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31st July 2022, 12:05 PM | #2721 |
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If the Ukrainians really did hit the Black Sea naval HQ with a drone, that's encouraging. Drones of any size in contested airspace will surely be vulnerable to a competent defense. (That's why the Ukrainians are dubious about the Reaper/Gray Eagle family. "This is not Afghanistan," is their way of summarizing it.)
Some details on that caper would be refreshing. |
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31st July 2022, 12:17 PM | #2722 |
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Interesting twitter thread about why "there is often a gap between Russian weapons on paper versus their performance in the field."
Quote:
Reading some of the replies and linked threads is useful. |
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31st July 2022, 12:28 PM | #2723 |
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The Russians/Occupation Authorities think the attack came from within Sevastopol. At least that what they told Ria Novosti.
Link:https://t.me/rian_ru/172777
Quote:
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31st July 2022, 12:30 PM | #2724 |
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Tornado has longer range, but HIMARS - an evolution of MLRS - probably has better integration and cognitive load. On the other hand, integration with NATO's way of warfare is probably not so valuable to Ukraine.
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31st July 2022, 12:37 PM | #2725 |
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31st July 2022, 01:59 PM | #2726 |
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31st July 2022, 03:51 PM | #2727 |
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31st July 2022, 04:00 PM | #2728 |
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31st July 2022, 04:30 PM | #2729 |
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31st July 2022, 04:35 PM | #2730 |
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Surrendering to the Russians doesn't sound like a good idea. I wonder if they understand the consequences for them. Do they really want to be at war with men who are fighting for their lives?
Will they want to try surrendering to such men? |
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31st July 2022, 07:10 PM | #2731 |
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31st July 2022, 07:11 PM | #2732 |
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Another Russian dissident apparently poisoned outside Russia.
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31st July 2022, 08:37 PM | #2733 |
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"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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31st July 2022, 10:55 PM | #2734 |
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Not that the Russian speakers argument deserves to be treated with anything less than scorn, but... for the nearly inevitable next fringe reset, those interested might be willing to poke at something like this.
Quote:
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1st August 2022, 12:53 AM | #2735 |
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Now the Russians have assassinated a businessman developing the Ukraine wheat business with a missile aimed at his home.
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1st August 2022, 02:25 AM | #2736 |
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The first ship carrying grain has left Odessa
Turkish and Ukrainian officials say the ship left the port early today bound for Lebanon. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-62375580 |
1st August 2022, 02:29 AM | #2737 |
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Even money the Russians force it into Tarsus.
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1st August 2022, 02:35 AM | #2738 |
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1st August 2022, 03:10 AM | #2739 |
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Fingers crossed for them. If it were me, I'd like to read the fine print of what the Russians agreed to before going anywhere near.
So far it appears the Russians don't believe they promised not to bombard the ports or assassinate civilians who run the exporting business. |
1st August 2022, 03:44 AM | #2740 |
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Turned south west now, still accompanied by a Tug.
It's not a little ship, 38,000 tons |
1st August 2022, 07:43 AM | #2741 |
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https://twitter.com/Euan_MacDonald/s...YsqQtb3pnDp9Vg
I'll let you see the embedded video that Russia is using to claim the destruction of two HIMARS systems. |
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1st August 2022, 08:30 AM | #2742 |
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In addition to that, there are lies about a Brimstone missile:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vJVfddkn5M4&t=1s |
1st August 2022, 09:04 AM | #2743 |
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I think ships will get through ok for a week or two then one will be hit by a missile and Russia will blame Ukraine
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1st August 2022, 09:28 AM | #2744 |
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Russia's trying really hard to be at war with Ukraine without being at war with the world. But it's tricky, since the rest of the world isn't at war with Ukraine, and would like to keep trading with them.
It's also tricky that much of the western world is de facto at war with Russia over Ukraine. I wonder what would happen if NATO* committed to using its air power to vouchsafe Ukrainian grain shipments via the Black Sea. |
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1st August 2022, 09:34 AM | #2745 |
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And there is this
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/08/01/e...ntl/index.html "neurological issues" and another Bulgarian arms depot has been sabotaged. Could be a coincidence but it could also be Russia stepping up its undeclared war on the West. Both are within what it's done before (in fact by GRU Unit 29155) |
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1st August 2022, 10:23 AM | #2746 |
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No position update from Razoni or the tug sailing with it for over 3 hours.
Looks like they turned their AIS off or there are surprisingly few AIS stations in that part of the Black Sea |
1st August 2022, 11:39 AM | #2747 |
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Does anybody here speak Russian? This whole thing is just to retarded, even for Russia. That clip was part of a larger newscast and unless guy in uniform is actually saying this is footage of apartment dwelling HIMARS going boom I'm going to reserve judgement in favor of something simpler like intern using wrong clip or the clip being unrelated to HIMARS destruction claims.
In the same broadcast there's also mention of butterfly mines being recently dispersed by Ukraine. I'm willing to write this off as Russian propaganda but I'd still like to see an denial from Ukraine that they have or are using these mines. We encountered these mines at the beginning of the conflict and Russia was (supposedly) scattering them in playgrounds so we know they're evil. |
1st August 2022, 11:43 AM | #2748 |
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1st August 2022, 11:45 AM | #2749 |
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Thanks, I was thinking the same. This smacked of jimbob believing a poster on social media with 100% credulity, zero skepticism.
It's a favorite tactic of Russian propaganda, towards their home market, to make up, falsify or pull wildly out of context Western or Ukrainian clips and news and debunk them. I have a feeling it's the exact same kind of propaganda here, except the other way round (made up by some UA-side agency for Western consumption). |
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1st August 2022, 12:01 PM | #2750 |
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Well google translate describes it as that.
As does this https://www.1tv.ru/news/2022-08-01/4...mpleks_harpoon |
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1st August 2022, 12:06 PM | #2751 |
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The latest US arms package for Ukraine has been announced.
From the Pentagon, via CNN: Today, the Department of Defense (DoD) announces the authorization of a Presidential Drawdown of security assistance valued at up to $550 million to meet Ukraine’s critical security and defense needs. This authorization is the Biden Administration’s seventeenth drawdown of equipment from DoD inventories for Ukraine since August 2021. |
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1st August 2022, 01:08 PM | #2752 |
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1st August 2022, 01:32 PM | #2753 |
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A couple of Twitter accounts I follow credit https://twitter.com/wartranslated for translation in case it helps.
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1st August 2022, 01:54 PM | #2754 |
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I don't know how to google-translate the words spoken in the video.
The video obviously shows footage from several locations, of several different kinds of attacks - the strike on a concrete building, shelling of a field, and something with a tank from overhead, in addition to showing some debris of something somewhere. How do you know the claim made in the video is that the strike on the building specifically shows an attack on HIMARS? Yes, the written article talks of a couple of HIMARS destroyed - but it would not be unusual in an online news article that it has embedded a video with content only somewhat related, not showing exactly and only what the article talks about. In fact, I find it highly usual that online journalists cobble together videos and text that are only borderline related to one another. |
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1st August 2022, 02:09 PM | #2755 |
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1st August 2022, 02:40 PM | #2756 |
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Interesting thread on long term impact to Russian army
https://twitter.com/MassDara/status/1554168802350342148
Quote:
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1st August 2022, 02:47 PM | #2757 |
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Three British men accused of being mercenaries are to stand trial in a Russian proxy court in eastern Ukraine.
John Harding, Dylan Healy, and Andrew Hill will be tried in the so-called Donetsk People's Republic, a breakaway region of Ukraine, Russian media said. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-62384631 |
1st August 2022, 10:22 PM | #2758 |
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To poke at a more general update regarding the Kherson counteroffensive -
Quote:
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2nd August 2022, 12:18 AM | #2759 |
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Russia has reportedly doubled their forces around Kherson to around 25k to repel the counteroffensive (which would apparently never happen).
They continue to slowly advance towards Bakmut. For a spent force, they seem to be able to call up significant reserves on one front and maintain their glacial pace of advance on another. |
2nd August 2022, 02:15 AM | #2760 |
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Seems like whackamole to me. Russia diverts their eastern forces to Kherson, and Ukraine will start clobbering Donetsk or push from Kharkiv. At least Russia has realized what's strategically important, but it might be too late if they can't maintain access to the city of Kherson.
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