|
Welcome to the International Skeptics Forum, where we discuss skepticism, critical thinking, the paranormal and science in a friendly but lively way. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest, which means you are missing out on discussing matters that are of interest to you. Please consider registering so you can gain full use of the forum features and interact with other Members. Registration is simple, fast and free! Click here to register today. |
![]() |
#2801 |
Muse
Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 663
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2802 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: US of A
Posts: 13,013
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2803 |
Observer of Phenomena
Pronouns: he/him Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Ngunnawal Country
Posts: 71,061
|
Single digits is, I have now found out, an exaggeration. According to ACT Health, there were 194 notifications of influenza between 1 January and 11 October 2020. During the same period in 2019 there were 3,936.
The ACT has had a grand total of 3 COVID-19 deaths for the duration of the pandemic. I don't believe that what you suggest can be true in our case. |
__________________
We will meet them on the beach, we will meet them on the phone hook-ups. - Scott Morrison, probably |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2804 |
Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NT 150 511
Posts: 47,224
|
I've been shut down for eight months. I'm not scared. The reason I'm not scared is that I've been shut down. Lucky me, that I'm able to do it. I've made a fair dent in the decluttering of the house and I meet friends on Zoom. Currently trying to learn enough of Audacity so that three of us can surprise our choirmaster with a stitched-together "Lift thine eyes".
We need to keep up precautions for a bit even after vaccination, because no vaccine protects everyone and this is very new. They need to keep up the contact tracing and isolation, but when this is done against the background of widespread vaccination then it should be possible to eliminate the disease fairly quickly. THEN we can get back to normal within the country (countries) that have successfully eliminated, with continuation of border restrictions including mandatory travel vaccination. That will kill it. Just running round vaccinating people piecemeal and saying OK you're fine to behave as normal now will keep the virus going, if not perpetually certainly for much longer than need be. |
__________________
"The way we vote will depend, ultimately, on whether we are persuaded to hope or to fear." - Aonghas MacNeacail, June 2012. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2805 |
Master Poster
Join Date: Sep 2003
Posts: 2,257
|
Sure "some" flu deaths might be tagged as Covid-19 deaths. I'd be surprised if none were. But it's negligible relative to covid. Influenza rates are exceptionally low and have been since shortly after NPIs were first imposed in the USA (and most everywhere to one degree or another). The reason flu has been suppressed is that it's R nought is much lower than Covid-19. NPIs reduced R for flu well below one which is why it declined precipitously after covid NPIs. The CDC does surveillance on flu to identify strains extant and it has remained far below the normal, off season levels. It barely showed up in the Southern hemisphere during what is normally their flu season and quite a swath of countries report no flu at all.
|
__________________
Flying's easy. Walking on water, now that's cool. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2806 |
Agave Wine Connoisseur
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Just past ' Resume Speed ' .
Posts: 17,000
|
edit
|
__________________
" The main problem I have with the idea of heaven, is the thought of spending eternity with most of the people who claim to be going there. " |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2807 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 87,855
|
You can't possibly think that is evidence of support for your claims.
How about you read a recent infectious disease medical textbook. That would involve less reading. ![]() You should stop reading alt-right web sites. Dr Birx is explaining the issue that was brought up. By no means is she claiming the death count for COVID is seriously over counted. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2808 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 87,855
|
It's not even true in the US. Trump invented that out of whole cloth.
Doctors are not paid by what goes on a death certificate. I suspect he completely misunderstood what DRGs are and how they work. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2809 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 87,855
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2810 |
Muse
Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 663
|
Wrong. Hospitals are getting money from the government for Covid-19 cases to make up for lost revenue. The CDC director admitted to this during a hearing recently. Are you really that out of touch with what has been admitted?
https://www.factcheck.org/2020/04/ho...9-death-count/ "The CARES Act created the 20% add-on to be paid for Medicare patients with COVID-19. The act further created a $100 billion fund that is being used to financially assist hospitals — a “portion” of which will be “used to reimburse healthcare providers, at Medicare rates, for COVID-related treatment of the uninsured,” according to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services." It is also pretty easy to get a test to show positive. All you really have to do is run more than a certain number of cycles. Turns out they are running more cycles to get more positive results. Let me guess, you don't believe that either. You think it is some conspiracy theory? Get your info from somewhere other than CNN and friends. These things have been admitted to. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2811 |
Agave Wine Connoisseur
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Just past ' Resume Speed ' .
Posts: 17,000
|
|
__________________
" The main problem I have with the idea of heaven, is the thought of spending eternity with most of the people who claim to be going there. " |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2812 |
Muse
Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 663
|
I don't read any alt-right websites. I'm not a Trump supporter. Something else you were wrong about. Maybe don't make assumptions about someone you know nothing about? I've read the CDC site and watched the press conferences and other things. There are many times where they've admitted what I have said. If it makes you feel better to believe that you are right and somehow I am wrong even though I've given sources (like the CDC) for my information, then you go right ahead.
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2813 |
Master Poster
Join Date: Sep 2003
Posts: 2,257
|
CDC does weekly influenza reports. These are from surveillance at hospitals around the country and is separate from diagnostic tests the hospitals may, or may not, do. Each year they use the data to estimate deaths where the proximate cause was flu (people actually die from a wide range of mostly secondary things the flu brings on).
You can see the dramatic decrease after NPIs in March on flu this year by comparing the 2019-2020 season with the 2018-2019 season. https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weekl...020/Week43.htm https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weekl...021/week43.htm Scroll down the the chart listing weekly influenza tests and you can see the dropoff. This year's flu season had been shaping up to be a fair amount worse than last year's. Then Covid-19 hit and NPIs were widely adopted. The number of flu positives declined rapidly as well as the percent positives leveling in the off season at about .2 to .3% this year compared to 2 to 3% the prior year. |
__________________
Flying's easy. Walking on water, now that's cool. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2814 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 87,855
|
Once again you don't know what you are talking about. This is the field I work in, I don't get my info from the TV news.
From your own link:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
And, it's not based on what goes on the death certificate. In addition to that, Medicare fraud is a very serious crime. Yes, some docs have been caught doing it. But the vast majority of doctors don't. And there are lots of people involved in that medicare billing. It would be very hard to make the diagnosis up if it weren't the actual diagnosis. And on top of all that, if patients are presumed to have died of COVID after the fact, you don't go back and re-bill Medicare. This is so typical of Trump's ignorance. He probably heard a little tidbit about the Medicare premium and fashioned it into the fantasy that the COVID death numbers were being padded. That's the fantasy Trump wants to be true. And it's no surprise Trump watches Ingraham. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2815 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 87,855
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2816 |
Crazy Little Green Dragon
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: East Coast, US
Posts: 7,587
|
Indeed.
Rather, by the look of it, it's notably worse. Which helped immensely when it came to getting a handle on it, much as efforts to do so were being sabotaged all throughout, which made it dramatically more painful, annoying, and unpleasant all around. It's rather interesting. Just about all of the people who keep working to downplay Covid-19 seem to invoke fear, fear, fear as if that were the only possible reason for us to take Covid-19 seriously. I suppose that speaks about ones' character, though. ![]() This part may be better directed at the Conspiracy Theory thread for Covid-19. Either way, it would be awesome if, say, I had the power to just snap my fingers and make Covid-19 vanish from existence, so we actually could leave it behind us. *snaps his fingers* Gone yet? |
__________________
So sayeth the crazy little dragon. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2817 |
In the Peanut Gallery
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 47,176
|
|
__________________
A fanatic is one who can't change his mind and won't change the subject. Sir Winston Churchill |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2818 |
Nitpicking dilettante
Administrator Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Berkshire, mostly
Posts: 48,845
|
|
__________________
The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts.Bertrand Russell Zooterkin is correct Darat Nerd! Hokulele Join the JREF Folders ! Team 13232 Ezekiel 23:20 |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2819 |
The Grammar Tyrant
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 28,597
|
|
__________________
The point of equilibrium has passed; satire and current events are now indistinguishable. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2820 |
The Grammar Tyrant
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 28,597
|
Covid - not very deadly: https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/statu...167040/photo/1
|
__________________
The point of equilibrium has passed; satire and current events are now indistinguishable. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2821 |
In the Peanut Gallery
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 47,176
|
|
__________________
A fanatic is one who can't change his mind and won't change the subject. Sir Winston Churchill |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2822 |
In the Peanut Gallery
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 47,176
|
https://www.news.com.au/world/corona...2fdde3cc065ae2
South Australia’s virus outbreak has forced thousands of people into quarantine as the state deals with a cluster that has more than doubled. As a precaution, there are now around 4000 people considered close contacts who have been quarantined, chief health officer Professor Nicola Spurrier revealed this afternoon. This could be a super spreader event similar to Melbourne’s. Started in hotel quarantine, spread through a large mobile family in a disadvantaged part of the city where there were largely complacent people ignoring social distancing. Hopefully this will not spread, but it is an object lesson. |
__________________
A fanatic is one who can't change his mind and won't change the subject. Sir Winston Churchill |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2823 |
Muse
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 670
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2824 |
Muse
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 670
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2825 |
Muse
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 670
|
This example is a joke. You are going back to the last century (112 years ago) to point out that quarantining took place. Why don't you go back to the 15th century and the Black Plague? This is a pathetic approach for justification quarantining as a general practice. Let's go back to the life and times of 1908 to emphasize the need to quarantine as if we have not changed our demographics, our "way of life", how we conduct our interactions, advances in medicine, and so on. Indoor plumbing was a luxury, electricity was sporadic and yet you point to this time as an example...
Quote:
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2826 |
Muse
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 670
|
This is your quote..."Not so. The "flu season" is pretty much non-existent everywhere. " You are rewriting history.
Quote:
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2827 |
Muse
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 670
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2828 |
Muse
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 670
|
I love how you categorically call people who disagree with you as "deniers". I am a "denier" if it means calling out the facts. Address the facts and then an adult conversation can take place.
FACTS: 1. Cases are recorded... not people. A single person can represent multiple cases. 2. People who die with Covid-19 are cataloged as dying from Covid-19. 3. The RT-PCR is a manufacturing process and not a diagnostic tool. 4. The RT-PCR detects enzymes that are associated with the Covid-19 virus but it does not detect the RNA. 5. There is no standardization in the Ct when utilizing the RT-PCR process. 6. The RT-PCR does not detect if the virus is infectious or not. 7. The RT-PCR cannot determine when the Covid-19 entered your system. Provide a counter argument to the above facts, keep out the hyperbole and anecdotal stories. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2829 |
Muse
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 670
|
A government imposing restrictions on people who do not take a "for profit" vaccine is the ultimate Authoritarian Control. You made a choice to work in the industry that you do, do not place on others the conditions you choose to follow.
Before you go down the path about school children and their mandatory vaccines, there is opt-out provided for those who do not want it. One opt-out is home schooling. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2830 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 11,490
|
Even after accounting for the reduction in deaths from things like the Flu and car accidents there have been more than 300K extra deaths in the US. The weight of the evidence strongly favors Covid 19 deaths being under attributed, not over-attributed like the conspiracy theorist are claiming.
|
__________________
"Anything's possible, but only a few things actually happen" |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2831 |
Muse
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 670
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2832 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: US of A
Posts: 13,013
|
Oh for crap's sake. Covid is a specific communicable illness with specific causes that people can contract through no fault of their own as a result of the behavior of other people around them. If I can keep others healthy and they can keep me healthy by wearing a damn cloth mask, what does that have to do with anything else? What's the problem? There is no other place in the world where a basic public health measure is a subject of political controversy, and that's why 1,000 Americans are dying every day.
. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2833 |
Muse
Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 663
|
Wearing a mask is not the only thing we are being told to do. People have lost their jobs. They are being told to not visit family, not go to funerals, etc. Businesses are being forced to operate at reduced capacity. Kids are being kept out of school.
There are plans being made to not allow someone to go somewhere unless they can prove they have been vaccinated. Plans to require people to wear a device that takes their temperature and use that information to restrict where they go. The list goes on and on. We don't do this for any other virus. How much control are we supposed to give to these "experts" and politicians? Also, people in other countries have protested the lockdowns and restrictions. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2834 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 1,743
|
Why would the healthy population be quarantined? Cuba quarantined all HIV+ patients in 1983 though. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/art...od%20products1.
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2835 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 1,743
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2836 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: US of A
Posts: 13,013
|
If people had just started wearing masks when they were asked to, many of these tougher restrictions would never have been necessary. Note that the states where the infection rates are highest now are places where there was the strongest resistance to basic measures.
And we are doing this with this particular virus because it is exceptionally communicable, exceptionally dangerous and at present basically incurable except in the course of nature. What do you think we would do if smallpox or bubonic plague was loose in the community? |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2837 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 1,743
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2838 |
Master Poster
Join Date: Sep 2003
Posts: 2,257
|
OK. Here:
That is nonsense. I stand by the "No Flu Season" statement. Influenza has been occurring at rates well below Off Season rates during the Southern hemisphere's Flu Season. Further, Flu positivity rates have run 10X lower than what they normally run in the USA during it's Off Season. Flu just isn't a material factor in these deaths. |
__________________
Flying's easy. Walking on water, now that's cool. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2839 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 1,743
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2840 |
Muse
Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 663
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
Bookmarks |
Thread Tools | |
|
|