|
Welcome to the International Skeptics Forum, where we discuss skepticism, critical thinking, the paranormal and science in a friendly but lively way. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest, which means you are missing out on discussing matters that are of interest to you. Please consider registering so you can gain full use of the forum features and interact with other Members. Registration is simple, fast and free! Click here to register today. |
Tags | abortion laws , political predictions , prediction thread , Roe v. Wade |
![]() |
View Poll Results: When will Roe v Wade be overturned | ![]() |
Before 31 December 2020 |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
20 | 18.35% |
Before 31 December 2022 |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
27 | 24.77% |
Before 31 December 2024 |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
9 | 8.26% |
SCOTUS will not pick a case up |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
16 | 14.68% |
SCOTUS will pick it up and decline to overturn |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
37 | 33.94% |
Voters: 109. You may not vote on this poll |
![]() |
![]() |
#2001 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: US of A
Posts: 16,306
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2002 |
Banned
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: USA
Posts: 7,583
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2003 |
Great minds think...
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: North Dakota
Posts: 13,709
|
|
__________________
“There are times when the mind is dealt such a blow it hides itself in insanity. While this may not seem beneficial, it is. There are times when reality is nothing but pain, and to escape that pain the mind must leave reality behind.” - Patrick Rothfuss |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2004 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: New York
Posts: 10,754
|
In his concurrence, [Justice Clarence] Thomas wrote that the court should now "reconsider" its decisions that found a right to contraception, sex between consenting adult men, and same-sex marriage — and "correct the error" made in cases like "Griswold, Lawerence and Obergefell."
See post 2000. https://www.salon.com/2022/06/24/in-...obbs-decision/ |
__________________
My heros are Alex Zanardi and Evelyn Glennie. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2005 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 17,477
|
Posted needed a /s to indicate sarcasm, or sardonic-ism perhaps here.
It's mocking the 'Enlightened Independent Centrists' who use the lazy thinking described. The same thinking is used to sooth cognitive dissonance by conservatives who start actually thinking and realize how evil they're being. The same thinking is invoked by authoritarians like Putin in Russia to justify their actions. Weaponized, lazy, nihilistic, apathy. The only way to justify their failure to even try to do anything is to pretend nothing would have worked anyway. |
__________________
Circled nothing is still nothing. "Nothing will stop the U.S. from being a world leader, not even a handful of adults who want their kids to take science lessons from a book that mentions unicorns six times." -UNLoVedRebel Mumpsimus: a stubborn person who insists on making an error in spite of being shown that it is wrong |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2006 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: New York
Posts: 10,754
|
Just like that, the January 6 Committee Hearings are blasted off the front page. Trump wins again.
|
__________________
My heros are Alex Zanardi and Evelyn Glennie. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2007 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 1,899
|
|
__________________
-- August Pamplona |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2008 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: US of A
Posts: 16,306
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2009 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 92,992
|
I'm not so sure about that. The next hearings aren't for a couple weeks, giving them time to be the headline again.
More importantly, it's Drumpf's fault, second only to McConnell. People aren't going to completely ignore that. What might just happen, along the lines of 'be careful what you wish for', are political upsets in some of these state houses this Nov. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2010 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 4,814
|
My condolences to all the women losing the freedom to chose for themselves. It's a pity seeing a nation once dedicated to freedom slowly transforming itself into one that is not.
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2011 |
Suspended
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 42,380
|
The January 6 Commission can't undue the nominations of Trump's 3 toadies no matter what they prove Trump did.
The 6-3 Conservative Majority isn't going away in our lifetimes. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2012 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 1,899
|
The Thomas concurrence part about how the other rulings might have to be reconsidered is a mild surprise. However, the surprise is not that those decisions might be on the table (only the same people who've been saying for the last 20 years that the Roe v. Wade stuff is mere grandstanding & not really about Roe v. Wade & Casey being on the table should believe that these other decisions are definitely not on the table) but that he'd say so in the same decision where Alito tries to suggest otherwise (albeit with little or no credibility).
|
__________________
-- August Pamplona |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2013 |
Suspended
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 42,380
|
Quick someone check on Susan Collins. Ask her how "concerned" she is about all of this.
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2014 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 1,899
|
|
__________________
-- August Pamplona |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2015 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Rochester, NY
Posts: 7,557
|
Back when celebrity chef Cat Cora and her wife had a child, they said that they decided that one of them would carry the other's fertilized egg to term so that they would both have a legal claim to their child, "just in case" something happened to the legal status of their marriage. it's depressing that it may have been a smart decision. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2016 |
Great minds think...
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: North Dakota
Posts: 13,709
|
|
__________________
“There are times when the mind is dealt such a blow it hides itself in insanity. While this may not seem beneficial, it is. There are times when reality is nothing but pain, and to escape that pain the mind must leave reality behind.” - Patrick Rothfuss |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2017 |
Troublesome Passenger
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 21,549
|
|
__________________
" Glory to our Allies . . . Glory to Ukraine!" President Volodymyr Zelenskyy |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2018 |
Suspended
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 42,380
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2019 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 92,992
|
Nov will be telling. If the GOP doesn't lose seat after seat in Nov we are in real trouble. If they do then Congress has a chance to pass a federal law protecting human rights.
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2020 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Near Harmonica Virgins, AZ
Posts: 3,429
|
|
__________________
"You have done nothing to demonstrate an understanding of scientific methodology or modern skepticism, both of which are, by necessity, driven by the facts and evidence, not by preconceptions, and both of which are strengthened by, and rely upon, change." - Arkan Wolfshade |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2021 |
a flimsy character...perfidious and despised
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Out back preparing the bunker for the next Civil War
Posts: 52,762
|
I suggest that this thread be closed and a new thread opened. There is no more countdown. Roe v. Wade has been overturned. The forces of evil have had their way, and there is certainly worse to come.
|
__________________
"Yes, I'll be around for many more centuries. You, meanwhile, will have long ago been turned into value dog food, despite your express wishes to the contrary." -- JihadJane |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2022 |
Suspended
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 42,380
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2023 |
Great minds think...
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: North Dakota
Posts: 13,709
|
They'd need to keep all of their Senate seats and pick up 10 more for it to pass through the entire legislature. I don't see that happening. I still don't see the Dems keeping the House. If something would cause a shift in that, this would be it though. I can't imagine a lot of independent standing women are going to be pleased by this outcome.
A lot of the Republicans want this on paper, as well as the overturn of Obergefell, but not that they've been the law of the land I don't think people will react very well to those rights being taken away. So I hope you're right, I hope this causes a large increase in Dem victories, but at this moment I have little faith in my fellow Americans. Less than ever before. |
__________________
“There are times when the mind is dealt such a blow it hides itself in insanity. While this may not seem beneficial, it is. There are times when reality is nothing but pain, and to escape that pain the mind must leave reality behind.” - Patrick Rothfuss |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2024 |
Suspended
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 42,380
|
The Dems can control the House, Senate, Presidency, all the Major Houses of Westeros, the East and West Coast Rappers, all 5 New York Crime Families and it won't matter if there's a 6-3 Conservative Court.
They pass a Federal Law protecting abortion? SCOTUS will rule it Unconstitional. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2025 |
Great minds think...
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: North Dakota
Posts: 13,709
|
|
__________________
“There are times when the mind is dealt such a blow it hides itself in insanity. While this may not seem beneficial, it is. There are times when reality is nothing but pain, and to escape that pain the mind must leave reality behind.” - Patrick Rothfuss |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2026 |
Suspended
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 42,380
|
I don't even have it in me to go back through this thread and call out all the trolls who were saying it was "dramatic" to think that Roe V Wade was going to be overturned.
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2027 |
A Little Ugly on the Side
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: They call it the Earth (which is a dumb kinda name)
Posts: 6,840
|
I just voted 'Before 31 December 2022'. What do I win?
|
__________________
The Three Word Story Pledge of Allegiance- "I Hereby swear upon Engelbert's grave that I will gallop, not stride run, not walk posting three words on Shemp's honor, honoring: bananas, dwarfs, clarinets, [the 7th naughty forum word], haggis, Batman, nuns, wombats until such time as I'm sober. Or dead." "Some people have a way with words, other people...Um...Oh...Uh, not have way." -Steve Martin |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2028 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: US of A
Posts: 16,306
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2029 |
![]() Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Monkey
Posts: 64,842
|
|
__________________
You added nothing to that conversation, Barbara. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2030 |
Suspended
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 42,380
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2031 |
Great minds think...
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: North Dakota
Posts: 13,709
|
|
__________________
“There are times when the mind is dealt such a blow it hides itself in insanity. While this may not seem beneficial, it is. There are times when reality is nothing but pain, and to escape that pain the mind must leave reality behind.” - Patrick Rothfuss |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2032 |
Suspended
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 42,380
|
I didn't say one word about what SCOTUS has the power to do, just what they will do.
Again we still have not gotten an answer to "Republicans have learned they can do whatever they want until someone stops them." Congress passes a federal abortion protection law. SCOTUS declares it unconstitutional. The Democrats screech "But you can't do that!" What's the next step? |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2033 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Jul 2011
Location: Colorado
Posts: 5,287
|
Two points:
1: I always thought that the right to privacy was a very thin twig from which to support reproductive rights. Legally, that is. It seemed like a stretch - reproductive rights should to be a legal right unto its own - on par with other rights clearly spelled out in the Constitution. But the Dems never seemed to push that very hard. 2: The Dems were also naďve to pin their SC questions on the issue of "settled law". The law is settled until it becomes unsettled, it seemed clear that potential justices were using the term to cop out from clearly stating whether or not they would vote against reproductive rights. In that sense, they didn't really perjure themselves, because nobody could ever pin them down hard on whether or not they would vote to overturn Roe v Wade. "It is settled law" was just an excuse to avoid really answering the question, and the Dems let that slide. If a law is truly unconstitutional, then the SC can overturn it, "settled law" or not. The Dems knew that but pretended not to. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2034 |
Great minds think...
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: North Dakota
Posts: 13,709
|
|
__________________
“There are times when the mind is dealt such a blow it hides itself in insanity. While this may not seem beneficial, it is. There are times when reality is nothing but pain, and to escape that pain the mind must leave reality behind.” - Patrick Rothfuss |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2035 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: US of A
Posts: 16,306
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2036 |
Great minds think...
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: North Dakota
Posts: 13,709
|
I don't understand this, and admittedly I'm a bit of a dope on some legal things, but if protecting abortion rights passed through the House, Senate and White House, on what grounds could SCOTUS overturn it? It would be codified. Has this happened before and I don't know about it? Where they've actually taken a law that's passed through all houses and they've overturned it on Constitutional grounds? I'll plead ignorance.
Yes, I see you guys saying this, I'm asking for some form of example. Nothing is coming to mind where all 3 branches of legislature passed something and then SCOTUS said "no, you can't do that". |
__________________
“There are times when the mind is dealt such a blow it hides itself in insanity. While this may not seem beneficial, it is. There are times when reality is nothing but pain, and to escape that pain the mind must leave reality behind.” - Patrick Rothfuss |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2037 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 19,568
|
|
__________________
My new blog: Recent Reads. 1960s Comic Book Nostalgia Visit the Screw Loose Change blog. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2038 |
Great minds think...
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: North Dakota
Posts: 13,709
|
Is that comparable to this case? Reading through it, it sounds like it's more about a specific appointment than the law being overturned. Perhaps break it down better for me? Like I said, I don't understand all this stuff like you may. Pretend I'm a dumb ass, it shouldn't be hard.
|
__________________
“There are times when the mind is dealt such a blow it hides itself in insanity. While this may not seem beneficial, it is. There are times when reality is nothing but pain, and to escape that pain the mind must leave reality behind.” - Patrick Rothfuss |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2039 |
Philosopher
Moderator
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Fayetteville, NC
Posts: 9,884
|
|
__________________
My previous signature risked (unknowingly) violating the Hatch Act! |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2040 |
Suspended
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 42,380
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
Thread Tools | |
|
|