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#201 |
Critical Thinker
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: The Lion's Den
Posts: 435
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What exactly is a weak conspiracy theory? Is this a new Skeptic term? It was not only the lies about WMD, but it also included falsehoods about Saddam's links to Osama and Al-Qaeda. This false narrative was widely believed by the American people. This would seem like a strong conspiracy theory to me. Plus, it led to the complete decimation of an entire country. This seems a lot more consequential than someone wondering if the moon landings were faked.
Is this really what they had in mind? "The building was designed to have a fully loaded 707 crash into it. That was the largest plane at the time. I believe that the building probably could sustain multiple impacts of jetliners because this structure is like the mosquito netting on your screen door -- this intense grid -- and the jet plane is just a pencil puncturing that screen netting. It really does nothing to the screen netting". Frank DeMartini, WTC Project Manager A white paper in the files of the Port Authority state, "The buildings have been investigated and found to be safe in an assumed collision with a large jet airliner (Boeing 707—DC 8) traveling at 600 miles per hour. Analysis indicates that such collision would result in only local damage which could not cause collapse or substantial damage to the building and would not endanger the lives and safety of occupants not in the immediate area of impact." So "fully loaded", "large jetliner" and "600mph" implies small planes, not fully loaded and traveling slow. Skeptics are best at semantics. Of course, to say that the buildings "collapsed" is really a misnomer. The official explanation is "crush-down crush-up." So you are admitting that the highly loaded term "conspiracy theory" is meant only to apply to people questioning official narratives. Thus a "conspiracy theory" is not necessarily a false belief, it is just a contrary one to the powers that be. |
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pomeroo: "Mark, where did this guy get the idea that you talked about holding aluminum in your hand?" Undesired Walrus: "Why, Ron, Mark mentioned this on your very own show!" |
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#202 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 20,259
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#203 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 30,721
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Yahtzee: "You're doing that thing again where when asked a question you just discuss the philosophy of the question instead of answering the bloody question." Gabriel: "Well yeah, you see..." Yahtzee: "No. When you are asked a Yes or No question the first word out of your mouth needs to be Yes or No. Only after that have you earned the right to elaborate." |
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#204 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shanghai
Posts: 14,299
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"... when people thought the Earth was flat, they were wrong. When people thought the Earth was spherical they were wrong. But if you think that thinking the Earth is spherical is just as wrong as thinking the Earth is flat, then your view is wronger than both of them put together." Isaac Asimov |
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#205 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 49,693
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#206 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 20,259
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I'm not saying you should or shouldn't engage in skepticism. But that doesn't answer if it has a purpose.
I see it as a tool. Which means this is the hammer forum. And yes, there are jobs a hammer isn't appropriate. But if you want to know how to best do a job, go to the fix-it forum. This is the hammer forum. And don't act like the hammer fetishists are out of place on the hammer forum . |
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#207 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 6,594
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I don’t know what it is exactly, because it’s not an exact thing. It’s a general concept made by applying the general idea of weakness to the general idea of a conspiracy theory.
This is not a new skeptic term, it’s just an adjective modifying a noun. A conspiracy theory is not just any theory that is false. There has to be a conspiratorial element to it in the imaginations of those holding to the conspiracy theory (although it's possible to have a conspiracy theory in which the conspiracy actually exists, but it would have to be labeled as such - "a true conspiracy theory" - because the generally accepted meaning of the term is that the conspiracy doesn't exist). This is especially true in the skeptical community which understands the vast odds against, for instance, the conspiracy theories behind chemtrails, anti-vaccine, etc. The conspiracy behind the US government's attempt to prove that Saddam had WMD, that conspiracy, however, actually did exist. The government really was trying to pull a fast one. So it's not a conspiracy theory in the classic sense. Normally, in a conspiracy theory, the conspiracy doesn't really exist. That's why I called it a weak conspiracy theory. |
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It's nice to be nice to the nice. Aristotle, so far as I know, was the first man to proclaim explicitly that man is a rational animal. His reason for this view was one which does not now seem very impressive: it was, that some people can do sums. - Bertrand Russell |
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#208 |
Philosopher
Join Date: May 2016
Location: Brisbane, Aust.
Posts: 6,611
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Thinking is a faith hazard. |
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#209 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 49,693
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#210 |
![]() Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Monkey
Posts: 59,523
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I am surprised to find the ancient tradition of "comedy of manners" is such unfamiliar territory that it counts as "general skepticism and the paranormal"!
Mrs Slocombe, although a great personality, is not to be taken seriously. Or without buying her a few drinks first. |
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You added nothing to that conversation, Barbara. |
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#211 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 49,693
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#212 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 5,344
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We don't want good, sound arguments. We want arguments that sound good. |
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#213 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 5,344
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We don't want good, sound arguments. We want arguments that sound good. |
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#214 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 5,344
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Conspiracy theory
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Just because someone in authority swears something can't happen doesn't mean it's a conspiracy theory when it does. Even the best scientists, engineers, and policy makers don't always account for everything - and everyone knows it. We expect things to not go exactly according to plan. As for the actual 9/11 conspirators, I bet even they (the surviving ones at least) were surprised by how successful they were. But to suggest that the event could not have happened because some engineer previously said the buildings were airliner-proof - that is a conspiracy theory.
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Yes, the term "conspiracy theory" is highly loaded - but for good reason. When a 'theory' isn't a true scientific theory but just wild-assed speculation, and when the 'conspiracy' has to involve more and more people to keep ahead of the facts, neither word is being used correctly. But that's how they use them, so... |
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We don't want good, sound arguments. We want arguments that sound good. |
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#215 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: United States
Posts: 4,905
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My working definition of conspiracy theory:
An unverified or discredited alternate account or narrative of an event involving conspiring parties grammar could maybe use some work. |
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#216 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shanghai
Posts: 14,299
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I didn't claim you were.
But when you do engage in skepticism you are doing so for a reason. That's pretty much true by definition.
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"... when people thought the Earth was flat, they were wrong. When people thought the Earth was spherical they were wrong. But if you think that thinking the Earth is spherical is just as wrong as thinking the Earth is flat, then your view is wronger than both of them put together." Isaac Asimov |
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#217 |
Observer of Phenomena
Pronouns: he/him Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Ngunnawal Country
Posts: 70,321
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The purpose of skepticism is to serve as a bridge between scientific literacy and consumer protection.
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Please scream inside your heart. |
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#218 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 20,259
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I thought we were using purpose in the same way. Let me clarify.Back to the hammer analogy. A hammer's purpose is to hammer things. It's purpose isn't to fix or build things. So when I hammer the crap out of the thing you brought to the hammer forum and it isn't closer to being fixed, it is your fault for bringing it to the hammer forum.
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#219 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Norway
Posts: 10,395
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If your source is correct, I stand corrected on the loaded part. My point still stands, obviously: the WTC wasn't just "built to withstand planes!!!!", but specifically smaller planes that got lost in the fog and hit the building as it came in for landing. It was just an example anyways, I could think of countless others.
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"He's like a drunk being given a sobriety test by the police after being pulled over. Just as a drunk can't walk a straight line, Trump can't think in a straight line. He's all over the place."--Stacyhs "If you are still hung up on that whole words-have-meaning thing, then 2020 is going to be a long year for you." --Ladewig |
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#220 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Norway
Posts: 10,395
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For some reason next to no one seems to think something sinister happened when the Titanic sank, even though it was built to withstand impacts with ice bergs. I love how CTers selectively apply logic and reason.
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"He's like a drunk being given a sobriety test by the police after being pulled over. Just as a drunk can't walk a straight line, Trump can't think in a straight line. He's all over the place."--Stacyhs "If you are still hung up on that whole words-have-meaning thing, then 2020 is going to be a long year for you." --Ladewig |
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#221 |
![]() Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Monkey
Posts: 59,523
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A hammer is an inanimate collection of matter. It has no purpose. The purpose dwells in the intent of the user, presumably a human but possibly an animal. Chimps might use a hammer, but probably not for anything we'd welcome them doing. They should be discouraged from hammers.
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You added nothing to that conversation, Barbara. |
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#222 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 20,259
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#223 |
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Location: Monkey
Posts: 59,523
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You added nothing to that conversation, Barbara. |
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#224 |
Critical Thinker
Join Date: Mar 2014
Posts: 274
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You underestimate the CTers. I've run into several Titanic-related conspiracy theories in the past. IIRC, the main ones are: 1) That the Titanic never actually sank; White Star was committing insurance fraud by sinking the Olympic, which had already been damaged, and 2) That J.P. Morgan intentionally had the ship sunk to kill business rivals; I think that one is actually part of the Qanon CT now, so it might be somewhat popular now, considering how that crapshow has grown.
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#225 | |||
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,619
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You'll love this one:
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#226 |
Featherless biped
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Aporia
Posts: 24,334
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#227 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: Oklahoma
Posts: 5,178
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Scott "Permaculture is a philosophy of working with, rather than against nature; of protracted & thoughtful observation rather than protracted & thoughtless labour; & of looking at plants & animals in all their functions, rather than treating any area as a single-product system." Bill Mollison Biome Carbon Cycle Management |
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#228 |
Featherless biped
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Aporia
Posts: 24,334
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#229 |
Philosopher
Join Date: May 2016
Location: Brisbane, Aust.
Posts: 6,611
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You certainly draw a long bow in your most ineffective attempts to score a bullseye theprestige. I say - "The more common a person is the less sense is evident." as a humorous observation regarding the word "common sense" You then, claiming ignorance of the use of the word "common" in this context, ask for illustration. I suggest the character of Mrs Slocombe uses the word in a derogatory manner and you jump on this, because she is cast as pretentious bigot with delusions of grandeur, as proof of my low opinion of so called "lower class" people. Oh boy! |
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Thinking is a faith hazard. |
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#230 |
Observer of Phenomena
Pronouns: he/him Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Ngunnawal Country
Posts: 70,321
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__________________
Please scream inside your heart. |
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#231 |
Featherless biped
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Aporia
Posts: 24,334
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#232 |
![]() Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Monkey
Posts: 59,523
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Mrs Slocombe was a very nice lady and doesn't deserve to be called such horrible things. And because apparently so many people are lacking a sense of humor and need things explained to them the joke was that Mrs Slocombe was herself dead common, she just didn't realize it.
If you cannot refrain from being rude about senior staff such as the head of the Ladies Department then you can eat your dinner -- I mean, lunch! -- at another table. Juniors these days! |
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You added nothing to that conversation, Barbara. |
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#233 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shanghai
Posts: 14,299
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I think TM understands the point I was making better than you seem to.
When people engage in skepticism they are doing so to achieve some ends. The success of their skepticism can they be measured against those ends. I don't think anything has purpose in any sense other than this. |
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"... when people thought the Earth was flat, they were wrong. When people thought the Earth was spherical they were wrong. But if you think that thinking the Earth is spherical is just as wrong as thinking the Earth is flat, then your view is wronger than both of them put together." Isaac Asimov |
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#234 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 20,259
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#235 |
Rough Around the Edges
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Deep Storage
Posts: 7,277
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Nothing has a purpose. Nothing at all. We're all going to die and then the sun will explode.
/thread EDIT: I'm being tongue-in-cheek. I felt I should clarify. |
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#236 |
Critical Thinker
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: The Lion's Den
Posts: 435
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This is quite a convoluted explanation. There are two things here. One, there was a conspiracy, if you wish to use that term, by high-ranking officials in the US government and elsewhere to sell the Iraq war to the American people. Two, what they were selling was a conspiracy theory about Iraq, WMD and links to Al-Qaeda. It is this conspiracy theory that I am referring too. This conspiracy did not exist. Saddam Hussein was not in league with Osama bin Laden to transfer WMD which could lead to mushroom clouds over American cities.
I was specifically responding to Safe-Keeper who stated that all the architects assumed it would be a small plane, flying slowly and low on fuel. I was showing that not all of them stated this. This might be your definition, but I am referring to how the term is used in practice. In practice, it is primarily used to indicate that someone has outlandish beliefs and is paranoid or insane. The term simply exists as a pejorative to avoid debate. So a large jet airliner (Boeing 707—DC 8) traveling at 600mph is a small plane flying slow? This is the explanation given Zdenek Bazant and others. "The gravity-driven progressive collapse of a tower consists of two phases—the crush-down, followed by crush-up." You wrote: "Conspiracy theory" seems to mostly or only be used about private actors, so no, the WMD mess wouldn't be called a CT. Which makes sense. A CT is, pretty much by definition, an alternative narrative that challenges what you love to call "the official story." So can the official story ever be a conspiracy theory? |
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pomeroo: "Mark, where did this guy get the idea that you talked about holding aluminum in your hand?" Undesired Walrus: "Why, Ron, Mark mentioned this on your very own show!" |
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#237 |
Philosopher
Join Date: May 2016
Location: Brisbane, Aust.
Posts: 6,611
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Well said TragicMonkey and thanks. The lack of humour of some is troublesome. There is a tendency for some, to want to pick a fight with another poster they may see as foe. In a desperate effort to pick up crumbs, they may see as potential weapons to make a strike, they sometimes pretend ignorance that something was said in jest. |
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Thinking is a faith hazard. |
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#238 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: Oklahoma
Posts: 5,178
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__________________
Scott "Permaculture is a philosophy of working with, rather than against nature; of protracted & thoughtful observation rather than protracted & thoughtless labour; & of looking at plants & animals in all their functions, rather than treating any area as a single-product system." Bill Mollison Biome Carbon Cycle Management |
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#239 |
![]() Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Monkey
Posts: 59,523
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Oh, I don't care about any of that. I just really like Are You Being Served. Mrs Slocombe is my spirit animal. When I did the sacrament of Confirmation in the Catholic Church I told them I chose the name Stephen after the sainted king of Hungary but actually it was for Captain Peacock.
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You added nothing to that conversation, Barbara. |
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#240 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 5,344
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I have seen it used that way, but not by skeptics.
We have a whole sub-forum here devoted to conspiracy theories, and we are constantly engaging in debate with the 'theorists'. The patience of skeptics when dealing with people with outlandish, paranoid or completely insane beliefs is amazing. And in the end it's almost always the conspiracy theorists themselves who try to avoid debate. Logically Fallacious: Conspiracy Theory
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We don't want good, sound arguments. We want arguments that sound good. |
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