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Tags India-Pakistan relations

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Old 6th March 2019, 04:55 PM   #121
arthwollipot
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Originally Posted by theprestige View Post
What's the difference between an incident happening at a lower rate than previously, and a dangerous escalation?
In the former, things get quieter and less violent. In the latter, things get louder and more violent.
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Old 6th March 2019, 05:02 PM   #122
theprestige
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Originally Posted by arthwollipot View Post
In the former, things get quieter and less violent. In the latter, things get louder and more violent.
Sorry, I didn't express my question clearly enough.

Say it used to be border clashes at a rate of five a year. Then the rate drops to one a year. About a year from now, there's another border clash. Is it the same old business of border clashes, at the new lower rate? Or is it a dangerous escalation?
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Old 6th March 2019, 05:05 PM   #123
arthwollipot
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Originally Posted by theprestige View Post
Sorry, I didn't express my question clearly enough.

Say it used to be border clashes at a rate of five a year. Then the rate drops to one a year. About a year from now, there's another border clash. Is it the same old business of border clashes, at the new lower rate? Or is it a dangerous escalation?
Depends. For how long has it been at the lower rate? If it's fifteen years, I would call that a new status quo.

That's how long it's been since there were serious clashes in Kashmir, by the way. I didn't pull that number out of my butt.
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Old 6th March 2019, 07:44 PM   #124
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Can we all relax now?
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Old 7th March 2019, 02:06 AM   #125
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I guess you guys can. But we in India cannot. Now that the war drum situation has sort of petered out with little national support, Modi is up to his other dirty trick the party is famous for. Manufacturing an internal law and order crisis that he can benefit from. The recent revelations on the the Rafale scandal by The Hindu has left the current government very vulnerable to legal action. Modi has also been more or less behaving as erratically as Trump at his election rallies.
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Old 7th March 2019, 05:19 PM   #126
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Originally Posted by a_unique_person View Post
Can we all relax now?
FOr the moment. But the India Pakistan standoff continues to be one of the most dangerous situations in the world, and the one most likely to cause a Nuclear Exchange.
And you have two not exactly the most trustworthy governments.
India's is dominated by Hindu Fanatics; Pakistan is, to use the classic line about Prussia in the 19th and early 20th centuries, not a country with an army but an army with a country.
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Old 7th March 2019, 05:44 PM   #127
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Pakistan probably backed down a bit once they realized India outclasses them in modern jet fighters.
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