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#241 |
Master Poster
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Near Harmonica Virgins, AZ
Posts: 2,564
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"You have done nothing to demonstrate an understanding of scientific methodology or modern skepticism, both of which are, by necessity, driven by the facts and evidence, not by preconceptions, and both of which are strengthened by, and rely upon, change." - Arkan Wolfshade |
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#242 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 18,321
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Eventually I suppose we can hope that this thread will be moved to conspiracy theories, even if the mainstream media seems to be promoting it currently. I read the conservative blogs and virtually all of them are saying it looks like Biden won, it's okay for Trump to let the process continue, but come January 20 we will have a new President. Nobody is suggesting that Trump should get the state legislatures to name their own slate of electors (well, maybe Gateway Pundit is, but I gave Hoeft up as an idiot years ago).
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My new blog: Recent Reads. 1960s Comic Book Nostalgia Visit the Screw Loose Change blog. |
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#243 |
Master Poster
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Near Harmonica Virgins, AZ
Posts: 2,564
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__________________
"You have done nothing to demonstrate an understanding of scientific methodology or modern skepticism, both of which are, by necessity, driven by the facts and evidence, not by preconceptions, and both of which are strengthened by, and rely upon, change." - Arkan Wolfshade |
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#244 |
Quixoticist
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: ON Canada
Posts: 3,572
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"Every saint has a past and every sinner has a future." - Oscar Wilde |
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#245 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 6,537
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Trump Tweeted:
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/...07964404260870
Quote:
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The weakness of all Utopias is this, ... They first assume that no man will want more than his share, and then are very ingenious in explaining whether his share will be delivered by motorcar or balloon. -G.K. CHESTERTON |
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#246 |
Straussian
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 14,279
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What blogs? These blogs speak more to mainstream conservatism than, say, Sean Hannity? Mark Levine?
I poked my head into National Review's blog. There was a posting about a podcast by The Editors about Biden's win. It garnered over 700 comments (which is much higher than usual), most of them upset that NR was run by sell-outs. The thing about the conservative press is that many of the mouthpieces are afraid of their audience. |
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April 13th, 2018: Ranb: I can't think of anything useful you contributed to a thread in the last few years. |
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#247 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 3,667
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#248 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 6,892
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The votes they could possibly invalidate wouldn't all be Biden votes though. What was the typical ratio of mail-ins, two to one or something? So to gain 100,000 votes they'd need 300,000 invalidated.
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#249 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 3,667
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Oddly enough, there are over 300K mail in ballots in the USPS system that were never scanned as delivered.
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#250 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 87,000
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#251 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 20,133
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"As your friend, I have to be honest with you: I don't care about you or your problems" - Chloe, Secret Life of Pets |
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#252 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: I live in a swamp
Posts: 22,592
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#253 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 87,000
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When there were a couple faithless electors a decade+ ago they cast their votes for Sanders instead of Clinton.
I don't know if there have been any faithless electors that voted for the other party's candidate. I already posted a number of times (in other threads and this one) challenging the legislators going against their state's popular vote. There have been articles (selling scare mongering, IMO) but there hasn't been any evidence presented that goes beyond the hypothesis. It could happen. I could join the next X-rocket to the ISS. Doesn't mean there's a chance in Sagan's Garage it would happen. |
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#254 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 6,450
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In 2016 there were 135,719,982 total votes. In 2020 there were 153,470,021. That is an increase of about 13%.
Also Libertarian candidate Johnson got a much higher percentage of the vote in 2016 than Jorgensen in 2020. We can adjust the 2016 percentages to account for those changes and then do a comparison. In 2016 Trump got 46.4%, Clinton 48.5%, Libertarian 3.3%, Green 1.1% and Other 0.6%. In 2020 Trump got 47.4%, Biden 50.9%, Libertarian 1.2%, Green 0.2% and Other 0.3% (based on current counts). We can adjust the 2016 percentages by giving Trump the difference in Libertarian votes and Clinton the difference in Green votes. Trump gets 46.4% + 3.3% - 1.2% = 48.5% Clinton gets 48.5% + 1.1% - 0.2% = 49.3% That would mean from 2016 to 2020 we would have Trump going from 48.5% to 47.4% for a loss of 1.1%. Clinton/Biden goes from 49.3% to 50.9% for a gain of 1.5%. The Other category has a loss of 0.4%. Those candidates were Constitutional Party and a conservative Independent. So we could count that loss against Trump for a total loss of 1.5%. The gives us Trump down 1.5% and Democrats up 1.5%. At least somewhere in the 1.0% to 1.5% range. Not a big change either way. (Jorgensen got enough votes that if even about 70% of those had gone toward Trump he would have won.) |
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I don't need to fight to prove I'm right. - Baba O'Riley |
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#255 |
Master Poster
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Near Harmonica Virgins, AZ
Posts: 2,564
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__________________
"You have done nothing to demonstrate an understanding of scientific methodology or modern skepticism, both of which are, by necessity, driven by the facts and evidence, not by preconceptions, and both of which are strengthened by, and rely upon, change." - Arkan Wolfshade |
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#256 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 6,450
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For President, only Samuel Miles in 1796. At that time electors cast two votes for President and the person with the most votes (over a majority) became President and the second-place finisher became Vice-President.
Miles was pledged to to Federalists John Adams and Thomas Pinckney, but he cast his vote for Democratic-Republican Thomas Jefferson and Pinckney. Adams won by two electoral votes, so it didn't end up mattering. Miles went on to run successfully for Congress as a Democratic-Republican. Miles voting for Pinckney wasn't really spilling his vote between two parties. It was part of a plan by Hamilton to have Adams and Pinckney win with tied votes so that it would go to Congress where they would select Pinckney as President and Adams and Vice-President. That plan was foiled by a number of electors voting for Adams but abstaining on the second vote. That led to the split party of Federalist Adams as President and Democratic-Republican and Vice-President. A similar plan almost worked in the very heated 1800 election between Adams and Jefferson. Adams lost, but Jefferson and his Vice-Presidential running mate Aaron Burr tied for the most votes. That meant the decision between those two went to Congress. Federalists threatens to make Burr President and Jefferson Vice-President in order to embarrass the Democratic-Republicans. That led to a drawn out battle until a couple Congressmen relented and allowed Jefferson to become selected for President out of fear that to do otherwise would likely result in the dissolution of the United States and due to Hamilton's strong objection to Burr (who would go on to kill Hamilton in a duel). Those elections resulted in the 12th Amendment establishing that electors cast separate votes for President and Vice-President. There have been a handful of electors who have cast the vote for President as pledged but voted for the opposing party candidate for Vice-President for various reasons. |
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I don't need to fight to prove I'm right. - Baba O'Riley |
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#257 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 87,000
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#258 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 6,450
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There isn't really a deadline Pennsylvania for certification of the electors. Counties have to report final results by November 23, which is also the last day for a candidate to contest the election.
Under Federal law any resolution to a contested election must be resolved within six days before the meeting of electors (meaning by December 8 this year) in order to be conclusive. The meeting of electors is December 14. But it doesn't really matter much if that deadline is missed. If not done by December 8, the electors could be challenged during the reading of the votes in the joint session of Congress. If there is a challenge, vote counting stops and the U.S. House nd Senate each vote on whether to approve the challenge. But Democrats will control the House, so the challenge will not be upheld. The General Assembly (the state legislature) has the authority to hear contests of some elections, but for Presidential and Vice-Presidential elections state law grants exclusive authority to the Commonwealth Court to resolve a contested election or review the actions of the Secretary of State. The state legislature may have some authority to demand that the Secretary of State turn over certain information so that the legislature can conduct its own audit. The could turn over the results of that audit to Trump so that he could contest the election in Commonwealth Court. The state legislature could try to send its own slate of electors to Congress. But if Congress gets more than one set of electors from a state, the House and Senate vote on which one to select. If the vote is split (which is likely) it defaults to the electors certified by the executive of the state (the Governor). The state legislature cannot, on its own, delay or change the certification of electors by the Governor. |
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I don't need to fight to prove I'm right. - Baba O'Riley |
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#259 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Mounts Farm
Posts: 6,418
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"Well, a statement like that is all the better for proof, but go on, anyway." - Salvor Hardin |
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#260 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 87,000
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#261 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 87,000
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We have an answer:
Yahoo news feed: GOP leaders in 4 states quash dubious Trump bid on electors
Quote:
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#262 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 11,076
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So long as we forever name it the "nothingberder".
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#263 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 18,321
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And yet the National Review still did a podcast about Biden's win. It's over. Yes, he's still insisting he won. You didn't think losing the election was gong to stop his twitterrhia, did you? Yes he should accept defeat gracefully, but like the scorpion said to the frog, it's not in his nature.
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My new blog: Recent Reads. 1960s Comic Book Nostalgia Visit the Screw Loose Change blog. |
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#264 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 87,000
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#265 |
Straussian
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 14,279
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NR also published an issue dedicated entirely to opposing Trump... then puckered up to kiss ass. Yes, Biden won, but a lot of Trump supporters don't recognize it. And can we just focus on the adjacent-argument you're making: The blogs you read recognize that Biden's won. Yeah, and how much sway do they have? Other right-wingers regularly read NR, and enthusiastically disagree with the line over there. Rich Lowry and Kevin Williamson do not have nearly the same pull as Sean Hannity or Mark Levine.
As for Trump, yes, of course he will continue doing his thing on Twitter, but let's not fall into the in-retrospect-everything-is-obvious trap. If he runs again in 2024, people will say, "I knew it!" And if he doesn't, they'll say the same. damn. thing. I know Trump cares about receiving attention, but I'm not always sure how he'll pursue it. |
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April 13th, 2018: Ranb: I can't think of anything useful you contributed to a thread in the last few years. |
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#266 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 6,919
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I think the Trump family should rent out a few stadiums across the land so DJT can continue making speeches to eager audiences. Call it "My Four Years" or something like that, and have him tour in perpetuity or until he dies. Did you see his speeches? The man was in the "zone".
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#267 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Mounts Farm
Posts: 6,418
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__________________
"Well, a statement like that is all the better for proof, but go on, anyway." - Salvor Hardin |
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#268 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 28,306
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My bet is Trump will fizzle fast once he's out of the office. Twitter will certainly ban him. Other Republicans with political aspirations will be seeking to replace him. Trump will be facing serious legal issues and will lack the protection being the president provided him.
The last President that tried to regain the Presidency after leaving the office was Roosevelt. Teddy Roosevelt that is. And the only one successful doing it was Grover Cleveland, a Democrat. |
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Just because I'm paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get to me. . |
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#269 |
The Grammar Tyrant
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 28,327
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And his army is ready!
A million MAGAs descended on Washington. According to Kayleigh McHaw-Haw. Maybe 5,000. Close. Top effort. |
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The point of equilibrium has passed; satire and current events are now indistinguishable. |
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#270 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: United States
Posts: 18,024
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#271 |
Straussian
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 14,279
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After the presidency, I understand he'll need lawyers to scrub his account because he faces legal exposure (defamation lawsuits). As for Twitter banning him, I agree with Stacy. They'll try not to (they invented reasons to avoid banning him before). He's their biggest star. Others may have more followers, but I wouldn't be surprised if Trump is #1 in terms of engagement, and that's what really counts.
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April 13th, 2018: Ranb: I can't think of anything useful you contributed to a thread in the last few years. |
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#272 |
Master Poster
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Near Harmonica Virgins, AZ
Posts: 2,564
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__________________
"You have done nothing to demonstrate an understanding of scientific methodology or modern skepticism, both of which are, by necessity, driven by the facts and evidence, not by preconceptions, and both of which are strengthened by, and rely upon, change." - Arkan Wolfshade |
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#273 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Sorth Dakonsin
Posts: 24,891
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Science is self-correcting. Woo is self-contradicting. |
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#274 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 28,306
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Just because I'm paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get to me. . |
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#275 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Norway
Posts: 10,395
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"He's like a drunk being given a sobriety test by the police after being pulled over. Just as a drunk can't walk a straight line, Trump can't think in a straight line. He's all over the place."--Stacyhs "If you are still hung up on that whole words-have-meaning thing, then 2020 is going to be a long year for you." --Ladewig |
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#276 |
Muse
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Tampa Bay, Florida
Posts: 714
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#277 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Mounts Farm
Posts: 6,418
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I think it's probably the National Archives.
ETA: They maintain the previous President's archival twitter: https://twitter.com/POTUS44/status/822446982648201216 |
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"Well, a statement like that is all the better for proof, but go on, anyway." - Salvor Hardin |
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#278 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 11,076
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#279 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 28,306
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Just because I'm paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get to me. . |
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#280 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: UK
Posts: 5,531
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So I've started a blog about my writing. Check it out at: http://fourth-planet-problem.blogspot.com/ And my first book is on Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B077W322FX |
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