The predictive power of The Psychon Theory is much stronger than the predictive power of Darwinism. The reason is simple: the number of psychons having evolved on earth is limited. And isn't it obvious that the claim that only around 7 or 7.5 billion human souls have evolved is a falsifiable prediction? If the current demographic projections of UN come true, then my theory is simply wrong.
From where in your psychon hypothesis does the 7-7.5 billion number come from? It sure looks like you simply pulled a number out of the air that was a little bigger than the current world population. As such, that does not qualify as a falsifiable prediction of your psychon hypothesis.
When in 1988 I took for the first time reincarnation seriously as a possible scientific hypothesis, demography seemed to me a strong counteragument. In the meanwhile, the demographic evolution of mankind has become the most obvious evidence in favor of reincarnation.
As a first guess I wrote 1996 in The Psychon Theory:
The number of human souls is in the order of 10 to the power 10.
After having dealt intensively with demography I wrote in The Demographic Saturation Theory:
If one knows the respective saturation values for all regions of the world, it is possible to calculate the limit, up to which world population can grow (in the short and medium term). The saturation values can be estimated by considering population pyramids and other demographic data in comparison with the data of yet saturated populations. If the calculations resulted in a saturation value of 77% for the 1997 world population, it would follow a maximum number of 7.5 billion humans.
Then The 1998 Revision of the United Nations Population Projections was published and I wrote:The psychon theory has very concrete consequences, for instance there must be a limit to the number of human souls, which according to the latest demographic data could be even less than 7 billion.
Now I think that a number of around 7 or 7.5 billion is correct.
Europe, North America, Australia, Japan and most other developed regions of East Asia are essentially saturated, i.e. their population cannot grow further from within. So any relevant increase in North America or Australia will be compensated by a smaller increase (e.g. South America) or a decrease (e.g. Eastern Europe) elsewhere.
Fertility decline has spread all over the world in the meanwhile. Everywhere happens the same, only the ad-hoc-explanations are different. Look at the U.S. Census Bureau population pyramid of Hong Kong. The demographic situation in the more developed regions of China (e.g. Shanghai, Beijing) is quite similar to Hong Kong.
"The lowest TotalFertilityRate recorded anywhere in the world in recorded history is for Xiangyang district of Jiamusi city (Heilongjiang, China) which had a TFR of 0.41." (Wikipedia)
Such extremely low fertiltiy rates are not the result of an increasing aversion against children, but of low fecundability due to fast population growth in the past. The past increase has led to a situation of demographic saturation where a big number of persons in fertile age is confronted with low mortality. The same will happen to all other fast growing countries or sub-populations."At one point in the 1980s estimates showed that Iran's population would reach 108 million by the year 2006. But, in fact, through a variety of measures, Iran has managed to check its population growth with the population projected to only be 70 million in 2006." (Wikipedia)
In any case, for the big demographic institutions (e.g. CIA, US Census, UN) it would be easily possible to make correct and detailed demographic predictions. But human nature is such that they very probably will continue to make completely wrong predictions instead of accepting a Copernican reversal.Cheers, Wolfgang
It is simply naive to mock a scientific hypothesis only because it does not agree with one's own prejudices