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#41 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: The Antimemetics Division
Posts: 60,102
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As with all poorly-documented UFO and paranormal claims, literally anything could account for the phenomena alleged by the claimants. My view is it's fine to speculate all you want, but that's all it is - speculation. There's no point in trying to come up with "the" explanation, or even "an" explanation for these things.
Was there really any "smoke"? Who knows. Could it have been dust from the roof? Sure. Could it have been a figment of the reporter's imagination? Sure. Could it have been steam from a nearby kettle? Sure. Could it have been residual unicorn farts adhering to the object as it transitioned from unicorn-space into our reality? Okay, probably not that one. Like UFO proponents who demand that you account for the "fact" that the UFO moved several kilometers in under a second. Is that really what happened? Not even the UFO proponent really knows. So why bother trying to account for it? |
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#42 |
No longer the 1
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 27,179
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As human right is always something given, it always in reality reduces to the right which men give, "concede," to each other. If the right to existence is conceded to new-born children, then they have the right; if it is not conceded to them, as was the case among the Spartans and ancient Romans, then they do not have it. For only society can give or concede it to them; they themselves cannot take it, or give it to themselves. |
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#43 |
Safely Ignored
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 13,446
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Did they actually check if there was a guy on the roof with a musket? I mean no, I don't think it's likely, but did they at least check?
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#44 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Nelson, New Zealand
Posts: 21,770
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Science supplies evidence, invites you to analyse and evaluate that evidence, and then to draw conclusions from that Religion supplies no evidence, demands you have faith, and expects you to uncritically and automatically believe that something is true simply because "the Bible tells you so" ![]() |
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#45 |
Observer of Phenomena
Pronouns: he/him Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Ngunnawal Country
Posts: 77,363
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This is Australia. It's possible to start a fire with a lukewarm audience reaction to your standup routine. |
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#46 |
No longer the 1
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 27,179
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As human right is always something given, it always in reality reduces to the right which men give, "concede," to each other. If the right to existence is conceded to new-born children, then they have the right; if it is not conceded to them, as was the case among the Spartans and ancient Romans, then they do not have it. For only society can give or concede it to them; they themselves cannot take it, or give it to themselves. |
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#47 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: The Antimemetics Division
Posts: 60,102
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Sure. You're falling into the UFOvian trap of coming up with too much Just So Story on too little evidence. The trajectory could have been much more oblique. The tile could have already been chipped. Etc. I don't have a to explain reentry speed and trajectory until we know that's what happened. Which we're can't possibly know, and therefore should not claim.
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There is no Antimemetics Division. |
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#48 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Nelson, New Zealand
Posts: 21,770
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__________________
Science supplies evidence, invites you to analyse and evaluate that evidence, and then to draw conclusions from that Religion supplies no evidence, demands you have faith, and expects you to uncritically and automatically believe that something is true simply because "the Bible tells you so" ![]() |
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#49 |
No longer the 1
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 27,179
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__________________
As human right is always something given, it always in reality reduces to the right which men give, "concede," to each other. If the right to existence is conceded to new-born children, then they have the right; if it is not conceded to them, as was the case among the Spartans and ancient Romans, then they do not have it. For only society can give or concede it to them; they themselves cannot take it, or give it to themselves. |
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#50 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Nelson, New Zealand
Posts: 21,770
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__________________
Science supplies evidence, invites you to analyse and evaluate that evidence, and then to draw conclusions from that Religion supplies no evidence, demands you have faith, and expects you to uncritically and automatically believe that something is true simply because "the Bible tells you so" ![]() |
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#51 |
Michael McDonald 1967 - 2021
Join Date: Jul 2002
Posts: 4,157
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I'm going for...
An alien, robot trilobite! |
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"In science it often happens that scientists say, "You know that's a really good argument; my position is mistaken," and then they would actually change their minds and you never hear that old view from them again. They really do it. I cannot recall the last time something like that happened in politics or religion." Carl Sagan 1934 - 1996 RIP |
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#52 |
No longer the 1
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 27,179
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As human right is always something given, it always in reality reduces to the right which men give, "concede," to each other. If the right to existence is conceded to new-born children, then they have the right; if it is not conceded to them, as was the case among the Spartans and ancient Romans, then they do not have it. For only society can give or concede it to them; they themselves cannot take it, or give it to themselves. |
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#53 |
Critical Thinker
Join Date: Jul 2018
Posts: 337
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I may as well confess. The "projectile" is my adamantium-fabricated condom. Unfortunately, it was improperly secured at the moment of greatest need, and although it did reach the technical threshold of space (the von Kármán line @ 100km), it never entered a low-Earth orbit, so its designation as "space debris" is debatable.
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#54 |
Safely Ignored
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 13,446
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So you're blaming a failed panspermia project. Novel.
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#55 |
Critical Thinker
Join Date: Jul 2018
Posts: 337
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#56 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Port Townsend, Washington
Posts: 34,378
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This page shows a Starlink satellite reentry on 4 May which might account for debris in Australia. Pure speculation on my part, of course.
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Cum catapultae proscribeantur tum soli proscripti catapultas habeant. |
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#57 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 13,505
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#58 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Nelson, New Zealand
Posts: 21,770
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__________________
Science supplies evidence, invites you to analyse and evaluate that evidence, and then to draw conclusions from that Religion supplies no evidence, demands you have faith, and expects you to uncritically and automatically believe that something is true simply because "the Bible tells you so" ![]() |
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#59 |
Observer of Phenomena
Pronouns: he/him Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Ngunnawal Country
Posts: 77,363
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This one probably is. And it's good that it fell into a paddock and not on someone's house because it's a LOT bigger.
Space junk potentially found in NSW Snowy Mountains paddocks
Quote:
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This is Australia. It's possible to start a fire with a lukewarm audience reaction to your standup routine. |
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#60 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Nelson, New Zealand
Posts: 21,770
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Those raggedy edges look like severely damaged carbon fibre to me.
If it is from a SpaceX manned mission, then the only things it could be part of are the second stage or the Dragon trunk or - a piece that size coming off a re-entering Dragon Capsule itself would be unsurvivable, and the whole booster comes back to soft land. I doubt it would be part of a second stage because those are intentionally deorbited to crash into the "spaceship grave" inside the South Pacific Ocean Uninhabited Area, a region in the southern Pacific Ocean to the east of New Zealand near "Point Nemo", the oceanic pole of inaccessibility. Could be a piece of the trunk though, as they are detached from the Dragon capsule just after it undocks from the ISS. Much harder to control where they come down, but they are designed to completely burn up on reentry. Another thing it could be is part of one of those Starlink satellites that got hit by a solar storm a couple of months back. They were destined for uncontrolled re-entry. Statistically, its more likely to be a piece of a Chinese booster as they really don't give a **** who their space junk lands in, as recent events show. They make zero effort to safely deorbit their boosters. |
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Science supplies evidence, invites you to analyse and evaluate that evidence, and then to draw conclusions from that Religion supplies no evidence, demands you have faith, and expects you to uncritically and automatically believe that something is true simply because "the Bible tells you so" ![]() |
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#61 |
Observer of Phenomena
Pronouns: he/him Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Ngunnawal Country
Posts: 77,363
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This is Australia. It's possible to start a fire with a lukewarm audience reaction to your standup routine. |
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#62 |
Critical Thinker
Join Date: Jul 2018
Posts: 337
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From your source:
"There could even be issues with it damaging the ozone layer, so we need to do more research in this area." Just want to note that I find that statement odd (and not here to claim you support it), as I don't see how falling space junk could have any notable effect, but I am sure if it can, someone can correct my ignorance on the matter. |
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#63 |
Quester of Doglets
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Sunny South Australia
Posts: 3,417
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It would be interesting to speculate how it managed to arrive in such good condition.
NASA advised that it would be constructed out of carbon fibre and aluminium. From my own experience with working with aluminium, it is very easy to overheat, and very easy to set on fire. This piece of space junk is quite large and quite intact (except for all the frayed carbon fibre in the photographs). So I'm wondering if the carbon fibre could have acted as ablative armour for the aluminium... |
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We would be better, and braver, to engage in enquiry, rather than indulge in the idle fancy, that we already know -- Plato. |
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#64 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: The Antimemetics Division
Posts: 60,102
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There is no Antimemetics Division. |
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#65 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Nelson, New Zealand
Posts: 21,770
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Well, there have been COPV's land intact before, but they are more aerodynamic... well, at least round and smooth, not unlike the fairings that come through reentry in good enough condition to be re-used multiple times. I struggle to see how an odd-shaped piece like that would not be just torn apart by the heat and forces involved.
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Science supplies evidence, invites you to analyse and evaluate that evidence, and then to draw conclusions from that Religion supplies no evidence, demands you have faith, and expects you to uncritically and automatically believe that something is true simply because "the Bible tells you so" ![]() |
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#66 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: UK
Posts: 5,832
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Well when it comes to dumping space junk back on Earth the Chinese are the world leaders:
Long March 5B: Debris from Chinese rocket falls back to Earth This has been a repeated issue with this class of rocket, and on top of this are the expended boosters still containing toxic fuels that fall back on Chinese territory. |
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So I've started a blog about my writing. Check it out at: http://fourth-planet-problem.blogspot.com/ And my first book is on Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B077W322FX |
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#67 |
Observer of Phenomena
Pronouns: he/him Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Ngunnawal Country
Posts: 77,363
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This is Australia. It's possible to start a fire with a lukewarm audience reaction to your standup routine. |
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#68 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Nelson, New Zealand
Posts: 21,770
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Nope. That is definitely space junk that has survived re-entry, and it is almost certainly a part of the Crew Dragon trunk
![]() This thing is one of the mount points of one of the four fins, and you can see that part of the fin is still attached to the right side of the piece of space junk. I have absolutely zero doubt this is part of the Crew Dragon trunk. |
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Science supplies evidence, invites you to analyse and evaluate that evidence, and then to draw conclusions from that Religion supplies no evidence, demands you have faith, and expects you to uncritically and automatically believe that something is true simply because "the Bible tells you so" ![]() |
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#69 |
Observer of Phenomena
Pronouns: he/him Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Ngunnawal Country
Posts: 77,363
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This is Australia. It's possible to start a fire with a lukewarm audience reaction to your standup routine. |
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#70 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Sacramento
Posts: 55,885
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Pacifism is a shifty doctrine under which a man accepts the benefits of the social group without being willing to pay - and claims a halo for his dishonesty. Robert Heinlein. |
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#71 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: The Antimemetics Division
Posts: 60,102
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Somebody over 300km away heard something, and there's definitive evidence that this is what they heard? To me it's no different from claims of alien teleportation drives based on two dodgy radar returns separated by hundreds of miles but only a few seconds. Maybe the two returns are just two unrelated things.
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#72 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: The Antimemetics Division
Posts: 60,102
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There is no Antimemetics Division. |
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#73 |
Observer of Phenomena
Pronouns: he/him Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Ngunnawal Country
Posts: 77,363
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This is Australia. It's possible to start a fire with a lukewarm audience reaction to your standup routine. |
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#74 |
Observer of Phenomena
Pronouns: he/him Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Ngunnawal Country
Posts: 77,363
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This is Australia. It's possible to start a fire with a lukewarm audience reaction to your standup routine. |
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#75 |
Safely Ignored
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 13,446
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