Aridas
Crazy Little Green Dragon
And what's that, half the actual fatalities? 75%?
If we think the true number is anywhere near 200k right now, you'd have to believe that Russia is handling the epidemic four times more effectively than Germany, and 15 times more effectively than Belgium. You'd also need to believe that Brazil is handling the outbreak as well as Switzerland and Canada.
I'm not even going to mention India.
When the "official" numbers were at around 175000, IIRC, I had read that there was probably at least a 25,000 undercount, with much of it in places like Russia and Brazil, given comparisons to the previous year's death rates.
I've read a few reports now about people who breathe just fine but are getting low oxygen. Covid can collapse the lungs air sacs which for a while just makes people tired when they think they are getting better... until they get sudden organ failure.
If I understand the situation correctly, the short version there is that, apparently, CO2 is still getting removed from the blood, so the response of feeling like one can't breathe isn't triggered. And yeah, there's apparently a bit more buzz about blood oxygen testers in response.
It remains unclear why this is occurring — whether it is a sign of a second infection, a reactivation of the remaining virus in the body or the result of an inaccurate antibody test."
To poke at part of this, at least in some cases, it currently seems reasonably likely that it's reactivation - but in the ones that it's most likely to be such, there's not really any data about how infectious they might be and how dangerous it actually is at that point.
Why would the reagents get contaminated?
It's probably more prominently on their mind because that was apparently the original problem with the CDC testing debacle that caused that massive delay at the time when testing was needed the most.
This was also a problem in NY and other states. Sudden, large numbers of deaths in a nursing home, or people with symptoms that hadn't been tested that died at home weren't counted.
China had a similar problem and bumped their death total to account for probable COVID-19 deaths.
There's a reporting issue as well. The USA reports to WHO, for instance, are materially below counts from other sources. There is no national reporting requirement of COVID-19 deaths. States are sovereigns except for items specified in the US Constitution. In fact the CDC's totals specifically state that more complete info should be obtained from local sources.
A bit separately, I've heard a few anecdotal reports about hospitals, especially ones in red states, acting to artificially reduce the numbers reported. COVID symptoms? Test for other things, no attempt to even test for COVID even after the others turn up negative. Deaths? Limit access to the areas where people are dying and quiet, informal comments to others by the people who are allowed in about significantly more deaths than reported happening are harder to just dismiss, especially when they're also not testing for COVID. Less anecdotally, at least some states with Republican leadership (Florida in particular comes to mind) have been repeatedly criticized for how much of a blithering mess they've been when it comes to reporting numbers at the state level - a mess that is very plausibly intentional, not least because of how the, for example, Florida Republicans have a penchant for implementing intentionally made to fail measures for, frankly, evil and partisan gain reasons.
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