Originally Posted by
ynot
Essentially I’m asking if there is some point at which odds become so unlikely they aren’t worthy of serious consideration to be applied to the possibility of actual events.
There is no objective answer to that. One can calculate the odds, one can calculate the frequency of events, etc, etc. But whether or not it's worth considering, well, that's up to you. I am fine ignoring a 1 in 1000 chance of dropping an egg when I take it out of the refrigerator, but if there was a 1 in 1000 chance that I would die in a car crash on my way to work, that would worry me.