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#1 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Massachusetts, USA
Posts: 7,273
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Military coup in Bolivia removes president Morales.
Haven't seen any posts about this anywhere.
A military coup in unfolding in Bolivia. President Morales has fled to Mexico under fear of being arrested or murdered by the military. It is becoming increasingly clear that complaints about voting irregularity were just a pretext for a coup. Jeanine Aņez has declared herself the interim president. She is the head of a far-right party that is not popular, carrying less than 5% of the vote. She has declared that the police and military will not be prosecuted for any murders they commit in order to restore order. Aņez has announced the formation of a "special apparatus" who's mission is to arrest members of the MAS party, who currently hold about 2/3 of the seats in the legislature. Despite all this, many politicians in the Western world refuse to acknowledge that this is a military coup. https://www.commondreams.org/news/20...arrest-leftist |
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#2 |
Orthogonal Vector
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 50,155
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From this article it seems a bit hard to say at the moment how much it counts as a coup or not.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...enounce-a-coup It doesn't look like either Morales or Aņez are terribly interested in keeping democracy going. There seem to be some real issues with the vote, and declaring victory before the counting is done and removing the term limits for president are not great signs that Morales is on the up and up. |
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#3 |
Philosopher
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#4 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 3,369
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Doesn't seem like there's a real good side in this story. I think Ponding is correct, neither Anez nor Morales seem much interested in democratic values.
Edit to add a link and a quote that I find interesting. https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/12/w...ales-coup.html
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#5 |
NWO Litter Technician
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Looks like Finland. Smells like Finland. Quacks like Finland. Where the hell am I?
Posts: 14,364
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#6 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 48,586
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What a weird thing to say. I doubt many polticians have been asked the question and refused to answer. I think you probably mean that many politicians have not yet made a statement about what's going on in Bolivia.
And that is reasonable. Most western politicians have immediate duties to their constituents, who elected them and have interests much closer to home than what's going on in Bolivia. Most politicians probably don't know enough about the situation there, don't know enough about their own government's diplomatic and economic position (which is probably still developing), and don't know enough about their own party's position (which is probably also still developing), to have anything meaningful to say at this time. Did you have any specific politicians in mind, who you believe can and should be voicing public opinions about Bolivia at this time? |
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#7 |
Orthogonal Vector
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 50,155
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That seems to be what was called for, provided she does her job of holding elections in 90 days which see doesn't seem to care about.
The elections seem to be invalid and need to be redone and the procedure for that is to have the person in her position be temporary president to do that. If she refuses to hold elections then it would be a fall of democracy, but this seems more of a breakdown in democracy that a true military coup. I also did not see that the military is solidly behind her, |
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Sufficiently advanced Woo is indistinguishable from Parody "There shall be no *poofing* in science" Paul C. Anagnostopoulos Force ***** on reasons back" Ben Franklin |
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#8 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Massachusetts, USA
Posts: 7,273
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I suppose a wait and see is in order, but the arrests of opposition politicians and journalists are a very bad sign. I would expect that effort will be made to prevent MAS from fielding candidates on some flimsy pretext.
Seems like a very real possibility to me that the anti-Morales talking points are just a pretext to violently remove a fairly popular leftist government and install an unpopular, hard right government in its place. The "transitional" government is already taking steps that most would consider beyond the scope of an interim government, such as radically changing policy unrelated to holding a prompt election. The political purge is ramping up, not calming https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/16/w...core-ios-share |
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#9 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Dec 2018
Location: Mexico
Posts: 1,859
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The only thing on Mexican news is blurbs of the temp leader calling the deposed leader to justice.
He did leave before the coup took real force. Either way, best to worry for him later and get the country back on its feet now. |
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#10 |
Ewige Blumenkraft
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Ivory Tower
Posts: 18,859
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I GIMPed a wiphala into my avatar yesterday in solidarity with the people who now suffer under these freaks for a (I predict short) while, but I didn't feel like knowing what the usual suspects here have to relay about what they read in the Guardian or NYT. For those interested, me and my comrades at ACLOS have compiled a bunch of information. |
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#11 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
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#12 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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Lol, no.
Morales 'won' the reelection, but voting irregularities were so profound he couldn't keep up the pretense. The protests against Morales have been going on for a while and police joined them. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-b...-idUSKBN1XI20M
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https://www.commondreams.org/views/2...oil-domination https://www.commondreams.org/views/2...c-coup-ukraine Politically, the site is about as far deep in the Russian rectum as Trump is. The only difference that I can see is that Trump knows it.
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McHrozni |
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#13 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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I sincierly doubt it. The situation looks similar to that in Venezuela. A populist leftlist took power and stretched it above and beyond democratic norms. Once his antics became unbearable the electorate denied him and the dictator and his ruling elite refused to acknowledge the reality of the sitution.
There's no need for any US involvement at all. The American involvement in Venezuela was exposed by WikiLeaks for all to see, the nefarious "coup attempt" amounted to helping a group of women attain some workplace rights that were guaranteed by the law and ignored by the state. Two more "nefarious operations" were exposed, in one the evil American agents helped an organization for the disabled people make Caracas more accessible to people with various disabilities, in the other they helped organize garbage removal from an impovrished area their government ignored. That was essentially the extent of American involvement. That cable is routinely used as proof USA staged an attempted coup against Maduro. I guess the situation in Bolivia is similar. McHrozni |
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#14 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Massachusetts, USA
Posts: 7,273
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Morales was the plurality winner of the election, so he's not unpopular as you claim. The disputed election results had to do with whether he had won by at least 10% margin to avoid a runoff.
Yes, she was the person in line for succession after the military ran off both the president and vice president. A resignation at the point of a bayonet is not exactly what most would call the lawful transition of power.
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https://www.washingtonpost.com/world...8a3_story.html The decree granting impunity to kill was issued on Nov 14. On Nov 15 the military opened fire on protests in Cochabamba, killing 9 and injuring dozens. from wikipedia (the original sources are spanish, so some faith is required here): "Arturo Murillo, Áņezs new interior minister, vowed to hunt down his predecessor Juan Ramón Quintana, a prominent Morales ally, stoking fears of a witch-hunt against members of the previous administration.[64] He later announced he would start arresting certain members of the previous government who he accused of subversion.[73] Roxana Lizárraga, Áņez's communication minister, stated that she had a list of journalists who were "involved in sedition" and threatened them with persecution.[63]" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_B...s#cite_note-73 New elections have yet to be scheduled. We'll see if the coup is really interested in honoring the constitution, which requires a new election in 90 days. |
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#15 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 12,632
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You might like this twitter feed:
https://twitter.com/MaxBlumenthal Here's who Max is: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Max_Blumenthal
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https://twitter.com/caitoz/status/1196252869864742912 (I can't completely write off the possibility that the video is people just acting, and the source, that Matt Binder guy, is up to something nefarious. But damn. Cait thinks he's legit, and I've never caught her being wrong or using a dubious source before, but nobody is perfect.) |
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#16 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Massachusetts, USA
Posts: 7,273
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Spanish posts from alleged Bolivian tagged with "Bolivia No Hay Golpe", which is "No coup in Bolivia" was trending on Twitter out of VA. Langley VA is where the CIA spooks are headquartered.
Sloppy work from the feds. https://twitter.com/AllezLesBoulez/s...85622924939265 |
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#17 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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The way the election was handled by authorities rises deep questions about whether or not the count was fair and there are allegations of widespread fraud that go unadressed by the officials. The count was suspended with no good reason and Morales declared the winner.
A clear winner with nothing to hide wouldn't need to do so.
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There were three weeks of incessant protests, joined up by police who were apparently fed up with the government. How is that a military coup? Then you didn't look very hard. It was a public decree. Here's another source. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world...8a3_story.html[/quote] Paywall, sorry.
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It is not a license for the Armed Forces to kill, Presidency Minister Jerjes Justiniano told a press conference. He said the decree is based on the Criminal Code, which states that if one defends oneself in self-defense, there is no penalty. https://apnews.com/530280a8d9674f58ad19af8d3f00edee There's also this: Protesters said police fired Friday when demonstrators tried to cross a military checkpoint in Sacaba, a town near Cochabamba.
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Aņez has announced the formation of a "special apparatus" who's mission is to arrest members of the MAS party Are you now changing the claim the goal of the apparatus is not to arrest members of the MAS party, but rather specific leaders, for whatever reason? I'm asking because the two claims are like night and day.
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Then all the other things you posted from a clear propaganda site. McHrozni |
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#18 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Massachusetts, USA
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Just waiting to see what rationalization the "interim" government gives when they decide to postpone the election, prevent the MAS from running a candidate, or otherwise improperly entrench a right wing president.
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#19 |
Ewige Blumenkraft
Join Date: Jun 2006
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#20 |
Penultimate Amazing
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#21 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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Right now the problem is the national board of elections is tainted by people who faked the previous election and the MAS majority in the parliament refuses to accept new ones.
http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/201..._138566401.htm You can't run an election without electoral authorities and you can't run a democratic election when the electoral authorities blatantly favor one side. Yet, MAS is adamant nothing can be changed. Bolivia's top electoral authority announced on Sunday night that Morales had won with 45.3% of the votes, with his closest rival, former President Carlos Mesa, coming in second with 38.2%. Morales fell short of clearing a 10-percentage-point difference with Mesa to avoid a runoff. But on Monday, vote counting was suspended. Some 24 hours later, the electoral body said that Morales now led with 46.41% to Mesa's 37.06%, with 95% of the votes counted. https://www.dw.com/en/eu-extremely-c...ote/a-50939495 The discrepancy went unaddressed. Clearly the electoral body must be replaced before any new elections. I'm sure MAS will carry no blame with the 'sources' you and CE cite. "All they want is to win the election again, using the same corrupt methods they did to win all their elections. It's democracy, because their side wins." or something to that effect. McHrozni |
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#22 |
Ewige Blumenkraft
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Ivory Tower
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![]() 101. Aside from the nonsensical nature of your "opinion", the source is given in my snippet and linked in the article. Go find something to smear the head of social media of Podemos with. |
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#23 |
"más divertido"
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#24 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Massachusetts, USA
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An opinion piece on why this should be considered a coup:
https://jacobinmag.com/2019/11/coup-...s-jeanine-anez |
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#25 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Sacramento
Posts: 49,938
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Why do I feel like playing a game of "Tropico"?
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#26 |
Orthogonal Vector
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 50,155
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#27 |
NWO Litter Technician
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Looks like Finland. Smells like Finland. Quacks like Finland. Where the hell am I?
Posts: 14,364
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Let's condemn them if/when they do that. Let's not condemn them beforehand because they might.
And BTW, Morales shouldn't even have been a candidate anymore. Bolivia has term limits, but a friendly Supreme Court ruled that they don't apply to him because he's got to have the right to run. |
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#28 |
"más divertido"
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: USA! USA!
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Term limits are for suckers.
- Hugo Chavez, probably |
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#29 |
Orthogonal Vector
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 50,155
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No they ruled that the term he was in office when the constitution was written didn't count toward the limits, rather like the 22 amendment didn't apply to Truman's first term, like it would apply if the same events happened later.
Then he had the law changed to permit more terms as president. "Bolivias constitution, drawn up under Morales, sets a two-term limit. His first election victory was discounted from the tally, because it came under the previous constitution, allowing him to run successfully for a third term. Soon after, he tried clearing the way for another run at high office, with a 2016 referendum to abolish presidential term limits." https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...enounce-a-coup |
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#30 |
Penultimate Amazing
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#31 |
Ewige Blumenkraft
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Ivory Tower
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#32 |
Ewige Blumenkraft
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Ivory Tower
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#33 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Sacramento
Posts: 49,938
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Wow, Coup in a unstable Latin American Country. That never happened before....
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#34 |
Ewige Blumenkraft
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Ivory Tower
Posts: 18,859
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You know what happens if you give free housing and other goodies to the people. Because you played Tropico. No, wait, likely you never tried and never won (winning is equal to being a good head of state for 50 years in Tropico, without being overthrown by the people, the US or the USSR). Evo managed about 13. And I win all the time. |
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#35 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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Right off the bat, we see this:
Morales was elected to his third term in 2014 by the highest percentage of votes — 63 percent — of any free election since universal suffrage Repeat after me. The fact Morales won in 2014 does not mean his 'reelection' in 2019 was free or fair. Got that? Let's try this again. The fact Morales won in 2014 does not mean his 'reelection' in 2019 was free or fair. At this point I can make a prediction: It's a coup because a guy they support lost. He then goes on to quote CEPR as an source of independent analysis. http://cepr.net/press-center/press-r...analysis-shows CEPR is not known for being independent or unbiased. http://cepr.net/publications/reports...e-of-venezuela http://cepr.net/blogs/the-americas-b...onse-to-trolls CEPR a propaganda mouthpiece for the Latin American left, financed by Venezuelan oil and other vested interests. Yet the author of the opinion piece cites the propaganda rag as 'independent analysis'. It is neither. Most of the remainder is about a coup in Bolivia that happened in 1964. The reasoning goes: there was a coup in Bolivia in 1964, therefore the events in Bolivia in 2019 are also a coup. In other words, my initial prediction has borne out and then some. The Jacobin is a just another propaganda rag, nothing more. Furthermore, if you believe Trump's administration is capable of carrying out a coup against a popular president I have a bridge to sell you. McHrozni |
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#36 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
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If you play beyond those 50 years you can see why free housing and other goodies are a bad idea in the long run. However leftlist activists somehow convinced themselves the world remains static and once those issues have been taken care of no problems remain to be solved. It's almost as if they thought Tropico was a fair and accurate simulator of a proper state, not a game meant to entertain, with inherent limits to the programming.
McHrozni |
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#37 |
Ewige Blumenkraft
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#38 |
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#39 |
Penultimate Amazing
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#40 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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It's common among left-wing propagandists to denounce every change of power to someone they don't like as a "coup". By now they've successfully dilluted the meaning of the word to the point of irrelevance.
What is happening in Bolivia is a very strange electoral procedure with opaque and unexplainable results with their electoral authorities. The legislators show no interest in either exploring the strange results or restoring faith in elections and prefer to push "it's a coup!!1" narrative. Any comparison with the narrative of the GOP regarding impeachment of Trump is not at all coincidential. McHrozni |
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