I don't know how likely a large-scale European anti-Muslim campaign is. I hope it's not likely at all. I do agree with you that these reprehensible attacks increase that likelihood somewhat. But, personally, I think a form of appeasement, with media conforming to the wishes of the orthodox under the guise of "respect," is just as probable.
But actually, none of that is what I was commenting on. I just can't find any sarcasm in your original post. Unless there's an alternate definition of sarcasm I'm not aware of, which is possible (no sarcasm intended!).
Depends on what his goal was.Or conversly, a failed terrorist act.
Yeah, I agree with you. Sarcasm wasn't the right word. I stand corrected.
I thought some people were accusing ME of wanting to oppress Muslims, which is probably why I said it was sarcastic.
No problem. It's an easy mistake to make.
Now I know you're being sarcastic.
Now reports of shots being fired in central Copenhagen not far from where the Synagogue is located.
Of course this might not be related to the earlier incident and it being near the Synagogue could just be a coincidence.
(no sarcasm intended in the above)
ETA:
One person shot in the head. Two cops injured. Shooter still at large. Or at least that's what's being reported.
If only Claus was there to kill the gunman with his bare hands.
And of course, there's this.
.....
What? Is this guy for real? Has he spent the last few years living on Mars or something?
Maybe the White House?"However, in a statement toAl JazeeraT.N.N., Tabish Khair, a novelist based in the Danish town of Aarhus, cautioned against immediately linking the attack with any religion.
"It should be condemned as a criminal act, and no religious belief should be employed to explain it on any side," he said."
What? Is this guy for real? Has he spent the last few years living on Mars or something?
No, Wilders becoming Dutch PM is not realistic at all. The current polls show his one-man party in front, but with 5 other contenders for that spot (Socialist Party, Pvda (Labour), the centre liberal D66, the right-of-center christian democrats CDA, and the right-wing liberals VVD). The left and center parties would never form a coalition with them, and the right-of-center parties tried a few years ago and are fed up with him.This is perhaps somewhat more realistic.
Really? Here's the wiki page. I can't readily find his party program in English. And here's the video of the incident Fudbucker related in post #87, last year on the night of municipal elections. The public prosecutor is currently contemplating criminal charges over it, after hundreds of people filed charges. He's made similar comments earlier, that large amounts of Muslims should be kicked out of the country.Can you point to specific policies suggested by these parties which will target muslims as a group?
This is an honest question btw. I don't follow French or Dutch politics very closely.
I don't think it's likely to happen.No, Wilders becoming Dutch PM is not realistic at all.
Police press conference right now.
The police are pretty sure that it is the gunman they've shot.
Police say they killed the man in the Norrebro district after he opened fire on them.
It came after one person was killed and three police officers injured at a free speech debate in a cafe on Saturday.
In the second attack, a Jewish man was killed and two police officers wounded near the city's main synagogue.
Police say video surveillance suggested the same man carried out both attacks. They do not believe any other people were involved.
I don't think it's likely to happen.
But you need to get the majority of the votes in order to become president of France, while I assume the Dutch PM could potentially be from a party with much lower support than that. That's why I think PM Wilders is less unlikely than President Le Pen.
"However, in a statement toAl JazeeraT.N.N., Tabish Khair, a novelist based in the Danish town of Aarhus, cautioned against immediately linking the attack with any religion.
"It should be condemned as a criminal act, and no religious belief should be employed to explain it on any side," he said."
What? Is this guy for real? Has he spent the last few years living on Mars or something?
Two civilians dead, one terrorist. Soon no terrorists.
And you could estimate the total cost. Trouble is they have a nasty habit of making the exchange rate better than that.
You're right in the middle part, and the Dutch PM need not even be from the biggest coalition party (though the last time that happened was Biesheuvel in 1970). But, apart from an absolute majority for Wilders (*), I don't see him getting into the Catshuis. The left simply refuses to even talk with him on a coalition, and the right doesn't want a repeat of their 2010-2012 experience.
(*) and even a majority of Wilders' party would be unstable. The party is simply too unstable for that, Wilders trying on his own to micro-manage the party. He doesn't manage to keep his parliamentary party together now: 3 out of 15 have jumped ship. Imagine what would happen when there were 76: just too many frogs would jump out of the wheelbarrow sooner or later.
The French presidential elections are a two-stage process: the two best proceed from the first round to the second round. In 2002, Le Pen père advanced to the second round because of fragmentation on the left. Chirac only won the second round so convincingly because left voters still went out to vote for him, with a peg on their nose so to say, or rather: to vote against Le Pen. But the numbers between Chirac and Le Pen in the first round were quite close (20% vs 17%). Le Pen fille has created a bit more amenable profile than her inveterate racist father, and I fear to know what would happen if she managed to advance to the second round, in a scenario similar to 2002, especially if pegged against a socialist candidate.
So I'm really not sure what would be more likely.
I don't know, how has it been doing lately? 911, 3,000:9, Copenhagen 2:1, Paris? USA vs Al Quaida?
Anybody care to find the stats and build a graph? Trend of rate?
I'm thinking that the rate is much more important than any particular incident.
And fyi, my statement was a parody of a Chinese statement, WWII I think, about the Chinese losing 100 for each Japanese soldier killed- "soon no more Japanese". 2:1 seems much within allowances in a war. Allies vs Axis? Germans vs Russia?
I don't follow them well either, but given that FN has been at it for at least twenty years as a successful party, with representation on all levels, I think they are.Do you know anything about FN? Is it a functioning party with adequate discipline?
Honest question, I have no idea.
Oh, Wilders' party, the PVV, is perfectly democratic. After all, it has only one member: Wilders himself.Wilders' party is, as you describe, a one-man-show with bad-quality puppets.
Even if I supported his viewpoints, I could still not vote for the mass that that club is.
Previous attempts by party-members to reform it were quickly punished with expulsion by the great leader.
ETA:
the party has no internal democratic mechanism. There is no voting on issues or leadership. This would not be illegal in Germany I believe.
Random
Don't forget the train bombings in Europe.
Just to wrap up a bit:
Investigations are still going on, of course, but it seems this was most of all an unstable and angry young man who grapped the nearest excuse to get back at the world. It was a terrorist act by the merit of the targets he picked, but it seems he might as well have shot up is old school or something else.
Hans
I don't understand how you arrive at that conclusion.It was a terrorist act by the merit of the targets he picked, but it seems he might as well have shot up is old school or something else.
Just to wrap up a bit:
Investigations are still going on, of course, but it seems this was most of all an unstable and angry young man who grapped the nearest excuse to get back at the world. It was a terrorist act by the merit of the targets he picked, but it seems he might as well have shot up is old school or something else.
Hans
Hmmm, I wonder what action or ideological atrocities can't be, at some level, described as "angry young men getting back at the world"? Congo atrocities, check. ISIS, check. The waffen SS, check. Spartacus slave revolt, check. Amazing, we can explain everything using your formulation while not pointing any fingers or being judgmental about anything! How useful!
There is a difference to my mind between a terrorist cell with angry young men and independent angry young men who just happened to think they have found a cause.
There isn't any difference to mine.
Whether its a cell of AYM who fight for "the cause" or a bunch of separate AYM whom have been inspired/radicalized by "the cause", they still kill innocent victims, and those who cared about those victims will not appreciate the fine distinctions regarding what motivated the killer(s).
"The cause" is to blame when it actively recruits and radicalize AYM.