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#1 | ||||||
Graduate Poster
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What a 'defund the police' plan in Seattle might look like
In Seattle, there is a veto proof majority of the City Council that has vowed to cut 50% of the police department. The King County Executive Dow Constantine has also declared that the Seattle jail will be closed and replaced with a center for Community programs. In addition, all youth detention in King County will be outlawed.
Currently the council members have not been answering any/very little questions from their constituents on how this would affect public safety, and they currently have released very few details on the next steps or contingency plans. One of the people that has had an enormous influence in this process is community activist/lawer Nikkita Oliver. Nikkita was also a leading contender for Seattle mayor in this last election. Nikkita recently laid out plans for how she would like to see defunding of the police in Seattle plan to proceed, with the goal of getting rid of police entirely to be replaced by community social services in 2021. Her opinion on this is especially important since she is one of the select few that has been allowed direct access to the City Council, and the organization that she advocates for, Decriminalize Seattle and King County Equity Now, have had a large influence on their plans on the matter.
Originally Posted by Nikkita Oliver in July 20th Converge Media interview
I noted before in this forum, that in my view, "under policing" was once determined to be a tremendously racist policy that caused there to be fewer police in an area, and it led to many unnecessary deaths. In fact, the police station that was at the center of the Seattle CHOP controversy was established based on advocacy of Seattle's first black Council member, Sam Smith, who "pushed for the establishment of the precinct so that officers would be more able to serve those living in the Central District" (a historically black neighborhood in Seattle). The really ironic thing, is that I don't think that many of the white protesters and politicians who support policies like these realize how incredibly racist they are being towards black people when they don't consider the consequences of their actions. That may seem overly harsh, but I view this as an issue that would result in more unnecessary deaths. In another interview by Converge Media, they interviewed the head of the Seattle Police department guild and other officers who noted that they definitely agreed with increasing community public health services, they also had a number of other ideas on reforms.
However in that interview, they noted that none of the Seattle Council members who support the 50% reduction have even reached out to the police to review plans on how the transition would be done safely, or their concerns on the matter. They simply won't return phone calls or answer any emails from them on the matter. They are also not responding to constituents who are asking for details on the plan. Even though they are fully set to move forward without hearing any input or considerations on the potential challenges. It is very unclear to me how an active shooter, or sexual predator, or organized crime incident, or murder investigation, or even an armed burglary would be better suited by a squad of social workers. There are very real reforms to address the issues of Systemic Racial Oppression, but this plan would almost certainly greatly increase the amount of death and suffering in the communities that proponents of 'defund the police' are most trying to "help." In the Nikkita interview, they talk about a tragic mental health situation with Charleena Lyles that resulted in a shooting death after Charleena, who was a pregnant mom, charged police with a knife. She notes how a social worker trained in mental health response would have made a positive difference, and Charleena may have been alive if that had happened. I agree. However, that is not the correct solution to every 911 call. The increased time to respond by police where life or death matters, and the increased impunity for criminals to engage in armed robberies, murders, and rape will only increase under this plan. Situations like George Floyd and Charleena Lyles are tragic, but they should absolutely not be used as justification to kill 100's or thousands of more people. Their future deaths, and the loss and pain from their families will be just as tragic. The choice whether or not to kill them is entirely up to the Council members across this country, and other supporters of the 'defund the police' movement. Their fingers are on the trigger, and they are expressing as much callous disregard for the lives they are about to take as seasoned murderers. Gun sales throughout the Puget Sound region are surging dramatically. Those unable to wait in the long lines at gun stores in King County, are going to other counties where lines are also stretching around the building. People are preparing for a large increase in shootings and violence, and the lack of planning or concern from Seattle Council commissioners are giving them little reason to believe otherwise. How do people here view Seattle's plan, do you think my reservations or concerns are somewhat valid, or overblown? Some have stated that any concerns about public safety are racist, even if those concerns come from people of color. As someone who has to live through the results of this plan, I am more than just academically interested in the results. |
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#2 |
Penultimate Amazing
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"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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#3 |
Observer of Phenomena
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#4 |
Penultimate Amazing
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__________________
"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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#5 |
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That is an excellent observation. There certainly would be some vigilante justice, and a MASSIVE increase in private security which got an enormous increase in contracts during the time of CHOP.
There will certainly be long time trained gun owners who have trained themselves to handle firearms safely, and other new inexperienced gun owners who may panic under pressure. While people have long armed themselves to protect their home and family, there has never in my memory been such a large need or demand for residents to arm themselves outside of actual wartime conditions in the US. I don't know that most of the people are necessarily being restrained from using their guns on other people in the city. As many studies have shown, the vast majority of residents of Seattle have a positive or highly positive view of police, and would much rather have trained professionals do the work of keeping them safe. Rather than having to figure it out themselves. In Seattle, a recent survey showed that 72% of residents of Seattle had a favorable, or highly favorable view of police, and only 17% supported cutting the police force by 50%. The suprising thing about that survey is that the elected council members who support the veto proof majority plan of cutting the police force by 50% are neither responding, or even addressing the concerns of the 83% of Seattleites who do not want to move forward with the 50% SPD reduction plan. |
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#6 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: May 2011
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To my knowledge, besides CHOP and maybe a few other examples, we have never attempted an experiment with such an idea of lawlessness. There will be a lot of unknowns until it is actually carried out.
It certainly is a bold experiment with the lives of 750,000 people. |
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#7 |
Thinker
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Texas
Posts: 138
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I have never been a fan of the police.
I have fought them on numerous occasions, for some perceived injustice or another. I can honestly say a city, a state, a country without them is gonna su-diddly-uck. We need stronger accountability for police that cross the line. We don't need less police. |
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#8 |
Observer of Phenomena
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#9 | |||
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Here is a Youtube from Vox that explains the concept. It is a good idea.
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#10 |
Observer of Phenomena
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#11 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
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__________________
"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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#12 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2003
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What business is going to want to set up shop in a place where their store can be demolished at any time by an angry mob and the police can't or won't do anything about it?
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A fool thinks himself to be wise, but a wise man knows himself to be a fool. William Shakespeare |
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#13 |
Master Poster
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They're not going to stay or go there to set up shop.
Just look at the abandoned inner core of many US cities for existing examples. The nice sanitized description is calling it urban decay. It should be called - "The multi-generational criminals who live here are too out of control to have any sort of civilized commerce so we're leaving". |
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#14 |
Penultimate Amazing
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Before you say something stupid about climate change, check this list. "If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are intolerant, if we are not prepared to defend a tolerant society against the onslaught of the intolerant, then the tolerant will be destroyed, and tolerance with them. " Karl Popper, The Open Society and Its Enemies Vol. 1 |
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#15 |
Philosopher
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Truly seems like something that should have been put up to some kind of referendum.
That buys some time for the first %10 of the citizens who don't wish to be the subjects of such an experiment to sell their houses before the values plummet too much. The rest can take huge losses. Fairly quickly the tax base will not support such a large police force anyway. The residents of the suburbs will undoubtedly be thrilled with their skyrocketing home values. so, In a way, this does do a lot of good for a lot of people- just not the ones stuck in the city. |
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#16 |
Philosopher
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Is there any other place where the proper response to mentally unhinged people acting out with knives or guns is to call social care workers?
Even here in relatively peaceful Sweden the police sometimes have to act against people like this and sometimes they end up dead. |
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We would be a lot safer if the Government would take its money out of science and put it into astrology and the reading of palms. Only in superstition is there hope. - Kurt Vonnegut Jr And no, Cuba is not a brutal and corrupt dictatorship, and it's definitely less so than Sweden. - dann |
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#17 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 14,181
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That's true. People acting erratic and wielding weapons would require police presence. Might be a good idea to also have a mental health expert on site to attempt to talk the person down.
Or they could just shoot him. However, there are times that a crazy person is acting out without being armed. Maybe armed police isn't necessary then. That's what "defund the police" means. |
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Before you say something stupid about climate change, check this list. "If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are intolerant, if we are not prepared to defend a tolerant society against the onslaught of the intolerant, then the tolerant will be destroyed, and tolerance with them. " Karl Popper, The Open Society and Its Enemies Vol. 1 |
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#18 |
Philosopher
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The man with one watch knows what time it is, the man with two watches is never sure. |
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#19 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
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__________________
"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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#20 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Philadelphia
Posts: 5,492
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What "defund the police" means to me.
By Evelyn Roberts, grade 4 Good Idea to push policy that is not clearly defined- that way one can pander to everyone. |
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The man with one watch knows what time it is, the man with two watches is never sure. |
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#21 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2006
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I would love to see a very detailed budget of the SPD; the one that they have doesn't break down expense by category, but by location. I have a very strong inkling that $205 million is more than the combined total of all SPD's payroll. Remember that police departments have lots of other expenses than payroll. The "thought process" behind the 50% budget reduction appears to be that this will reduce the number of cops by 50%. Guess again. Yes, as you cut the force there will be reductions in some other expenses; presumably the department would need only half as many patrol cars, computers, etc. But other expenses (fixed expenses) don't scale.
After watching that special, Seattle is Dying, I can see that SPD is being required to handle far too many mentally ill people far too often. That said, putting more mental health professionals on the street isn't the answer; getting more of the mentally ill off the street seems more likely to result in positive outcomes for everybody. |
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#22 |
Penultimate Amazing
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My new blog: Recent Reads. 1960s Comic Book Nostalgia Visit the Screw Loose Change blog. |
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#23 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Jul 2011
Location: Colorado
Posts: 3,984
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This is pretty close to my idea. We could get by with less police - IF (big if) we had much more robust social services than we do. Better societal attitudes and funding towards treatment of addiction and mental health.
The catch being, we can't just strip funding from the police and use it for social services, because it will take time to build up such services. Ramp up social services for mental health and addiction. THEN we can start reducing policing levels. Sometimes you gotta spend more money to build the ability to start saving money. We need to do that. While policing levels remain high, implement better use of forces and disciplinary practices. Do sentencing reform and prison reform. Shift more to crime prevention and away from "maintaining order", which has shown itself to often be massively counterproductive. |
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#24 |
Graduate Poster
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This is extremely close to what I had been planning on saying in a post here later today. We need actual plans to transition specific duties if there were to be a safe transition, not just a catch-all buzz word of Social Services, and the hope that they can do everything.
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#25 |
Rarely prone to hissy-fits
Join Date: Sep 2013
Location: The Wettest Desert on Earth
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Leadership in the City of Seattle has been a fan of "bold experiments" for a while now. Including the Seattle School district's plans for "critical math" that includes discussions on how math is inherently a tool of oppression.
Arizona is full of whackos. But I like this brand of whacko better than the brand of whacko I left behind when I moved our of WA. |
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#26 |
Rarely prone to hissy-fits
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#27 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 18,315
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That's a shame, because all it takes is a little creativity to turn math into a tool of liberation:
Q. If Jesse has three molotov cocktails and he hurls two at police cars, how many does he have left? A. What does it matter? What matters is that he was furthering societal change by a radical act! |
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#28 |
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#29 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: May 2011
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And so it begins........
![]() I am really saddened and fearful for what this will mean for Seattle. The city council recently banned the use of any crowd control measures by SPD, and even the ability for them to own the devices. They are literally only left with batons, shields, and guns. Last week, a group of about 150 people roamed around Seattle, burning and destroying businesses without any intervention by the Police. However, it is about to get a whole lot worse. The Chief just signaled that they will likely continue to not intervene unless it is life or death. https://mynorthwest.com/2042993/seat...d-control-ban/
Originally Posted by SPD Chief Best
To be clear, the Police Chief just told Seattle residents that if their house, building, or business is being attacked or set on fire by a large mob, they will not be there to protect you unless it's life or death. If you want to protect yourself, you will either need to run away, or shoot them yourself. |
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#30 |
Master Poster
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 2,097
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I would strongly suggest the police direct and funnel the rioters and looters into the neighborhoods where the Seattle City Council members have their homes.
With any luck - the city councillors who voted for this insanity will lose everything in a burning violent maelstrom of attacking rioters and looters. If any of the city councillors or their families are put at risk of death or grievous bodily harm by rioters or other criminals - the police should give them advice on how to defuse the situation verbally. The police must give this advice at a distance using loudspeakers as police officers should never be put in a situation where they might have to use force on a voter. |
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"Townes Van Zandt is the best songwriter in the whole world and I'll stand on Bob Dylan's coffee table in my cowboy boots and say that." Steve Earle "I've met Bob Dylan's bodyguards and if Steve Earle thinks he can stand on Bob Dylan's coffee table, he's sadly mistaken." Townes Van Zandt |
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#31 | |||
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,601
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Yes, tyrannical government is indeed a threat right about now: MSNBC (July 25, 2020): It’s Time We Use the F-Word: Fascism
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#32 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 48,351
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__________________
"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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#33 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: the wet side of the mountains
Posts: 3,558
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1. A federal judge has overturned the ban on less-lethal weapons, so the cops can go back to firing tear gas grenades directly at people's faces and torsos.
2. The places damaged by people were specifically targeted. One was owned by a cop & his wife, one of the cops who shot a pregnant mentally-ill woman to death 3 years ago. One was an Amazon-owned business. I don't recall what the others were right now, but it was targeted, not general mayhem. This is not to say I approve of their actions, I'm just clarifying that they were not randomly burning and looting. So far the only major looting turned out to be a criminal group trying to take advantage of the protests, and they were identified and caught (it probably works better to be somewhere near the protests instead of hitting the high-end shopping center in a posh suburb). |
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#34 |
Master Poster
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 2,097
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Because vigilantism and mob rule is just dandy.
![]() You forgot to mention that the mentally ill woman was armed with a knife and told the officers to "get ready". She refused repeated commands to drop the knife and the officers did not have a taser. She was within a few feet of the officers in a small kitchen. It ain't like TV where anybody can instantly become Bruce Lee and kung fu a knife wielding person with no chance of getting an artery slit, a knife in the throat, or their bowels spilled onto the floor. This was not the first time the police had to deal with this poor deranged woman. She held a pair of scissors to her child's neck on a previous occasion but the police were able to talk her down. You can talk someone down when they are threatening someone else - it's a lot harder to talk someone down when they are threatening your life with a knife within striking distance. BTW - that "criminal group" seems to be a pretty large and very active group. What proof do we have that the "peaceful protesters" are not purposely protesting wherever they want the criminal group to strike? Seems like an interesting coincidence that wherever the protesters are a "legitimate mob justice target" just happens to be there as well. ![]() |
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"Townes Van Zandt is the best songwriter in the whole world and I'll stand on Bob Dylan's coffee table in my cowboy boots and say that." Steve Earle "I've met Bob Dylan's bodyguards and if Steve Earle thinks he can stand on Bob Dylan's coffee table, he's sadly mistaken." Townes Van Zandt |
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#35 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 48,351
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__________________
"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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#36 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: the wet side of the mountains
Posts: 3,558
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Funny, the part where I said
Quote:
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#37 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 48,351
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It wasn’t invisible to me either. But you don’t have to approve of something to think it’s better than something else. You can think one bad thing is less bad than another bad thing.
And that appeared to be what you were saying, though you are free to clarify. But your post didn’t contain my claim (that it’s worse if the violence isn’t random), either because you didn’t agree with it or because you just didn’t include it. |
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"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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#38 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 1,569
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Thank you for posting this. This is good to have on this thread.
I would challenge you to watch this again with a more critical eye. The most critical mistake of defund the police is that they do not think of how specific duties of police would be sufficiently replaced by social services. It is often used as a catch all phrase without much thought past that. Critical issues that could not be easily replaced by social services include:
The Vox video starts out by identifying some of the well known problems with our justice structure today.
While the solutions they provide start well, they ignore the VAST amount of data that shows the increases in deaths and problems that arise when police services are reduced without an adequate replacement. Basically mental health cases, and issues with homeless, could likely be better served if social services presence was available both during and after an encounter with police, but you would not want to send a squad of social workers into an armed robbery. The failure to make this distinction is the critical failure of the defund the police movement. They provided data that showed that deaths went up when policing went down, but assumed that this would not be the case since they would put money into social services. To be clear, increased social services would likely have a positive impact on misdemeanors, not just by changing police response for mental health situations, but for a reduction in jails for low level offenses for programs that focus on recidivism. However, for the main factors that affect deaths from crime, you cannot just assume that deaths will not follow previous instances of death rate increases due to a reduction of police presence if you do not have something to adequately replace the police services in those areas. They also brought up the idea that the problem would be much better if we were in a communist system. That people with enough stuff would not need to steal. However, we have no plan to move to a communist system, so to plan such a major component of the defund the police scheme to something they know would not happen is disingenuous. They than went on to describe that social services if funded enough could lead to being able to abolish the police. The problem with that is that there is just not the type of services that exist that would be able to replace some of the key police functions I listed at the start. They note that those problems including violent crime, while still causing thousands of deaths, still represent a small percentage of the arrests that police make. However, the reason that they are so small is because we have spent so much money on addressing them. If we take away the ability to address those life and death problems with just a buzz word of "social services" those problems, and the real life people that represent the deaths and assault victim statistics will balloon. |
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#39 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 1,569
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That is very good that the Judge did that. That was very close to a lot of people getting hurt, and the Seattle city council being hurt.
As for the victims of the mob last week, that is a very specific hit list you mention. Not just random looting and burning. It certainly get closer to approaching targeted hate crimes, and purposeful terrorization of specific groups in their community. It is unfortunate for the community, and the victims that none of them were caught. Hopefully they will spend many, many years in jail if they are. |
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#40 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 18,315
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Here's some news from Minneapolis on one of the unintended consequences there:
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