2020 Democratic Candidates Tracker - Part II - Page 9

WilliamSeger · 12th August 2019, 07:08 AM

Originally Posted by Distracted1

The way the elections work, however, means that it is not necessarily about how many people a particular policy hurts (compared to how many it helps). Moreover it is about where those people happen to vote.

But it's costing jobs in that same rust belt, and it's costing consumers everywhere.

Forbes: Tariffs Are Costing Jobs: A Look At How Many

Pterodactyl · 12th August 2019, 07:23 AM

Originally Posted by The_Animus

Bernie Sanders was on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast. Personally I feel this type of format is far more informative than the pathetic Democratic "debates".

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I AGREE

Geez. Is there any doubt that this guy understands the issues and can do the job?

I think it's highly unlikely he gets most of his ideas through congress, but even at 137 years old, he's a breath of fresh air.

Delvo · 12th August 2019, 07:45 AM

Legislation is the same as impeachment proceedings: the fact that the other side will vote against it and defeat it is not a reason not to do it. It's just different kind of reason why you should: to make them be seen taking that stand .

Delphic Oracle · 12th August 2019, 07:53 AM

Originally Posted by Distracted1

I doubt that premise.
The trade war with China- (even with deleterious effects on the general economy)-will play very well in the "rust belt".
Remember that it became the "rust" belt largely due to the competition from Asia beginning in the 70s and 80s.
The tariffs are exactly the type of policy the people of those regions feel are needed, unfortunately they are about 40 years too late.

The rust belt also has zero patience for another politician who repeats all the time, "look, everything is all better now!" while their factories are still shuttered, their schools are still terrible, and their friends are still overdosing on pills.

They understand the difference between the DJIA and main street. For some segment of them (and we only need a few % in a few districts), his promises are now black Mark's, not victories.

ETA: at the same time, though, if we repeat the Schumer strategy, that potential advantage is negated and it's the same ethnic nationalism/evangelicals vs. socialists fight we've had for 30 years.

WilliamSeger · 12th August 2019, 08:26 AM

Wouldn't it be ironic, after all his posturing to his deplorables, if Trump turns out to be the victim of voter apathy this time -- can't bring themselves to vote for the Dem but can't vote for that ******** again.

theprestige · 12th August 2019, 08:29 AM

Originally Posted by Skeptic Ginger

: dl :

Much to your probable disappointment, few on this forum are stupid enough to believe you actually support Williamson.

Also wrong.

Also, the stupidity of this forum does not disappoint.

---

But look at it this way:

We both agree that Williamson would make a better president than Donald Trump, yes?

And we both agree that it would annoy the Democratic establishment to no end if she were elected, yes?

Then why do you find it so hard to believe that I would prefer Williamson over any other Dem in the primaries, and prefer her over Trump in the general?

JoeMorgue · 12th August 2019, 09:11 AM

Originally Posted by WilliamSeger

But it's costing jobs in that same rust belt

Bullcrap.

Ohio's unemployment rate is dropping like a rock. It's at 4%. Same with Pennsylvania, 4%. West Virginia's is at 4.8%. Indiana's is at 3.3%.

The mythical "Blue Wall" that Democrats swore up and down they had lost them the last election and they ain't getting it back when the unemployment rate is averaging out to below 4% and dropping.

You ain't winning against "4% unemployment in Ohio, when it was 10% or more as recently as 2010."

And yes, I'm aware of what under-employement is.

Trump: "Unemployment in the Rust Belt hasn't been lower in years!"
Democrats: "Okay well that's over simplifying it. You see (continues on for 5 minutes perfectly accurately about quality of jobs, living wage, upward mobility, wage stagnation, wage inequality, how the unemployment rate can be effected by people no longer looking for jobs, and the price of tea in China.)"

Trump just won.

He has a simple, concise "technically correct" out of context soundbite.

They have a longer, more nuance, more actually correct argument.

He wins.

wasapi · 12th August 2019, 09:13 AM

Originally Posted by theprestige

---

But look at it this way:

We both agree that Williamson would make a better president than Donald Trump, yes?

You would make a better president then Trump. So would I.

JoeMorgue · 12th August 2019, 09:14 AM

A Roomba put on a Ouiji board would make a better President then Trump.

Dr. Keith · 12th August 2019, 09:16 AM

Just saw Williamson being interviewed by Trevor Noah. As Trevor noted, she seems less crazy when she has time for a complete answer.

I think she has the right approach, but I don't know if she is the right candidate.

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I AGREE

Not sure if that is the full interview as it was shown on CC online or the shorter version that aired.

rockysmith76 · 12th August 2019, 09:19 AM

Originally Posted by WilliamSeger

At this point, I really don't see any way for Trump to win regardless of who we run, so I think we should just focus on picking the one who will do the best job. Trump was already in serious trouble with independents -- 52% will "definitely not" be voting for him -- yet he's stuck in the mode of pitching the same demagoguery and alternate reality crap to the same adoring base. Conventional wisdom said he had some chance if the economy was still good next year, but his idiotic trade war has shot that chance all to hell. The election will be Trump's unshakable base versus an anti-Trump blowout.

then youre naive because assumed the last time around that Hillary was a shoe in, and we have Trump as President. Complacency among democrats played a role in that.

WilliamSeger · 12th August 2019, 09:58 AM

Originally Posted by JoeMorgue

Bullcrap.

Ohio's unemployment rate is dropping like a rock. It's at 4%. Same with Pennsylvania, 4%. West Virginia's is at 4.8%. Indiana's is at 3.3%.

The mythical "Blue Wall" that Democrats swore up and down they had lost them the last election and they ain't getting it back when the unemployment rate is averaging out to below 4% and dropping.

You ain't winning against "4% unemployment in Ohio, when it was 10% or more as recently as 2010."

And yes, I'm aware of what under-employement is.

Trump: "Unemployment in the Rust Belt hasn't been lower in years!"
Democrats: "Okay well that's over simplifying it. You see (continues on for 5 minutes perfectly accurately about quality of jobs, living wage, upward mobility, wage stagnation, wage inequality, how the unemployment rate can be effected by people no longer looking for jobs, and the price of tea in China.)"

Trump just won.

He has a simple, concise "technically correct" out of context soundbite.

They have a longer, more nuance, more actually correct argument.

He wins.

Yes, Ohio unemployment, has been dropping since 2010, like elsewhere, but it is undeniable that Trump's tariffs have cost jobs and brought farms to the verge of collapse, and now he has escalated. There is no doubt that overall the trade war is bad for the economy, and Trump is stuck with simply claiming that it isn't. People will decide based on their own circumstance, not labor statistics. The election is more than a year away, and Trump is betting (your) farm on winning his trade war.

WilliamSeger · 12th August 2019, 10:02 AM

Originally Posted by rockysmith76

then youre naive because assumed the last time around that Hillary was a shoe in, and we have Trump as President. Complacency among democrats played a role in that.

Nope, not naive; everyone paying attention knows what it will take to defeat Trump, and it worked pretty well in 2018. As I've said, if you're not expecting a massive GOTV effort, then you may be in for a big surprise.

Delphic Oracle · 12th August 2019, 10:02 AM

Originally Posted by WilliamSeger

Yes, Ohio unemployment, has been dropping since 2010, like elsewhere, but it is undeniable that Trump's tariffs have cost jobs and brought farms to the verge of collapse, and now he has escalated. There is no doubt that overall the trade war is bad for the economy, and Trump is stuck with simply claiming that it isn't. People will decide based on their own circumstance, not labor statistics. The election is more than a year away, and Trump is betting (your) farm on winning his trade war.

This.

In fact quoting statistics as if to say "see, it's fixed" makes people think their problems are about to get ignored even more.

Distracted1 · 12th August 2019, 10:05 AM

Originally Posted by WilliamSeger

Yes, Ohio unemployment, has been dropping since 2010, like elsewhere, but it is undeniable that Trump's tariffs have cost jobs and brought farms to the verge of collapse, and now he has escalated. There is no doubt that overall the trade war is bad for the economy, and Trump is stuck with simply claiming that it isn't. People will decide based on their own circumstance, not labor statistics. The election is more than a year away, and Trump is betting (your) farm on winning his trade war.

Which "farm State" is going to go blue under any circumstance?

Regnad Kcin · 12th August 2019, 10:09 AM

Originally Posted by theprestige

But look at it this way:

We both agree that Williamson would make a better president than Donald Trump, yes?

And we both agree that it would annoy the Democratic establishment to no end if she were elected, yes?

Then why do you find it so hard to believe that I would prefer Williamson over any other Dem in the primaries, and prefer her over Trump in the general?

A frisbee lost in a field, being drooled on by a cow would make a better president than Trump. That doesn’t mean an intelligent person should promote the idea.

WilliamSeger · 12th August 2019, 10:17 AM

Originally Posted by Distracted1

Which "farm State" is going to go blue under any circumstance?

Well, in Ohio, the last poll I saw had Biden beating Trump by 8 points.

JoeMorgue · 12th August 2019, 10:33 AM

Originally Posted by WilliamSeger

Well, in Ohio, the last poll I saw had Biden beating Trump by 8 points.

Oh really? Well the last 200 polls I saw in Oct, 2016 had Hillary winning the election.

Can we please put a goddamn shock collar on the Dems so they get zapped every time one of them says "Well the polls say..."

LISTENING TO THE POLLS LOST YOU THE LAST ELECTION.

WilliamSeger · 12th August 2019, 10:38 AM

Originally Posted by Delphic Oracle

This.

In fact quoting statistics as if to say "see, it's fixed" makes people think their problems are about to get ignored even more.

At every opportunity, Trump boasts about having the lowest black unemployment in history, despite the fact that he has done absolutely nothing that deserves any credit for that. Then, when a perfect opportunity arose to show how concerned he was about the issue -- when FOX showed him that slum in Baltimore -- all he could think of was how to blame their Congressman for it and tell him to go home and fix it. Because Trump is going golfing.

Skeptic Ginger · 12th August 2019, 10:41 AM

Originally Posted by Cabbage

Like I said previously, they're going to be smeared by the GOP regardless of what they propose. And I think you overestimate the influence that the GOP's lies have on independents--

And yet we have Trump.

Quote:

...there is significant support for many of the free ponies you mention, as well. After decades of having government placate corporations and the wealthy I think many independents will be ready for at least a push in the direction that Warren proposes (and I say "at least a push" because I think that's what it will amount to at best; assuming she even wins the presidency I strongly doubt Congress will OK a lot of what she proposes....I do think, however, that a significant number of Americans really want that push to happen).

Obviously there is support for Sanders and Warren. Just now on CSPAN the crowd cheered wildly for Yang's universal income of $1000/month for everyone.

I understand the Bernie movement. There is no sense arguing this with you anymore than there is sense arguing the rational world with Trump lovers.

I don't believe the voting public is anywhere close to voting in what will quickly be labeled "redistribution of the wealth". Trump will campaign on the "great economy" and he'll win.

Skeptic Ginger · 12th August 2019, 10:44 AM

Originally Posted by Distracted1

Its a shame that Bidens' years seem to be catching up with him faster than he can get to the general election.
I don't see any of the other front runners as being likely to unseat Trump.

Nonsense. There are some very strong candidates in the mix. Biden is one of the weakest. The only reason he is ahead is everyone else is splitting the rest of the vote.

JoeMorgue · 12th August 2019, 10:44 AM

Originally Posted by Skeptic Ginger

Nonsense. There are some very strong candidates in the mix.

Stronger than Hillary? And I mean 2016 Hillary not now Hillary.

Skeptic Ginger · 12th August 2019, 10:51 AM

Originally Posted by Pterodactyl

Geez. Is there any doubt that this guy understands the issues and can do the job?

I think it's highly unlikely he gets most of his ideas through congress, but even at 137 years old, he's a breath of fresh air.

Sanders has all the right ideas except the idea that he can sell them with a youth movement and a movement of waking up a large mass of apathetic citizens.

Skeptic Ginger · 12th August 2019, 10:59 AM

Originally Posted by theprestige

...
But look at it this way:

We both agree that Williamson would make a better president than Donald Trump, yes?

So would an orangoutang. Your framing of that question is dishonest.

Originally Posted by theprestige

...And we both agree that it would annoy the Democratic establishment to no end if she were elected, yes?

No, I don't agree with that at all. Were the Democrats to elect Williamson as their candidate, it would mean they wanted her.

Originally Posted by theprestige

...Then why do you find it so hard to believe that I would prefer Williamson over any other Dem in the primaries, and prefer her over Trump in the general?

Trolling was one of the possibilities.

Skeptic Ginger · 12th August 2019, 11:01 AM

Originally Posted by JoeMorgue

A Roomba put on a Ouiji board would make a better President then Trump.

Wins the analogy contest!!!!

Skeptic Ginger · 12th August 2019, 11:04 AM

Originally Posted by WilliamSeger

Yes, Ohio unemployment, has been dropping since 2010, like elsewhere, but it is undeniable that Trump's tariffs have cost jobs and brought farms to the verge of collapse, and now he has escalated. There is no doubt that overall the trade war is bad for the economy, and Trump is stuck with simply claiming that it isn't. People will decide based on their own circumstance, not labor statistics. The election is more than a year away, and Trump is betting (your) farm on winning his trade war.

People need to be reminded, farmers are not counted in the unemployment rolls.

theprestige · 12th August 2019, 11:06 AM

Originally Posted by Skeptic Ginger

And yet we have Trump.

Trump happened in spite of GOP lies, not because of them.

Skeptic Ginger · 12th August 2019, 11:07 AM

Originally Posted by JoeMorgue

Stronger than Hillary? And I mean 2016 Hillary not now Hillary.

I'm not sure why you are comparing completely different circumstances.

Hillary was a great candidate and would have won had she seen the social media attack and addressed it.

theprestige · 12th August 2019, 11:09 AM

Originally Posted by wasapi

You would make a better president then Trump. So would I.

Put your hat in the ring, and if you end up sounding any saner than Marianne Williamson (or Donald Trump for that matter), I'll consider switching my vote.

JoeMorgue · 12th August 2019, 11:11 AM

Originally Posted by Skeptic Ginger

Hillary was a great candidate and would have won had she seen the social media attack and addressed it.

"Would have won had not X happned" is still losing.

And you think 2016 was hard? Think about it, Trump knows if he loses the Presidency or if the Senate goes Blue in 2020 he's looking at a probable prison sentence.

This is going to be the dirtiest campaign in history.

Everything they threw against Hillary in 2016 they are gonna sling times 10 at whoever the Dems decide to put up.

Skeptic Ginger · 12th August 2019, 11:20 AM

Originally Posted by theprestige

Trump happened in spite of GOP lies, not because of them.

That's on the surface. Look under the hood.

I suggest you start with Cyberwar: How Russian Hackers and Trolls Helped Elect a President - What We Don't, Can't, and Do Know

Jamieson's university page

Skeptic Ginger · 12th August 2019, 11:24 AM

Originally Posted by JoeMorgue

"Would have one only if" is still losing.

And you think 2016 was hard? Think about it, Trump knows if loses the Presidency or if the Senate goes Blue in 2020 he's looking at a probable prison sentence.

This is going to be the dirtiest campaign in history.

Everything they threw against Hillary in 2016 they are gonna sling times 10 at whoever the Dems decide to put up.

Of course they are. And if the Democrats don't learn from their mistakes in the 2016 election, we run a huge risk of losing again.

Venom · 12th August 2019, 11:24 AM

Originally Posted by wasapi

You would make a better president then Trump. So would I.

I'd vote for any regular in this subforum over Trump.

applecorped · 12th August 2019, 11:31 AM

lol, Travis for President!

TragicMonkey · 12th August 2019, 11:36 AM

Originally Posted by applecorped

lol, Travis for President!

Build The Train!

kellyb · 12th August 2019, 12:01 PM

Originally Posted by theprestige

Also wrong.

Also, the stupidity of this forum does not disappoint.

---

But look at it this way:

We both agree that Williamson would make a better president than Donald Trump, yes?

And we both agree that it would annoy the Democratic establishment to no end if she were elected, yes?

Then why do you find it so hard to believe that I would prefer Williamson over any other Dem in the primaries, and prefer her over Trump in the general?

Are you going to register as a democrat and vote for her in the primaries?

theprestige · 12th August 2019, 12:14 PM

Originally Posted by Venom

I'd vote for any regular in this subforum over Trump.

It should be noted that unlike Marianne Williamson, none of the regulars on this forum have earned the campaign donations or the polling numbers necessary to even be relevant to the question.

Distracted1 · 12th August 2019, 12:37 PM

Originally Posted by WilliamSeger

Well, in Ohio, the last poll I saw had Biden beating Trump by 8 points.

I file Ohio Under "rust belt", not "farm state".

How does the rest of the field match up there, though. Does any other Democrat come out better than "within margin of error"?

Distracted1 · 12th August 2019, 12:38 PM

Originally Posted by Skeptic Ginger

Nonsense. There are some very strong candidates in the mix. Biden is one of the weakest. The only reason he is ahead is everyone else is splitting the rest of the vote.

Which of the candidates that are "splitting the vote" does as well as Biden against Trump?

gerdbonk · 12th August 2019, 12:40 PM

Originally Posted by theprestige

It should be noted that unlike Marianne Williamson, none of the regulars on this forum have earned the campaign donations or the polling numbers necessary to even be relevant to the question.

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I AGREE

12th August 2019, 07:53 AM	#324
Delphic Oracle Illuminator Join Date: Sep 2016 Posts: 3,708	Originally Posted by Distracted1 I doubt that premise. The trade war with China- (even with deleterious effects on the general economy)-will play very well in the "rust belt". Remember that it became the "rust" belt largely due to the competition from Asia beginning in the 70s and 80s. The tariffs are exactly the type of policy the people of those regions feel are needed, unfortunately they are about 40 years too late. The rust belt also has zero patience for another politician who repeats all the time, "look, everything is all better now!" while their factories are still shuttered, their schools are still terrible, and their friends are still overdosing on pills. They understand the difference between the DJIA and main street. For some segment of them (and we only need a few % in a few districts), his promises are now black Mark's, not victories. ETA: at the same time, though, if we repeat the Schumer strategy, that potential advantage is negated and it's the same ethnic nationalism/evangelicals vs. socialists fight we've had for 30 years.
	Last edited by Delphic Oracle; 12th August 2019 at 07:55 AM.

12th August 2019, 09:11 AM	#327
JoeMorgue Self Employed Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009 Location: Florida Posts: 21,219	Originally Posted by WilliamSeger But it's costing jobs in that same rust belt Bullcrap. Ohio's unemployment rate is dropping like a rock. It's at 4%. Same with Pennsylvania, 4%. West Virginia's is at 4.8%. Indiana's is at 3.3%. The mythical "Blue Wall" that Democrats swore up and down they had lost them the last election and they ain't getting it back when the unemployment rate is averaging out to below 4% and dropping. You ain't winning against "4% unemployment in Ohio, when it was 10% or more as recently as 2010." And yes, I'm aware of what under-employement is. Trump: "Unemployment in the Rust Belt hasn't been lower in years!" Democrats: "Okay well that's over simplifying it. You see (continues on for 5 minutes perfectly accurately about quality of jobs, living wage, upward mobility, wage stagnation, wage inequality, how the unemployment rate can be effected by people no longer looking for jobs, and the price of tea in China.)" Trump just won. He has a simple, concise "technically correct" out of context soundbite. They have a longer, more nuance, more actually correct argument. He wins.
	__________________ - "Ernest Hemingway once wrote that the world is a fine place and worth fighting for. I agree with the second part." - Detective Sommerset - "Stupidity does not cancel out stupidity to yield genius. It breeds like a bucket-full of coked out hamsters." - The Oatmeal - "To the best of my knowledge the only thing philosophy has ever proven is that Descartes could think." - SMBC Last edited by JoeMorgue; 12th August 2019 at 09:20 AM.

12th August 2019, 09:13 AM	#328
wasapi Philosopher Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 9,911	Originally Posted by theprestige --- But look at it this way: We both agree that Williamson would make a better president than Donald Trump, yes? You would make a better president then Trump. So would I.
wasapi Philosopher Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 9,911	__________________ Julia

12th August 2019, 09:14 AM	#329
JoeMorgue Self Employed Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009 Location: Florida Posts: 21,219	A Roomba put on a Ouiji board would make a better President then Trump.
	__________________ - "Ernest Hemingway once wrote that the world is a fine place and worth fighting for. I agree with the second part." - Detective Sommerset - "Stupidity does not cancel out stupidity to yield genius. It breeds like a bucket-full of coked out hamsters." - The Oatmeal - "To the best of my knowledge the only thing philosophy has ever proven is that Descartes could think." - SMBC

12th August 2019, 09:19 AM	#331
rockysmith76 Suspended Join Date: Jul 2019 Posts: 496	Originally Posted by WilliamSeger At this point, I really don't see any way for Trump to win regardless of who we run, so I think we should just focus on picking the one who will do the best job. Trump was already in serious trouble with independents -- 52% will "definitely not" be voting for him -- yet he's stuck in the mode of pitching the same demagoguery and alternate reality crap to the same adoring base. Conventional wisdom said he had some chance if the economy was still good next year, but his idiotic trade war has shot that chance all to hell. The election will be Trump's unshakable base versus an anti-Trump blowout. then youre naive because assumed the last time around that Hillary was a shoe in, and we have Trump as President. Complacency among democrats played a role in that.
rockysmith76 Suspended Join Date: Jul 2019 Posts: 496

12th August 2019, 07:08 AM	#321
WilliamSeger Philosopher Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 5,085	Originally Posted by Distracted1 The way the elections work, however, means that it is not necessarily about how many people a particular policy hurts (compared to how many it helps). Moreover it is about where those people happen to vote. But it's costing jobs in that same rust belt, and it's costing consumers everywhere. Forbes: Tariffs Are Costing Jobs: A Look At How Many

12th August 2019, 07:45 AM	#323
Delvo الشيطان الأبيض Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Harrisburg, PA Posts: 8,157	Legislation is the same as impeachment proceedings: the fact that the other side will vote against it and defeat it is not a reason not to do it. It's just different kind of reason why you should: to make them be seen taking that stand .

12th August 2019, 08:26 AM	#325
WilliamSeger Philosopher Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 5,085	Wouldn't it be ironic, after all his posturing to his deplorables, if Trump turns out to be the victim of voter apathy this time -- can't bring themselves to vote for the Dem but can't vote for that ******** again.

12th August 2019, 08:29 AM	#326
theprestige Penultimate Amazing Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 39,793	Originally Posted by Skeptic Ginger : dl : Much to your probable disappointment, few on this forum are stupid enough to believe you actually support Williamson. Also wrong. Also, the stupidity of this forum does not disappoint. --- But look at it this way: We both agree that Williamson would make a better president than Donald Trump, yes? And we both agree that it would annoy the Democratic establishment to no end if she were elected, yes? Then why do you find it so hard to believe that I would prefer Williamson over any other Dem in the primaries, and prefer her over Trump in the general?

12th August 2019, 09:58 AM	#332
WilliamSeger Philosopher Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 5,085	Originally Posted by JoeMorgue Bullcrap. Ohio's unemployment rate is dropping like a rock. It's at 4%. Same with Pennsylvania, 4%. West Virginia's is at 4.8%. Indiana's is at 3.3%. The mythical "Blue Wall" that Democrats swore up and down they had lost them the last election and they ain't getting it back when the unemployment rate is averaging out to below 4% and dropping. You ain't winning against "4% unemployment in Ohio, when it was 10% or more as recently as 2010." And yes, I'm aware of what under-employement is. Trump: "Unemployment in the Rust Belt hasn't been lower in years!" Democrats: "Okay well that's over simplifying it. You see (continues on for 5 minutes perfectly accurately about quality of jobs, living wage, upward mobility, wage stagnation, wage inequality, how the unemployment rate can be effected by people no longer looking for jobs, and the price of tea in China.)" Trump just won. He has a simple, concise "technically correct" out of context soundbite. They have a longer, more nuance, more actually correct argument. He wins. Yes, Ohio unemployment, has been dropping since 2010, like elsewhere, but it is undeniable that Trump's tariffs have cost jobs and brought farms to the verge of collapse, and now he has escalated. There is no doubt that overall the trade war is bad for the economy, and Trump is stuck with simply claiming that it isn't. People will decide based on their own circumstance, not labor statistics. The election is more than a year away, and Trump is betting (your) farm on winning his trade war.

12th August 2019, 10:02 AM	#333
WilliamSeger Philosopher Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 5,085	Originally Posted by rockysmith76 then youre naive because assumed the last time around that Hillary was a shoe in, and we have Trump as President. Complacency among democrats played a role in that. Nope, not naive; everyone paying attention knows what it will take to defeat Trump, and it worked pretty well in 2018. As I've said, if you're not expecting a massive GOTV effort, then you may be in for a big surprise.

12th August 2019, 10:02 AM	#334
Delphic Oracle Illuminator Join Date: Sep 2016 Posts: 3,708	Originally Posted by WilliamSeger Yes, Ohio unemployment, has been dropping since 2010, like elsewhere, but it is undeniable that Trump's tariffs have cost jobs and brought farms to the verge of collapse, and now he has escalated. There is no doubt that overall the trade war is bad for the economy, and Trump is stuck with simply claiming that it isn't. People will decide based on their own circumstance, not labor statistics. The election is more than a year away, and Trump is betting (your) farm on winning his trade war. This. In fact quoting statistics as if to say "see, it's fixed" makes people think their problems are about to get ignored even more.

12th August 2019, 10:05 AM	#335
Distracted1 Illuminator Join Date: Dec 2007 Location: Philadelphia Posts: 3,284	Originally Posted by WilliamSeger Yes, Ohio unemployment, has been dropping since 2010, like elsewhere, but it is undeniable that Trump's tariffs have cost jobs and brought farms to the verge of collapse, and now he has escalated. There is no doubt that overall the trade war is bad for the economy, and Trump is stuck with simply claiming that it isn't. People will decide based on their own circumstance, not labor statistics. The election is more than a year away, and Trump is betting (your) farm on winning his trade war. Which "farm State" is going to go blue under any circumstance?
	__________________ The man with one watch knows what time it is, the man with two watches is never sure.

12th August 2019, 10:09 AM	#336
Regnad Kcin Philosopher Join Date: Mar 2002 Posts: 9,519	Originally Posted by theprestige But look at it this way: We both agree that Williamson would make a better president than Donald Trump, yes? And we both agree that it would annoy the Democratic establishment to no end if she were elected, yes? Then why do you find it so hard to believe that I would prefer Williamson over any other Dem in the primaries, and prefer her over Trump in the general? A frisbee lost in a field, being drooled on by a cow would make a better president than Trump. That doesn’t mean an intelligent person should promote the idea.
Regnad Kcin Philosopher Join Date: Mar 2002 Posts: 9,519	__________________ My heros are Alex Zanardi and Evelyn Glennie.

12th August 2019, 10:17 AM	#337
WilliamSeger Philosopher Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 5,085	Originally Posted by Distracted1 Which "farm State" is going to go blue under any circumstance? Well, in Ohio, the last poll I saw had Biden beating Trump by 8 points.

12th August 2019, 10:33 AM	#338
JoeMorgue Self Employed Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009 Location: Florida Posts: 21,219	Originally Posted by WilliamSeger Well, in Ohio, the last poll I saw had Biden beating Trump by 8 points. Oh really? Well the last 200 polls I saw in Oct, 2016 had Hillary winning the election. Can we please put a goddamn shock collar on the Dems so they get zapped every time one of them says "Well the polls say..." LISTENING TO THE POLLS LOST YOU THE LAST ELECTION.
	__________________ - "Ernest Hemingway once wrote that the world is a fine place and worth fighting for. I agree with the second part." - Detective Sommerset - "Stupidity does not cancel out stupidity to yield genius. It breeds like a bucket-full of coked out hamsters." - The Oatmeal - "To the best of my knowledge the only thing philosophy has ever proven is that Descartes could think." - SMBC

12th August 2019, 10:38 AM	#339
WilliamSeger Philosopher Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 5,085	Originally Posted by Delphic Oracle This. In fact quoting statistics as if to say "see, it's fixed" makes people think their problems are about to get ignored even more. At every opportunity, Trump boasts about having the lowest black unemployment in history, despite the fact that he has done absolutely nothing that deserves any credit for that. Then, when a perfect opportunity arose to show how concerned he was about the issue -- when FOX showed him that slum in Baltimore -- all he could think of was how to blame their Congressman for it and tell him to go home and fix it. Because Trump is going golfing.

12th August 2019, 10:41 AM	#340
Skeptic Ginger Nasty Woman Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 77,115	Originally Posted by Cabbage Like I said previously, they're going to be smeared by the GOP regardless of what they propose. And I think you overestimate the influence that the GOP's lies have on independents-- And yet we have Trump. Quote: ...there is significant support for many of the free ponies you mention, as well. After decades of having government placate corporations and the wealthy I think many independents will be ready for at least a push in the direction that Warren proposes (and I say "at least a push" because I think that's what it will amount to at best; assuming she even wins the presidency I strongly doubt Congress will OK a lot of what she proposes....I do think, however, that a significant number of Americans really want that push to happen). Obviously there is support for Sanders and Warren. Just now on CSPAN the crowd cheered wildly for Yang's universal income of $1000/month for everyone. I understand the Bernie movement. There is no sense arguing this with you anymore than there is sense arguing the rational world with Trump lovers. I don't believe the voting public is anywhere close to voting in what will quickly be labeled "redistribution of the wealth". Trump will campaign on the "great economy" and he'll win.
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12th August 2019, 10:44 AM	#341
Skeptic Ginger Nasty Woman Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 77,115	Originally Posted by Distracted1 Its a shame that Bidens' years seem to be catching up with him faster than he can get to the general election. I don't see any of the other front runners as being likely to unseat Trump. Nonsense. There are some very strong candidates in the mix. Biden is one of the weakest. The only reason he is ahead is everyone else is splitting the rest of the vote.
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12th August 2019, 10:44 AM	#342
JoeMorgue Self Employed Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009 Location: Florida Posts: 21,219	Originally Posted by Skeptic Ginger Nonsense. There are some very strong candidates in the mix. Stronger than Hillary? And I mean 2016 Hillary not now Hillary.
	__________________ - "Ernest Hemingway once wrote that the world is a fine place and worth fighting for. I agree with the second part." - Detective Sommerset - "Stupidity does not cancel out stupidity to yield genius. It breeds like a bucket-full of coked out hamsters." - The Oatmeal - "To the best of my knowledge the only thing philosophy has ever proven is that Descartes could think." - SMBC

12th August 2019, 10:51 AM	#343
Skeptic Ginger Nasty Woman Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 77,115	Originally Posted by Pterodactyl Geez. Is there any doubt that this guy understands the issues and can do the job? I think it's highly unlikely he gets most of his ideas through congress, but even at 137 years old, he's a breath of fresh air. Sanders has all the right ideas except the idea that he can sell them with a youth movement and a movement of waking up a large mass of apathetic citizens.
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12th August 2019, 10:59 AM	#344
Skeptic Ginger Nasty Woman Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 77,115	Originally Posted by theprestige ... But look at it this way: We both agree that Williamson would make a better president than Donald Trump, yes? So would an orangoutang. Your framing of that question is dishonest. Originally Posted by theprestige ...And we both agree that it would annoy the Democratic establishment to no end if she were elected, yes? No, I don't agree with that at all. Were the Democrats to elect Williamson as their candidate, it would mean they wanted her. Originally Posted by theprestige ...Then why do you find it so hard to believe that I would prefer Williamson over any other Dem in the primaries, and prefer her over Trump in the general? Trolling was one of the possibilities.
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12th August 2019, 11:01 AM	#345
Skeptic Ginger Nasty Woman Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 77,115	Originally Posted by JoeMorgue A Roomba put on a Ouiji board would make a better President then Trump. Wins the analogy contest!!!!
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12th August 2019, 11:04 AM	#346
Skeptic Ginger Nasty Woman Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 77,115	Originally Posted by WilliamSeger Yes, Ohio unemployment, has been dropping since 2010, like elsewhere, but it is undeniable that Trump's tariffs have cost jobs and brought farms to the verge of collapse, and now he has escalated. There is no doubt that overall the trade war is bad for the economy, and Trump is stuck with simply claiming that it isn't. People will decide based on their own circumstance, not labor statistics. The election is more than a year away, and Trump is betting (your) farm on winning his trade war. People need to be reminded, farmers are not counted in the unemployment rolls.
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12th August 2019, 11:06 AM	#347
theprestige Penultimate Amazing Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 39,793	Originally Posted by Skeptic Ginger And yet we have Trump. Trump happened in spite of GOP lies, not because of them.

12th August 2019, 11:07 AM	#348
Skeptic Ginger Nasty Woman Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 77,115	Originally Posted by JoeMorgue Stronger than Hillary? And I mean 2016 Hillary not now Hillary. I'm not sure why you are comparing completely different circumstances. Hillary was a great candidate and would have won had she seen the social media attack and addressed it.
	__________________ That new avatar is cuteness overload. Restore checks and balances no matter your party affiliation. Last edited by Skeptic Ginger; 12th August 2019 at 11:08 AM.

12th August 2019, 11:09 AM	#349
theprestige Penultimate Amazing Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 39,793	Originally Posted by wasapi You would make a better president then Trump. So would I. Put your hat in the ring, and if you end up sounding any saner than Marianne Williamson (or Donald Trump for that matter), I'll consider switching my vote.

12th August 2019, 11:11 AM	#350
JoeMorgue Self Employed Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009 Location: Florida Posts: 21,219	Originally Posted by Skeptic Ginger Hillary was a great candidate and would have won had she seen the social media attack and addressed it. "Would have won had not X happned" is still losing. And you think 2016 was hard? Think about it, Trump knows if he loses the Presidency or if the Senate goes Blue in 2020 he's looking at a probable prison sentence. This is going to be the dirtiest campaign in history. Everything they threw against Hillary in 2016 they are gonna sling times 10 at whoever the Dems decide to put up.
	__________________ - "Ernest Hemingway once wrote that the world is a fine place and worth fighting for. I agree with the second part." - Detective Sommerset - "Stupidity does not cancel out stupidity to yield genius. It breeds like a bucket-full of coked out hamsters." - The Oatmeal - "To the best of my knowledge the only thing philosophy has ever proven is that Descartes could think." - SMBC Last edited by JoeMorgue; 12th August 2019 at 11:29 AM.

12th August 2019, 11:20 AM	#351
Skeptic Ginger Nasty Woman Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 77,115	Originally Posted by theprestige Trump happened in spite of GOP lies, not because of them. That's on the surface. Look under the hood. I suggest you start with Cyberwar: How Russian Hackers and Trolls Helped Elect a President - What We Don't, Can't, and Do Know Jamieson's university page
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12th August 2019, 11:24 AM	#352
Skeptic Ginger Nasty Woman Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 77,115	Originally Posted by JoeMorgue "Would have one only if" is still losing. And you think 2016 was hard? Think about it, Trump knows if loses the Presidency or if the Senate goes Blue in 2020 he's looking at a probable prison sentence. This is going to be the dirtiest campaign in history. Everything they threw against Hillary in 2016 they are gonna sling times 10 at whoever the Dems decide to put up. Of course they are. And if the Democrats don't learn from their mistakes in the 2016 election, we run a huge risk of losing again.
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12th August 2019, 11:24 AM	#353
Venom Illuminator Join Date: Apr 2011 Location: United States Posts: 3,359	Originally Posted by wasapi You would make a better president then Trump. So would I. I'd vote for any regular in this subforum over Trump.

12th August 2019, 11:31 AM	#354
applecorped Rotten to the Core Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 19,797	lol, Travis for President!
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12th August 2019, 11:36 AM	#355
TragicMonkey Poisoned Waffles July Co-Pither, August TLA & Co-Pither Join Date: Jun 2004 Location: Monkey Posts: 52,657	Originally Posted by applecorped lol, Travis for President! Build The Train!
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12th August 2019, 12:01 PM	#356
kellyb Penultimate Amazing Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 12,631	Originally Posted by theprestige Also wrong. Also, the stupidity of this forum does not disappoint. --- But look at it this way: We both agree that Williamson would make a better president than Donald Trump, yes? And we both agree that it would annoy the Democratic establishment to no end if she were elected, yes? Then why do you find it so hard to believe that I would prefer Williamson over any other Dem in the primaries, and prefer her over Trump in the general? Are you going to register as a democrat and vote for her in the primaries?
	__________________ "We are enjoined, no matter how uncomfortable it might be, to consider ourselves and our cultural institutions scientifically — not to accept uncritically whatever we’re told; to surmount as best we can our hopes, conceits, and unexamined beliefs; to view ourselves as we really are." - Carl Sagan

12th August 2019, 12:14 PM	#357
theprestige Penultimate Amazing Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 39,793	Originally Posted by Venom I'd vote for any regular in this subforum over Trump. It should be noted that unlike Marianne Williamson, none of the regulars on this forum have earned the campaign donations or the polling numbers necessary to even be relevant to the question.