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#921 |
Director of Hatcheries and Conditioning
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Waiting for the pod bay door to open.
Posts: 43,044
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Continually pushing the boundaries of mediocrity. Everything is possible, but not everything is probable. “Perception is real, but the truth is not.” - Imelda Marcos |
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#922 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2013
Posts: 9,402
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#923 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 17,013
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Well that was a terrible guess. The price hasn't done much of anything for at least 36 hours (although it is down from the $40K+ of last week).
Mind you, a quick study of the price history shows that the odds were massively against such a prediction. Although the price has been in free fall several times in its history, I can't find any instance of a 50% price drop in a single day. The current bubble may still have some time to go before the price comes crashing down again. |
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"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#924 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Rochester, NY
Posts: 5,263
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A man in the UK accidentally threw away a hard drive containing his Bitcoins back in 2013, which would now be worth about $273 million. He's offering the town $70 million to let him excavate the landfill looking for it, the payment depending on him finding the drive and the data being recoverable. The town is saying that the excavation would have a significant environmental impact and could cost millions, with no guarantee of him being able to pay.
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#925 |
Director of Hatcheries and Conditioning
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Waiting for the pod bay door to open.
Posts: 43,044
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Anyone want to trade some Tesla shares for Bitcoin.
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__________________
Continually pushing the boundaries of mediocrity. Everything is possible, but not everything is probable. “Perception is real, but the truth is not.” - Imelda Marcos |
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#926 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 3,667
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#927 |
The Grammar Tyrant
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 28,336
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This will help Bitcoin's value: https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/...ryptocurrency/
I tend to agree with the idea that Bitcoin is mainly used for illegal purposes. |
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The point of equilibrium has passed; satire and current events are now indistinguishable. |
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#928 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2013
Posts: 9,402
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I will consume an appendage if bitcoin does not see 20,000 shortly.
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#929 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 17,013
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__________________
"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#930 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 3,667
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#931 |
The Grammar Tyrant
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 28,336
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Apologies, I didn't make clear that I'm talking about purchases of goods.
In terms of what's actually purchased via Bitcoin, there aren't any numbers available because criminals tend not to report the value of their dug deals are, but I'd be amazed if it turned out that more than 5% of market purchases made were legal usage. |
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The point of equilibrium has passed; satire and current events are now indistinguishable. |
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#932 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 17,013
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__________________
"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#933 |
Director of Hatcheries and Conditioning
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Waiting for the pod bay door to open.
Posts: 43,044
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__________________
Continually pushing the boundaries of mediocrity. Everything is possible, but not everything is probable. “Perception is real, but the truth is not.” - Imelda Marcos |
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#934 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 17,013
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__________________
"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#935 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2013
Posts: 9,402
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One man's (person's) reversal pattern is another man's continuation pattern.
This is what bedevils technical analysis of trends in free markets. I can report that bitcoin is a beautifully behaving technical market, which is exactly to be expected in a theoretical construct devoid of intrinsic value. |
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#936 |
Director of Hatcheries and Conditioning
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Waiting for the pod bay door to open.
Posts: 43,044
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__________________
Continually pushing the boundaries of mediocrity. Everything is possible, but not everything is probable. “Perception is real, but the truth is not.” - Imelda Marcos |
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#937 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 11,376
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Yeah, bitcoin is a complete failure if you evaluate it on either the basis of what it tried to achieve. It's not a functional currency and never will be.
Even without the failure of the technology itself bitcoins failure to become a functional currency was easily predicable. It attempted to solve a problem that didn't exist and viewed strengths of the established monetary system as problems to be "fixed" |
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"Anything's possible, but only a few things actually happen" |
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#938 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 17,013
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After all these years and thousands of posts on bitcoin you still don't know how it works?
![]() It takes 10 minutes to get a transaction confirmed and 1 hour for 6 confirmations after which forking can't touch the transaction. It's on the blockchain forever. Of course you have to offer a transaction fee or no miner will touch your transaction but it was never meant to be a free service. On the most recent blocks, the average transaction fee is of the order of about 0.0005 btc or $15. For transferring large amounts of wealth around the world without interference from a third party or the need to justify your transaction to financial authorities, crypto currencies can't be beaten. That is its "intrinsic" value. Who said that bitcoin has to be a "functional currency" (whatever that means)? michaelsuede? |
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"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#939 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 3,667
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Interesting piece:
"Crypto Whale Abruptly Drains Wallet, Moving $615,000,000 in Bitcoin in Single Transaction for a fee of about $3.00" https://dailyhodl.com/2021/01/19/cry...20about%20%243. |
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#940 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: Olomouc, Czech Republic
Posts: 3,176
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Damn .. imaging hodling that !
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#941 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 3,667
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I thought it was a neat write up and example that illustrates an important use of BTC. A method of transferring wealth at ultra low cost. Maybe it'll help some understand better how BTC works.
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#942 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 17,013
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0.00008320 BTC seems like a pretty stingy fee compared to the current average. I wonder how long it took for the whale to get his first confirmation.
ETA this seems like a reasonable fee a week ago. On block 666216 there were 2643 transactions and the total fees collected was 1.28898737 BTC. That makes an average fee per transaction of 0.000048378 BTC. https://blockchair.com/bitcoin/block/666216 |
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"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#943 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 3,667
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#944 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 11,376
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__________________
"Anything's possible, but only a few things actually happen" |
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#945 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 17,013
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__________________
"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#946 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 3,667
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Not at all. It's a transfer of wealth.
In the US, when those coins are converted into a physical currency, (cashed out) that's when Uncle Sam gets his share. Getting an account to do so is no different than applying for a bank account. The current "Know your customer" stuff takes care of illicit activities like money laundering by identifying the person converting their BTC to USD. Not only is the person identified, their bank account and amount transferred is as well. One thing's for certain, when you convert BTC to USD Uncle Sam WILL GET his money. Otherwise, the BTC is still an unrealized investment gain with no tax due. I suppose if you were to transfer BTC to a Country that offers private banking transactions and cash out there you could get away with money laundering, but that's nothing new and certainly not limited to BTC. And as a hypothetical, if you were to purchase bullion with BTC, there must be a shipping address to go with those purchase records, then you have to sell it. If I was going to set up some sort of illegal activity that I didn't want traced back to me I'd use cash, US dollars, like everyone else does. BTC leaves too many trails getting in and out. |
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#947 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 11,376
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In the story we are discussing over $600 million in Bitcoin were exchanged for something. Probabaly money. Even if it were traded for something capital gains tax likely should have applied. It's HIGHLY likely that this was a case of tax evasion, and may have been done for money laundering reasons as well.
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"Anything's possible, but only a few things actually happen" |
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#948 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 3,667
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It's not uncommon for someone that's holding BTC to make transfers to a new wallet address without any exchange of ownership of said BTC.
Nothing in the chain analytics suggests these transactions were in any way illegal activities. If we're going to speculate it's just as likely the large transfers were broken up going to a new account opened somewhere and the smaller transactions to the other addresses could have simply been business expenses for things like monthly payroll etc..... |
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#949 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 3,257
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__________________
Don't feed the trolls. Just ignore them. |
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#950 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 11,376
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__________________
"Anything's possible, but only a few things actually happen" |
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#951 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 17,013
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__________________
"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#952 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 3,667
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I think you must be thinking of privacy coins like Monero. Their transactions can be secretive and likely untraceable.
In contrast, BTC transactions are viewable on the blockchain and therefore traceable. While there is no name listed for who the BTC goes to or from, the transaction and wallet ID is 100% traceable to the end user when conversion to physical currency or goods takes place. Meaning at some point the end user will convert it into physical currency or goods, all of which leave traceable transactions to identify them. Otherwise the end user only has numbers on a computer to look at with no financial gain at all. It would be sad to know you're an unrealized multi-millionaire that doesn't have enough cash to pay the monthly utility bills.... |
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#953 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 11,376
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__________________
"Anything's possible, but only a few things actually happen" |
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#954 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 11,376
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__________________
"Anything's possible, but only a few things actually happen" |
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#955 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 17,013
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__________________
"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#956 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 11,376
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__________________
"Anything's possible, but only a few things actually happen" |
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#957 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 17,013
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You can't hide behind weasel words. The first and only thought you had about this transaction was ILLEGAL.
There is no need to ask me. ChrisBFRPKY has done a good job of explaining how transactions can be tracked. If you think that he is too biased then you could always check out the technical web sites. |
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"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#958 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 11,376
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You constructed a stawman, got called out on it and are now
Yes there is. You responded I asked you to justify your response. I'm not surprise that you can't, in fact I knew you couldn't. ChrisBFRPKY failed for the reasons I already pointed out. |
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"Anything's possible, but only a few things actually happen" |
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#959 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 17,013
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__________________
"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#960 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 3,667
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I get that you are hard focused on one specific point as the foundation for your objection. This is a sound tactic of debate and I applaud the effort.
However there is an important detail required for this method to come to fruition. Using the specific argument that "the traceable BTC transaction does not include the person's name(s) therefore you cannot know who they are". would have to mean that the FBI or other law enforcement agencies are limited to tracing a name only within the transaction. There is the flaw in your position. Let's look at it this way, if I were to join your objection on this point about the name not being listed and further add that an IP address does not list the user's name either. See where I'm going? Now I can surmise you're likely thinking about VPN software right? Exactly, but that's not the point I'm trying to clarify. My point to address your objection is that Law Enforcement is not deterred by the missing name from the BTC transactions when they trace them, the name will eventually be revealed and the transactions on the blockchain are used as evidence of criminal activity for prosecution. |
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