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16th July 2017, 06:45 AM | #161 |
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So let's talk about the psycho(s) in Pennsylvania who killed four young men. The first victim was said to show up to the farm to buy $8,000 of marijuana, but only had $800 so instead agreed to buy a gun. Why didn't he already have a gun? Because the ridiculous laws in this country prohibit people with criminal records from arming themselves (even though they will anyway). If he had been armed, then he could've stopped Cosmo DiNardo. The bad guy with a gun could've stopped the super-bad guy. Basic logic.
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16th July 2017, 07:39 AM | #162 |
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16th July 2017, 08:12 AM | #163 |
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Why is it that we think throwing guns out to the untrained masses is somehow going to make us safer? It's a well-trained, tactically sound, disciplined marksman with knowledge of the lawful use of force with a gun who stops a bad guy with a gun.
How many people know how ridiculously easy it is in most shall issue states to get a permit? In some states, a hunter safety course qualifies. There's a reason when law enforcement and military members learn to handle and employ firearms it takes weeks. |
16th July 2017, 12:21 PM | #164 |
Penultimate Amazing
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It actually did.
It went all a-foul when groups other than the regular (Interior Ministries of the states of the federation) police were given guns. SA, SS (The Gestapo - "secret state police" was not police, it was SS), other party cadres of the NSDAP. Similarly, the infamous StaSi (State Security) and Grenzpolizei (border police) where not run by the Interior Ministry, as the ordinary police was, but by a special ministry. |
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16th July 2017, 01:06 PM | #165 |
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There are thugs who are after your property. Some are just after a rowdy time. Many surely are dealing with drugs - supply-side or demand-side - and do not wish to get interfered with. Some may want to sell drugs to your son. These are the vast majority of criminals, as opposed to those out to murder or imjure you.
It is my perception that practically all these sorts of thugs come mostly unarmed in Europe. Very few guns involved. Why, if they get caught, carrying a gun aggravates their legal trouble. The thing is: They are up against a general non-police population that, too, is essentially unarmed. You see, in their thuggish daily dealings, there is a need to consider what to do should a victim or a passer-by resist. The answer in Europe will often be: Just run, or beat and run. It's quite different when a significant percentage of the general population is armed. Then you must consider, while committing your burglary, theft, robbery, drug deal, what to do if you encounter a victim or passer-by, and assess the risj they might be able to effectively use a gun against you - whether by just showing it to you (threat) or actual use. Some would-be-non-violent criminals may decide to not do the crime. Many others will find that their best course of action is to bring a gun, and be prepared to use it, and use it quickly and ruthlessly. And that, IMO, can be a powerful mechanism by which violent, gun-related crime increases where CCW increases. That is essentially an arms race, and in that arms race, the thugs will come out on top, on balance, simply because they will be more prepared (they usually choose time and setting of the encounter) and less reined in by ethical qualms. It would be interesting if research existed that looked at the hypothesis above. |
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17th July 2017, 12:04 AM | #166 |
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But I think this is an apples/oranges comparison. If I understand the statistics, a large portion of gun violence is committed by people known to the victim, but please correct me if I am wrong. If I'm right, then I don't think those who would do harm to Bloomberg are one of his friends or relatives so the comparison breaks down.
On that we have no disagreement. |
17th July 2017, 12:08 AM | #167 |
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17th July 2017, 10:26 AM | #168 |
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My issues are credible and we're well known enough to the gentlemen who'd like to have us killed. I'm involved in a murder trial. Two of my family provided witness testimony that blew the defendant's insanity plea out of the water. As result of that we've been told that we're not very well thought of in thug land and several of them would like to have a word with us.
I'm concerned about this a bit. |
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17th July 2017, 10:32 AM | #169 |
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Burden of proof:
"When two parties are in a discussion and one makes a claim that the other disputes, the one who makes the claim typically has a burden of proof to justify or substantiate that claim especially when it challenges a perceived status quo" I don't think that claiming there is a correlation between ccw holders arrest rates and crime rates is a challenge to the perceived status quo... i'd say it is the perceived status quo. If you have evidence that the two are disproportionate, then please present it! (Remember, to make the OP study "work" you'll need to explain a 13-15% rise in crime as being the work of people who commit 1-2% of offences... so you need to show the arrest rates vs actual crime rates as being out of whack by a factor of 10.) |
17th July 2017, 11:23 AM | #170 |
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Remember, the OP's claim is not that lawful carriers will commit less crime, but that they will prevent more crime: Good guys with guns will stop bad guys with guns. The prediction is that in addition to not committing crimes themselves, they will prevent others from committing more crimes.
One obvious flaw with the OP's thesis is inherent in the claim itself: A good guy with a gun stops a bad guy with a gun. But this only comes into play if the bad guy starts using his gun. And at that point, the incident gets written up as a violent crime regardless of how it turns out. If a bad guy opens fire, and a good guy shoots him dead before the bad guy hits anyone, that supports the claim that a good guy with a gun stops a bad guy with a gun. But the statistics will still say a violent crime was committed there, even though a good guy with a gun was present. So I question the premise of the OP, and the usefulness of the cited study. To really understand the effect of good guys with guns on bad guys with guns, we'd have to look at statistics having to do with how many times the two encountered each other, and what the outcomes were. For the moment, all we can really say is that lawful firearms carriers tend to be statistically less criminal and violent than unlawful carriers. And that by itself is a positive outcome of permitting lawful carry, even if good guys with guns have no other effect on the violent criminal activities of bad guys with guns. |
17th July 2017, 11:32 AM | #171 |
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18th July 2017, 05:51 PM | #172 |
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18th July 2017, 06:57 PM | #173 |
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1. He'd never do that. 2. Okay but he's not currently doing it. 3. Okay but he's not currently technically doing it. 4. Okay but everyone does it. 5. He's doing it, we can't stop him, no point in complaining about it. 6. We all knew he was going to do it which... makes it okay somehow. 7. It's perfectly fine that's he's doing it. |
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19th July 2017, 02:39 AM | #174 |
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19th July 2017, 05:26 AM | #175 |
Penultimate Amazing
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Are criminals in the USA a species completely different from criminals in Europe or Australia? Brains wired differently? No soul? Went to schools that teach guns are good?
Oh, the latter seems to make sense. ETA: I cannot trust your judgement anyway after this example of blind, biased, obvious stupidity, which is so out of character for you: |
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19th July 2017, 05:31 AM | #176 |
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19th July 2017, 05:45 AM | #177 |
Penultimate Amazing
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Often, the add-on penalties for "armed criminal action" are used as a bargaining chip by prosecutors.
"Cop to the robbery, and we'll drop the ACA charge." A conviction is obtained, the robber gets less time, everybody happy. But little incentive to avoid being armed. Armed criminal types tend to be by category, in my experience. We essentially never find folks indulging in petty crime like bicycle theft or thefts from offices or shoplifters going about armed. However, people who are involved in the drug trade, gang members, robbery suspects, are very frequently armed. These people live in a violent world, and are not only concerned with intimidating potential victims but being attacked by rival gang members or having "deals" go south or whatever. It's part of the criminal culture and has been so for a very long time. |
19th July 2017, 06:19 AM | #178 |
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19th July 2017, 06:32 AM | #179 |
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19th July 2017, 09:46 AM | #180 |
Orthogonal Vector
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I know that of the 7 or 8 drug dealers we charged in the grand jury I was on, none of them also had weapons charges, and this would have been outside of any deal by the prosecutor because the prosecutor would want as many charges as possible to threaten them with and by not bringing weapons charges those would be removed by the prosecutor before a deal. So it makes no sense.
So maybe the dealers who carry guns cut a deal before it gets to the grand jury but it does seem to not add up for around where I am. |
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19th July 2017, 10:24 AM | #181 |
Orthogonal Vector
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opps multi post
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19th July 2017, 11:34 AM | #182 |
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Thermodynamics hates conspiracy theorists. (Foster Zygote) The business of Progressives is to go on making mistakes. The business of the Conservatives is to prevent the mistakes from being corrected. (Gilbert Keith Chesterton) |
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20th July 2017, 07:03 PM | #183 | |||
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I'd like some criminal control before the state starts creating the new class of criminals, thanks.
Answered pretty effectively by Bikewer - The laws are effective *when* they're enforced. See below. Weird. Not sure why you'd lash out like that. What's your problem? How do you apply all those negative attributes to that post? Neither did I. It's really quite simple Oystein: Armed criminals in the US don't have much to fear from law enforcement, the justice system or armed citizens. Their biggest worry is armed rivals. If caught with a concealed handgun, unless a serious felony has been committed, an armed criminal will not spend much time in jail. His gun will be confiscated, be arraigned, given a court date and will either post bail or if little or no criminal record, be released on his own recognizance. The cycle usually repeats until the criminal ceases activity or is arrested for something more serious, like homicide. Until that happens, criminals are in and out of jail through a revolving door. Let's try an exercise. I'll list three actual gun crimes. You tell me how these crimes would have been dealt with if committed in Germany. Explain the police response and the legal response. How much time would they spend in prison? (anyone from other countries / states, please feel free to play along.*) 1. Man opens fire with a concealed firearm on a busy downtown Oakland street. He missed his intended victim but struck an innocent bystander. She lived. Subject is arrested. 2. Several young men, many of whom aren't allowed to legally possess handguns, open fire on another gang of young men, who return fire in a busy San Francisco shopping district. Two bystanders are wounded, one bystander is killed. Witnesses come forward and five men are arrested. 3. At a San Francisco shopping mall, in a dispute over roughly $200, a man kills two women then opens fire on responding police. No LEOS are hit. Surrenders when he runs out of ammo. Those are just little snippets of life in the bay area, but don't take it from me - Here's a good example of the idiocy you get around these parts. This is not an anomaly - this is how things are around here.
After seeing that, some might understand why some cops are nervous these days.. *Yes, I know. These incidents a rarity in [country / state] because super-duper gun control. Humor me and pretend it happened despite that, m'kay? |
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9th August 2017, 02:20 AM | #184 |
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In Australia there would be an outcry, Gun laws would be back in the spotlight and many calls would be made to have them tightened and penalties increased. People would expect the source of the guns to be uncovered and shut down. Most people would not fetishasise guns and loudly proclaim that is not the guns fault.
Thats why those type of crimes are not every day occurrences here. |
9th August 2017, 09:26 AM | #185 |
Meandering fecklessly
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No, no, no, a million times no. Again and again you are and nearly every anti-gun person out there make the same fallacy: there is no correlation nor causation between gun ownership and violence/crime. If there were, we would be able to see it, no matter which country we measure. It would roughly be the same ratio all over the world.
But, to change the topic slightly, I don't understand why people don't get it; Australia was from the very foundations of the country, a prison — a prison of a country which already had fairly strict gun control. That's culture. That's a culture which admires few guns. That's a culture which admires personal strength to overcome adversity without a gun in their hand. Great! That's awesome if it works for your culture. It's not America's culture. And when one starts saying "we're better than America because they have a lot of guns" then that person better not for one second think that they aren't practicing the same arrogant cultural superiority that is often derided as an American-only thing (calling stuff "American exceptionalism"). |
9th August 2017, 09:38 AM | #186 |
Pi
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I think the US is a perfect storm of miseducation by the media, availability of small arms and, crucially - and this last bit is the kicker - inequality of income. I don't think the guns help. I don't think they're the root of the issue, this is: https://thinkprogress.org/study-inco...-84076065498a/ "A World Bank sponsored study subsequently confirmed these results on income inequality concluding that, worldwide, homicide and the unequal distribution of resources are inextricably tied." |
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9th August 2017, 09:47 AM | #187 |
Maledictorian
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Proof of causation:
no bullet-wounds without guns. QED |
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9th August 2017, 03:14 PM | #188 | ||
Observer of Phenomena
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Right - Americans are just inherently more violent than everyone else. It's genetic, I guess. Guns have nothing whatsoever to do with the fact that gun crime in America is orders of magnitude higher than every other developed country. Nothing at all.
Australia has a long and storied gun culture. Guns have been a part of Australian culture from the very beginning. Who do you think was guarding all those convicts that you Americans so love to refer to? And how? Who do you think was massacring all those blackfellas, and how? Again, you need to learn some history or you'll just look like an ignorant fool. And would you care to point out even one place where I argued that gun control makes Australia "better" than America? I mean we are, obviously, but has that ever formed a part of my argument? What I am at pains to point out is that guns are used to kill and injure people less in Australia. And every other developed nation, I hasten to add. And not only less - much less. That is my argument. But you're right, in a way. The statistics linking guns to crime are being deliberately obfuscated by people with political agendas - on both sides - so it's hard to say anything for sure. No-one can definitively link the fact that there are now more guns than people in America with the massively high gun injury and death rate. But only an idiot - or someone with a political bias - could look at that statistic and claim that there is no link. |
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9th August 2017, 04:15 PM | #189 |
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Geeze, he asked a question I gave an approximate answer based on very loosely similar previous incidents. I'm sorry I don't find it likely that most Australians would have daily shootings convince them that more guns are a good thing, even if we do place celebrity status on select gun toting criminals from bush rangers like Ned Kelly to modern day asswipes like Chopper Reed.
But please, educate me on how if Americans gave up their guns all the power would then go to over muscled roid monkeys and knife wielding junkies, like in a Jackie Chan movie. |
10th August 2017, 01:16 AM | #190 |
Meandering fecklessly
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Thank you. It's culture, not mere ownership of guns.
Not genetic. Cultural.
Quote:
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Wait, what? I honestly have no idea what you're trying to communicate here. I'd be interested in finding out if you think I insulted you or something as long as it's polite, because I certainly have no intention of insulting or berating you or making disrespectful comments. |
10th August 2017, 09:23 AM | #191 |
Pi
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Don't get me wrong, I'm dead against any sort of universal right to firearms, I think they tend to exaggerate the results of other regressive social policies, but I don't think it's a the universal right to a firearm that causes the issues in the US. They do, however, greatly exaggerate the effect of the underlying issue. The underlying problem is wealth inequality. Antisocial behaviors are extremely well correlated with wealth inequality and the USA (and to a slightly lesser extent, the UK) are both very good at keeping the rich rich and making the poor poorer. The trouble is, all the major media outlets, all the politicians, all those who should be railing against the massive inequalities in the US (the narrowing of which, I would bet my last pound, would reduce firearm deaths) are owned by the extremely rich, who have a vested interest in the status quo. I'm ranting off topic. I'll leave you with this very excellent Ted talk on the topic: https://www.ted.com/talks/richard_wilkinson |
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10th August 2017, 10:36 AM | #192 |
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And that's cool; I've never had a problem with people who don't want firearms to be as ubiquitous as they are, or people who don't want the ownership to be considered as a civil right.
But I do think you're probably right in that the fact that guns are so saturated in our society that it makes it easier to utilize a gun for a crime than not; though that in no way means that a gun "causes" the crime, or that the criminal would not do the criminal thing if a gun were not available. My point is that crime will happen; crime does happen. It's a cultural problem which drives the reasons why more people commit crimes and not merely gun ownership. Guns also prevent lots of crime, a fact that gun opponents will either downplay or ignore in order to heighten the FUD surrounding this contentious issue. And idiots like the NRA do the same thing, trying to convince people that their civic right is in danger (which it is not).
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I'm interested only in crime reduction. I fail to comprehend why some people wish to focus on a single subset of crime and call it "gun crime" and decry that as if it's worse than every other crime known. I feel that by focusing on "gun crime," it ignores all the other victims of every other non-gun crime as if their pain and suffering isn't as bad. I dunno. But this is one reason why I tend to stay away from these kinds of discussions. I think that it's a complicated issue and I'm not as nuanced as I wish to be and I end up perhaps saying the wrong thing, or coming across as something I'm not or don't believe.
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ETA: The video is from Richard Wilkinson and I have and have read his book, "The Spirit Level" as a matter of fact and I get a lot of my facts and figures from that book! Thumbs up! |
10th August 2017, 10:42 AM | #193 |
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The Police have guns and they are good guys. Law abiding citizens have guns and they are the good guys.
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10th August 2017, 10:44 AM | #194 |
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Thanks but that's not quite what I'm after here. Of course people are going to get their undies in a bunch and Americans are no exception. That's how our legislators sell their ineffective gun control measures to the uninformed.
What I'm trying to get a feel for is how other countries deal with gun crime. Trafficking for instance is dealt with severely in some countries. You might even be executed for it in some places. Is there negotiating or plea bargaining? That's what I'm looking for. |
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10th August 2017, 10:46 AM | #195 |
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11th August 2017, 04:45 PM | #196 |
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Well, if you will go on repeating lies about my country, I'm going to get a tad offended by that. Transportation of convicts ended decades before Australia even existed.
Again, don't lie about my country and we'll be fine. I'll forgive you if you are genuinely ignorant about Australian history - though I'll point out that the average educated Australian can name more American presidents than the average educated American can name Australian prime ministers - but if you don't acknowledge your error then you are just being dishonest. |
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11th August 2017, 05:43 PM | #197 |
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11th August 2017, 06:47 PM | #198 |
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Interesting...
I'll top your movie quote with one from my experience. I was stopped by a group of American tourists in Sydney, who were quite disappointed when I explained that the Vienna boys choir were not based in Sydney, Australia. I get it, Vienna, Austria is so similar to Sydney, Australia, anyone could make that mistake. |
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11th August 2017, 06:49 PM | #199 |
Quester of Doglets
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Oh, and while we are talking about problems of "scale", I had a very amusing conversation with a Texan at a computer conference in Sydney.
He was utterly certain that Texas is larger than Australia. Hint: South Australia is larger than Texas... |
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11th August 2017, 07:13 PM | #200 |
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