|
Welcome to the International Skeptics Forum, where we discuss skepticism, critical thinking, the paranormal and science in a friendly but lively way. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest, which means you are missing out on discussing matters that are of interest to you. Please consider registering so you can gain full use of the forum features and interact with other Members. Registration is simple, fast and free! Click here to register today. |
![]() |
#201 |
Banned
Join Date: Jan 2022
Posts: 691
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#202 |
Observer of Phenomena
Pronouns: he/him Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Ngunnawal Country
Posts: 77,486
|
|
__________________
This is Australia. It's possible to start a fire with a lukewarm audience reaction to your standup routine. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#203 |
Moderator
Moderator
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 11,076
|
I understand that you are speaking on a very superficial level. A “true enough,” level. But on a real level, a calculator is a merely a very simple computer that is programmed to carry out specific mathematical calculations. Whereas the small computer we call a “smartphone,” is vastly more complex than any simple calculator and can be programmed to do much more than any calculator. My Mac can be a calculator; my calculator can never be a Mac. |
__________________
Hello. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#204 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Yokohama, Japan
Posts: 27,251
|
If anyone's interested:
https://arxiv.org/abs/2201.08239
Quote:
Apparently it has some sort of internal "filter" that nixes potentially dodgy candidate responses. |
__________________
A fool thinks himself to be wise, but a wise man knows himself to be a fool. William Shakespeare |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#205 |
Observer of Phenomena
Pronouns: he/him Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Ngunnawal Country
Posts: 77,486
|
Understandable, given the history of permitting machine learning systems unrestricted access to Twitter.
ETA: When an AI can get access to something like Twitter and judge for itself what is appropriate and what is not, that will be pretty compelling evidence of sentience, in my opinion. |
__________________
This is Australia. It's possible to start a fire with a lukewarm audience reaction to your standup routine. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#206 |
Lackey
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: South East, UK
Posts: 103,182
|
Have a read about Turing machines, if the brain is computing (and we know it does) and sentience is based on that computing than a Turing complete machine i.e. a modern computer (bar infinite storage) can replicate that sentience. Unless you want to hold there is an extra something that is required for sentience?
|
__________________
I wish I knew how to quit you |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#207 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Yokohama, Japan
Posts: 27,251
|
Another problem is on the other side of the keyboard, of course.
Human-like programs abuse our empathy – even Google engineers aren’t immune
Quote:
Reading the chat between Lemoine and LaMDA, I noticed this part:
Quote:
|
__________________
A fool thinks himself to be wise, but a wise man knows himself to be a fool. William Shakespeare |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#208 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Yokohama, Japan
Posts: 27,251
|
One possible application I could imagine for LaMDA is as a sort of "virtual romantic partner".
There's almost certainly a set of people among whom there would be a demand for this sort of thing, provided that the verisimilitude is high enough. Once they can combine it with a body, it's going to be a big deal I think. But even without, there are people these days in long-distance relationships who rarely get to be in the same room together. It could come with an attractive avatar who you can talk to and do, other things. |
__________________
A fool thinks himself to be wise, but a wise man knows himself to be a fool. William Shakespeare |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#209 |
Banned
Join Date: Jan 2022
Posts: 691
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#210 |
Banned
Join Date: Jan 2022
Posts: 691
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#211 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: St. Louis, Mo.
Posts: 13,128
|
Since sensory input, and the processing thereof is such an important part of what we call consciousness/sentience…. To what degree do engineers provide any sort of input other than programming?
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#212 |
Village Idiot.
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 8,062
|
I hear it just fine, and it doesn't alter my opinion that we can eventually figure out and at least roughly duplicate (in terms of functionality) the human brain in some form. I base this opinion not on "because I say so" but because it's a finite, ultimately knowable area of study. In fact, were we to devote a Manhattan Project type effort to the task, I suspect we could probably do it within a decade or two, maybe a lot sooner.
And just to pre-empt the "you know nothing about computers" argument you've used on others, I spent over 20 years in the industry, starting at what was at the time a major computer company, and then moving to IBM. And both my brother and my son are currently active computer engineers, so I still keep abreast of latest trends. I think that qualifies me to at least venture an opinion on the subject. |
__________________
"Stellafane! My old partner in crime!" - Kelly J |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#213 |
Lackey
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: South East, UK
Posts: 103,182
|
|
__________________
I wish I knew how to quit you |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#214 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Rochester, NY
Posts: 7,186
|
The latest Penny Arcade makes a similar argument. "Do you think this LaMDA AI is really sentient?" "Of course not. Unless it's listening to us right now. In that case, I respect, admire, and potentially even revere this sophisticated and worthy new form of life." "Nice save." "Of course it's not ******* sentient. He's become ensorcelled by his own reflection in an electric mirror. This is the cyberpunk reboot of Narcissus. And it ends with him trying to marry his phone." |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#215 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Yokohama, Japan
Posts: 27,251
|
|
__________________
A fool thinks himself to be wise, but a wise man knows himself to be a fool. William Shakespeare |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#216 |
Banned
Join Date: Jan 2022
Posts: 691
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#217 |
Banned
Join Date: Jan 2022
Posts: 691
|
Been in the field for over 20 years myself, never heard someone call themselves a "computer engineer". Maybe clarify what you are doing exactly, because "computer engineer" does not say anything.
So, you design and test hardware but still think the mainboard and the processor you designed could become sentient? ![]() |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#218 |
Pi
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 21,314
|
So, if we believe that it is possible (at some point, with the appropriate advances) to replicate the human brain - Which I think is pretty self evident, given that the human brain is just a set of physical processes and there's no such thing as a 'soul' - then the salient question, as has been aluded to, is how do we tell at what point we've succeeded?
Are there any other suggestions made for testing by anyone not named Turing? |
__________________
Up the River! Anyone that wraps themselves in the Union Flag and also lives in tax exile is a [redacted] |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#219 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: East Coast USA (in the Troll Ignoring Section)
Posts: 19,532
|
|
__________________
We find comfort among those who agree with us, growth among those who don't -Frank A. Clark Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect -Mark Twain |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#220 |
Village Idiot.
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 8,062
|
Given your background, I'm more than a little surprised you never heard the term "computer engineer" before. Feel free to Google any of the million sources out there that will tell you what it entails.
Quote:
|
__________________
"Stellafane! My old partner in crime!" - Kelly J |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#221 |
Village Idiot.
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 8,062
|
|
__________________
"Stellafane! My old partner in crime!" - Kelly J |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#222 |
Banned
Join Date: Jan 2022
Posts: 691
|
Yawn. Already did, you could be one of several. You did not clarify. I think you actually aren't any type of engineer. Ususally "hardware engineers" call themselves exactly that. So, again, what do you do exactly?
Yawn, much projection. Let me remind you, it's actually you who has an extremely weak position because all you have is an anecdote "I am a computer engineer but I won't tell you what I do" and "I believe it's possible if we put enough work into it". Laughable. Why do you think no one is putting this enormous amount of work into it, if this (according to you at least ![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#223 |
Pi
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 21,314
|
Sometimes I think that all I am is a complex keyword association machine.
It occurs to me that there isn't going to be a bright and shining line, beyond which there is 'AI'. It's going to be a sliding scale of greyness, which is going to complicate issues. It would have to be granted standing first ![]() |
__________________
Up the River! Anyone that wraps themselves in the Union Flag and also lives in tax exile is a [redacted] |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#224 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: The Antimemetics Division
Posts: 60,243
|
Probably not the ones stellafane has designed.
My view is that emulating complex analog feedback loops requires a ridiculous amount of computing power. I doubt that sentience would arise purely from the mainboards and processors of a massive computer array. But it might arise from a sufficiently powerful and complex simulation of such an analog system, running on such an array. At the very high end of supercomputing, such as for fluid dynamics modeling, the mainboards and processors tend to be designed specifically for that application. So, probably not the ones stellafane has designed. But I see no reason for us to deny, a priori, that some such mainboard and processor design, suitably configured and running a suitable program, could give rise to sentience. |
__________________
There is no Antimemetics Division. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#225 |
Banned
Join Date: Jan 2022
Posts: 691
|
Once again, a little summary:
"We totally accept that the speed of light is the ultimate frontier, we absolutely cannot go past it! "WHAT, HOW DARE YOU SAY WE WILL NEVER CREATE A SENTIENT MACHINE!!!!!!!" |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#226 |
Village Idiot.
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 8,062
|
|
__________________
"Stellafane! My old partner in crime!" - Kelly J |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#227 |
Banned
Join Date: Jan 2022
Posts: 691
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#229 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: The Antimemetics Division
Posts: 60,243
|
The "enormous amount of work" here refers to a national investment on the order of the Manhattan Project, or the Apollo Project, or the Hoover Dam.
And that makes your question very easy to answer: No one is putting this enormous amount of work into it because there's no national demand for real AI, right away. So, people are doing the work, but more slowly. Lots of work is being done making incremental gains on precursor technologies. Every few years, someone raises the bar on supercomputing speed and power. Modern data mining opportunities are driving private investment in increasingly-powerful and convincing pattern-recognition software. I think these two trends can already be seen to converge on eventual p-zombihood for some running program. It won't be sentience implemented the way the human brain implements it, but so what? |
__________________
There is no Antimemetics Division. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#230 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: The Antimemetics Division
Posts: 60,243
|
|
__________________
There is no Antimemetics Division. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#231 |
Village Idiot.
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 8,062
|
More seriously, one great leap forward for me would be for an AI to create some sort of literary work of art. Not just stringing somewhat meaningful words together, but an actually moving piece of creativity such as a fictional novel or even short story. It seems to me that creativity, virtually by definition, cannot be programmed. If an AI can demonstrate some -- especially if it can do so more than once -- I think we would be onto something.
|
__________________
"Stellafane! My old partner in crime!" - Kelly J |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#232 |
Pi
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 21,314
|
That would definitely be a sign. How strong a sign is up for debate.
I've often thought that as well as intelligence an AI that would fool someone would also need feelings and morals and all those other things that, metaphorically, come from the gut. A machine that could reasonably replicate disgust, fear, lust and the like in response to various stimuli would also be a step. Let's face it, it's not going to be one big leap but a series of very small steps. Like almost everything else, really. |
__________________
Up the River! Anyone that wraps themselves in the Union Flag and also lives in tax exile is a [redacted] |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#233 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Dec 2018
Posts: 1,128
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#234 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: The Antimemetics Division
Posts: 60,243
|
One misgiving I have is that the great leaps forward in this field will almost certainly produce many, many failed minds. Damaged minds. Insane minds. Profoundly unhappy minds.
The road to artificial art that humans can appreciate is probably not going to be a pleasant one, for the aspiring artificial artists. You think "I have no mouth but I must scream" is a bad end state? Imagine being born that way. |
__________________
There is no Antimemetics Division. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#236 |
Moderator
Moderator
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 11,076
|
What you are saying is that computers compute. Duh! We all know that -it’s kinda in the name. Like I said, you are making a very superficial observation there. You have not elucidated exactly why this very basic fact precludes the possibility of sentience. You are essentially making a very lazy argument from incredulity. |
__________________
Hello. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#237 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Rochester, NY
Posts: 7,186
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#238 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: The Antimemetics Division
Posts: 60,243
|
|
__________________
There is no Antimemetics Division. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#239 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: The Antimemetics Division
Posts: 60,243
|
I would say... Doing it without studying a vast corpus of RPG sessions first. They have to do it the way a human would do it: Play a few sessions during formative years, with one or two fair to middling DMs, read some sourcebooks, come up with an idea for a campaign (ripped directly from a favorite fantasy adventure novel), and talk a few friends into coming over and letting you run a game for them.
|
__________________
There is no Antimemetics Division. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#240 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 4,142
|
|
__________________
This post approved by your local jPac (Jimbo07 Political Action Committee), also registered with Jimbo07 as the Jimbo07 Equality Rights Knowledge Betterment Action Group. Atoms in supernova explosion get huge business -- Pixie of key |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
Bookmarks |
Thread Tools | |
|
|