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Old 17th April 2020, 07:11 PM   #12
marting
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Originally Posted by Samson View Post
From the Chinese study posted by Nessie in the closed thread:

Our study does not rule out outdoor transmission of the virus. However, among our 7,324 identified cases in China with sufficient descriptions, only one outdoor outbreak involving two cases occurred in a village in Shangqiu, Henan. A 27-year-old man had a conversation outdoors with an individual who had returned from Wuhan on 25 January and had the onset of symptoms on 1 February.

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...058v1.full.pdf

This looks useful to say the least
Yes, and it makes sense too. The probabilities of spread outdoors are extremely low unless you are in some rowdy group. OTOH, mass transit where you are sardines in a can or grouped indoors like nursing homes is really risky.

Also the study shows the obvious. That most infections are in families and close living groups like cruise ships and aircraft carriers. At least most of the sailors on the latter are young and are at little risk even if they get the bug.
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