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#681 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 5,340
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Yep, and they do the same at the ballot box.
The vast majority of voters will always vote for 'their' party, no matter what opinion they might have expressed about it beforehand - simply out fear. The vote itself might be secret, but if they vote for the 'other' party they have to lie about it to their peers. This is particularly disturbing if the 'other' party wins. Not only are you a liar, but also a traitor! And they can probably tell that you are lying... Pollsters OTOH, who cares? It's much easier to unload your real feelings onto an anonymous stranger who doesn't care what you think and won't be tittle-tattling about it. That's the problem with polls. The question they should be asking is - "Are you now or have you ever been a |
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We don't want good, sound arguments. We want arguments that sound good. |
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#682 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Philadelphia
Posts: 5,482
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The man with one watch knows what time it is, the man with two watches is never sure. |
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#683 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Philadelphia
Posts: 5,482
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The man with one watch knows what time it is, the man with two watches is never sure. |
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#684 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Puget Sound
Posts: 15,432
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To survive election season on a skeptics forum, one must understand Hymie-the-Robot.
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#685 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: United States
Posts: 18,012
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I've been convinced. Pollsters are really members of the Deep State out to discover who people plan on voting for so they can report them to their employers or otherwise harm them in some way.
![]() Seriously, is paranoia a requirement to be a Republican these days? It used to be only a suggestion. |
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#686 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Philadelphia
Posts: 5,482
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The man with one watch knows what time it is, the man with two watches is never sure. |
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#687 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: United States
Posts: 18,012
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#688 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Philadelphia
Posts: 5,482
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The man with one watch knows what time it is, the man with two watches is never sure. |
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#689 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 30,695
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Yahtzee: "You're doing that thing again where when asked a question you just discuss the philosophy of the question instead of answering the bloody question." Gabriel: "Well yeah, you see..." Yahtzee: "No. When you are asked a Yes or No question the first word out of your mouth needs to be Yes or No. Only after that have you earned the right to elaborate." |
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#690 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: United States
Posts: 18,012
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Stop playing word games. We're talking about identifying information: name, address, etc.
'Always' is a very limiting word. Very little in life is always "always". Are the vast majority of pollsters really pollsters? I think so. A scammer wants financial info, not who you're going to vote for. They'll pose as the IRS, a Nigerian prince, a collection agency, etc. Not a political pollster. Remember that this convo started out by a claim that Trump voters lied about who they would vote for out of embarrassment, not fear of harm or being scammed. |
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#691 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Puget Sound
Posts: 15,432
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Why is 538 just now adding polls from 2018?
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To survive election season on a skeptics forum, one must understand Hymie-the-Robot.
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#692 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 30,695
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Yahtzee: "You're doing that thing again where when asked a question you just discuss the philosophy of the question instead of answering the bloody question." Gabriel: "Well yeah, you see..." Yahtzee: "No. When you are asked a Yes or No question the first word out of your mouth needs to be Yes or No. Only after that have you earned the right to elaborate." |
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#693 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 1,719
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#694 | ||
Winking at the Moon
Deputy Admin
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: UK
Posts: 14,079
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Why can't you be more like Agatha? - Loss Leader |
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#695 |
Thinker
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 247
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Have we passed peak Trump yet?
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#696 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Puget Sound
Posts: 15,432
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__________________
To survive election season on a skeptics forum, one must understand Hymie-the-Robot.
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#697 |
Maledictorian
Join Date: Aug 2016
Posts: 14,673
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So what are you going to do about it, huh? What would an intellectual do? What would Plato do? |
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#698 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 1,576
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Depending on what Trump will do while being "lame duck" (there is nothing lame in degenerate nutter that has nothing to lose), peak Trump may happen in this time.
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Sanity is overrated. / Voting for Republicans is morally equivalent to voting for Nazis in early 30's. |
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#699 |
Muse
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 676
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I'm still expecting a Henry II moment: "Will no one rid me of this turbulent priest?"
But less eloquent. |
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#700 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 20,287
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![]() It must be fun to lead a life completely unburdened by reality. -- JayUtah I am not able to rightly apprehend the kind of confusion of ideas that could provoke such a question. -- Charles Babbage (1791-1871) ![]() |
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#701 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 31,711
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That's already happened.
https://secondnexus.com/donald-trump-joe-biden-shot Trump Draws Outrage After Joking About What Will Happen After 'Joe Is Shot' 3 Weeks Into Office |
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1. He'd never do that. 2. Okay but he's not currently doing it. 3. Okay but he's not currently technically doing it. 4. Okay but everyone does it. 5. He's doing it, we can't stop him, no point in complaining about it. 6. We all knew he was going to do it which... makes it okay somehow. 7. It's perfectly fine that's he's doing it. |
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#702 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 6,919
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#703 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Puget Sound
Posts: 15,432
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__________________
To survive election season on a skeptics forum, one must understand Hymie-the-Robot.
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#704 |
I lost an avatar bet.
Join Date: Dec 2001
Posts: 28,039
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I lost an avatar bet to Doghouse Reilly. |
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#705 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Yokohama, Japan
Posts: 25,744
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I think recent events have signaled that the peak has passed.
There will be some unfortunate aftereffects, I'm afraid. |
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A fool thinks himself to be wise, but a wise man knows himself to be a fool. William Shakespeare |
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#706 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Sacramento
Posts: 50,334
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I understand skepticism about passing peak Trump, but I really think the insurrection has done serious and prememnet damange to Trump except for the hard core of his supporters. A lot of the "MIckey Mouse republicans" (those who will support anybody running for POTUS or in the white house with a R after his name) will back off; I supect his post presidency influence has been badly damaged.
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Pacifism is a shifty doctrine under which a man accepts the benefits of the social group without being willing to pay - and claims a halo for his dishonesty. Robert Heinlein. |
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#707 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 1,576
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Nope. Peak Trump will be somewhere around 20 January.
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Sanity is overrated. / Voting for Republicans is morally equivalent to voting for Nazis in early 30's. |
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#708 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: United States
Posts: 18,012
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#709 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Port Townsend, Washington
Posts: 31,055
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Cum catapultae proscribeantur tum soli proscripti catapultas habeant. |
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#710 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 20,287
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Nope, the peak was passed a long time ago, Trump was in decline long before Nov 3rd. What we saw in the Capital Invasion was the thrashing of the body as it realises that its time is quickly coming to a close and it fights to survive.
Sadly this also makes it far more dangerous as his supporters get more and more desperate and start being willing to take any actions, regardless of the cost to themselves or the country, as long as there seems to be a way for them to still win. Cornered and desperate people who already believe themselves to have nothing left to lose if are willing to do anything to just survive, or at least to do as much damage to their enemy as they can on the way out. And that makes this period of time extremely dangerous, and extremely scary. |
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![]() It must be fun to lead a life completely unburdened by reality. -- JayUtah I am not able to rightly apprehend the kind of confusion of ideas that could provoke such a question. -- Charles Babbage (1791-1871) ![]() |
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#711 |
I lost an avatar bet.
Join Date: Dec 2001
Posts: 28,039
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I guess we should have defined the term at the beginning of the thread.
Has the pivot come yet? I’m still waiting for that. |
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I lost an avatar bet to Doghouse Reilly. |
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#712 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Philadelphia
Posts: 5,482
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looks like ChristianProgressive wins the thread with post #453.
Trumps approval peaked around Around Valentines day 2020, CP's post was the most proximate to that claiming that the peak had passed. |
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The man with one watch knows what time it is, the man with two watches is never sure. |
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