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#41 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Sweden
Posts: 6,768
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I only mentioned that for rhetorical effect. The reality of the situation is that the most serious problems were not going to be solved by just shutting down the entire country. It sure isn't working any miracles in Denmark. In that regard it's really strange that people get the impression that it somehow make all the difference in the world.
The people who are most vulnerable to the disease are going to need to be cared for by people who could not be tested for infection and who would lack access to sufficient protective equipment to minimize the risk of infecting them. That's the basic problem. A so called total "lockdown" would buy Sweden a little bit more time to get supplies and try to reorganize the care of the elderly to decrease the risk of infection, but at the same time cause even greater socioeconomic damage than the mix of current coercive methods and voluntary recommendations have already done. In the end a "lockdown" is not sustainable. Just because it lowers the rate of infection does not mean that this somehow eliminates the virus. It is still there and at some point society has to return to some degree of normalcy. At that point it's going to start all over again unless you somehow can prevent it from spreading via vaccination. That's at least a year away from now, not a couple of months. It's really telling that in other countries they are increasingly talking about "opening up" but still maintaining some specific and general restrictions. That's where Sweden is now. It's not like we are doing nothing, yet somehow that's how people choose to portray it. Sometimes jumping on the bandwagon is not worthwhile. |
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We would be a lot safer if the Government would take its money out of science and put it into astrology and the reading of palms. Only in superstition is there hope. - Kurt Vonnegut Jr And no, Cuba is not a brutal and corrupt dictatorship, and it's definitely less so than Sweden. - dann |
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#42 |
NWO Cyborg 5960x (subversion VPUNPCKHQDQ)
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Starship Wanderer - DS9
Posts: 13,284
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Sweden could have tried Czech approach...
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#43 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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Your defense of the Swedish corona strategy is pathetic and inconsistent:
That depends on your defintion of "the most serious problems". I suppose your reference to "miracles", "entire country" and "all the difference in the world" is also only a rhetorical effect since no country has been entirely shut down yet. It serves the purpose of defending a strategy that didn't want to make a difference by claiming that differences don't matter if they are not the perfect solution to the entirety of the most serious problems.
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Who could not be tested or who just weren't tested? And why did they lack protective equipment? And yes, you got that part of it right: A lockdown (why would it be so-called and in quotations marks?) would actually have made it possible to test hosptial and nursing home employees and get them into protective gear, which would have cost money, of course, which to you isn't what other people would call necessary expenses but instead "greater socioeconomic damage". 'Sorry, Granma!'
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Nothing makes a lockdown (again the quotation marks used the way Trump uses them) unsustainable. And your argument is absurd: Nobody at all claims that it "somehow eliminates the virus" (not at this point, it doesn't!). Lowering the rate of infection is the whole point! And yes, when you open up again, it starts spreading again, but this time at a speed where you can prevent it from running wild until you get a vaccination. You don't simply open up, you do so in a limited and controlled fashion. You pretend that countries using some form of lockdown will just be opening up again completely, eliminating all restrictions. You may be ignorant of the fact that this is not how it's done (DR.dk, April 6, 2020), but I think you actually know that and that you are just pretending not to know the same way you keep using your hyperbole.
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Sweden, which refused to implement a coronavirus lockdown, has so far avoided a mass outbreak. Now it's bracing for a surge in deaths. (Business Insider, April 7, 2020) To a very large part of humanity, trying to protect the elderly and the immuno-deficient is worthwhile in and of itself and has nothing to do with "jumping on the bandwagon." Jumping on the bandwagon of people like Trump and Bolsonaro to avoid "socioeconomic damage" is disgusting. I pity you, Swedish far- och morföräldrar! |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#44 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 14,172
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I really see no point in jumping to the defense of the Swedish Corona response. Either it will work in the long run, or it won't. We don't know. Nobody does. I get the feeling my government is taking the problem seriously and doesn't involve magical thinking or pseudo science. They have left scientists in charge of determining the correct course of action. These scientists may be wrong, and there are other scientists saying so. The problem is that we don't have time to test the various approaches.
We are left with two bad options, and we've picked the one who seemed best for us. |
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Before you say something stupid about climate change, check this list. "If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are intolerant, if we are not prepared to defend a tolerant society against the onslaught of the intolerant, then the tolerant will be destroyed, and tolerance with them. " Karl Popper, The Open Society and Its Enemies Vol. 1 |
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#45 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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In the current situation, it is self-evident that "we don't have time to test the various various approaches," which is why you're left with having to choose the one that doesn't seem least likely to succeed.
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By the way, I don't know how to describe this grotesque piece of Danish 'reporting' (My translation):
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#46 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 14,172
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I just don't see how the numbers you present paint Sweden's approach as a necessarily poorer one than other the approach of other countries. Sweden's approach is unique. The nations with fewer deaths per million citizens are using the lock-down strategy, but so are the nations with more deaths.
Again, I think it's completely up in the air. If you feel that the Danish approach is better, good on you. It's good that the Danish government has chosen an approach that you feel is sensible. I feel the same for the Swedish approach. I think that it's sensible in the absence of a definitive answer. |
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Before you say something stupid about climate change, check this list. "If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are intolerant, if we are not prepared to defend a tolerant society against the onslaught of the intolerant, then the tolerant will be destroyed, and tolerance with them. " Karl Popper, The Open Society and Its Enemies Vol. 1 |
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#47 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Sweden
Posts: 6,768
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Your own numbers show that a "lockdown" is not a panacea for anything. The countries with the most deaths are the ones with most severe restrictions. Apparently that point keeps flying over your head.
Again, I've tried to explain this to you before but you refuse to acknowledge it: a lack of a lockdown is not the problem. It's not going change very much. The simple fact remains that the lack of preparedness for major health crises like this cannot be undone by shutting down everything. "But-but my graphs! I'm a genius epidemiologist because I can read graphs and I'm much smarter than the Swedes!" |
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We would be a lot safer if the Government would take its money out of science and put it into astrology and the reading of palms. Only in superstition is there hope. - Kurt Vonnegut Jr And no, Cuba is not a brutal and corrupt dictatorship, and it's definitely less so than Sweden. - dann |
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#48 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Way way north of Diddy Wah Diddy
Posts: 27,224
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I love this world, but not for its answers. (Mary Oliver) Quand il dit "cuic" le moineau croit tout dire. (When he's tweeted the sparrow thinks he's said it all. (Jules Renard) |
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#49 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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Yes, now they are! The nations with more deaths are the ones who came to their senses too late.
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It's not a question of how I feel. It appears to be in your case. In the absence of a definitive answer, it's usually recommendable to go with a preliminary one based on your gut feeling - the Trump way. |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#50 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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Yes, now they are. At least, they were able to learn from their own experience. Swedes appear to be unable to learn from the experience of other countries.
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Again you resort to hyperbole. Nobody in the world has recommended "shutting down everything," but your strawman seems to comfort you. Similarly, nobody has claimed that "the lack of preparedness" can be undone, but again: Why not invent a strawman when you have no argument against the actual argument? The superior strategy for countries that were better prepared from the beginning is the one pursued by Iceland and the Faroe Islands: Test and isolate, preferably not in their own homes if they can infect others there. Iceland Infected: 1616 Deaths: 6 Recovered: 633 Faroe Islands Infected: 184 Deaths: 0 Recovered: 136 Nyeste corona-tal fra Danmark og verden: Så mange er smittede, døde og indlagte (TV2, April 9, 2020)
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"But-but why resort to facts when hyperbole and wishful thinking are superior to knowledge about reality!" |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#51 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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If you are in Sweden and get cancer, you should consider getting it some other time: Tusentals operationer ställs in cancersjuke Ridvan en av de drabbade (SVT.se, April 9, 2020)
Translation: Thousands of operations are cancelled - cancerpatient Ridvan is one of those who are affected
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#52 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 1,642
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#53 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Sweden
Posts: 6,768
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"Wishful thinking" is that a danish communist without a clue somehow knows better than Sweden's leading epidemiological experts, bureaucrats and managers of the healthcare system because he can google up news articles. In fact they are IDIOTS compared to you and your graphs. You know better than all of them.
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We would be a lot safer if the Government would take its money out of science and put it into astrology and the reading of palms. Only in superstition is there hope. - Kurt Vonnegut Jr And no, Cuba is not a brutal and corrupt dictatorship, and it's definitely less so than Sweden. - dann |
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#54 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Sweden
Posts: 6,768
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Yes. At least in some areas where immigrants make up a large majority of the population the amount of people who have been infected is way above the norm.
This is at least partially due to the fact that the authorities did not inform them sufficiently, as many immigrants in these areas are more or less cut-off from the rest of Swedish society because of language barriers and a tendency of self-segregation among their own communities. The elderly are especially unlikely to learn Swedish or otherwise interact with native Swedes, meaning that they are unlikely to have been informed about the need to maintain social distancing and self-isolation. Edit: Again, a large source of deaths are from the inability to protect the elderly because of among other things a more or less complete lack of protective equipment. |
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We would be a lot safer if the Government would take its money out of science and put it into astrology and the reading of palms. Only in superstition is there hope. - Kurt Vonnegut Jr And no, Cuba is not a brutal and corrupt dictatorship, and it's definitely less so than Sweden. - dann |
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#55 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 14,172
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Well, in that case, there's really no use for us to change our strategy either, is it?
Yes, to me it's a question of how I feel, because I don't know. You don't know either. I trust that my government is not putting my and the people I love's lives at risk out of malice or even stupidity. The rules they have set up might be wrong-headed, but we don't know that yet, and the numbers you have presented do not show that. I understand that it's provoking a lot of people who are suffering under a lock-down that other people aren't. I am starting to believe that this is the main reason for this ire against Sweden. |
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Before you say something stupid about climate change, check this list. "If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are intolerant, if we are not prepared to defend a tolerant society against the onslaught of the intolerant, then the tolerant will be destroyed, and tolerance with them. " Karl Popper, The Open Society and Its Enemies Vol. 1 |
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#56 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 14,172
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Before you say something stupid about climate change, check this list. "If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are intolerant, if we are not prepared to defend a tolerant society against the onslaught of the intolerant, then the tolerant will be destroyed, and tolerance with them. " Karl Popper, The Open Society and Its Enemies Vol. 1 |
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#57 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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No, not better than all of them: Swedish scientists call for evidence-based policy on COVID-19 (For Better Science, April 7, 2020). Unlike you, I just think that evidence-based science is superior to wishful thinking - in particular in questions of health and medicine. |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#58 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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No, it's not. It has nothing to do with "inability". It has everything to do with a refusal to do anything about it. Besides, a "complete lack of protective equipment" is one of the reasons why a lockdown would have served the purpose of slowing down the virus until that protective equipment had been acquired, but ... sorry, Granma, ... that's your problem!
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#59 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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There's every reason to change your strategy:
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The rules that they have set up are wrong-headed, and your own attitude is based on nothing but feelings and trust. It is true that many things will only be known when this pandemic is over, but you refuse to learn from what we do know at this point, which means that all you do is pick sides: You choose to trust that your "government is not putting my and the people I love's lives at risk out of malice or even stupidity" over the recommendations of the WHO:
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Which, by the way, is one point where Trump seems to agree with the Swedish government. |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#60 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#61 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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As in all other parts of the world, when the virus has been introduced into a country by rich people returning from holidays in infected areas, poor people will suffer disproportionally as it spreads to them. At the beginning of the epidemic in Denmark, the number of infections was highest in the affluent neighborhoods, but at this point it seems to have spread to the municipalities with the highest number of immigrants as well while the rich people are either working from home or escaping to their second homes, infecting new populations - or sometimes combining both options. |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#62 |
Philosophile
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Osaka, Japan
Posts: 28,914
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I don't know about that. I keep getting directed to the same National Review Online article that praises this strategy by people who ask, "Why can't we be like Sweden instead of being locked down!?"
The article is four days old though, and about one hundred people have died every day since it came out. I would say that is the reason why the article doesn't persuade me, not jealousy. |
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"The thief and the murderer follow nature just as much as the philanthropist. Cosmic evolution may teach us how the good and the evil tendencies of man may have come about; but, in itself, it is incompetent to furnish any better reason why what we call good is preferable to what we call evil than we had before." "Evolution and Ethics" T.H. Huxley (1893) |
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#63 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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One hundred people a day, that is considerably fewer than in Sweden. The problem is that when a lockdown starts, it takes some time until the people who have already been infected stop being hospitalized and dying. It takes a couple of weeks to become noticeable in the number of hospitalizations and deaths. Take a look at the three graphs: Indlagte på danske hospitaler = Hospitalizations in Denmark: https://nyheder.tv2.dk/samfund/2020-...de-og-indlagte (TV2, April 10, 2020) The three graphs show: 1) total number of coronavirus patients hospitalized, 2) those in intensive care and 3) those on respirators/ventilators. And the next one, Dødsfald I Danmark = Deaths in Denmark, in total and day by day. Lockdowns work, but they should have been implemented much sooner. In the meantime, you hear insane arguments like, 'OK, så old people are dying, but that is not because we don't have a lockdown, that's just due to "a more or less complete lack of protective equipment."' I don't know what the hell people like this think is supposed to happen during a lockdown! |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#64 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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Meanwhile:
Coronaviruset stoppar cellprovtagningar i flera regioner (SVT.se, April 10, 2020) Professorn om pausade cellprov: Det är ett jätteproblem (SVT.se, April 10, 2020) |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#65 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 20,100
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Yup, we're into week 3 (of lock down) here now, and our active cases have dropped or remained steady for the past 4 days and the number of cases per day have halved since last week. As of today we had 1,283 cases, 44 new cases and 56 reported recoveries making 373 recoveries, with just 2 deaths so far. We've done around 35,000 tests.
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#66 |
The Clarity Is Devastating
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Betwixt
Posts: 17,272
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A zømbie once bit my sister... |
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#67 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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And as of this post, the USA (51 per million) now has more confirmed deaths per capita than Norway (20 per million). The USA also has 466.299 confirmed cases of coronavirus infections, Norway has 6.219, and since hardly anybody in the USA is being tested, not even people who suspect that they've come down with Covid-19, it is fair to assume that millions of Americans are now infected. What do those numbers tell you, Baylor? They tell me that Norway is doing its best to test and then isolate as many as possible, and that the USA is headed by a lying, unscrupulous dimwit. Nyeste corona-tal fra Danmark og verden: Så mange er smittede, døde og indlagte (TV2, April 10, 2020) |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#68 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#69 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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Doctors in Sweden receive a letter telling them how to distinguish between coronavirus patients, i.e. which patients won't receive intensive care if hospitals run out of hospital beds in intensive-care units:
Dokument sendt til læger: Sverige forberedt på at prioritere mellem coronapatienter (TV2, April 10, 2020) Dokument visar: De prioriteras bort från intensivvård (Aftonbladet, April 10, 2020) Yes. I wish it weren't so. |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#70 |
Philosophile
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Osaka, Japan
Posts: 28,914
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"The thief and the murderer follow nature just as much as the philanthropist. Cosmic evolution may teach us how the good and the evil tendencies of man may have come about; but, in itself, it is incompetent to furnish any better reason why what we call good is preferable to what we call evil than we had before." "Evolution and Ethics" T.H. Huxley (1893) |
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#71 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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Yes, I think you are right. But how much is Japan?!
ETA: Japan has only 99 deaths??? Amazing! People can't appreciate their grandparents much if they want to abandon the Japanese strategy in favor of the Swedish way of doing things. |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#72 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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Quote:
Translation (I'm not as fluent in Swedish as in Danish, dann): On the day when Anders Tegnell said that the spread of the virus was "evening out," more new cases than ever were registered. There is still a high degree of contamination in the Swedish capital, the region says. - Just when the Health Authority made its statement, I didn't really feel that I had the same impression, Per Folin, MD of infections. Region Stockholm: To early to talk about flattening of the curve: Recommends having Easter lunches June 5 to 7 instead The top advisor on Covid-19 in Sweden, Anders Tegnell, appears to be playing the pandemic down much like Trump. |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#73 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 14,172
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I suppose the only thing I can say is that Sweden isn't going to drastically change course. We might (and probably will) increase restrictions incrimentally as things get worse, but we're not going to lock down the country tomorrow. If the strategy that the government has chosen turns out to be wrong when all accounts are tallied after the crisis is complete, there will be a reckoning. Until then, we'll keep doing our thing.
I work for the government, and our department has presented an internal plan of action should the infected cases increase dramatically in our region. Step one is to send home people who are identified as having increased risk - other diseases, smokers, obese people etc. They would work from home. The next step is to have a skeleton crew manning posts and only perform absolute necessary tasks. The last step is a closing of the department. Every escalation is dependent on advice from Folkhälsomyndigheten (Department of Public Health). Right now, if anybody has mild symptoms they stay home under quarantine. Otherwise, it's business more or less as usual, although that is certainly not quite true. There are much fewer people out an about than normal. Businesses are taking measures to avoid crowding. Went shopping for wine yesterday and had to queue outdoors, two meters behind one person and two in front of the next. People are following the rules as best they can. There's no real siege mentality yet, but there's certainly tension in the air. |
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Before you say something stupid about climate change, check this list. "If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are intolerant, if we are not prepared to defend a tolerant society against the onslaught of the intolerant, then the tolerant will be destroyed, and tolerance with them. " Karl Popper, The Open Society and Its Enemies Vol. 1 |
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#74 |
Philosophile
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Osaka, Japan
Posts: 28,914
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Yeah, but I realize my posts may be confusing.
To explain, a lot of people wanting to follow the Swedish model are friends of mine in the UK, Canada, NZ etc... Here in Japan, we have only just started implementing a state of emergency in Osaka and Tokyo and a few other prefectures. One person who sent me that link does have a pub in Osaka which he has just shut for the duration of the state of emergency. Other pubs and restaurants are being strongly encouraged to do the same. That said, a lot of other non-essential businesses like Pachinko parlours seem to be going on as before. Most shops are still open, the hairdresser's across from me are open. It's true that the schools have been closed since the end of February in these prefectures, but in other places the schools are opening up again. On top of that, rush hour is continuing pretty much as before with crowded trains and people simply going to work even if they live in Osaka and work in Kyoto. It's quite a mystery why there has not been an explosion of deaths in Japan yet. |
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"The thief and the murderer follow nature just as much as the philanthropist. Cosmic evolution may teach us how the good and the evil tendencies of man may have come about; but, in itself, it is incompetent to furnish any better reason why what we call good is preferable to what we call evil than we had before." "Evolution and Ethics" T.H. Huxley (1893) |
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#75 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Sweden
Posts: 6,768
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Well if the forums amateur epidemiologists recommendations are anything to go by the best way is simply to copy the countries doing well without even considering wheter the situations are even similar. If Japan does something and it is working (at least for the moment) then obviously it must have the same effect here.
Who cares what experts, with an intimate picture of what is feasible, think? They are COMPLETE IDIOTS. You don't even need to take a basic introductory university course in biology to see that it's obvious, based on this graph I just saw on facebook, that we must rally to the great Japanese way immediately! |
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We would be a lot safer if the Government would take its money out of science and put it into astrology and the reading of palms. Only in superstition is there hope. - Kurt Vonnegut Jr And no, Cuba is not a brutal and corrupt dictatorship, and it's definitely less so than Sweden. - dann |
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#76 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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I seem to have offended our resident Swedish virus expert. The Swedish primeminister seems to disagree with him:
Quote:
In an interview in Swedish Television's (SVT) holiday studios on the morning of Easter Night, primeminister Stefan Löfven says that Sweden could have been better prepared for the pandemic. - We were not sufficiently prepared. That is obvious to everybody. Senaste nytt om coronaviruset (SVT.se, April 11, 2020) This time, Trump is actually right about one thing: Conditions in the USA could have been much worse if the Swedish model had been adopted. Conditions are worse in Sweden! Sverige Deaths: 870 Deaths per million: 87 USA Deaths: 18.777 Deaths per million: 57 |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#77 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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But a reckoning doesn't really help anybody. It may help another politician get elected to replace the current PM, but that's about it.
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Unfortunately, that doesn't help much:
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11 international research studies show that people without symptoms infect others to a considerable degree. Danish as well as international top scientists have told the paper (Berlingske) that it is well-documented that people without symptoms can transmit the disease to others. |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#78 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#79 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,253
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__________________
/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#80 |
Philosophile
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Osaka, Japan
Posts: 28,914
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"The thief and the murderer follow nature just as much as the philanthropist. Cosmic evolution may teach us how the good and the evil tendencies of man may have come about; but, in itself, it is incompetent to furnish any better reason why what we call good is preferable to what we call evil than we had before." "Evolution and Ethics" T.H. Huxley (1893) |
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