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Search: Posts Made By: Aridas
Forum: USA Politics Today, 11:06 AM
Replies: 2,249
Views: 114,457
Posted By Aridas
Add to that that she was putting out crap like...

Add to that that she was putting out crap like glam shots of Ivanka fronting "Oh, such a tough choice this poor woman faces. To follow the law or not to follow the law?"
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics Today, 09:59 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Lyman's likely cut off, now. Ukraine's tactics...

Lyman's likely cut off, now. Ukraine's tactics are far more suited to actually encircling the enemy, by the look of it.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics Yesterday, 11:18 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Well, the first scam result looks like it's...

Well, the first scam result looks like it's arrived. 93.11% in favor of being annexed by Russia in the Zaporizhzhia region. Sadly, I find the results to actually be plausible... after taking into...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics Yesterday, 12:11 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
In Lyman itself, supposedly. When it comes to...

In Lyman itself, supposedly. When it comes to areas with fierce fighting, though, a tug of war situation isn't exactly unthinkable, so it's questionable how much that actually matters in the larger...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics Yesterday, 11:02 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Well, Russian might have actually gained ground...

Well, Russian might have actually gained ground back in Lyman. And also may be nearly cut off. Only one notable route may be left in Russian control and that's probably close enough for Ukraine to...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics Yesterday, 02:59 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
On that note, I poked at something upthread a bit...

On that note, I poked at something upthread a bit that indicates that a lot of the cannon fodder that Wagner's using is simply surrendering to the Ukrainians. Also, yeah, something like 3 months...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics Yesterday, 01:36 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Yet another set of war crimes to add to the long...

Yet another set of war crimes to add to the long list?
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 26th September 2022, 06:32 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
On that note......

On that note... (https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1574525280185638925)
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 26th September 2022, 02:11 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Ripe for willingly becoming POWs? Russia's new...

Ripe for willingly becoming POWs? Russia's new plan - 1. Overwhelm the Ukrainians with mouths to feed. 2. ??? 3. Victory!
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 26th September 2022, 03:15 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
And what would it take for you to admit that your...

And what would it take for you to admit that your understanding about the actual causes here are deeply, deeply flawed? For example, that the sanctions weren't actually cause for this, that Ukraine...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 25th September 2022, 11:22 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
FWIW, the Russian army was much better...

FWIW, the Russian army was much better equipped... at the start of the invasion. That massive break in Kharkiv was also, to a large extent, because there were few to no troops that they faced in...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 25th September 2022, 12:00 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Looks like Russia's forces northwards from Lyman...

Looks like Russia's forces northwards from Lyman might be pretty much crumbling again.

Still, it looks like the rains have or will soon start, which will bog down a lot of things. Preferably...
Forum: USA Politics 25th September 2022, 04:47 AM
Replies: 822
Views: 37,098
Posted By Aridas
It is very likely no accident that the economy...

It is very likely no accident that the economy (and budget) tends to do much better under Democratic Party governance than it does under Republican rule, though. The working paradigms and focuses...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 25th September 2022, 01:52 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
But it is possible that they did it to "Do...

But it is possible that they did it to "Do Something." Sorta like taking and sharing pictures of RPG games to back up claims of RPG weapons being found. It's somewhat ridiculous, but it's possible.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 24th September 2022, 06:47 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Why bus them in? Just count their votes at one...

Why bus them in? Just count their votes at one of the voting booths created for those they kidnapped.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 23rd September 2022, 11:34 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Ukraine looks like it's continuing to press...

Ukraine looks like it's continuing to press forward on that northeastern front. Not too much to say otherwise for the bigger picture.

To poke at a couple things of potential interest...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 23rd September 2022, 09:54 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Though the liars sure do try to raise a fuss when...

Though the liars sure do try to raise a fuss when they face actual consequences for their harmful lies. Sometimes it even works, like in the US.





Honestly, it should be pretty much a given...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 22nd September 2022, 11:56 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Pretty sure they've been that dumb for most or...

Pretty sure they've been that dumb for most or all of this.



Botching? That sorta assumes that there was some way that anything of the sort wouldn't be a ********, doesn't it?

I'm reminded...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 22nd September 2022, 12:56 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
I'm also somewhat reminded of a move by...

I'm also somewhat reminded of a move by Republicans not all that long ago. Interview a bunch of "concerned parents/citizens" who just happen to all be employed by the Republican Party without noting...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 22nd September 2022, 12:39 AM
Replies: 656
Views: 19,231
Posted By Aridas
FTFY

FTFY
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 21st September 2022, 09:47 PM
Replies: 656
Views: 19,231
Posted By Aridas
Meanwhile, on the topic of peace...

Meanwhile, on the topic of peace (https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/09/21/world/united-nations-general-assembly-biden) -
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 20th September 2022, 04:40 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
It's generally not been me, for the record, and...

It's generally not been me, for the record, and you keep getting reminded about it because you keep using it as if Russian-speaking = Russian supporting. Even if you want to soften that a bit, it's...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 20th September 2022, 03:29 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Michel H has had such pointed out to him many,...

Michel H has had such pointed out to him many, many times now. Doesn't stop him from trotting that out over and over.
Forum: USA Politics 20th September 2022, 12:52 AM
Replies: 1,194
Views: 63,026
Posted By Aridas
Yes. It doesn't matter, though. What she's...

Yes.

It doesn't matter, though. What she's doing is manifestly harmful.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 18th September 2022, 11:14 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
They did. Mariupol was a little bit different,...

They did. Mariupol was a little bit different, though. It's location made it far easier to cut off from reinforcements. Even after that, they still ended up shelling the place to the point where...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 18th September 2022, 08:13 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
There's something to be said for how bad Russian...

There's something to be said for how bad Russian logistics are and how that undermined the attempt to take Kiev. Sumy, on the other hand, was right at the border and right next to the Russian...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 18th September 2022, 07:08 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Perhaps, but the revanchist sentiments aren't...

Perhaps, but the revanchist sentiments aren't exactly new. What's more, they've been stoked for a while, I think, in a manner not too different from how Fox works.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 18th September 2022, 04:43 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Unfortunately, it's far more than one power...

Unfortunately, it's far more than one power hungry nutjob. Just like here in the US, it's not just Trump denying the election. Yes, though, also just like in the US, it's bad for everyone,...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 18th September 2022, 01:42 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Russia likely took Pisky, I hear. For...

Russia likely took Pisky, I hear. For perspective, pre-war, Pisky supposedly had 6 residents. And it's right next to a Russian-occupied capital. It only took them months to do it. :rolleyes:


...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 18th September 2022, 01:30 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Ehh. Given that they've been looting Kherson all...

Ehh. Given that they've been looting Kherson all along? Possibly not the best predictor.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 18th September 2022, 01:39 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Entirely plausible. It's actually rather...

Entirely plausible. It's actually rather unlikely that it's Ukrainians, given the current battle lines. Maybe soon for that, but not likely yet.

That it's actually unlikely to be Ukrainians is...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 18th September 2022, 01:20 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Here's a bit of slight oddness...

Here's a bit of slight oddness (https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1571214487918608385) that I think makes for an interesting game.



What could they be fighting?

Bigfoot? Godzilla? ...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 17th September 2022, 08:28 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
I'm much in agreement with this. I'm willing to...

I'm much in agreement with this. I'm willing to let "unusual" pass. Something like "unprecedented" would be worthy of ridicule, of course, but that's not what was said. Either way, it's not even...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 17th September 2022, 07:01 PM
Replies: 656
Views: 19,231
Posted By Aridas
This sorta reminds me of a thing. "Why are...

This sorta reminds me of a thing. "Why are people trying to make a big deal over me expressing care? What I said shows that I care! The police would clearly be on my side here if you called them!"...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 17th September 2022, 11:43 AM
Replies: 656
Views: 19,231
Posted By Aridas
Yep. This is all on the extremely powerful...

Yep. This is all on the extremely powerful Ukraine's head. Poor weak Russia has nothing to do with their invasion as they still have shown no real hint of good faith peace negotiation.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 17th September 2022, 11:09 AM
Replies: 656
Views: 19,231
Posted By Aridas
Caveat - Russia can be forced to "accept" other...

Caveat - Russia can be forced to "accept" other endings to this. With that said, going on and on about how Ukraine is in the wrong and needs to go to the negotiating table when Russia's the...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 17th September 2022, 10:44 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Last I heard, an outlet or two amended things a...

Last I heard, an outlet or two amended things a little. Seems likely that that's been hyberbolized by CE/those feeding CE.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 16th September 2022, 08:53 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
On a mildly related note...

On a mildly related note (https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1570760504335020032)...



Logistics matter.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 16th September 2022, 02:28 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Umm......

Umm... (https://twitter.com/SvenSalumets/status/1567446119596040192)



There's a major confounder with this metric that comes to mind, though. Corruption.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 15th September 2022, 10:01 PM
Replies: 656
Views: 19,231
Posted By Aridas
1) Either you missed the point actually made or...

1) Either you missed the point actually made or you're dodging it.

2) Willful blindness and trying to point at false equivalences don't make for much of an argument and this is a skeptics forum,...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 15th September 2022, 09:26 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
I'm going to be a little bit of a downer here. I...

I'm going to be a little bit of a downer here. I don't see this actually changing many minds. Unless she's "hot," but that's a whole other can of worms.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 15th September 2022, 08:16 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
I've heard that "Copium" is the drug of choice...

I've heard that "Copium" is the drug of choice for producing those delusions.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 15th September 2022, 09:51 AM
Replies: 656
Views: 19,231
Posted By Aridas
I can call myself neutral, I think, in a sense. ...

I can call myself neutral, I think, in a sense. I care about the actual principles and situation in play, rather than having any particular prejudice towards either side.

Taking into account that...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 15th September 2022, 08:34 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Not quite for sure. It's still necessary for the...

Not quite for sure. It's still necessary for the flow of water to Crimea, is it not? They'd be much more likely to attack it once the flow is cut again, rather than just after they lose Kherson.
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 15th September 2022, 02:13 AM
Replies: 656
Views: 19,231
Posted By Aridas
Of course not. They should just compromise a...

Of course not. They should just compromise a little bit by giving Russia massive concessions that will just embolden Russia to try to take even more.

It's unfortunate, but sometimes, to actually...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 14th September 2022, 09:41 PM
Replies: 656
Views: 19,231
Posted By Aridas
Sure. And sometimes, being humble and "admitting...

Sure. And sometimes, being humble and "admitting one's mistakes" just earns a bullet to the head, regardless of whether courage or cowardice is driving the action.

Cowardice is all I'm seeing in...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 14th September 2022, 09:33 PM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Pointedly stating "official" rules is one thing. ...

Pointedly stating "official" rules is one thing. Actually enforcing them in practice is another.



I seem to recall warnings of such explosive "toys" being used in Ukraine, too.

Either way,...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 14th September 2022, 04:16 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Not yet. Though the ship did make for an...

Not yet. Though the ship did make for an excellent addition to the Russian submarine fleet. (ETA: Looks like I was ninja'd. Congrats, Wildy.)

Yeah, though, the list of WTF issues was long. That...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 14th September 2022, 01:46 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
To poke at this... that's true as far as it goes....

To poke at this... that's true as far as it goes. Still, I'd call it a definite success story so far, with the note that Ukraine doesn't appear to be just charging forwards. The strategy that I've...
Forum: Non-USA & General Politics 14th September 2022, 12:17 AM
Replies: 2,270
Views: 58,309
Posted By Aridas
Mmm. By the sound of it, he's packing a heck of...

Mmm. By the sound of it, he's packing a heck of a lot more than Putin.
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