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Old 6th January 2023, 05:20 AM   #401
carlosy
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Are they going to have a ballot only on weekdays or the weekends too?
I'll have to plan my schedule accordingly.

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Old 6th January 2023, 06:03 AM   #402
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The house rules about the speaker need to be fixed. This is ridiculous. It has worked 100 years but now there will be more of these insurrectionist congresssmen/women. So the simple solution is to put up nominees, vote. Then go to a second round with the top two. The one that gets the most votes, even by 1, is speaker.
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Old 6th January 2023, 06:46 AM   #403
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Originally Posted by Tero View Post
The house rules about the speaker need to be fixed. This is ridiculous. It has worked 100 years but now there will be more of these insurrectionist congresssmen/women. So the simple solution is to put up nominees, vote. Then go to a second round with the top two. The one that gets the most votes, even by 1, is speaker.
Why is this ridiculous? What is the problem?
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Old 6th January 2023, 07:05 AM   #404
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It fits that popular definition of insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result.
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Old 6th January 2023, 07:10 AM   #405
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Originally Posted by Pixel42 View Post
It fits that popular definition of insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result.
Sort of like Groundhog Day ... with just extremely minor changes each iteration.

It is also the most absolutely boring thing that I have ever felt compelled to continue watching!
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Old 6th January 2023, 07:52 AM   #406
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Originally Posted by BobTheCoward View Post
Why is this ridiculous? What is the problem?
It results in minority rule. Any opponent of the candidates still gets to speak their mind in the process before the vote. Both votes. But since there are only two candidates in the final round, they only can speak against those two.
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Old 6th January 2023, 08:14 AM   #407
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Originally Posted by Tero View Post
It results in minority rule. Any opponent of the candidates still gets to speak their mind in the process before the vote. Both votes. But since there are only two candidates in the final round, they only can speak against those two.
psionl0 proposed a similar approach upthread.

The problem is that if less than half of the House members are happy with the speaker then they will seek to depose her/him at the first opportunity.

In the current situation it would result in either McCarthy or Jeffries becoming speaker, neither of which is the first choice of the Freedom Caucus.

If Jeffries won, the GOP would seek to depose him at the first opportunity and would rinse-repeat at every opportunity if he was re-elected due to the GOP's complete inability to pick one of its own.

If McCarthy won, the Freedom Caucus would quickly remember that they hated him and would seek to depose him at the first opportunity and would rinse-repeat at every opportunity if he was re-elected.
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Old 6th January 2023, 08:25 AM   #408
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Originally Posted by The Don View Post
psionl0 proposed a similar approach upthread.

The problem is that if less than half of the House members are happy with the speaker then they will seek to depose her/him at the first opportunity.

In the current situation it would result in either McCarthy or Jeffries becoming speaker, neither of which is the first choice of the Freedom Caucus.

If Jeffries won, the GOP would seek to depose him at the first opportunity and would rinse-repeat at every opportunity if he was re-elected due to the GOP's complete inability to pick one of its own.

If McCarthy won, the Freedom Caucus would quickly remember that they hated him and would seek to depose him at the first opportunity and would rinse-repeat at every opportunity if he was re-elected.
Yeah, it should be anonymous approval voting. Everyone votes for as many candidates as they want, but can only vote for any particular candidate once. Whoever gets the most votes wins. Anonymous voting lets people vote their conscience without fear of reprisal or reward.

ETA: Oh, and no vote to remove followed by another vote for the replacement. Just one ballot to switch Speakers if needed.
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Old 6th January 2023, 09:49 AM   #409
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While silly, none of this has mattered. There really isn't something pressing to be done. Humor but not newsworthy
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Old 6th January 2023, 10:06 AM   #410
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Originally Posted by Susheel View Post
Are any of the Dems under the illusion that whichever Repugnican ultimately gets selected...one might be better than the other? Ultimately whoever is going to get elected is going to go all-in on obstructionism and calling for impeachments on every Dem and their granddad.
There are a couple that might be marginally better than McCarthy or other possible picks. (A few who have spoken against Trump, even if they failed to impeach, and have policies slightly to the left of the fascist core of the Republican party).

But if McCarthy (a man who publicly grovelled to Trump) isn't acceptable to the nutcases in the freedom caucus, I doubt any "moderates" would be.

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Old 6th January 2023, 10:12 AM   #411
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Originally Posted by BobTheCoward View Post
While silly, none of this has mattered. There really isn't something pressing to be done. Humor but not newsworthy
Exactly, it's not as if these are people elected to run a country or something.
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Old 6th January 2023, 10:18 AM   #412
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Originally Posted by Pixel42 View Post
It fits that popular definition of insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result.

That's also the definition of practice, so they might eventually get it right.
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Old 6th January 2023, 10:20 AM   #413
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Originally Posted by Lukraak_Sisser View Post
Exactly, it's not as if these are people elected to run a country or something.
I don't understand why they are being paid, given benefits, or being given a stipend etc... hell even Gaetz had a semi-good point... why is McCarthy already in the Speakers office??? They aren't representatives yet, they are still representatives-elect.

And, how did they hold a vote to remove the metal detectors???

ETA: vote #12 has begun.

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Old 6th January 2023, 10:21 AM   #414
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Originally Posted by Tero View Post
The house rules about the speaker need to be fixed. This is ridiculous. It has worked 100 years but now there will be more of these insurrectionist congresssmen/women. So the simple solution is to put up nominees, vote. Then go to a second round with the top two. The one that gets the most votes, even by 1, is speaker.
The answer is simple and it's not fixing the rules. It is ten moderate Republicans making a deal with the Democrats and choosing a moderate Republican to be Speaker.

I'm troubled and not troubled by the present **** show. I don't want McCarthy as Speaker and I don't want any of the wingnuts in charge either. So I'd rather they do this than run a show trial about Hunter Biden's laptop.
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Old 6th January 2023, 10:27 AM   #415
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Originally Posted by Craig4 View Post
If the Dems start voting present, I don't think it will be that bad. Kev will know they won't do it a second time. If the Dems do it, they get Kevin out of the deal to allow one member to call for a vote to remove the speaker. If McCarthy breaks the deal with the Dems, they have the votes to call for a new speaker and the never Kevins will join them.
Seems rather risky to me.

It assumes that the republicans won't put in some rules after the speaker is selected to prevent that sort of thing (like a rule that "You can only toss out a speaker if a majority of republicans agree"). And even if they didn't do that, it also assumes the anti-McCarthy faction will vote with the commie liberal hippy democrats when there is an explicit vote where they actually have to vote WITH the democrats.

Quote:
It is possible to get a consensus candidate as speaker. A few hours north of Washington DC, the Pennsylvania House just elected a consensus speaker backed by a bipartisan coalition.
Probably a bit easier to do it at the state level, where the politics is a bit more homogenized and there is less publicity.

I am sure there are wingnuts in Pennsylvania, as well as a certain rural/urban divide, but not as extreme as it is federally where you have "Liberal" states like California and backwards states like Wyoming, and the backwards states have more political influence per-capita. Plus, any politician in Pennsylvania who opposed the pick probably won't get invited onto network cable news, as opposed to people like Gaetz, who can use all this as a fundraising tool by appearing on Fox news.
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Old 6th January 2023, 10:29 AM   #416
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Can we assume that this is just a false promise?

From: Huff Post
Rep. Matt Gaetz threatened to quit Congress Thursday if House Republicans make a deal with Democrats to elect a GOP speaker...
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Old 6th January 2023, 10:55 AM   #417
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Originally Posted by Segnosaur View Post
Can we assume that this is just a false promise?

From: Huff Post
Rep. Matt Gaetz threatened to quit Congress Thursday if House Republicans make a deal with Democrats to elect a GOP speaker...
Simple answer is yes.

Gaetz is not going to get a better gig elsewhere. "Hey, if these guys negotiate a
deal that would make me almost irrelevant, I'm going to make myself entirely irrelevant."
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Old 6th January 2023, 10:57 AM   #418
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Originally Posted by acbytesla View Post
Simple answer is yes.

Gaetz is not going to get a better gig elsewhere. "Hey, if these guys negotiate a
deal that would make me almost irrelevant, I'm going to make myself entirely irrelevant.
I mean... unless he gets a Fox News/NewsMax talking heads show or some such.
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Old 6th January 2023, 11:00 AM   #419
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And he (Gaetz) might need to stay in Congress to avoid being arrested!
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Old 6th January 2023, 11:10 AM   #420
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Some of the "rebels" have now voted McCarthy on the 12th vote but not enough for victory.

Wonder what concessions they were able to extract.
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Old 6th January 2023, 11:22 AM   #421
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So suppose McCarthy agrees to do X in exchange for support for the vote. What is stopping him from reneging on all promises afterward? Is there an enforcement mechanism? Can they withdraw support after the fact and undo the election?
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Old 6th January 2023, 11:26 AM   #422
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Failed again

McCarthy 213
Jordan 4
Hern 3
Jeffries 211

Three votes to come and one of those will go to Jeffries
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Old 6th January 2023, 11:30 AM   #423
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Originally Posted by Craig4 View Post
If the Dems start voting present, I don't think it will be that bad. Kev will know they won't do it a second time. If the Dems do it, they get Kevin out of the deal to allow one member to call for a vote to remove the speaker. If McCarthy breaks the deal with the Dems, they have the votes to call for a new speaker and the never Kevins will join them.

It is possible to get a consensus candidate as speaker. A few hours north of Washington DC, the Pennsylvania House just elected a consensus speaker backed by a bipartisan coalition. https://www.inquirer.com/politics/pe...-20230103.html
No offense, but I'm not a fan of this tactic of the Dems just voting present without a deal.

I think the Democrats are handling this the best way that they can which is to stay united and wait for a deal come to them even if it is unlikely. The Dems can not and should not solve the Republicans' problems without a tangible benefit to them.
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Old 6th January 2023, 11:43 AM   #424
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Originally Posted by Random View Post
Yeah, it should be anonymous approval voting. Everyone votes for as many candidates as they want, but can only vote for any particular candidate once. Whoever gets the most votes wins. Anonymous voting lets people vote their conscience without fear of reprisal or reward.

ETA: Oh, and no vote to remove followed by another vote for the replacement. Just one ballot to switch Speakers if needed.
Originally Posted by Tero View Post
The house rules about the speaker need to be fixed. This is ridiculous. It has worked 100 years but now there will be more of these insurrectionist congresssmen/women. So the simple solution is to put up nominees, vote. Then go to a second round with the top two. The one that gets the most votes, even by 1, is speaker.
Originally Posted by psionl0 View Post
If the house is going to make a rule that it takes 218 votes to elect a speaker then anybody with half a brain is going to ask, "What if we can't get 218 votes?".

And it has happened before:

https://www.insideedition.com/us-hou...s-matters-what
These are just solutions in search of a problem, born of an alarmist view of the proceedings. The current system has functioned adequately for 234 years and in that time it has had three failures.... that is a 98.72% success rate.

Even better, on the three occasions it has failed, 1859, 1923 and 2023, it has exposed to the public, fractures and divisions in one party or the other, during controversial times of trouble. That is doing a good service for open government and public accountability.

This system ain't broken. It doesn't need fixing
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Old 6th January 2023, 11:56 AM   #425
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Originally Posted by smartcooky View Post
These are just solutions in search of a problem, born of an alarmist view of the proceedings. The current system has functioned adequately for 234 years and in that time it has had three failures.... that is a 98.72% success rate.

Even better, on the three occasions it has failed, 1859, 1923 and 2023, it has exposed to the public, fractures and divisions in one party or the other, during controversial times of trouble. That is doing a good service for open government and public accountability.

This system ain't broken. It doesn't need fixing
I mostly agree. Eventually a deal will be made. Whether it is a deal between the Never Kevins and the rest of the GOP, or another kind of deal maybe including the Democrats. But this problem will eventually be solved.
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Old 6th January 2023, 12:05 PM   #426
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Originally Posted by smartcooky View Post
These are just solutions in search of a problem, born of an alarmist view of the proceedings. The current system has functioned adequately for 234 years and in that time it has had three failures.... that is a 98.72% success rate.

Even better, on the three occasions it has failed, 1859, 1923 and 2023, it has exposed to the public, fractures and divisions in one party or the other, during controversial times of trouble. That is doing a good service for open government and public accountability.

This system ain't broken. It doesn't need fixing
There just isn't any pressing business right now. It is hard to call it a failure when they really have nothing better to do.
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Old 6th January 2023, 12:13 PM   #427
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Originally Posted by smartcooky View Post
These are just solutions in search of a problem, born of an alarmist view of the proceedings. The current system has functioned adequately for 234 years and in that time it has had three failures.... that is a 98.72% success rate.

Even better, on the three occasions it has failed, 1859, 1923 and 2023, it has exposed to the public, fractures and divisions in one party or the other, during controversial times of trouble. That is doing a good service for open government and public accountability.

This system ain't broken. It doesn't need fixing
97.45% success rate. The Speaker of the House is selected every other year, so this is the 118th Congress, not the 234th.

But yeah, it's good enough I guess. I just really like Approval Voting systems.
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Old 6th January 2023, 12:16 PM   #428
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Originally Posted by acbytesla View Post
The answer is simple and it's not fixing the rules. It is ten moderate Republicans making a deal with the Democrats and choosing a moderate Republican to be Speaker.

I'm troubled and not troubled by the present **** show. I don't want McCarthy as Speaker and I don't want any of the wingnuts in charge either. So I'd rather they do this than run a show trial about Hunter Biden's laptop.
Jim Jordan will be on some committee for sure and there may be one other insurrectionist. I think Hunter Biden's laptop will need to interrogated for sure. Maybe install some AI so it can answer in speech.
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Old 6th January 2023, 12:39 PM   #429
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Originally Posted by acbytesla View Post
No offense, but I'm not a fan of this tactic of the Dems just voting present without a deal.

I think the Democrats are handling this the best way that they can which is to stay united and wait for a deal come to them even if it is unlikely. The Dems can not and should not solve the Republicans' problems without a tangible benefit to them.
How could the Democrats possibly enforce a deal? Counting on any sort of GOP good faith would be political malpractice.

I agree this is the way to go, but not so much for the deal as much as to force a transformative political crisis. It's coming one way or another and at some point what moderates there might be in the GOP are going to have to come to grips that they have to change parties. Moderate democrats will be happy to abandon progressives to form a mildly socially liberal pro-corporate party which would for now have a hammerlock on power. It would take a few cycles for any sort of viable opposition party to form.

This episode might not cause that, but it will make it clearer that it's inevitable.
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Old 6th January 2023, 01:00 PM   #430
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Get ser for the House to cause the US to defualt and crash the economy in a couple of months........
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Old 6th January 2023, 01:02 PM   #431
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GOP moderates are concerned about some of McCarthy's concessions.'
If the Dems were smart they would reach out to them. but I am not sure the Dems will do that. They have their own version of the Freedom Caucus...as much as some here will deny that..who will look at any approach to a GOP member as an act of treason.
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Old 6th January 2023, 01:06 PM   #432
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Originally Posted by smartcooky View Post
These are just solutions in search of a problem, born of an alarmist view of the proceedings. The current system has functioned adequately for 234 years and in that time it has had three failures.... that is a 98.72% success rate.

Even better, on the three occasions it has failed, 1859, 1923 and 2023, it has exposed to the public, fractures and divisions in one party or the other, during controversial times of trouble. That is doing a good service for open government and public accountability.

This system ain't broken. It doesn't need fixing
If the voters mess up and put idiots in office, no system is going to to work.
I do have a problem that many people here are looking for a mechanical solution, not getting that voters messing up is something you can only do so much about
SOme problems really don't have a neat, rational solution. The rules you use for the physical sciences just don;t work where human beings and their emotions are involved.
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Old 6th January 2023, 01:16 PM   #433
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Originally Posted by dudalb View Post
If the voters mess up and put idiots in office, no system is going to to work.
I do have a problem that many people here are looking for a mechanical solution, not getting that voters messing up is something you can only do so much about
SOme problems really don't have a neat, rational solution. The rules you use for the physical sciences just don;t work where human beings and their emotions are involved.
To be fair, a LOT of US policies seem to work on a form of gentlemen's agreement and the GOP has shown an utter willingness to trash all those agreements the moment it's convenient for them (tax returns, not using the white house to campaign, not appointing judges on your way out etc etc).
Perhaps it IS time for the US to put all those agreements in law to prevent such abuse from happening again.
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Old 6th January 2023, 01:19 PM   #434
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Originally Posted by TragicMonkey View Post
So suppose McCarthy agrees to do X in exchange for support for the vote. What is stopping him from reneging on all promises afterward? Is there an enforcement mechanism? Can they withdraw support after the fact and undo the election?
There is no official enforcement mechanism or rules that cannot be discarded or ignored if you want to. Just ask Trump, their mentor on this.

I suspect that is exactly the ploy happening here: Promise the idiots whatever they want so you can win. Then ditch them like they never existed. Plum positions? Committee assignments? You guys?? Nup.
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Old 6th January 2023, 01:20 PM   #435
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Originally Posted by Suddenly View Post
How could the Democrats possibly enforce a deal? Counting on any sort of GOP good faith would be political malpractice.

I agree this is the way to go, but not so much for the deal as much as to force a transformative political crisis. It's coming one way or another and at some point what moderates there might be in the GOP are going to have to come to grips that they have to change parties. Moderate democrats will be happy to abandon progressives to form a mildly socially liberal pro-corporate party which would for now have a hammerlock on power. It would take a few cycles for any sort of viable opposition party to form.

This episode might not cause that, but it will make it clearer that it's inevitable.
They would have to have partners they can trust. There may not be a lot left in the GOP, but there are some.
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Old 6th January 2023, 01:29 PM   #436
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Originally Posted by smartcooky View Post
These are just solutions in search of a problem, born of an alarmist view of the proceedings. The current system has functioned adequately for 234 years and in that time it has had three failures.... that is a 98.72% success rate.

Even better, on the three occasions it has failed, 1859, 1923 and 2023, it has exposed to the public, fractures and divisions in one party or the other, during controversial times of trouble. That is doing a good service for open government and public accountability.

This system ain't broken. It doesn't need fixing
If this were singular glitch in the system that view would make sense, but it seems to be part of a pattern of the norms of US government breaking down over at least the last decade. The Republicans have consistently chosen to break the system whenever it suited them and now this dysfunction is approaching maximum where they are turning on one another.
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Old 6th January 2023, 01:41 PM   #437
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Originally Posted by Lukraak_Sisser View Post
To be fair, a LOT of US policies seem to work on a form of gentlemen's agreement and the GOP has shown an utter willingness to trash all those agreements the moment it's convenient for them (tax returns, not using the white house to campaign, not appointing judges on your way out etc etc).
Perhaps it IS time for the US to put all those agreements in law to prevent such abuse from happening again.
Problem is a lot of those agreements CAN't easily be put into law.
And that the fallacy I am talking about, the "There OUtta Be a Law" fallacy.
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Last edited by dudalb; 6th January 2023 at 01:42 PM.
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Old 6th January 2023, 01:41 PM   #438
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Originally Posted by Garrison View Post
If this were singular glitch in the system that view would make sense, but it seems to be part of a pattern of the norms of US government breaking down over at least the last decade. The Republicans have consistently chosen to break the system whenever it suited them and now this dysfunction is approaching maximum where they are turning on one another.
The monster always turns on it's creator in the end.
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Pacifism is a shifty doctrine under which a man accepts the benefits of the social group without being willing to pay - and claims a halo for his dishonesty.

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Old 6th January 2023, 01:46 PM   #439
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Originally Posted by acbytesla View Post
They would have to have partners they can trust. There may not be a lot left in the GOP, but there are some.
Maybe, but if that were true they'd be dealing to permanently cross the aisle.

That's the deal the moderate Democrats make. They offer inducements to those willing to jump the sinking GOP ship. The Democrats have far more credibility in living up to this. It's basically a moderate Democrat wet dream. They get power and more leverage to ignore progressives that make their donors nervous.

If they make a deal that leaves the GOP in power the GOP won't deliver and maybe the Dems get 5% of what was promised and then take a victory lap like this is an accomplishment.
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Old 6th January 2023, 01:53 PM   #440
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Originally Posted by Suddenly View Post
Maybe, but if that were true they'd be dealing to permanently cross the aisle.

That's the deal the moderate Democrats make. They offer inducements to those willing to jump the sinking GOP ship. The Democrats have far more credibility in living up to this. It's basically a moderate Democrat wet dream. They get power and more leverage to ignore progressives that make their donors nervous.

If they make a deal that leaves the GOP in power the GOP won't deliver and maybe the Dems get 5% of what was promised and then take a victory lap like this is an accomplishment.
This would basically lead to a coalition House of Representatives where Republicans and Democrats would have to work together. But I don't expect it to happen.
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