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#321 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 48,612
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Conversely, the poor should not be denied access to lines of credit for the purpose of improving their situation and no longer being poor.
Unfortunately there's a correlation between being poor and being a bad credit risk. So either you don't give the poor lines of credit at all, or you give them lines of credit they won't be able to afford. So we have the question of whether the education we're buying with these loans is actually worth the money. And we have the question of whether such loans are actually the right way to buy education for the poor. |
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#322 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 29,963
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Well yeah like I said the internet becoming ubiquitous sort of killed the whole "Well I have a degree in something totally unrelated to my job, but the degree at least proves I'm an 'educated' person" thing that was, again my impression, a driving force behind a lot of the push to go to college.
The idea really seemed to be that simply going to college and getting a degree in anything proved that achieved some base level of "intelligence" that employers would look for. The obvious problem with this is even it's true an employer is obviously going to look at someone who went to college in the field they are in to be better. |
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Yahtzee: "You're doing that thing again where when asked a question you just discuss the philosophy of the question instead of answering the bloody question." Gabriel: "Well yeah, you see..." Yahtzee: "No. When you are asked a Yes or No question the first word out of your mouth needs to be Yes or No. Only after that have you earned the right to elaborate." |
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#323 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 48,612
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Honestly I kinda want to forgive all the federal student loan debt, just to see how the economic outcomes for people who were relieved of the debt burden compares to the outcomes for those who were not.
Like, you couldn't afford a college education, so you took out a loan. Now you've got the education, but for whatever reason you can't convert it into a career that pays enough to service your debt. Your loan gets forgiven, which leaves more money in your pocket for leisure, continuing education, better transportation, a move to follow a career opportunity, etc. You don't pay the loan back, but does that translate into you paying an equivalent amount of productivity forward into the economy? Because that's really what these loans are all about, right? You're not only supposed to pay them back, you're supposed to become so productive that you become a net profit to society - even with the education debt you took on. Obviously in your case it's not working out that way. If we forgive the debt, write it off as a loss, does that change the rest of the calculus, for you? |
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#324 |
![]() Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Monkey
Posts: 58,947
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Indeed. This sounds crazy, but if we've reached a point where in order to make a wage capable of supporting themselves the poor have to borrow money, and in order to make that possible the government has to guarantee the loans, and then write them off because they can't be paid back...it may actually be cheaper to simply institute a universal basic income! I really hope that's not the case, numbers-wise, because it would mean these defaulting loans have reached ridiculous levels...but it's conceivable that at some point that could actually happen. We'd have to do the math and, as a society, decide that perhaps we should pursue a course that seems counterintuitive and flatly contrary to what have been our basic cultural values simply because the math proves it's a superior course.
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You added nothing to that conversation, Barbara. |
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#325 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 29,963
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And again this is why talking about student loan forgiveness in a vacuum without talking about whether or not student loans should even be a thing in their current form is insane.
And again this is not a moral judgement in the abstract. And don't think about it as money, that just triggers people. It's a fundamental question of if we are using resources correctly. |
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Yahtzee: "You're doing that thing again where when asked a question you just discuss the philosophy of the question instead of answering the bloody question." Gabriel: "Well yeah, you see..." Yahtzee: "No. When you are asked a Yes or No question the first word out of your mouth needs to be Yes or No. Only after that have you earned the right to elaborate." |
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#326 |
![]() Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Monkey
Posts: 58,947
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Sounds like something that could be done as an experiment, on a segment of the population. Outright forgive the debts for one group, do nothing for another, and try different amelioration programs on the others. Then tote up the data, analyze the results, and see what worked best.
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You added nothing to that conversation, Barbara. |
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#327 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 24,815
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When colleges were somewhat elite, I think a potential employer can look at the existence of a college degree and say that the person was obviously smart enough to get into college, and hard working enough to get out of college, and so hiring college grads made some sense, even if their field of study had nothing to do with their job responsibilities. That doesn't work when everyone can go to, and graduate from, college. |
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Yes, yes. I know you're right, but would it hurt you to actually provide some information? |
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#328 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 24,815
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Yes, yes. I know you're right, but would it hurt you to actually provide some information? |
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#329 |
![]() Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Monkey
Posts: 58,947
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You added nothing to that conversation, Barbara. |
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#330 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 48,612
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#331 |
Muse
Join Date: Dec 2016
Posts: 752
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First to the hilite, I have yet to be provided any cites that dispute past studies that over the course of a working career college grads will earn significantly more than those with only a HS diploma. Well above the cost + interest of college. Besides overpriced diploma mills and people that don't complete college, I still haven't seen any disprove its overall value.
Second, the difficulties of the end of high school pale in comparison to general adult life, wouldn't you say? We shouldn't look at them as incapable of understanding loans, cost and career opportunities. If we allow them to place no value or understanding on those and more on your listed activities, we are definitely failing them. |
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#332 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 48,612
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I wish government were approached more on the basis of a scientific experiment. Legislation should be experimental. There should be a hypothesis, a way to measure the experimental results, and a commitment to back out the legislation if the hypothesis is falsified.
Student loans are supposed to benefit the student in question and society in general? Great, how can we measure that? Let's try it out, measure the results, and either keep the program or cancel it depending on what we measure. |
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#333 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 10,834
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I am noticing an unexamined assumption in these discussions, that a large part of the problem is students using these loans to get impractical degrees.
Is there any way we can look closer at that? Are graduates of theoretically more lucrative fields struggling in paying back their loans? If that is the case, focusing on choice of degree would be missing the target, I think. |
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#334 |
Muse
Join Date: Dec 2016
Posts: 752
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I'd like it if they took the opposite approach in community colleges. There are a number of programs that have limited spots each semester such as the nursing program. These force people into waiting lists which slows their progression to a career or worse yet encourages them to "take some courses" in the meantime that won't necessarily translate to anything valuable. I am sure there are a number of programs like this that could be more heavily invested in at community colleges, lowering the cost to students and giving a path to jobs that are in demand and have value.
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#335 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 48,612
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What? No. There's nothing wrong with conferring a degree on someone who wants it and is willing to pay for it, regardless of whether there's an industry demand for that degree.
The problem is entirely with the people loaning money for the purposes of someone getting a degree that has no industry value. If you want a degree in Critical Underwater Basketweaving Theory Studies, fine. Everyone should have a hobby. Follow your heart, live your joy. No shame in that, and no shame in some University conferring such a degree on you. Not even any shame in finding a doting aunt or wealthy sugar daddy who's willing to pay for it. But taxpayers who are ostensibly investing in a stronger economy through an educated workforce should probably have nothing to do with your degree. And there's probably a lot of shame in a government that invests taxpayer money in your degree. |
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#336 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Massachusetts, USA
Posts: 7,280
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We are in agreement here. I was speaking imprecisely. colleges could continue to offer enrollment, but if the government or private loans are actually taking repayment prospects into account, the money for these programs would likely dry up. In practice, such conditioning of loans would inevitably lead to tremendous reduction of the enrollment numbers in these programs except by those willing to pay or those at elite enough levels of academia that such programs still lead to gainful employment. Nobody would directly force these colleges to discontinue such poor value programs, but the indirect outcome would likely be just that.
Entire schools might fold up overnight, others would just see changes in enrollment distribution among the various programs. A lot could be done to make this loan system better, though I still think that general funding for these schools is probably the best approach. Tuition shouldn't be such a large portion of these school's funding as it is now. |
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#337 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 27,964
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I may have. But then again, I could have easily failed. It took me 6 and a half years to get a 4 year degree. The discouragement I felt at times was overwhelming. I lived in my car for 6 months during that period. I understand very well why some preople quit school. It's not they are necessarily incapable, they just are unable to overcome obstacles that many even most of their fellow students do not face.
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Just because I'm paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get to me. . |
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#338 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Massachusetts, USA
Posts: 7,280
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Of course, the question becomes is such a hardship actually useful in any way. Is society served well by putting otherwise good students into situations where they are more likely to fail for purely financial reasons? Is it a good thing that someone less dedicated than you were would not have made it? Is a student failing out because they can't balance their studies and a full time job a useful culling of the student population?
Struggle for the sake of struggle has no societal value, but our puritanical nation loves it. |
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#339 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 48,612
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#340 |
Not a doctor.
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Texas
Posts: 22,043
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Yes, I got the feeling that high school guidance counselors were bonuses based on the pedigree of schools their graduates were accepted into. Our kids were qualified to go to more prestigious schools than they wanted to go to and the counselors wanted to list those auto-admits instead of the actual schools my kids were going to on any listing of schools for the graduating class. My kids called their BS and were able to prevail.
There is a very strong current of go to the best school you can get into and don't worry about cost. In the aggregate that is likely true. But is it still true on a school by school basis? What about the departments at particular school? What if you drill down to the degree program level? That is the data a student needs before borrowing tons of cash.
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Suffering is not a punishment not a fruit of sin, it is a gift of God. He allows us to share in His suffering and to make up for the sins of the world. -Mother Teresa If I had a pet panda I would name it Snowflake. |
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#341 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 27,964
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There's a scene at the end of West Wing episode 20 hours in America where Toby and Josh meet a man in a Indiana hotel bar who accompanied his daughter on a tour of Notre Dame. He was concerned that he wouldn't be able to pay for it. He talked about hard it was to make enough money to pay for his daughter's college. He said he didn't mind it was hard, but did it have to be this hard? If it could be just a little easier.
This idea that struggle is good and builds character has merit. But frankly, I'm sick of hearing it from people who's struggle has been minor to non-existent. You can only put so many straws on the back of your beast of burden before the animal will quit or collapse. |
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Just because I'm paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get to me. . |
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#342 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 29,963
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What exactly do you want us to prove? Isn't this sort of true by definition?
Again unless we want to pretend that people aren't going to college for financial reasons (which makes zero sense in modern context) if you go into X amount of debt to get a degree but don't make X amount + buffer in order to pay it back, you aren't getting out of it what you want. Again I get that "Well they went into debt to get smarter, not to get a better job, so we can't run a cost-benefit analysis on it" sounds all good and noble, but it ignores reality. |
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Yahtzee: "You're doing that thing again where when asked a question you just discuss the philosophy of the question instead of answering the bloody question." Gabriel: "Well yeah, you see..." Yahtzee: "No. When you are asked a Yes or No question the first word out of your mouth needs to be Yes or No. Only after that have you earned the right to elaborate." |
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#343 |
Muse
Join Date: Dec 2016
Posts: 752
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Of course there will be outliers. Average and median earnings by major are available, although you would be better off checking your local wanted ads to find more accurate predictions. If you pursue a major with low paying outlooks and decide to go to the most expensive out of state private school, you will also be averaged in with those that made more prudent financial choices. To point out this wasn't a bad decision in hindsight but at the time it was made should not be controversial. If you have studies that refute what I said please provide them.
Because they are not federally guaranteed maybe? It they were and high school graduates had the choice of a Honda, BMW, Bentley etc, we would not be talking about how the ones that chose the more expensive option did not understand how debt works and were too busy with lacrosse practice to do the research. Society might encourage them to get a car because it has benefits for them. Access to more jobs/places than they could otherwise reach. Freedom to choose between those. Anything more should be given the thought and consideration it deserves. By and large, I actually think it is. |
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#344 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 27,964
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I think most people go to college for financial reasons. They want a good job to get ahead. I went to college thinking I would become a lawyer and perhaps enter politics. But I also wanted money so I could buy things. You don't think that is high on the list why people attend college? People get a degree to separate themselves from the riff raff. To prosper.
Or do you think this isn't true? |
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Just because I'm paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get to me. . |
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#345 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 10,834
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I don't dispute that. What I'm trying to screen for is whether the choice of degree is as large a factor as we reason it out to be. It would make sense for it to, but if we look at the results is it ACTUALLY true?
If the solution proposed is "Don't pick left-handed basket weaving", I'd like to test that by excluding all those degrees and observing the remaining population. Does the problem still exist among the "sensible" choices? |
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#346 |
Not a doctor.
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Texas
Posts: 22,043
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At over $75k per year, of course it is hard. That is more than most people make in a year. Much less can afford to spend on college per year for four years.
And yet, should I as a taxpayer be paying to make that easier? I don't think so. It is a private university with an endowment of almost $14B and an undergraduate enrollment of less than 9k. I'll pass on that handout, if you don't mind. |
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Suffering is not a punishment not a fruit of sin, it is a gift of God. He allows us to share in His suffering and to make up for the sins of the world. -Mother Teresa If I had a pet panda I would name it Snowflake. |
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#347 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 29,963
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I'm not following (no snark.)
If you spend X amount (either of your own money or government money) to get a degree, but then can't get a job in that degree... then well what are disagreeing about? If you want me to prove that some degrees make more money than other degrees... I mean isn't that obvious as well? |
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Yahtzee: "You're doing that thing again where when asked a question you just discuss the philosophy of the question instead of answering the bloody question." Gabriel: "Well yeah, you see..." Yahtzee: "No. When you are asked a Yes or No question the first word out of your mouth needs to be Yes or No. Only after that have you earned the right to elaborate." |
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#348 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Massachusetts, USA
Posts: 7,280
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I would guess that this whole student debt thing is just one small part of the larger evaporation of the middle class generally.
Good paying jobs aren't as common as they once were, both for college educated people and for high school graduates. The manufacturing jobs that once would have offered decent wages, benefits, and perhaps even union protection have all gone overseas. Everyone looking to make more than minimum wage at some service sector job is being pushed into college or other schooling, and the glut of labor means that employers can be more picky and spend less effort training generally educated people for specific jobs. Even if some reform meant that less people pursued less valuable degrees, that would only mean more people competing for somewhat fixed set of profitable careers. Law school is an excellent example of this. There are just way too many new lawyers graduating compared to entry level legal jobs. A career that once seemed to a clear path to the professional class has now become an extremely harsh job market. Getting more people into higher education doesn't mean that our economy will grow in the need for skilled or professional labor, it may just mean these already scarce jobs become even more competitive. The student loan crisis seems like just a small subset of the larger problem of how our economy has failed to transition after the collapse of domestic manufacturing that helped provide good jobs to so many. |
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#349 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 27,964
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Yeah I noticed that the use of Notre Dame as an example wasn't the best since it is very expensive. The point was more about struggle and how it's ok that it's hard, but did it have to be that hard.
Also in the episode, the solution they came up with was too make tuition tax deductible, a solution that doesn't help the poor as the deduction doesn't help them. |
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Just because I'm paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get to me. . |
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#350 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 48,612
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Five pages of general discussion, it's probably time to bring it back around to the OP and look at some specifics in light of the ideas we've exchanged.
So. What are the specifics of this "push for loan forgiveness" from the "progressive side of the party"? Who's making this push? What's their reasoning? What benefit to society do they expect us to see from this forgiveness? What trade-offs do they see, and what arguments do they make for why those trade-offs are worth it? It may turn out that those of us who are against student loan forgiveness in general would be in favor of this particular plan at this particular time. And vice-versa. Those of us vehemently in favor of student loan forgiveness may discover that the details of this particular plan (or lack thereof) make it a non-starter even for them. |
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#351 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 48,612
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I don't think Sorkin was saying that it's okay to make things hard on purpose in order to edify people through struggle or whatever. I think he's saying that a lot of what's good in life requires some hard work, and is good only because of the hard work that people choose to put into it. Including a college education and a degree from Notre Dame. But does a degree from Notre Dame really have to be that hard to get?
And to that, my answer, at least in the Sorkin-verse, is "yes, it does have to be that hard." Because look here: You (the character in the scene, who's complaining about how hard it is) are in fact willing to pay for it. You are in fact doing the hard work to get it. If you didn't think it was worth that much effort, you wouldn't do it. No, Notre Dame doesn't have to make tuition that expensive. But here you are, working hard, paying the tuition. So why should they lower it? |
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#352 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 10,834
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I'll try to explain more clearly. I want you check if there's an imbalance between incurred debt and later prosperity that exists even if one makes smarter choices of degree. To question the idea that investing loans into a poor choice is the entire issue and avoiding that is the solution.
Consider SuburbanTurkey's words after your post here, that may say what I'm looking for better than I can. |
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#353 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 10,834
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I would rather make it difficult by having it be an impressive academic achievement, than a financial achievement. If we have a choice, of what benefit is a financial hurdle?
I don't presume that a high quality Ivy League education can be provided to all--I'm speaking to the narrower point proposing that it's a feature for it to be expensive. I don't think so. |
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#354 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 48,612
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An impressive academic achievement comes from impressive academic challenges. And impressive academic challenges come from people who put in a lot of hard work, and have decades of hard-earned experience, in creating impressive academic achievements. They deserve to benefit from this highly desirable service they bring to the table. That's the benefit of the financial hurdle: You paying these people what their time and effort is worth.
Right? Only a douchebag says, "I want you to provide me the highest-quality academic achievements humanly possible... But I don't see why you can't charge me community college remedial course rates for it." You want an actual gold-plated diploma, don't complain when the cost of the gold is factored into the cost of the diploma. The feature is that it's a really good education. The expense is a totally expected and understandable side effect and sign of that feature. |
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#355 |
Muse
Join Date: Dec 2016
Posts: 752
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Good plan. Alright so I would assume the foundations would be on one of these three proposals.
Joe Bidens - THE BIDEN PLAN FOR EDUCATION BEYOND HIGH SCHOOL
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Elizabeth Warren - MY PLAN TO CANCEL STUDENT LOAN DEBT ON DAY ONE OF MY PRESIDENCY
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Bernie Sanders - College for All and Cancel All Student Debt
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Each plan has differences, but it seems that the Biden plan generally was a push for legislation vs executive action. I had to cut and paste his as the highlights weren't necessarily directed at loan forgiveness overall. When i refer to progressives they normally fall between the Warren and Sanders plans, and seem to look for executive action to erase this. Also to be clear each candidate had other parts of the college funding issue addressed but I focused mainly on the debt forgiveness portion. |
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#356 |
Not a doctor.
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Texas
Posts: 22,043
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__________________
Suffering is not a punishment not a fruit of sin, it is a gift of God. He allows us to share in His suffering and to make up for the sins of the world. -Mother Teresa If I had a pet panda I would name it Snowflake. |
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#357 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 48,612
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#358 |
Rarely prone to hissy-fits
Join Date: Sep 2013
Location: The Wettest Desert on Earth
Posts: 13,761
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I am me. I am just me. I'm a little like other cats... but mostly I am just me. |
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#359 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: United States
Posts: 4,859
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Nice summary rdwight.
Regarding the Biden plan, what about a work-study sort of thing repurposed for student loan relief instead? Students get x amount of relief per year for y amount of work in a related field, assuming no prior service. Good for the resume too I'd imagine. |
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#360 |
Rarely prone to hissy-fits
Join Date: Sep 2013
Location: The Wettest Desert on Earth
Posts: 13,761
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I think there's a bit of a difference in this one though. Forgiving those loans means that the government loses income... which means they need to make it up some other way... which means that everyone else gets taxed.
Additionally, this isn't introducing a new accommodation where none existed before. There are all kinds of loans out there, for all kinds of reasons. Many people have taken on loans for very good reasons (I once took on a loan so I could pay my dad's back property taxes so he didn't lose his house). Part of taking a loan is agreeing to pay it back. For those people who have been responsible individuals and have made good fiscal decisions, this is a bit of a slap in the face. It's a perverse incentive. There was a similar situation back on 2008 o so, when the housing market crashed. There were all kinds of things available to provide relief for people who could no longer afford to pay their mortgages. But for those of us who did not overspend on our houses, who didn't buy much more than we could afford... we were screwed. We made responsible, good financial decisions, and we were left with the value of our house upside down and still having to pay our mortgage. Those people who went way overboard with their houses and got into more than they could handle, well, they walked out of it better off. There's a point where rewarding people for having made bad decisions is really just not a good idea. I get that education is a bit more complicated, but still. Nee to make sure we're not introducing a negative incentive for good decisions here. |
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I am me. I am just me. I'm a little like other cats... but mostly I am just me. |
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