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Old 26th March 2020, 07:21 PM   #236
bknight
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Originally Posted by caveman1917 View Post
I could just as well state that your claim of "50-50% chance of rain" is hiding behind ambiguity because you didn't specify exactly where in the sky the cloud would form or on what exact second of the day the first drop would hit the ground. In the same way that you use the hypothesis "it will rain today" as a shorthand for every hypothesis under which "it rains today" is true (ie it will rain at 1 minute past midnight or it will rain at 2 minutes past midnight or it will rain at 3 minutes past midnight and so on and so forth) the hypothesis MIHOP is a shorthand for every hypothesis under which MIHOP is true.

The subject of the thread is what you think, not every hypothesis that exists.
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