Originally Posted by
Ziggurat
The average payout is the same. The distribution is not (you'll end up with some cases of not winning anything, but some cases of winning more than once). So it depends on what you care about, which was my point.
I understand your point but wonder if it’s actually applicable in practice when the odds of any individual attempt ever winning are so incredibly unlikely. Would 1 attempt in 100 billion draws really make it any more likely you would ever win against 100 billion to 1 odds?
No amount of previous draws has any effect on current or future draws (the balls don’t have a memory).