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Looks like most of the republican Candidates are sticking to anti-Abortion policies...
- Pence: Wants a national ban, preferably before 15 weeks - Ramaswamy: Didn't give an exact policy but stated "unborn life is life" - Hutchinson: Said he would sign a federal abortion ban - Scott: talked about a 15 week ban - Suarez: Did not give specifics but talked about how his parents met at an anti-abortion rally - Meatball Ron: Hasn't talked much about abortion in the campaign, but did sign a 6 week ban in Florida Polls show most people support abortion rights, and being anti-choice will cause a candidate to lose votes. So republicans are either hoping 1) people are lying when they say they will vote against candidates who will restrict abortion rights, or 2) they can ignore the issue once the primaries are done and nobody will ever bring it up in a general election |
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Elections over the past couple of decades have been very tight. Neither side can afford to "give up" votes when elections are decided by a handful of votes in a couple of swing states. IF people's claims that that "abortion restrictions will make me change my vote" is true, the republicans might be in real trouble. Republican candidates are stuck trying to appeal to both the hardcore religious nuts they need to win over in the primaries and the more moderate voters in the general election. (It was easier prior to the Dobbs decision, since a lot of voters viewed abortion rights as rather stable. i.e. "Even though they are talking anti-abortion I can still vote republican because there is no way Roe will be overturned". Now, that's not the case.) |
I have yet to find a Republican willing admit that their Part was born with an entire sliver cutlery set in their mouth when it comes to election advantage.
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My point is, the Republicans are doubling down on the stupidity that got them to this point in the first place. The "best" path to republican success is to tell the evangelicals "you got your anti-abortion court ruling, now shut up so we can stay in power". And then try to focus on the economy or national defense, stay silent as possible on abortion, and hope the electorate either has a short memory, or that people in swing states will think "It won't happen here". But by pushing for more and more restrictions on abortion, they are dragging their dirty laundry out into the sunlight. "Remember this horrible thing we did? We will do more of it! Vote for us!" They are making it less likely they will win elections in the future. |
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Republicans proving once again that the Voting Right Act is still necessary.
When it passed, I doubt that anyone thought that, nearly 60 years on, Republicans would still try to suppress the Black Vote. |
I am actually startled that the current SCOTUS is actually acting on this. I was starting to expect they'd either rule explicitly or set a de facto standard that states can gerrymander all they want.
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Nebraska mother and daughter have both plead guilty for an illegal abortion:
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Does anyone still think it will be safe for a woman in misogynist states like Tennessee, Mississippi, Kentucky etc, to leave their state for an abortion without taking any security precautions?
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My belief... they recognize how unpopular they are, so its a way to try to deflect attention from their scandals, with the knowledge that their ruling in this case might be very narrowly focused and won't affect the republicans much going forward. (Its not like they are reversing all their voter suppression rulings, its just a single "this map is wrong"... it likely won't affect republican's ability to cheat in other cases.) "Ok, so we ruled that a 10 year old sexual assault victim can be forced to give birth to the baby of her attacker, Kavanaugh likely committed perjury during his confirmation, and several of our right wing judges seem to lack any sort of ethics. But we also said that this one electoral map was wrong, so you can now assume we are good people. No need to stack the court with more judges or bring in ethics rules, m'kay?" |
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These are the same people whose twisted logic would say that KFC could give you a chicken egg and say you received a whole chicken.
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I'm too old to see what the end results from overturning Roe v Wade will be, but I've got a feeling that the resulting children (who are born through these new forced labor laws) will end up creating a whole hell of a lot more democrats than republicans, especially if it's true that one of the major reasons for getting one are mostly due to finances.
Republicans in red states might be inadvertently writing their own death sentences because poor people tend to vote Democratic, and these abortion restriction laws will force women to birth more of the very people they don't like. How asinine is that? Of course, I could be wrong and the reverse might happen instead, but unfortunately, I probably won't be around to see it. It'll be interesting to see how red states will vote in the next Presidential Election. That might give us a clue as to what the future holds. |
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Those that survive childhood (infant and child mortality is on the rise) will most likely grow up in poverty and increasingly are being disenfranchised in red states either because they won't have the right ID to vote, because any criminal record will disqualify them or because it's simply too difficult to cast their vote where they live. :( |
Seems to me the simplest way to overturn Roe Vs wade is for either a Muslim, Atheist or Satanist organisations to offer to bring up all America's unwanted children in a home where they will be indoctrinated in their faith / lack of.
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That won't work. The Republicans will simply pass laws, where they can, to make it illegal for non-christian people to foster or adopt children.
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Avoid the temptation of thinking that logic bombs work with the willfully obtuse.
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Good news in Ohio.
Republicans in a bid to consolidate power and prevent the right to freedom of choice becoming guaranteed by their State Constitution tried to make it impossible. They put on the ballot a bill to make law that any change in the State Constitution would need a 60 percent supermajority. In addition any petition to do so would require a significant percentage of voter signatures specifically in each and every county. So let's say you normally need a million voter signatures throughout the state, you could get 3 million voter signatures but if you didnt get enough from one specific county you wouldn’t get your initiative on the ballot. The pollsters said this Referendum was a tossup. But they were wrong. The citizens of Ohio voted no 71 percent to 29 percent. There is now a very good chance the right to choose in Ohio will become guaranteed by the Ohio State Constitution. |
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There are 88 counties in Ohio As it stands now (since 1912) you need a simple majority (more than 50%) of voters in at least 44 counties in Ohio in order to get an issue such as a proposed constitutional amendment on the ballot. What the Ohio GOP were trying to do with Issue 1 was to make it so that a super-majority of 60% would be required in each and every one of the 88 counties. So, if 87 counties each voted between, say, 60% and 90% in favor of a ballot initiative, and just one county was only 59% in favor, the whole ballot initiative would fail. This is a measure of just how crooked the GOP is. Thankfully, the people of Ohio told them to ****-off! |
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Obviously this "abortion rights are a safe matter of settled law" didn't play out great for Roe, but who is to say the voting public won't fall for this again? Like you say, Republicans have been promising to criminalize abortion for so long now, now that it's possible they don't have any neat way to back off the issue. A direct ballot initiative could well be the thing that puts the toothpaste back in the tube and solve a huge political problem for these freaks who otherwise are stuck in an irreconcilable conflict between their ravenous base and the general public. |
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But there are still probably ways around it. Even if citizens can't demand a referendum, the state government could probably still hold one. Do it in an off-election year, and make it a simple question... should we restrict abortion rights. It will give an air if finality to the issue, they could tell the evangelicals "see? We tried...", and the moderates/left-wing voters will no longer have the drive to vote because they will think "OK NOW the issue is settled.") |
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Ohio went for Trump in both 2016 and 2020 by a decent margin for what was recently considered a swing state, so maybe it'll have an impact in 2024. |
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