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#1521 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: United States
Posts: 17,969
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#1522 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Lenoir City, TN/Mineral Bluff, GA
Posts: 6,725
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#1523 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: United States
Posts: 17,969
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#1524 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Sorth Dakonsin
Posts: 24,839
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Science is self-correcting. Woo is self-contradicting. |
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#1525 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Sacramento
Posts: 50,307
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Pacifism is a shifty doctrine under which a man accepts the benefits of the social group without being willing to pay - and claims a halo for his dishonesty. Robert Heinlein. |
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#1526 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 31,234
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I said it in the impeachment thread: McConnell blamed Trump (and others) for the insurrection in a speech on the House floor. This is possibly an indication that he would vote to convict. And he wouldn't vote to convict unless he knew that he had enough support in the Republican party for there to be a conviction.
It's worth noting that there have been stories for a little while that he's been canvassing the opinion of other Senators on whether they'd vote to convict, and that he's seen the insurrection as an opportunity to rid the GOP of Trump and salt the ground afterwards. No conclusions should be drawn, obviously, but there is reason to believe that Trump will be convicted, and that McConnell will be part of that. |
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I don't trust atoms. They make up everything. |
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#1527 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,085
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if you want to realpolitik this, what does the average senator gain by protecting Trump now?
It’s not clear that Trump even has a base anymore for one. And even at it’s peak it wasn’t enough to keep the presidency and it arguably cost them the senate, and brought with it a bunch of loonies in the house. It’s also readily apparent that Trump has no loyalty to the GOP. Even if you do what he wants, if he even sniffs a break with him he’ll throw you under the bus. He tried to have pence killed for something he couldn’t even do if he wanted to. Can he even be appeased until 2022 and can they count ok his support if they try? Guys like Hawley and Cruz want the 2024 Trump mantle and with it the presidency nomination, but that doesn’t appear to be working out for them either and no one else seems to have that ambition. And for every Cruz there a Romney, and he made a lot of enemies in the senate. There won’t be a better opportunity to rid themselves of him. |
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#1528 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 28,174
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I believe their thinking is wrong. If ever there was a time for the GOP to act as one, this is it. They need as a group to toss Trump under the bus. They need then to run over him a few times to make sure he can never come back to haunt the party. If Trump is convicted 98 to 2 or 100 to zero. They can then come back. 2 years is a long time. They need to speak as one. We liked many of Trump's policies but America is a democracy and Trump undermined it. This we cannot defend.
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Just because I'm paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get to me. . |
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#1529 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 6,444
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I agree. I think McConnell has been thinking the same thing for a couple months now and certainly since the riot. He was a usual tool and the had to put up with him, but many McConnell and other Republican Senators probably do not like him and his antics and feel he was an embarrassment to the party.
He was an outsider and larger remained an outsider, if if many Republicans felt a need to often agree with him. They don't want to be controlled by someone who is now out of office and certainly an outsider and who has cost them the House, Senate, and Presidency. He brought many elements into the party that they don't want and would continue to divide the party and push Republicans and Independents over to the Democratic side. The information that he is planning to start his own party is also a large concern. Some Republican Senators may feel that he should be convicted based on his actions, and possibly even in the interest of the party, but are concerned about the fall out with his supporters in their state. If he is going to take his supporters and oppose Republicans, then that is no longer a concern. The best way to stop the creation of that party, or at least limit its influence, is to bar him from holding public office. He would not be able to campaign or raise donations under campaign finance laws. There are some considerable political benefits for Republican Senators to convict. |
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I don't need to fight to prove I'm right. - Baba O'Riley |
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#1530 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Port Townsend, Washington
Posts: 30,976
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Cum catapultae proscribeantur tum soli proscripti catapultas habeant. |
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#1531 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: United States
Posts: 17,969
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I agree. This is the time for them to say to Republicans "You were lied to. The courts looked at the evidence: there was none. The states, including our Republican governors and Republican majority legislatures looked at the evidence: there was none. The FBI looked at the evidence: there was none. The Dept. of Justice looked at the evidence: there was none.
But it's not going to happen because of reps and senators like Cruz, Hawley, Boebert, T-Greene, Harris, Brook, etc. There are just too many true believers and too many scum who want to inherit the mantle like Cruz. |
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#1532 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: United States
Posts: 17,969
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#1533 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,085
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There’s considerations beyond this also. For instance, safely red Lindsey Graham won his re-election, but his win margin closed 6 points in 2020. The Dems turnout more than doubled, as did his own. He was out funded and the race gained national attention.
Do they want to be pro Trump in competitive races in 2022? Do they want to run for open seats as the pro Trump candidate? |
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#1534 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 28,174
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Just because I'm paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get to me. . |
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#1535 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,085
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Yes, and Graham can do whatever he wants for a while, but the point is that wasn’t an easy win for him in a safe red state. He had to work for it. a guy like Rubio or Johnson doesn’t have that luxury. They’ll have to explain a vote to acquit on a national stage, fight off the full force of the Dems fundraising, and hope that Trump will not only endorse them but that his base holds strong and shows up for them on a ticket he’s not even on.
And those are the incumbents. That’s not an ideal situation for a lot of senators. |
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#1536 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 86,762
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#1537 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: United States
Posts: 17,969
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I'm hoping the Georgia GOP senatorial losses will be a warning to some of these senators that just running on being a Trump supporter ain't gonna hack it no mo'.
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#1538 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 20,732
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Now that Trump is starting his own party, that would have the effect of splitting the Republican vote giving the Democrats an even stronger majority, so yes, more of an incentive for Republican Senators to uphold his impeachment and thus debar Trump from ever standing for election ever again.
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Blott en dag, ett ögonblick i sänder, vilken tröst, vad än som kommer på! |
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#1539 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 20,732
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__________________
Blott en dag, ett ögonblick i sänder, vilken tröst, vad än som kommer på! |
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#1540 |
NWO Kitty Wrangler
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 29,006
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This is the part that needs to be hammered home to all the Republicans who are worried about angering the "Trump Base": The Trump Base actually reduces your support. It's a net loss, proven in many different races, all over the country. This wasn't one or two weird off-shoots. The Trump Base only sounds big because they shout so loud. |
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Obviously, that means cats are indeed evil and that ownership or display of a feline is an overt declaration of one's affiliation with dark forces. - Cl1mh4224rd |
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#1541 | |||
Muse
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 671
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The QAnon Shaman Song
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#1542 |
Lackey
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: South East, UK
Posts: 96,806
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__________________
I wish I knew how to quit you |
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#1544 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Canada, eh?
Posts: 17,092
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Well there are a few things he might be criminally liable for since he was elected... Such as fraud charges related to his inauguration funding. (Plus his election fraud crimes may have happened pre-election but they could not have been revealed early enough to charge him with before he became president).
As for why he hadn't been charged/convicted of things like tax fraud BEFORE becoming president... It's just the nature of the criminal justice system. These types of crimes can go undetected for years. (Look at Paul Manafort... Some of the crimes he was found guilty of went back years, and might never have been detected if he hadn't gotten associated with trump.) Why would the police/FBI spend the resources trying to investigate fraud bilking people out of millions of dollars or cheating the tax system when they can instead prosecute some poor kid for having some tiny amount of marijuana? Sent from my LM-X320 using Tapatalk |
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Trust me, I know what I'm doing. - Sledgehammer I'm Mary Poppin's Y'all! - Yondu We are Groot - Groot |
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#1545 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 86,762
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#1546 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 20,732
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This:
Quote:
Always be wary. |
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Blott en dag, ett ögonblick i sänder, vilken tröst, vad än som kommer på! |
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#1547 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 6,581
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__________________
It's nice to be nice to the nice. Aristotle, so far as I know, was the first man to proclaim explicitly that man is a rational animal. His reason for this view was one which does not now seem very impressive: it was, that some people can do sums. - Bertrand Russell |
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#1548 |
Lackey
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: South East, UK
Posts: 96,806
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__________________
I wish I knew how to quit you |
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#1549 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 6,444
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__________________
I don't need to fight to prove I'm right. - Baba O'Riley |
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#1550 |
Lackey
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: South East, UK
Posts: 96,806
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__________________
I wish I knew how to quit you |
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#1551 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Sacramento
Posts: 50,307
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__________________
Pacifism is a shifty doctrine under which a man accepts the benefits of the social group without being willing to pay - and claims a halo for his dishonesty. Robert Heinlein. |
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#1552 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 28,174
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__________________
Just because I'm paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get to me. . |
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#1553 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 30,537
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Mississippi has an almost 40% African American population, the largest in the US (outside of DC and the Virgin Islands).
You can only run on an openly racist platform for long before that bites you in the ass. |
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Yahtzee: "You're doing that thing again where when asked a question you just discuss the philosophy of the question instead of answering the bloody question." Gabriel: "Well yeah, you see..." Yahtzee: "No. When you are asked a Yes or No question the first word out of your mouth needs to be Yes or No. Only after that have you earned the right to elaborate." |
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#1554 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 28,174
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__________________
Just because I'm paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get to me. . |
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#1555 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: United States
Posts: 17,969
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Some states will never turn blue: Idaho, Utah, Oklahoma, Wyoming among them.
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#1556 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Lenoir City, TN/Mineral Bluff, GA
Posts: 6,725
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I think it was in this thread I asked if somewhere there was a comprehensive list of those charged in the Jan 6 Capitol insurrection.
Looks like USA Today has provided this important service: https://www.usatoday.com/storytellin...t-mob-arrests/ |
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#1557 |
Not a doctor.
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Texas
Posts: 22,399
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Suffering is not a punishment not a fruit of sin, it is a gift of God. He allows us to share in His suffering and to make up for the sins of the world. -Mother Teresa If I had a pet panda I would name it Snowflake. |
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#1558 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Central City, Colorado, USA
Posts: 10,077
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How things will sort out in two years remains to be seen. But I suspect that a lot of Republicans are between a rock and a hard place. The Trump true believers still constitute a big portion, perhaps a majority of Republicans. Telling the truth about Trumps ridiculous claims of a stolen election will likely cause them to lose a primary. However, I think they are going to have hard time winning a general election if they embrace the Trump lies. For heavily republican House districts, I suspect that staying with the Trump program is the way to go, and those that are insufficiently wacko will likely be defeated by real wackos like Greene and Boebert. So my cautiously optimistic prediction for 2022 is that Democrats will increase their majority in the Senate, hold a majority in the House, but a lot of the House Republicans will be complete, Qanon (or whatever conspiracy theory replaces it) believing nutjobs.
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#1559 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 20,732
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__________________
Blott en dag, ett ögonblick i sänder, vilken tröst, vad än som kommer på! |
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#1560 |
Orthogonal Vector
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 50,396
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__________________
Sufficiently advanced Woo is indistinguishable from Parody "There shall be no *poofing* in science" Paul C. Anagnostopoulos Force ***** on reasons back" Ben Franklin |
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