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Old 8th January 2023, 03:51 PM   #521
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We can speculate all we want. In fact, the Terrible Twenty think they now have control over Congress. They think they can "block" all sorts of legislation the GOP puts up, because it will be "too woke" or "not Trumpy-fascist enough".

Fact is, the Congress now has effectively three parties, not two. The smallest is the Terrible Twenty. And the largest is the Democrats! So the Dems effectively hold the whip hand now, not the Terrible Twenty. If the more sensible Republicans negotiate normally and in good faith with the Dems rather than trying to placate the Terrible Twenty, they will actually get government stuff done. The Terrible Twenty will simply get sidelined.
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Old 8th January 2023, 04:00 PM   #522
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Originally Posted by Norman Alexander View Post
We can speculate all we want. In fact, the Terrible Twenty think they now have control over Congress. They think they can "block" all sorts of legislation the GOP puts up, because it will be "too woke" or "not Trumpy-fascist enough".

Fact is, the Congress now has effectively three parties, not two. The smallest is the Terrible Twenty. And the largest is the Democrats! So the Dems effectively hold the whip hand now, not the Terrible Twenty. If the more sensible Republicans negotiate normally and in good faith with the Dems rather than trying to placate the Terrible Twenty, they will actually get government stuff done. The Terrible Twenty will simply get sidelined.
Hopefully this is the actual result of this fiasco.
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Old 8th January 2023, 04:27 PM   #523
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Originally Posted by Norman Alexander View Post
We can speculate all we want. In fact, the Terrible Twenty think they now have control over Congress. They think they can "block" all sorts of legislation the GOP puts up, because it will be "too woke" or "not Trumpy-fascist enough".

Fact is, the Congress now has effectively three parties, not two. The smallest is the Terrible Twenty. And the largest is the Democrats! So the Dems effectively hold the whip hand now, not the Terrible Twenty. If the more sensible Republicans negotiate normally and in good faith with the Dems rather than trying to placate the Terrible Twenty, they will actually get government stuff done. The Terrible Twenty will simply get sidelined.
You are hoplessly optimistic, but I'll forgive you because you aren't American. McCarthy will do everything the extremists want, because he's terrified of them. If MTG says "jump" he'll ask how high on the way up.
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Old 8th January 2023, 06:03 PM   #524
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There's tons of speculation about how McCarthy will handle the House. Personally, I think he'll be as spineless and as much an ass kisser as he's always been, but we'll just have to wait and see. It won't be long before we know.
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Old 8th January 2023, 06:33 PM   #525
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Absolutely nothing will be passed. The insurrectionists will get the Hunter Biden Investigation. Budgets will be hard to pass.

So just coast on to the election. "Republicans are not doing anything, because they think government is bad. That is why things are bad now. Vote for us in 2024, we will fix this. And forget Trump, he never fixed things well, other than paying for the vaccine, which Joe then got in your hands."
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Old 8th January 2023, 06:48 PM   #526
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Originally Posted by smartcooky View Post
Well congratulations to the GQP. You now have a puppet speaker - a puppet of the Fascist Caucus of your party. Kevin McKiss-Arse will be the US equivalent of Marshall Petain.

We'll now have to call your party the "Vichy GOP"
Don't confuse McCarthy with someone who is reasonable and practical. He's just not as insane as the most insane.
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Old 8th January 2023, 06:58 PM   #527
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Originally Posted by Trebuchet View Post
You are hoplessly optimistic, but I'll forgive you because you aren't American. McCarthy will do everything the extremists want, because he's terrified of them. If MTG says "jump" he'll ask how high on the way up.
I don't know what he will do and neither does anyone else. I am not optimistic, but I am also not going to start shouting "the sky is falling either." McCarthy doesn't have a huge majority to play with so I'm not so sure he's going to tear everything down like the nutsos want him to do.
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Old 8th January 2023, 07:01 PM   #528
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Originally Posted by a_unique_person View Post
Don't confuse McCarthy with someone who is reasonable and practical. He's just not as insane as the most insane.
Actually I think he is very practical. My issue with him is that he is devoid of principles.
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Old 8th January 2023, 09:29 PM   #529
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Originally Posted by Trebuchet View Post
You are hoplessly optimistic, but I'll forgive you because you aren't American. McCarthy will do everything the extremists want, because he's terrified of them. If MTG says "jump" he'll ask how high on the way up.
As soon as Kevin realises he can do better deals with the Dems and get a semblance of his desired legislation actually passed, he is spineless and craven enough to do exactly that and renege on everything he promised the Terrible Twenty. No matter how much they terrify him.

And I think they don't terrify him, actually. He may be extreme, but not insanely so. He superpower is flipping. And that's what he will do if there is an easier way out. Especially if it is a way out that does not endanger his Speaker role which he craves, which the Terrible Twenty have already threatened. Dealing with the Dems, giving them some of what they want, is a much surer way to keep his treasured gavel than trying to deal in any way with the busted-clockwork and rancid-fluff-for-brains nitwits on his side of the House.
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Last edited by Norman Alexander; 8th January 2023 at 09:31 PM.
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Old 8th January 2023, 11:33 PM   #530
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Originally Posted by Stacyhs View Post
Which 'ring'?
The one to rule them all?
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Old 9th January 2023, 04:26 PM   #531
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How long until McCarthy gets challenges for his speakership? I give it one month.
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Old 9th January 2023, 04:58 PM   #532
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Originally Posted by dudalb View Post
How long until McCarthy gets challenges for his speakership? I give it one month.
We will see if the House can pass a rules package tonight. If not, then some of McCarthy's deals that got him the chair will fall apart.
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Old 9th January 2023, 05:04 PM   #533
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Originally Posted by dudalb View Post
How long until McCarthy gets challenges for his speakership? I give it one month.
Well, you're optimistic! I'd give it about 48 hours, when the new "rules package" flies into the dirt.
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Old 9th January 2023, 05:17 PM   #534
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A Democratic member of the House, Jim McGovern of Massachusetts, said the other day, if McCarthy wins the speakership, "his nightmares just begin." Why did McGovern say that?

Quote:
During the previous Congress, an internal GOP policy required a majority of the party’s membership to agree to pursue a motion to vacate [the chair] — a fairly high bar. After Republicans secured control of the House in the 2022 midterm elections, McCarthy agreed to a much lower threshold, just five members. And after failing to win the speakership two days in a row, McCarthy made a concession to the GOP bloc opposing him: In the next Congress, any single member could offer a motion to vacate [the speakership], news outlets reported. Austin TX American-Statesman news link
McGovern is right, now that McCarthy has won the speakership, his -- and the American people's -- nightmare is just beginning. Any single member can stop the session and bog down the entire House by introducing a motion to vacate the Speaker's Chair. Thereby forcing four hundred and thirty-odd representatives to have to vote one-by-one during a roll call.

Any single member.
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Old 9th January 2023, 05:50 PM   #535
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Originally Posted by newyorkguy View Post
A Democratic member of the House, Jim McGovern of Massachusetts, said the other day, if McCarthy wins the speakership, "his nightmares just begin." Why did McGovern say that?



McGovern is right, now that McCarthy has won the speakership, his -- and the American people's -- nightmare is just beginning. Any single member can stop the session and bog down the entire House by introducing a motion to vacate the Speaker's Chair. Thereby forcing four hundred and thirty-odd representatives to have to vote one-by-one during a roll call.

Any single member.
Including Democrats.

Want to see any of their nasty legislation hit the ground and burn?

"The Member for BlahBlahBlah has the floor."

"Mr Speaker! I rise to put the motion that the position of Speaker of this House be vacated immediately and a new Speaker be elected according to the House Rules."

*chaos and hilarity ensues*
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Old 9th January 2023, 05:57 PM   #536
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RUles package passed. let the fun begin...
I am reading a lot of the deals McCarthy made are not in the rules package.
His life will be a living hell.
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Old 9th January 2023, 06:00 PM   #537
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Originally Posted by dudalb View Post
RUles package passed. let the fun begin...
I am reading a lot of the deals McCarthy made are not in the rules package.
His life will be a living hell.
What WAS included?
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Old 9th January 2023, 06:00 PM   #538
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Originally Posted by newyorkguy View Post
A Democratic member of the House, Jim McGovern of Massachusetts, said the other day, if McCarthy wins the speakership, "his nightmares just begin." Why did McGovern say that?



McGovern is right, now that McCarthy has won the speakership, his -- and the American people's -- nightmare is just beginning. Any single member can stop the session and bog down the entire House by introducing a motion to vacate the Speaker's Chair. Thereby forcing four hundred and thirty-odd representatives to have to vote one-by-one during a roll call.

Any single member.
It's ridiculousl. You know some members will do it just to get time on TV.
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Old 9th January 2023, 06:09 PM   #539
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Old 9th January 2023, 07:05 PM   #540
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Originally Posted by Norman Alexander View Post
What WAS included?
Should be easy to finedon the Internet.
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Old 9th January 2023, 07:11 PM   #541
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Originally Posted by dudalb View Post
Should be easy to find on the Internet.
So far I can only find that it squeaked through, and contained the infamous "one member" rule. Can't find any other details yet. Congressional record??
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Old 9th January 2023, 09:58 PM   #542
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Originally Posted by Norman Alexander View Post
Quote:
McGovern is right, now that McCarthy has won the speakership, his -- and the American people's -- nightmare is just beginning. Any single member can stop the session and bog down the entire House by introducing a motion to vacate the Speaker's Chair.
Including Democrats.
I have to admit, I am surprised the Republicans did not put some sort of stipulation in there... such as "a single member can call for a vote to dismiss a speaker, but only if they are from the party that has the majority". (Which in this case would be the republicans.)
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Old 9th January 2023, 11:10 PM   #543
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Originally Posted by dudalb View Post
Should be easy to finedon the Internet.
Originally Posted by Norman Alexander View Post
So far I can only find that it squeaked through, and contained the infamous "one member" rule. Can't find any other details yet. Congressional record??
Here 'tis.

https://rules.house.gov/sites/republ...ves-SxS-V2.pdf
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Old 9th January 2023, 11:59 PM   #544
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Quote:
Resolution Declaring the Office of Speaker Vacant. Subsection (q)
strikes language from rule IX to allow any member to offer a privileged resolution
declaring the Office of Speaker vacant.
I don't think the Repubs thought this through...
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Old 10th January 2023, 01:38 AM   #545
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Originally Posted by Susheel View Post
I don't think the Repubs thought this through...
Ya think?
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Old 10th January 2023, 04:17 AM   #546
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Originally Posted by Susheel View Post
I don't think the Repubs thought this through...

It's like when Republican state legislatures approved the use of state vouchers for religious schools and were horrified when Muslim schools applied.
"We only meant for it to apply to us!!"
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Old 10th January 2023, 06:51 AM   #547
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Originally Posted by Segnosaur View Post
I have to admit, I am surprised the Republicans did not put some sort of stipulation in there... such as "a single member can call for a vote to dismiss a speaker, but only if they are from the party that has the majority". (Which in this case would be the republicans.)
For the same reason McConnell doesn't call for the filibuster to be abolished. The Democrats don't weaponize procedure the way Republicans do. This is asymmetrical. Republicans win when Congress does nothing.
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Old 10th January 2023, 06:53 AM   #548
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Originally Posted by Norman Alexander View Post
As soon as Kevin realises he can do better deals with the Dems and get a semblance of his desired legislation actually passed, he is spineless and craven enough to do exactly that and renege on everything he promised the Terrible Twenty. No matter how much they terrify him.

And I think they don't terrify him, actually. He may be extreme, but not insanely so. He superpower is flipping. And that's what he will do if there is an easier way out. Especially if it is a way out that does not endanger his Speaker role which he craves, which the Terrible Twenty have already threatened. Dealing with the Dems, giving them some of what they want, is a much surer way to keep his treasured gavel than trying to deal in any way with the busted-clockwork and rancid-fluff-for-brains nitwits on his side of the House.
There is no ideological divide between McCarthy and the lunatics who blocked him.

There are also no consequences for screwing over the Democrats. If he pisses off the right-wingers in Congress, there will be pipe bombs showing up in his mailbox.
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Old 10th January 2023, 07:40 AM   #549
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Originally Posted by Donal View Post
There are also no consequences for screwing over the Democrats. If he pisses off the right-wingers in Congress, there will be pipe bombs showing up in his mailbox.
Ah! Now it makes sense, I've wondered why Republicans have been trying to cripple the postal services for so long.
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Old 10th January 2023, 08:22 AM   #550
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Originally Posted by Donal View Post
For the same reason McConnell doesn't call for the filibuster to be abolished. The Democrats don't weaponize procedure the way Republicans do. This is asymmetrical. Republicans win when Congress does nothing.
This is all about the next debt ceiling vote. That's the problem.

The Biden administration needs to have a ten trillion dollar coin ready to go and end that insanity for good. Sure, that coinage provision was never really meant to be used that way but the debt ceiling being used to hold the country hostage is way more absurd.
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Old 10th January 2023, 09:15 AM   #551
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All it does is threaten the world economy. And of course, the only things they want to cut are social welfare programs and infrastructure projects. At most, they give lip service to scaling back the military or cutting subsidies for oil and pharma companies.
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Old 10th January 2023, 12:20 PM   #552
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Originally Posted by Donal View Post
There is no ideological divide between McCarthy and the lunatics who blocked him.
Agreed. Just that McCarthy is more educated and less insane.

Quote:
There are also no consequences for screwing over the Democrats.
Except by making deals he can get stuff done.

Quote:
If he pisses off the right-wingers in Congress, there will be pipe bombs showing up in his mailbox.
They already are, in effect. MAGAnuts who hate his guts are still lurking in the background making nasty noises, and real death threats arrive daily for many congress critters. So what is new there?
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Old 10th January 2023, 05:50 PM   #553
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McCarthy and a number of other Republicans are going to start etting phone calls from the Powers That Be on Wall Street that you really don't want a default to happen. He will then be forced to choose between the big doners and nutwing of the party.
That is what scares me. You can expect some rationality from the CEO's; you can expect none from the MAGA crowd.
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Old 10th January 2023, 05:57 PM   #554
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Originally Posted by Donal View Post
There is no ideological divide between McCarthy and the lunatics who blocked him.

There are also no consequences for screwing over the Democrats. If he pisses off the right-wingers in Congress, there will be pipe bombs showing up in his mailbox.
Actually, I think there is. McCarthy is a lot like Trump in that he has no principles except to himself. McCarthy isn't really a radical right wingers although he will act like one at times.
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Old 10th January 2023, 06:11 PM   #555
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Originally Posted by smartcooky View Post
Well congratulations to the GQP. You now have a puppet speaker - a puppet of the Fascist Caucus of your party. Kevin McKiss-Arse will be the US equivalent of Marshall Petain.

We'll now have to call your party the "Vichy GOP"
That's an unfair comparison.... to Pétain!

Say what you like about him in World War Two, he at least showed intelligence and competence in the First World War.
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Old 10th January 2023, 06:38 PM   #556
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Originally Posted by angrysoba View Post
That's an unfair comparison.... to Pétain!

Say what you like about him in World War Two, he at least showed intelligence and competence in the First World War.
Fantastic French series that takes place during the occupation of France and Petain/Vichy called a "A French Village". I highly recommend it. Available on Walter Presents on Netflix.

Ok..done with derail.
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Old 10th January 2023, 10:09 PM   #557
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Originally Posted by acbytesla View Post
Actually, I think there is. McCarthy is a lot like Trump in that he has no principles except to himself. McCarthy isn't really a radical right wingers although he will act like one at times.
His superpower is flipping. And you are right - he is like Trump: self-interested. That's why he endured 15 votes of global humiliation just to get a gavel that will ring his political death-knell.
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Old 11th January 2023, 07:50 AM   #558
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Originally Posted by dudalb View Post
McCarthy and a number of other Republicans are going to start etting phone calls from the Powers That Be on Wall Street that you really don't want a default to happen. He will then be forced to choose between the big doners and nutwing of the party.
That is what scares me. You can expect some rationality from the CEO's; you can expect none from the MAGA crowd.
The ultrawealthy donors are getting to the point where collapse could benefit them. Economic collapse would profit them in the sense that (1) they can buy more stuff and (2) they can fully transition us to a despotic oligarchy.

They will be almost totally insulated from the carnage of all this and they already have all the money. All that is left is to create a power vacuum to fill.
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Old 11th January 2023, 08:58 AM   #559
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I just finished reading Survival of the Richest and this is all I can think about.
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Old 11th January 2023, 11:27 AM   #560
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Originally Posted by Norman Alexander View Post
Except by making deals he can get stuff done.?
Therein lies the rub. Exactly what in their body of work over the past so many years suggests to you that they want anything done?
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