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Search: Posts Made By: Jimbo07
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics Yesterday, 01:43 PM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
... or not so thinly-veiled. That's...

... or not so thinly-veiled.



That's from an article on The Complexity of Prosecuting Forced Conscription (https://iwpr.net/global-voices/complexity-prosecuting-forced-conscription)/.

but, I...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics Yesterday, 10:26 AM
Replies: 112
Views: 1,696
Posted By Jimbo07
I don't know yet, but my guess is Russia. ...

I don't know yet, but my guess is Russia.

There's no strategic worth, so what's the motive?

The motive is the same as everything else in their disinformation campaigns - sow maximum chaos. It...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics Yesterday, 07:14 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
So... they're not even going to try? They...

So... they're not even going to try? They couldn't come up with a "it's 60/40, so closer than we thought, but we reluctantly agree to respect their wishes and return them to our glorious greater...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 23rd September 2022, 10:39 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
Oh, that's fair, but the part I was objecting to...

Oh, that's fair, but the part I was objecting to was making it contingent on Ukraine's wishes. I think the use of any nuclear weapon is going to change NATO's decision making somewhat. I'm just not...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 23rd September 2022, 10:09 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
This, I don't think will happen. Ukraine is not...

This, I don't think will happen. Ukraine is not under America's nuclear umbrella, but the US may still not be willing to let it go unanswered, regardless of Ukraine's wishes. Nobody wants to...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 23rd September 2022, 09:20 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
... and I don't always know whether they are...

... and I don't always know whether they are genuinely ignorant of how the mechanisms of democracy are supposed to work, or whether they are purposefully making cynical statements. It may be...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 23rd September 2022, 08:08 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
Little OT digression: The idea is that...

Little OT digression:

The idea is that sometimes the fighting doesn't take place in a big population center, so if you launch some sort of "low yield" nuclear weapon at a bunker, or formation of...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 23rd September 2022, 07:53 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
Or, to carry it further, is the Russian...

Or, to carry it further, is the Russian definition of "low yield" the same as the West's? What if Russian tactical nuke is the same as plane old Russian nuke just used... tactically... yeah, that's...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 23rd September 2022, 07:43 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
Ukraine is not under America's nuclear umbrella. ...

Ukraine is not under America's nuclear umbrella. MAD is not meant to respond to a single device going off in some 3rd party country. Not to put too fine a point on it, but if a dirty bomb, say, had...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 22nd September 2022, 09:22 PM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
It's Kremlin propaganda and you approve. I'll at...

It's Kremlin propaganda and you approve. I'll at least credit you for admitting it.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 22nd September 2022, 05:20 PM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
Tragedies abound in Ukraine! The difference is,...

Tragedies abound in Ukraine! The difference is, their pet dictator didn't attack anybody!
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 22nd September 2022, 05:16 PM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
That's just it. Not fighting in Ukraine would be...

That's just it. Not fighting in Ukraine would be better for... Russia!
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 22nd September 2022, 12:03 PM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
I can't remember which I quoted from directly. ...

I can't remember which I quoted from directly. Just Google "russian aviation expert" and take any of the links which pop up in the News. I just tried, and there're lots.

ETA: ninja'd by jimbob
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 22nd September 2022, 11:03 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
Another one bites the dust! At this...

Another one bites the dust!



At this rate, it's going to be tricky picking out which ones actually are accidents! I mean, he was 72 and could have misstepped.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 22nd September 2022, 09:46 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
Pretty much this. I don't think anybody...

Pretty much this.

I don't think anybody (credible) in the West has ever flatly denied there might be more pro-Russian sentiment in Sevastopol than other areas of Ukraine. It's just that a...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 21st September 2022, 12:47 PM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
At the moment, CNN rolling has 1045 detained...

At the moment, CNN rolling has 1045 detained across the country.



I'll still keep my expectations low.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 21st September 2022, 11:16 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
No morale problems amongst the police. They have...

No morale problems amongst the police. They have nice, cushy jobs, away from the front. Maybe they get to beat up a few unarmed protesters for exercise. There's no problem, there.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 21st September 2022, 10:43 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
I wouldn't get too excited. Reports seem to...

I wouldn't get too excited. Reports seem to mostly be hundreds protesting, dozens arrested. Even Western countries can have protests of thousands that barely move the needle!
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 20th September 2022, 10:18 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
Statements starting to roll out on CNN: ...

Statements starting to roll out on CNN:



I think this stuff is mostly meant for Russian domestic consumption (and a couple posters here, who seem unable to distinguish fiction from reality). ...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 20th September 2022, 08:05 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
My guess is that, at least the current...

My guess is that, at least the current administration of, the United States will continue to support Ukraine. They called out sham referenda as illegitimate weeks ago.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 20th September 2022, 07:28 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
It's not a presumption. It's their stated goal.

It's not a presumption. It's their stated goal.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 20th September 2022, 06:29 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
Contrast that with the (sluggish) speed with...

Contrast that with the (sluggish) speed with which referenda unfold in actual democracies. We don't even need to argue results. The existence, much less the execution, of such is a lie. The 23rd...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 19th September 2022, 02:18 PM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
CNN Rolling talking about potential future for...

CNN Rolling talking about potential future for American tanks in Ukraine, but not now due to "issues with training, maintenance and sustainment."

I think that's how it's going to go in the long...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 19th September 2022, 10:16 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
Ok, so your objection was the disconnect between...

Ok, so your objection was the disconnect between the two sentences? The first was that the Russians are irrational, which is vague. The next was, so they should nuke Sevastopol for the following...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 19th September 2022, 09:39 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
On the contrary, I think it would be...

On the contrary, I think it would be irresponsible if those in control did NOT consider the posibility that the other party was irrational, and what might a contingency look like, if not actually be...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 19th September 2022, 08:24 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
That's hard to say. Was it MAD, or a combination...

That's hard to say. Was it MAD, or a combination of other factors? Regardless, despite the proliferation of nuclear weapons, the world wasn't destroyed.

One of the key requirements of MAD,...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 19th September 2022, 07:42 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
I was referring to these characters and their...

I was referring to these characters and their fever-dream end games.

In reality, my wild guess is that NATO would respond to tactical nukes with conventional force (potentially overwhelming...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 19th September 2022, 07:06 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
I've commented on what appear to be two nuclear...

I've commented on what appear to be two nuclear factions in Russia before.

You have the fatalists, like Medvedev saying things like:



On the other hand, you have the gonzo opinion that...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 18th September 2022, 09:38 PM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
There's almost a warning, or something, in here...

There's almost a warning, or something, in here for NATO countries. If this goes too far in Ukraine's favour, some may be inclined to make budget cuts to defence, rather than earlier in the...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 18th September 2022, 07:53 PM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
No, no. It's Russia's much talked-about 3rd Army...

No, no. It's Russia's much talked-about 3rd Army Corps. They represent Russia's reserve streng...

Oops!...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 18th September 2022, 11:12 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
It's almost like you have no idea what democracy...

It's almost like you have no idea what democracy is. It takes more than one sham vote. For example, people in China vote. China is not a democracy.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 18th September 2022, 10:02 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
:rolleyes:

:rolleyes:
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 16th September 2022, 12:06 PM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
Right? I mean, he may have had 10 knives in his...

Right? I mean, he may have had 10 knives in his back, but it's the fall what killed 'im!
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 15th September 2022, 03:19 PM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
This is a weird story, even if not true. ...

This is a weird story, even if not true.

Support our losers on the battlefield (a nonsensical battlefield of our own choosing, no less) by Making a charitable donation?...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 14th September 2022, 11:38 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
Part of what Ukraine's been talking about is...

Part of what Ukraine's been talking about is exactly securing the areas they've been overrunning. They've been talking about booby traps, land mines, residual shelling and even the odd Russian...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 14th September 2022, 08:12 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
Don't you mean out of a boat?

Don't you mean out of a boat?
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 14th September 2022, 07:54 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
It is a trap! Losing to the enemy engenders...

It is a trap! Losing to the enemy engenders overconfidence in them. Getting routed out of a region engenders supreme overconfidence, bordering on hubris! It's the pride before the fall. The...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 14th September 2022, 06:24 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
You forget that Ukraine has the added burden of...

You forget that Ukraine has the added burden of having maintain all of the new tanks and self-propelled artillery they're reportedly already repainting and repurposing.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 13th September 2022, 02:57 PM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
Or, as Kasparov put it: “Special Military...

Or, as Kasparov put it:

“Special Military Reverse Advance”.

:D
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 13th September 2022, 12:42 PM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
I think the appropriate nautical term is either...

I think the appropriate nautical term is either jettison or deep-six

:D
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 13th September 2022, 10:38 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
They couldn't get in, if Russia was still...

They couldn't get in, if Russia was still bombarding their territory. For a number of reasons, I think it's unlikely to happen, nevermind that they already said they wouldn't seek membership.
...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 13th September 2022, 09:51 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
It's a good hedge, in case the army itself...

It's a good hedge, in case the army itself eventually turns against him.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 13th September 2022, 07:40 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
Russian falls out of boat and dies...

Russian falls out of boat and dies (https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/world/putin-s-key-man-in-the-arctic-found-dead-after-falling-overboard/ar-AA11Kog6?cvid=457452f9065440f8b0f7b91013123c86)

Oops!
...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 12th September 2022, 03:07 PM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
The comments by Ben Hodges reminds me of: ...

The comments by Ben Hodges reminds me of:

“Ringo wasn’t even the best drummer in the Beatles.”
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 12th September 2022, 12:53 PM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
Evaluated, and rejected by, Canada (pictures of...

Evaluated, and rejected by, Canada (pictures of an exercise with Canadian aircraft on the deck of Mistral are online - the closest any of us will see in a long time to what a Canadian helicopter...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 12th September 2022, 11:46 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
There's a risk of public sentiment hardening...

There's a risk of public sentiment hardening against Ukraine, especially if the homeland is truly invaded, nevermind Putin's pre-war paranoia.

There are sound tactical and geo-political reasons...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 12th September 2022, 10:51 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
Zelensky has said that, right now, negotiations...

Zelensky has said that, right now, negotiations are impossible. I read that to mean they are (or are on the cusp of) retaking previously held territory, and in negotiations, they might face pressure...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 12th September 2022, 06:23 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
Publicly? Orcs. I don't know what they're...

Publicly? Orcs.

I don't know what they're saying at a more granular level, though.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 10th September 2022, 10:13 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
The CNN headline today: Reading...

The CNN headline today:



Reading through their rolling feed, they say they can't confirm many things, but one thing that was confirmed:



Interesting!
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 9th September 2022, 11:34 AM
Replies: 2,236
Views: 56,943
Posted By Jimbo07
and a small but still functioning air force,...

and a small but still functioning air force, somehow, and troops away on NATO training, looking toward the future, and..

I'm still cautious about maybe counting our chickens before they hatch. I...
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