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#161 |
Thinker
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 182
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Anders, just a suggestion. Why don't you spend a few days reviewing all the evidence instead of giving us hourly progress reports of your research, where you keep changing your mind from one day to the next? Then you might figure out more conclusively where you stand before changing your mind again.
cheers |
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#162 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 13,833
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I kind of jumped in when I heard about the new demand for reinvestigating the TWA 800 incident, and I have basically zero prior knowledge about it, sorry about that.
But I thought it could be good to bring up the old arguments I find again, since it has been a while since this incident was discussed much. And me reporting on the fly can be useful for other people new to the topic. |
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#163 |
Thinker
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 182
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As I stated, there are exactly two things I agree with the CTists on. One is the Zoom Climb evidence. The other is Jack Cashill's research showing this exercise happened on a different TWA airplane. This is all cleared up in the final report: almost all the wreckage was in the water for over two days. Explosives experts stated that the small trace amounts found would not have been able to adhere to the wreckage for more than this period. So most likely they were introduced unintentionally from clothing or other materials used by explosives team brought in to examine the wreckage. |
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#164 |
Thinker
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 182
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With that said, here are two things to chew on that helped convince me there was most likely no missile.
1 William Tobin's sworn testimony explaining the FBI's certainty this was sabotage. It refutes the notion the FBI was covering up sabotage. This certainty reached its apex when on Aug 16th of 1996, Jim Kallstrom appreared dressed up to go on TV and tell the world a bomb brought down the plane. Tobin prevented what would have been a PR nightmare. This explains the FBI's clashes with the NTSB during this period. 2 The unexplained time gap in the witness descriptions. We don't have precise to-the-second documentation of the break up sequence, but radar and airborne witnesses give a reasonably approximate chronology. It goes like this: Cwt explosion occurs on or right after 8:31:12pm. From here, whether the plane climbed or dived is anyone's guess. But very few people saw this initial event. It wasn't until the main fuselage had dropped to 5-7 thousand ft that most of the 700 witnesses began to notice it. It was then that it developed into a massive fireball. The streak of light was seen just before this. But by this time the plane had been climbing/falling for at lest 23 seconds and possibly up to 40 seconds. But more importantly, the fireball took just 10 seconds to drop all the way to the ocean. So if the streak of light hd been a missile, the entire accident sequence would have to have been not more than 15 seconds - something that no one believes. This indicates the streak was a late stage event. 2a This is illustrated by chopper pilot Fred Meyer. He stated that in not more than 4 seconds after the streak ended, there were a series of explosions. He and his two co-pilots were in agreement the resulting fireball took just 10 seconds to reach the ocean. This 14 second duration is at odds with the minimum possible accident durtion recorded by radar (34-38.5 seconds), and may well have been as long as 50 or more seconds. Fred Meyer thus had to reject his own testimony to make it fit his belief he saw ordnance. (Another testament to the power of belief.) 2b The pilot of Eastwind flight 507 had the accident plane in sight for some time. His time stamped message to ATC is consistent with a late-stage explosion event. He reported seeing no missile. Other points mentioned above: -residue match: The allegation of rocket fuel was loudly announced by James Sanders in his first book. It came back to haunt him, so he quickly downplayed this in his second book, reminding his readers he DID NOT have a positive confirmation of rocket propellent. "Consistent with" is how the result came back, which translates to "inconclusive." -The voltage/spark evidence is clearly explained by an NTSB investigator in another F800 documentary seen on Youtube. I can dig it up if you don't find it. My theory: as the main fireball began to form, there were pre-explosions giving off one or more streaks. A firework often does this. So What is the big mystery? regards |
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#165 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 13,833
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That's curious. Because the experts discussed the explosives traces in 1997:
From about 1 hour and 13 minutes: TWA Flight 800 Investigation Status (1997) -- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qN_WsG9MMx4 Don't you think the experts should have known about such things as you mention? |
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#166 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 5,546
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#167 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 13,833
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#168 |
Thinker
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 182
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Interesting flashback. Kallstrom had good answers. The story is complicated by the fact traces were found in several places on the plane. So if I were to revise my position at all, it might be to acknowledge the possibility the dog training exercise might have been on this plane after all, and may have survived the 2 weeks under water for the reason Kallstrom gave. However, the other traces were apparently in no position to survive for that long, and that is probably why the most logical explanation is accidental contamination later. Kallstrom himself was the lead investigator, and as Tobin's testimony shows, he could be impulsive and willing to run rough shod over his own experts. I would therefore rather hear from the experts directly than rely on his testimony, which at times has been sloppy.
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#169 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 13,833
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I have only found the opposite claim. That the investigators were unable to reproduce such spark with airplane electronics.
From about 18:45: Did U.S. Gov't Lie About TWA Flight 800? Ex-Investigators Seek Probe as New Evidence Emerges. 2 of 2 -- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gAkIdb-DUYQ |
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#170 |
Devilish Dictionarian
Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: An elusive house at Bachelors Grove Cemetery
Posts: 20,059
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__________________
"You must not let your need to be right be more important than your need to find out what's true." - Ray Dalio, Principles |
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#171 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 13,833
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Surely the experts are far too proud to merely look for a short-term profit. They have their reputation and social status to think of.
So with that assumption, either the official version is correct, and then there must be some very tricky psyop reason for the experts to demand a reinvestigation. Or, it was a terrorist attack with a small missile hitting the plane (ruling out friendly fire). And then it will be interesting to see if the coverup will be revealed, and that too may be for political purposes! Either way, I think it's a pretty interesting case, and I'm sure the families of the victims would like to have a reinvestigation, just to make sure. |
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#172 |
Muse
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 991
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Stalcup actually said, "...the NTSB has never duplicated that spark from airplane electronics." That is very different than what you said he said. He never said, "the investigators were unable to reproduce such spark with airplane electronics." You have interpreted what he said as "they tried and failed to duplicate a spark." The NTSB never tried to duplicate the spark. They did, however, blow up a center wing tank and studied the effects of a small explosive charge on the fuel tank and surrounding structure. None of the damage caused by the explosive charges was observed anywhere on the remains of TWA 800. See page 139 of the NTSB report. |
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Enough with your Apollo is true by virtue of an appeal to reason... - Patrick1000 probably my bad for trying to back engineer the lunacy -jaydeehess |
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#173 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 13,833
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I just came to think of an outrageous conspiracy theory.
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#174 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 13,833
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Ok, fair enough, he didn't say NTSB and the FBI, only the NTSB. Still, I haven't seen any confirmation of the spark hypothesis.
ETA: And maybe the NTSB never tried to replicate it. But then why not? Did the FBI try to replicate the spark using 747 airplane electronics? |
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#175 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 5,546
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#176 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 5,546
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Is that how you justify this nonsense? Bringing up all the same things that have already been gone over and debunked long ago, but drag the families of the victims into it to justify it?
There won't be any reinvestigation. That would require new evidence. You have provided none. |
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#177 |
Banned
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 4,773
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#178 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 13,833
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What victims? Ok, before you wonder what the heck I'm talking about, I have shifted track into this: http://www.internationalskeptics.com...&postcount=173
Get ready for some far-out conspiracy theories. First, let's start with the black box recordings: "However, 0.73 and 0.68 seconds before the CVR recording stopped, there were brief (2 microseconds) changes in the electrical system background noise hum recorded by the captainís position CVR channel." -- http://www.ntsb.gov/doclib/reports/2000/AAR0003.pdf 2 microseconds gaps. Those are very brief gaps in the background noise recorded. Not something possible to achieve in real cockpit conditions I would surmise. Those are artifacts produced through other means which indicates fakery of the voice recordings. |
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#179 |
Banned
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 4,773
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Quote:
Get ready to be ridiculed. |
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#180 |
Skeptic not Atheist
Join Date: May 2007
Location: West of Northshore MA
Posts: 24,738
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Translation:
You have no idea what you're talking about but, hope no one else notices. You're "surmise" is the least likely cause. I know where you pulled this from but, I believe the rules forbid saying it. ![]() Tell us, what is your proof a CVR will record at 2 millisecond resolution? Did you hear this? ![]() |
__________________
"Remember that the goal of conspiracy rhetoric is to bog down the discussion, not to make progress toward a solution" Jay Windley "How many leaves on the seventh branch of the fourth tree?" is meaningless when you are in the wrong forest: ozeco41 |
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#181 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 13,833
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How can I be ridiculed for this smoking gun:
"The CVR [Black box Cockpit Voice Recorder] recording consisted of four channels of audio information: one channel contained audio information recorded by the CAM, and the other three channels contained audio information recorded through the radio/intercom selector panels at the captain, first officer, and flight engineer positions." "A sound spectrum study of the information recorded by the CVR revealed that twice within the last second of the CVR recording (about 0.73 and 0.68 seconds before the recording stopped), the captain's channel recorded harmonic tones at the 400 Hertz (Hz) frequency, but it did not record other electrical system background noise that it had recorded previously throughout the recording. These other electrical system background noises were recorded on the other CVR channels without interruption." From: http://www.ntsb.org/Wiringcargodoor/...es/AAR0003.pdf How can the the captain's channel stop recording background noise for brief periods while still recording the harmonic tones, while at the same time the other channels recorded the background noise? |
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#182 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 13,833
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#183 |
Skeptic not Atheist
Join Date: May 2007
Location: West of Northshore MA
Posts: 24,738
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__________________
"Remember that the goal of conspiracy rhetoric is to bog down the discussion, not to make progress toward a solution" Jay Windley "How many leaves on the seventh branch of the fourth tree?" is meaningless when you are in the wrong forest: ozeco41 |
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#184 |
Skeptic not Atheist
Join Date: May 2007
Location: West of Northshore MA
Posts: 24,738
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__________________
"Remember that the goal of conspiracy rhetoric is to bog down the discussion, not to make progress toward a solution" Jay Windley "How many leaves on the seventh branch of the fourth tree?" is meaningless when you are in the wrong forest: ozeco41 |
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#185 |
Banned
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 4,773
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#186 |
Skeptic not Atheist
Join Date: May 2007
Location: West of Northshore MA
Posts: 24,738
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__________________
"Remember that the goal of conspiracy rhetoric is to bog down the discussion, not to make progress toward a solution" Jay Windley "How many leaves on the seventh branch of the fourth tree?" is meaningless when you are in the wrong forest: ozeco41 |
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#187 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 13,833
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#188 |
Master Poster
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Just west of the centre of the universe
Posts: 2,830
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It is (name notwithstanding). Its previous incarnation was (IIRC) airline disasters.net but there was a major server crash a few years back and this site's owned by the same owners. I have to admit being surprised at the CT uptake on this one; usually the discussion is level is of higher quality than that. pprune.org might be worth a look
Fitz |
__________________
"Television is a circus, a carnival, a traveling troupe of acrobats, storytellers, dancers, singers, jugglers, side-show freaks, lion tamers, and football players. We're in the boredom-killing business! So if you want the truth... Go to God!" Howard Beale, "Network" |
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#189 |
Skeptic not Atheist
Join Date: May 2007
Location: West of Northshore MA
Posts: 24,738
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__________________
"Remember that the goal of conspiracy rhetoric is to bog down the discussion, not to make progress toward a solution" Jay Windley "How many leaves on the seventh branch of the fourth tree?" is meaningless when you are in the wrong forest: ozeco41 |
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#190 |
Muse
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 991
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__________________
Enough with your Apollo is true by virtue of an appeal to reason... - Patrick1000 probably my bad for trying to back engineer the lunacy -jaydeehess |
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#191 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 13,833
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How could just one channel have two very short gaps in the recording of the background noise? Even if that channel had a separate power supply, it's impossible to cause such short gaps (2 microseconds) by simply having the power supply disrupted. It's way too short gaps for that. There are always capacitor effects making the power supply and the recording device much more sluggish than to be able to cause audio recording gaps in 2 microseconds spans.
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#192 |
Skeptic not Atheist
Join Date: May 2007
Location: West of Northshore MA
Posts: 24,738
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__________________
"Remember that the goal of conspiracy rhetoric is to bog down the discussion, not to make progress toward a solution" Jay Windley "How many leaves on the seventh branch of the fourth tree?" is meaningless when you are in the wrong forest: ozeco41 |
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#193 |
Banned
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 4,773
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#194 |
Muse
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 692
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#195 |
Skeptic not Atheist
Join Date: May 2007
Location: West of Northshore MA
Posts: 24,738
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Anders, this is real easy.
The CVR records 4 channels. The microphones of the captain and the first officer, the "com" channel (this is what the crew hears, including each other) and an ambient (it is in the background). The crews mic also picks up background. What do you think all these layers missed? |
__________________
"Remember that the goal of conspiracy rhetoric is to bog down the discussion, not to make progress toward a solution" Jay Windley "How many leaves on the seventh branch of the fourth tree?" is meaningless when you are in the wrong forest: ozeco41 |
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#196 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 13,833
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"The CVR [Black box Cockpit Voice Recorder] recording consisted of four channels of audio information: one channel contained audio information recorded by the CAM, and the other three channels contained audio information recorded through the radio/intercom selector panels at the captain, first officer, and flight engineer positions." -- http://www.ntsb.org/Wiringcargodoor/...es/AAR0003.pdf
Only the captain's channel had the two very brief noise gaps of 2 microseconds (each I assume or 1 microsecond each). I would challenge the investigators to reproduce such gaps in the audio recording using a similar environment and the same time of equipment. You could do a thought experiment yourself and explain how those gaps in the audio recording were caused. I doubt you will be able to produce a convincing case however. The official explanation is this: "The NAWC-AD testing indicated that application of an electrical load resulted in a reduction in the total harmonic distortion voltages measured at the captainís CVR channel." -- http://www.ntsb.gov/doclib/reports/2000/AAR0003.pdf Reduction of the recorded noise, ok, but how fast were they able to switch on and off that reduction? In 2 microseconds spans? I don't think so. |
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#197 |
Skeptic not Atheist
Join Date: May 2007
Location: West of Northshore MA
Posts: 24,738
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__________________
"Remember that the goal of conspiracy rhetoric is to bog down the discussion, not to make progress toward a solution" Jay Windley "How many leaves on the seventh branch of the fourth tree?" is meaningless when you are in the wrong forest: ozeco41 |
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#198 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 14,519
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And the story told by the human remains continues to be ignored...
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"We choose to go to the moon in this decade and do the other things not because they are easy, but because they are hard. Because that goal will serve to organize and measure the best of our abilities and skills, because that challenge is one we are willing to accept, one we are unwilling to postpone, and one which we intend to win." |
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#199 |
Skeptic not Atheist
Join Date: May 2007
Location: West of Northshore MA
Posts: 24,738
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__________________
"Remember that the goal of conspiracy rhetoric is to bog down the discussion, not to make progress toward a solution" Jay Windley "How many leaves on the seventh branch of the fourth tree?" is meaningless when you are in the wrong forest: ozeco41 |
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#200 |
I AM the Red Worm!
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 4,452
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__________________
I'll be the best Congressman money can buy! As usual, he doesn't understand the relevant sciences, can't Google for the right thing, and appears to rely on the notion that a word salad liberally sprinkled with Google Croutons will make his argument seem coherent. -JayUtah |
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