|
Welcome to the International Skeptics Forum, where we discuss skepticism, critical thinking, the paranormal and science in a friendly but lively way. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest, which means you are missing out on discussing matters that are of interest to you. Please consider registering so you can gain full use of the forum features and interact with other Members. Registration is simple, fast and free! Click here to register today. |
Tags | abortion laws , political predictions , prediction thread , Roe v. Wade |
![]() |
View Poll Results: When will Roe v Wade be overturned | ![]() |
Before 31 December 2020 |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
20 | 18.35% |
Before 31 December 2022 |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
27 | 24.77% |
Before 31 December 2024 |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
9 | 8.26% |
SCOTUS will not pick a case up |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
16 | 14.68% |
SCOTUS will pick it up and decline to overturn |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
37 | 33.94% |
Voters: 109. You may not vote on this poll |
![]() |
![]() |
#1921 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 93,353
|
He didn't assume anything, he backed it up with evidence you are ignoring.
That is not an accurate description of what happened. Why did all the justices voting to overturn Roe lie in their confirmation hearings? Their lies have been played on the news and social media where we could see for ourselves. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1922 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 93,353
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1923 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 93,353
|
I knew anti-abortion was a one issue vote getter since Karl Rove said so but I just saw a university political science lecture showing it was Jerry Falwell who first adopted it as a primary political platform. He wasn't even anti-abortion at the time if you can believe that.
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1924 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 17,532
|
|
__________________
Circled nothing is still nothing. "Nothing will stop the U.S. from being a world leader, not even a handful of adults who want their kids to take science lessons from a book that mentions unicorns six times." -UNLoVedRebel Mumpsimus: a stubborn person who insists on making an error in spite of being shown that it is wrong |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1925 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 93,353
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1926 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 93,353
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1927 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 93,353
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1928 |
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 22,789
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1929 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: US of A
Posts: 16,554
|
Actually, it appears that the evangelicals weren't particularly opposed to abortion before and even after Roe.
Quote:
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1930 | |||
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 93,353
|
Goes with what I saw in the political science history lecture I watched a couple of days ago. Jerry Falwell saw an opening and pounced.
I think it's on this one, lecture 2. (Could have been lecture 1.)
|
|||
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1931 |
The Grammar Tyrant
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 33,233
|
I can hear the Republicans chortling with glee from here as they dictate what women may and may not do with their bodies.
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/oklah...b0edd2d01310f7 But hey, there is an upside - more white kids, making it harder for the dagos, spics, coons and ragheads to take over. https://www.huffpost.com/entry/cpac-...b0933e7362f5c8 Is it just me, or does the openly fascist Viktor Orban look like he's about to perform oral sex on Matt Schlapp? |
__________________
The point of equilibrium has passed; satire and current events are now indistinguishable. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1932 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Way way north of Diddy Wah Diddy
Posts: 34,222
|
But that upside is an upside-downside, since it's almost certain that it will be poor people who lack the clout, travel ability and resources to get illegal abortions which rich white women can. The whole issue of the so called "replacement theory" is that those jiving enwords and dusky fertile foreigners will swarm in and swamp us gormless spermless whiteys. The right wing wackos can't keep their stories straight.
The decline in the white birth rate is not due to an increase of abortion, which has gone steadily down for decades. It's due to a decrease in initial pregnancy. Of course it depends a little on how you slice your statistics. In gross numbers, far more whites have abortions than other ethnic groups, simply because there are far more of us. In terms of percentage of pregnancies ending in abortion, whites are at the bottom, blacks much much higher, other groups in between. Ending abortion will increase all the live births of course, but of those, a much greater percentage will be of minorities, especially blacks. Not what the "replacement" idiots would want, one might think. Of course, I suppose once they're born they can prevent them from voting and shoot them if they get too uppity. Test marketing on that seems to be promising. And of course since black infant mortality is about twice that of white, and maternal mortality about 3 and a half times, (including from ectopic pregnancy, a leading cause for black women but not for white, and a favorite target of anti-abortion ignorami), we still have a chance to even the playing field through bad medical care. So buck up, there's more than one way to skin a cat. |
__________________
Like many humorless and indignant people, he is hard on everybody but himself, and does not perceive it when he fails his own ideal (Moličre) A pedant is a man who studies a vacuum through instruments that allow him to draw cross-sections of the details (John Ciardi) |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1933 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 1,905
|
|
__________________
-- August Pamplona |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1934 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Canada, eh?
Posts: 19,656
|
Here's an interesting angle...
From: Yahoo News Republican Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt on Sunday hinted at retribution for Indigenous Oklahomans should doctors readily perform abortions on tribal lands if Roe v. Wade is overturned. But he was stepping outside the boundaries of state authority, according to Indigenous legal experts. ... Under a 1953 federal law, there are six states — Alaska, California, Minnesota, Nebraska, Oregon and Wisconsin — that have jurisdiction over criminal law on reservations. Some other states, including Florida, Idaho, Montana and Washington, later obtained criminal law jurisdiction on reservations, but a 1968 law prevented any more states from doing so without tribal permission. I wonder how well that would work, if various indigenous set up abortion clinics on their lands to offer services to, well, everyone. (The article does point out that the law is very murky, especially if a non-native doctor was providing services to a non-native patient. I'm sure there would be court challenges a-plenty.) |
__________________
Trust me, I know what I'm doing. - Sledgehammer I'm Mary Poppins Y'all! - Yondu We are Groot - Groot |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1935 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Way way north of Diddy Wah Diddy
Posts: 34,222
|
I think it could depend on whether the law makes leaving the state for an abortion a crime. If so, then the very thing that makes it legal to do makes it illegal to seek. The possibility of border guards and pregnancy checks, with of course rampant profiling, and the like, is one of the possible unintended consequences of all this.
|
__________________
Like many humorless and indignant people, he is hard on everybody but himself, and does not perceive it when he fails his own ideal (Moličre) A pedant is a man who studies a vacuum through instruments that allow him to draw cross-sections of the details (John Ciardi) |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1936 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 32,501
|
I don't agree that it would be an unintended consequence at all.
|
__________________
1. He'd never do that. 2. Okay but he's not currently doing it. 3. Okay but he's not currently technically doing it. 4. Okay but everyone does it. 5. He's doing it, we can't stop him, no point in complaining about it. 6. We all knew he was going to do it which... makes it okay somehow. 7. It's perfectly fine that's he's doing it. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1937 |
Banned
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: USA
Posts: 7,583
|
Well, I guess that is one way for Indians to get back at the white man. Kill them in the womb when nobody else will? Kind of creepy implications to that, tbh. Also, is abortion law more relaxed or more stringent on reservations than what we see now, generally? Like, what would be their motivation to become a massive abortion hub? |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1938 |
Banned
Join Date: Jan 2022
Posts: 691
|
double post
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1939 |
Banned
Join Date: Jan 2022
Posts: 691
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1940 |
Banned
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: USA
Posts: 7,583
|
You don't think the idea that if Roe gets overturned, that Indian Reservations might become a massive hub for aborting non-reservation babies, to be at least a little creepy sounding? I do. I just can't imagine it happening. Then again, I can't imagine Roe being overturned, either. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1941 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 6,286
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1942 |
Banned
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: USA
Posts: 7,583
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1943 |
Banned
Join Date: Jan 2022
Posts: 691
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1944 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 6,286
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1945 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Way way north of Diddy Wah Diddy
Posts: 34,222
|
|
__________________
Like many humorless and indignant people, he is hard on everybody but himself, and does not perceive it when he fails his own ideal (Moličre) A pedant is a man who studies a vacuum through instruments that allow him to draw cross-sections of the details (John Ciardi) |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1946 |
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 22,789
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1947 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Way way north of Diddy Wah Diddy
Posts: 34,222
|
As Bob the Coward points out, your assumption that this would be about white people seems a bit odd, as the percentage of abortions to pregnancies is lowest among whites, highest among blacks. Of course because white people's majority is greater than that discrepancy, the majority of abortions might still be among whites, but far from proportional.
I am guessing, "massive abortion hub" might be a little hyperbolic, but I can imagine a couple of motivations. One might be simply a good source of income. To be the sole available provider of anything is likely to be profitable. Another might be to attract more medical personnel and facilities to the reservation and enhance the overall health care there. |
__________________
Like many humorless and indignant people, he is hard on everybody but himself, and does not perceive it when he fails his own ideal (Moličre) A pedant is a man who studies a vacuum through instruments that allow him to draw cross-sections of the details (John Ciardi) |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1948 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Feb 2011
Posts: 7,543
|
|
__________________
I have no idea what you're trying to say, but I'm still pretty sure that you're wrong. -Akhenaten I sometimes think the Bible was inspired by Satan to make God look bad. And then it backfired on Him when He underestimated the stupidity of religious ideologues. -MontagK505 |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1949 |
Banned
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: USA
Posts: 7,583
|
That's what we all want to see...a booming cash business on Indian Reservations...from exterminating the unborn. Seems noble enough. Of course most liberals will blame the Republicans for such a thing. After all, who could blame the Indians for wanting to make a buck? I guess the moneymaking opportunities are one silver lining to the Roe cloud. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1950 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Way way north of Diddy Wah Diddy
Posts: 34,222
|
And they'd be right too. The blame for creating a situation goes to those who create it. If a law doesn't work, who else's fault is it? If burning books enriches the printers of new ones, it's not the printers' fault.
We don't even know of course if and how Indian reservations might pick up the abortion slack, and how possible it would be. But one must presume that those who provide abortions believe in the right to do so. You could substitute "Canadians" for "Indians," and say the same thing. If you ban something and everyone not immediately subject to it picks up the slack to provide it, a redistribution of revenue is inevitable, but the underlying reason is that the argument behind the ban has failed. |
__________________
Like many humorless and indignant people, he is hard on everybody but himself, and does not perceive it when he fails his own ideal (Moličre) A pedant is a man who studies a vacuum through instruments that allow him to draw cross-sections of the details (John Ciardi) |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1951 |
Species traitor
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 3,392
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1952 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 4,874
|
Let see..
You could stop abortions by 1: Ensuring there is good, mandatory sexual education in high school (and home school systems) so everyone knows how pregnancies occur and can be managed to only happen when you want to. 2: Ensuring everone form ages 15+ or so has access to free and if wanted anonymously distributed contraceptives to severely limit unwanted pregnancies. 3: Ensuring there is a good welfare system to support those mothers that do get pregnant without their intent so a child does not become a lifetime sentence to poverty for those without a family support system. 4: Ensuring a good nationalised healthcare system so even poor expectant mothers can afford healthcare for themselves and their prospective children. 5: Ensuring there is a good public school system where the money is evenly distributed rather than focused in the rich neighborhoods so prospective new mothers know their child will have a good shot at life regardless of where it is born or who their parent are. Each of these are policies the Republican party actively opposes. And you yourself have stated to be against option 5 as that might mean the children of illegal immigrants might be educated. So yes, it IS the Republican party that creates a situation where many prospective mothers see abortion as the only option. Since that won't change, the amount of abortions won't change either. But at least you'll put more people in prison for being desperate or willing to help the desperate. I find your bleating about the 'killing of poor fetuses' extremely hypocritical given your support for the system that creates the very situation. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1953 |
Scholar
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 124
|
Look at the bright side.
With abortions being illegal on the premises that people are obligated to save a life with extreme discomfort and even possible danger to themselves - shouldnt the logical expansion of this make stuff like bone marrow donation (on your own expense) mandatory for ppl? I mean lives that this procedure would save don't even have any "human or not?" ambiquity. Or am I missing something.. Like lack of internal logic or humanity of these pro-lifers? |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1954 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 6,286
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1955 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: The Antimemetics Division
Posts: 63,518
|
|
__________________
There is no Antimemetics Division. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1956 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 13,570
|
|
__________________
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1957 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 4,874
|
Not the numbers, because I do not live in the approaching theocracy called the US.
But if you're interested I suggest you compare abortion rates and teen pregnancies in the Netherlands, with by US standards abortions on demand and horribly socialist healthcare and sex education vs Texas or some other conservative stronghold. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1958 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 7,728
|
|
__________________
It's nice to be nice to the nice. Aristotle, so far as I know, was the first man to proclaim explicitly that man is a rational animal. His reason for this view was one which does not now seem very impressive: it was, that some people can do sums. - Bertrand Russell |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1959 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: US of A
Posts: 16,554
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#1960 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: US of A
Posts: 16,554
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
Thread Tools | |
|
|