. If we weren't committed to the move we might well have changed our minds about it, or at least delayed by a year. Or choose Scotland instead ;) |
Wales is further from independence than Scotland, but it's a better choice than England.
We had to get the police in to two parks yesterday, but it was more a case of drinking in public (against local by-laws) and general yobbishness than serious crowding. I gather the beach near Edinburgh was a problem too. So we do have some problems with idiots too, but the amount of space available per person seems to be working in our favour. There were also a lot of photos of deserted Scottish beaches circulating yesterday. And I don't mean remote ones, places like Aberdeen and Prestwick. |
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They of all people should know that if you start testing more people, which is what Swedish regions has been doing the last couple of weeks, you will get more positive results even if the rate of infection stays the same or even gets lower. By contrast, the amount of people who are hospitalized or in the ICU has decreased and continues to decrease as have fatalities. In other words, it's completely inaccurate to state that Sweden is facing a resurgence of infection let alone one that will outpace the healthcare systems ability to handle it. Sweden doesn't even have any excess mortality at this point. |
Sweden still has a positivity rate of 12-13%. That's bad and indicates that it's still not testing nearly enough. It's accepted that once your positivity rate is under 3% you're probably not missing a significant number of cases. 12-13% is a lot more than 3%.
For comparison the positivity rate in Scotland is currently 0.5%. Yesterday we tested 5,841 people and got 17 positives. (That's actually a positivity rate of 0.3%, 0.5% is the current 7-day rolling average.) A public health expert suggested that even in Scotland and with that positivity rate our real number of new infections per day could still be two to three times the number reported. That would be 30 to 50 cases a day which isn't that bad but it's worrying if we're only picking up (agan the current 7-day average) 16.4 of them. Where this sort of calculation leaves Sweden, with over 1,000 new cases reported every day and a positivity rate in the teens, I dread to think. |
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That is the exact opposite of what they originally said. |
The positivity rate still indicates that you have a lot of infections not being picked up though, which was my point.
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WHO may have made a minor mistake because most of the others on the list of high-risk countries are there because they have levels of contamination considered dangerous because they are rising. Sweden, however, is on the list because the infection level has been extremely high the whole time, which has only become apparent because Sweden only started testing very recently - at long last and not yet nearly enough. Stability isn't always desired, and I'm an pretty sure that the senior citizens of Sweden would rather see the rate of infection go down and won't feel inclined to praise how stable it is. Sweden hasn't been removed from WHO's list of countries with dangerously high levels of infection, and Sweden's neighbors Norway, Finland and Denmark just refused to open their borders to Swedes - in spite of the pleading from Swedish politicians. Congratulations with your pathetic imaginary 'victory' over WHO. |
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And yet they had 50 Covid-19 deaths today and 303 new cases. Today Denmark, Norway and Finland combined had 2 deaths and 98 new cases, and it was one of the worst days this week. Sweden has 171 patients in ICUs. Denmark, Norway and Finland have 16! Combined! When the heath-care system tells nursing homes not to send Covid-19 patients to the hospital and tells people who can no longer breathe properly to stay at home and take care of it themselves, then the "health-care system's ability to handle" the virus was outpaced a long time ago. In the meantime, Swedish politicians seem hell-bent on denying their responsibility, the Swedish media let them get away with it, and when a well-prepared journalist starts asking them questions about it, they get offended because they are only used to the kind of questions that Trump is asked by Hannity. Interview with the Swedish minister of foreign affairs, Karen Linde .... sorry, that was supposed to have been Ann Linde! :) |
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