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#1 |
Observer of Phenomena
Pronouns: he/him Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Ngunnawal Country
Posts: 76,840
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Space junk?
Here's a curious little story of a close call:
Unidentifed metal object falls through Gympie family's roof, narrowly missing baby bouncer
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Commence speculation! |
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#2 |
Master Poster
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Belgium
Posts: 2,815
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Yes, it may have been space junk, the energy of this little object was amazing. It doesn't look like an intact piece of equipment.
The police said it wasn't a matter for them, but a member of this family could have been seriously injured. They could contact the Australian Space Agency, or NASA. It would perhaps be of some interest to know the weight of the metal object, I didn't find this information. Wikipedia has a list of similar incidents:
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An chemical analysis of the object could perhaps reveal its origin (kind of steel used and so on). |
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#3 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: The Antimemetics Division
Posts: 59,419
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Q. What's metal, travels at Mach 6, and strikes homes in Queensland Australia?
A. A Russian hypersonic missile aimed at houses in Ukraine. |
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#4 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Nelson, New Zealand
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#5 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 92,102
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It's small, shiny silver colored.
Definitely not a meteorite but my vote would be space junk rather than something flying overhead due to the speed. Faster than terminal velocity? I wonder if Oz has a All Sky Fireball Network like the US has? Except I think that mostly catches night fireballs. |
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#6 |
Observer of Phenomena
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I'd be surprised if they didn't send the object to some lab somewhere to be analysed.
Actually, I just realised what it looks like to me. You know those lead weights they attach when they balance your tyres? Lead would also be described as "heavy". |
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#7 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Nelson, New Zealand
Posts: 21,434
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For an object that size, whether it came from LEO, MEO or GEO or from a flight at, say 37,000ft would make no difference to its impact speed. This can be a hard concept to grasp. This video of a SpaceX booster landing might help .. watch the Stage 1 Telemetry on the bottom left. The video is cued to about 4 min at a point where the booster is still climbing to its maximum altitude, which can be seen by the velocity slowly reducing.
Now watch as the velocity slowly increases to about 8,000 km/h as the booster falls back toward the earth. That is too fast, and not slowing it down will cause severe structural damage to the engine bells, the octaweb and the grid fins. So at that point, they fire the "entry burn" for about 20 seconds to being it down to about 5,700 km/h. Now watch what happens when the entry burn terminates.... the booster doesn't speed up again, it continues to slow down because now, its travelling at over its terminal velocity so its being slowed down by atmospheric drag, and it comes right down to below 700 km/h before the landing burn begins. https://youtu.be/G6PdvRAHcdE?t=240 ETA: The object in the Gympie photos looks and sounds (from its description) to be about the size and mass of a pool ball. The terminal velocity of a pool ball is about 170 km/h, and it would reach that velocity within about 600 metres of being dropped, so it doesn't matter whether its dropped from 3300 ft or 33,000 feet or from the very edge of space... 330,000 ft. By the time it reaches the ground, it will not be travelling faster than 170 kph. |
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#8 |
Scholar
Join Date: Aug 2018
Posts: 84
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To go through a layer of tin, a layer of sheet rock, and then barely chip the floor tile pretty much any metal wouldn't really have to be going that fast. That chip and the sheet rock can be done with average throwing force and the tin isn't much better as far as fast moving bits of metal are concerned. The silver color could in fact be transfer from passing through the tin.
As far as terminal velocity goes, if it's something like steel, assuming a spheroid cross section before being smooshed, the terminal velocity of the object would be somewhere around 165 mph / 266 km/h assuming I estimated the values correctly, easily enough to punch through tin and sheet rock. Terminal velocity calculated here with values pulled from google. |
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#9 |
Observer of Phenomena
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#10 |
Nasty Woman
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#11 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Oct 2012
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No, it doesn't depend at all. We are talking about a piece a space junk here - an object that may have been IN ORBIT - that's the key fact you have to remember. An orbital object such as a piece of a satellite, falling from orbit to the earth, can never, ever enter the atmosphere at more than orbital velocity... 27,000 km per hour (7.5 km/sec). It also always enters at a shallow angle, so its travel distance over the curve of its trajectory covers thousands of kilometres as it slows down.
Meteors arrive into the Earths atmosphere from ANY angle, and their velocities range between 11 km/sec and 72 km/sec, that's a MINIMUM of 40,000 km/h and a maximum over over a quarter of a million kilometres per hour!! Let me give you a comparison. A 1m diameter spherical object, with a density of 3000 km/m3 falling from orbit, reaching a terminal velocity of 360 km/h, and impacting a porous rock surface on the earth at 90°, will create a crater with a rim-to-rim diameter of 10.5 metres, with an energy of 7.85 x 106 Joules. The same object entering the earth's atmosphere from deep space at 90°, with the average velocity of a meteor (about 41 km/sec) would hardly even slow down. There would be massive heating, and assuming that the object didn't lose any appreciable mass from that heating, and assuming it actually survived all the way to impact, would make a crater with a rim-to-rim diameter of 117 meters. with over 175,000 times more energy- 1.32 x 1012 Joules. |
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#12 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Rochester, NY
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Year ago, a scrap yard in a city near where I used to work was getting sued by their neighbors because they would put cars into their metal shredder without adequate precautions, there would be an explosion, and metal debris would be hurled across the neighborhood. One of the arguments in their defense was that their shredder exploded a lot less often than others.
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#13 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Port Townsend, Washington
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I see they're hoping insurance will cover it. I don't know how it is in Oz, but in the USA homeowners policies commonly exclude anything falling from the sky unless it's hail.
If I had found that first thing I'd be doing is checking with a magnet, followed by immersing in water to find the volume and weighing it to check the density. Color looks like aluminum. |
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#14 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 92,102
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Good point but there are 2 bits of evidence you aren't considering.
1) It had the force to go through the roof and IIRC to break some floor tiles. Do we know if said object at terminal velocity would have enough force to do that? 2) Isn't it possible what broke the space junk up and/or knocked the thing out of orbit could have imparted additional velocity to it? Except for burning up on the way through the atmosphere, I'm not sure any of that applies but it's nice you know that stuff. Maybe you can comment on the force needed to crash through the roof. We don't know the size of the object before it passed through the atmosphere. |
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#15 |
Nasty Woman
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#16 |
Penultimate Amazing
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I'd be curious as to what it's made of!
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#17 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 13,487
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Depends on what the roof is made of. There are plenty of roofs that could be penetrated by small objects falling at modest speeds.
At most, doubled it (with some caveats). But it's not really likely. How can you tell? Looks like just a hunk of metal to me. Meteorites can be that. |
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#18 |
Nasty Woman
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#19 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2006
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OK, well that's good to know but you wouldn't know what all of them look like, right? Metallic aluminum meteorites are very rare (I actually only know of one) but they do exist.
But I also wonder if that is what an aluminum meteorite would like. It appears too shiny IMO. I would expect aluminum to look more like the bottom of a soda can due to oxidation. That looks even shinier and more silvery IMO than aluminum foil. To me that looks like it's potentially a very pure nickel-iron sample. Especially since I don't know how the photo was taken. |
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#20 |
Observer of Phenomena
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Finding out what kind of metal it is would be a good first step. I expect that there are a few analytical techniques that could narrow down the source of the metal, and that might give us some ideas about where it came from.
I doubt we'll hear much of a followup in the media, though, and I'm not sure how I'd keep up with it. I expect that this mystery will remain unsolved on this forum. |
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#21 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Nelson, New Zealand
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I had already considered and dismissed them because I didn't consider them worth mentioning, but ...
Since it has to be at its terminal velocity or less, and it did punch through the roof, then the answer MUST be yes. If it is space junk, it cannot have exceeded its terminal velocity by the time it reached ground level. Nothing used by humans in space has sufficient mass and density to still be accelerating at impact. No, its not, not even close. Even if you are in orbit, with a gun with the highest muzzle velocity you can find, and fire a bullet straight down, it is doubtful this will even impart enough energy to make the bullet re-enter, let alone do so with enough energy to still be exceeding its terminal velocity in impact. If an object in orbit (and therefore travelling at 27,000 km/h) is hit from behind by another object (which of course cannot itself be in orbit), that would cause the impacted object to speed up, which would cause it to be pushed into a higher orbit, not to re-enter. To leave orbit and return to Eearth, you have to slow down, not speed up! The object in question is melted but otherwise shows no sign of "burning up on the way through the atmosphere". Re-entered space junk shows marks such as pitting and scorching. This object show no such marks You'll learn a lot more by trying to understand what I have said and why I am saying it, rather then by being patronizing. Lets use a simple object, a ball bearing the size of a golf ball. Here's the details Steel ball bearing: Diameter 4cm, Density: 8000 kg/m3 Drop height: 2,500 feet Terminal velocity (Vt): 413 km/h (114 m/s) Time to Vt = 12 sec Altitude of Vt: 300 feet Target: Concrete roofing tile material - 78kg/m3 Damage to target: A crater with a rim-to-rim diameter of 3.41 meters. Energy: 1.88 x 103 Joules NOTE: The crater size assumes the target is ALL concrete roofing tile material, e.g. a 1m thick 10m x 10m single roofing tile. The reality is that roofing tiles are only a couple of cm thick, so the ball bearing, will reach terminal velocity about 12 seconds after it is dropped, at an altitude of about 300. It does not matter how much higher it is dropped from, whether is, 30,000 feet or 330,000 feet (the edge of space) IT WILL NOT BE TRAVELLING FASTER THAN 413 km/h at impact! So, to answer your question, yes, I can comment on the "the force needed to crash through the roof." Dropped from even as little as 2500 feet, the 4cm steel bearing it would have punched straight though that roof and the ceiling (as described) without stopping, and would have struck the floor with sufficient force to crack them. True, but not relevant Now, if you still don't get it, I give up. I'm not doing any more calculations for you. Here are references you need, you can do the calculations yourself https://www.eaps.purdue.edu/impactcrater/crater_c.html https://www.omnicalculator.com/physics/free-fall https://www.gigacalculator.com/calcu...calculator.php https://goodcalculators.com/sphere-calculator/ https://www.precisionballs.com/Ball_Bearing_Steel.php http://hyperphysics.phy-astr.gsu.edu...irfri2.html#c3 |
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#22 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Nelson, New Zealand
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I am almost 100% certain that this is NOT man made space junk. Its appearance doesn't match any of the descriptors that I know of.
If it is a meteorite, it is an exceedingly rare one. |
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#23 |
Penultimate Amazing
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#24 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
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First, yes I do have a general idea of what they all look like.
Second, if you weren't sure, look at one image of it, not the least bit natural. And third, I found a link to one meteorite with aluminum in it and it's not an aluminum looking rock. Caltech: Three New Minerals Discovered in a Unique Meteorite
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#25 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 92,102
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[deleted what I would have said if it weren't for board rules] If anyone is being patronizing it's you. Sorry you went to all that trouble but I don't need a lesson in the physics of falling objects.
I have not changed my position that a meteoroid could hit space debris and impart velocity. The consequences of collisions between spacecraft and a micrometeoroid or a piece of space debris can be catastrophic. Collisions take place at hyper-velocities of about 10 km/s with dissipation of huge kinetic energies for very small particles. However, if more than terminal velocity wasn't necessary to puncture the roof and break floor tiles, (I do believe you on that), it's a moot point not worth any further discussion. |
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#26 |
Nasty Woman
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#27 |
Observer of Phenomena
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#28 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Nelson, New Zealand
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"but it's nice you know that stuff" is about as patronizing as it gets!!.
Well yes, yes you do, because you clearly do not understand physics of falling objects. How do I know this - because the things you have been saying about falling objects are clearly, mathematically, scientifically and demonstrably WRONG! It could, but if it caused the space debris to increase its velocity, IT WOULD NOT RE_ENTER THE EARTH'S ATMOSPHERE.... PERIOD!!! This is Orbital Mechanics 101. Your collision would be the second of two cases where Δv is applied to an object in orbit 1. When Δv is applied over a time much longer than the original orbital period (very low thrust applied continuously over several orbits) this results in the object going to a higher and slower (but still circular orbit) 2. When Δv is applied over a time much shorter than the original orbital period (high thrust applied for a short time, or as in your case, a collision) then the orbit of the object becomes more elliptical with the apogee being raised higher than the original orbit and the perigee remaining the same as the original orbit. This is the basis of what is known as a Hohmann transfer, and is commonly used when an object in LEO is being boosted to GEO. ...and I don't blame you for not understanding this. Orbital Mechanics is one of the most counter-intuitive things in space science. Not only do objects sometimes do the opposite of what your intuition tells you they should do, they some times do things your brain didn't even think of. To be clear though, nothing....NOTHING can happen to a human made object in orbit that would make that object de-orbit, fall to Earth, and impact the Earth at a velocity greater than its terminal velocity. There is nothing, no material or object used in any space program with enough density packed into a small enough size, to not reach terminal velocity in Earths atmosphere. Interesting, but completely irrelevant to what is being discussed here. The hyper-velocities being talked about there are those of the meteoroid NOT the space debris. |
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#29 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Nelson, New Zealand
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This is certainly more likely than space junk
https://www.baltimoresun.com/news/bs...029-story.html Like cars losing hub caps and mufflers on the highways, airplanes periodically shed objects such as aluminum skins, access panels, fuselage doors, red hot turbine blades, frozen sewage, and even whole engines.https://interestingengineering.com/t...an-you-thought Not necessarily. |
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#30 |
Nasty Woman
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#31 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Oct 2012
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Science supplies evidence, invites you to analyse and evaluate that evidence, and then to draw conclusions from that Religion supplies no evidence, demands you have faith, and expects you to uncritically and automatically believe that something is true simply because "the Bible tells you so" ![]() |
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#32 |
Safely Ignored
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 13,372
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Before the thread reaches terminal velocity, I'd like to opine that the object looks like a flattened lump of soft metal. It's only 3cm across when flattened so maybe only enough to make a 15mm ball. Looks like aluminium but could be lead.
I might consider a source as down-to-earth as some local idiot taking pot shots at birds with a sling rather than look to space. |
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#33 |
Critical Thinker
Join Date: Jul 2018
Posts: 327
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First of all, I thank you for the information provided, and absolutely concur that the object is not man-made space debris. However, to insert myself as devil's advocate, were an orbiting bit of such debris to be impacted by a faster-than-terminal-velocity object of significantly greater mass, I am certain there is an angle of approach that, should the collision be more or less elastic, could theoretically redirect the debris in a faster-than-terminal-velocity and direction that travels steeply into Earth's atmosphere.
That said, I am even more certain that any such collision would need to be nearly head-on, and wouldn't be remotely elastic, with the most likely result being the debris ending up as a newly amalgamated hitchhiker for the impactor. |
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#34 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Nelson, New Zealand
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An orbiting piece of space junk the size of a golf ball, hit by an incoming meteor 100m across travelling at 40 km/sec?
OK, the piece of space junk would exceed its terminal velocity by virtue of it being embedded in the meteorite. But yeah, that's a bit like claiming your cat can do 850 km/h because it was once transported in a pet cage in the cargo hold of an airliner ![]() |
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#35 |
Lackey
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#36 |
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#37 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2011
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It's far more likely to be a part from an airplane.
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#38 |
Penultimate Amazing
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#39 |
Penultimate Amazing
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#40 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 13,487
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What accounts for the "smoke" reported? Dust from roof?
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