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#41 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
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Actually the constitution says no such thing. it simply says, "The House of Representatives shall chuse their Speaker and other Officers; and shall have the sole Power of Impeachment". There is no "duty" nor definition of "impeachment" nor standard of evidence specified.
Similarly, "The Senate shall have the sole Power to try all Impeachments". Again, no definition nor standard of proof is stated. Interestingly, The 5th amendment right against testifying against yourself does not apply because an impeachment case is not a "criminal case". Whether the Trump could be compelled to testify at an impeachment hearing would make for an interesting legal argument (I would say "not"). |
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"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#42 |
Fiend God
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: In a post-fact world
Posts: 91,292
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#43 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Oklahoma, USA
Posts: 5,140
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Precedent, then. I'm not typing into the teleprompter for them. The point is that they've sworn an oath to defend the Constitution, as has the President. If they think that the President has violated his oath then they are violating theirs if they take no action. Framing and owning the narrative like this is what they need to do so that all but the mouth-breathiest of knuckle-draggers will get that it's not a partisan hit-job.
For comparison, I thought the Clinton investigations were indeed a partisan hit-job but once he perjured himself I accepted that the ground was laid for impeachment. |
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#44 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
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#45 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
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Trump lost and he knows it.
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#46 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 85,746
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Trump lost and he knows it.
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#47 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 48,538
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My post was directly related to the thread.
It's an impeachment inquiry. The question was, what kind of inquiry is it? Is it a "do we have enough to impeach" inquiry? Or is it a "shall we begin the impeachment process" inquiry? I was pointing out those are two very different kinds of inquiry, with very different outcomes. You misunderstood this as some sort of opinion on how that first question should be answered. But in fact your interpretation is entirely beside the point I was actually making. Also, you're attacking me for calling out your misunderstanding. What else am I supposed to do? Let your misunderstanding go unchallenged, because challenging it feels like a personal attack to you? And if it's gotta be a personal thing for you, then how am I supposed to feel about your classic response of misunderstanding pretty much every post I make? Actually, I feel pretty good about that. I can't remember the last time I advanced an argument that you were able to refute with anything more than bluster, strawmen, and personalization. Anyway, stop misunderstanding my posts all the time, and I'll stop calling it out all the time. |
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#48 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 16,345
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Well that would depend on a lot of factors, such as exactly what illegal acts he responds with, wouldn't it?
Maybe it peels off a couple of GOP Senators who have hard elections ahead, and that in turn changes many internal dynamics in that party. Maybe more and more leave the Republicans, making electoral gains larger. Maybe the reaction is so over the top that immediate actions are taken and widely supported. Maybe the GOP all double down, commit some illegal acts of their own, etc. Maybe they all go too far, expand voter suppression, encourage violence to more literally steal the election, and then we can say we didn't give them enough chance to avoid watering the tree of liberty. Most likely it suppresses some Obama-Trump voter in the next election, without whom President Biff cannot win (assuming other factors stay the same). This idea that nothing can really hurt Trump just isn't true. Demanding certainty just isn't a viable standard. |
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Circled nothing is still nothing. "Nothing will stop the U.S. from being a world leader, not even a handful of adults who want their kids to take science lessons from a book that mentions unicorns six times." -UNLoVedRebel Mumpsimus: a stubborn person who insists on making an error in spite of being shown that it is wrong |
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#49 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Alexandria, VA Home to the Deep State.
Posts: 22,307
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Ideally, the Dems wouldn't start the proceedings until well into the campaigns. That way, the hearings generate news negative to Trump while he's running for reelection. They should run out of time before the floor vote so Trump can't get an up or down vote in the Senate until after the election is over. You get the benefit of lots of free negative coverage for Trump but deny him the acquittal in the Senate.
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A MAGA hat = a Swastika arm band. A vote for Trump is a vote for treason. |
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#50 |
Great minds think...
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: North Dakota
Posts: 8,387
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The problem is with how complicated it is to time things out. Technically, if they start it now thinking Trump will drag it out, he could speed everything along and wrap it up. Trump is kind of in the driver's seat right now. Though he's entirely too stupid to realize it sometimes.
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"Circumcision and death threats go together like milk and cookies." - William Parcher “There are times when the mind is dealt such a blow it hides itself in insanity. While this may not seem beneficial, it is. There are times when reality is nothing but pain, and to escape that pain the mind must leave reality behind.” - Patrick Rothfuss |
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#51 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Alexandria, VA Home to the Deep State.
Posts: 22,307
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A MAGA hat = a Swastika arm band. A vote for Trump is a vote for treason. |
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#52 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 48,538
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Still need to call useful witnesses, though.
Robert Mueller just spent two and a half years calling exactly the kind of witnesses you'd expect to be hugely damaging to the GOP, and yet... And then just last week, the Dems called Mueller as a witness, which should have been a slam dunk for them, and yet... So, while yes, timing the testimony to coincide with other politically momentous events seems like a good strategy, you might be getting ahead of yourselves on this. Find the witnesses first, then plan the timing. |
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#53 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Alexandria, VA Home to the Deep State.
Posts: 22,307
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There are plenty of woman who have accused him of various degrees of sexual assault. There are the New York State Investigators who have looked into Cohen's dealings and the Trump organization. There might even be people still alive who investigated Trump's racial discrimination in rental housing. You could make this a real hatchet job.
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A MAGA hat = a Swastika arm band. A vote for Trump is a vote for treason. |
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#54 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
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Precedent doesn't support your case. There have been instances in the past where the POTUS defied the SC and acted contrary to their rulings. Andrew Jackson did so when he disposessed the Cherokee from their land in northern Georgia. Abraham Lincoln did so when he suspended "habeas corpus".
You would think that these were a clear cut case for impeachment. But in both cases, the house did nothing and you don't have to guess which party was in control at the time. Even if the other party had control of the house, they probably wouldn't have wanted to set a "precedent" that stopped the POTUS from overriding the SC. And who decides if an offence rises to the level of impeachment? The House of Representatives. Should the house seek transgressors and vote to impeach them or should they wait until they get a complaint (like the courts)? That's up to the House of Representatives to decide. Your problem is that you are arguing for political acts to be done for "moral" reasons. That doesn't wash. |
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"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#55 |
Maledictorian
Join Date: Aug 2016
Posts: 14,307
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Do you think the Benghazi hearings had "useful witnesses" ?
but on point: Mueller interviewed under seal - the house doesn't have to. Especially since they are not looking for a criminal conviction, unlike Mueller. It would be entirely sufficient to prove that Trump did things no President should ever do. |
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Ceterum autem censeo fox et amicis esse delendam. |
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#56 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Oklahoma, USA
Posts: 5,140
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Nonsense. Clinton was impeached for perjury to a grand jury and obstruction of justice. There is a compelling to case to made that Trump is guilty of obstruction, including multiple examples of lying to investigators and to the American people. That doesn't even consider his seeking help from a foreign adversary in a quid pro quo, emoluments infractions, etc.
Correct. They've got at least as much justification to impeach Trump today as they had for Clinton. If perjury and obstruction were sufficient in 1998 to rise to the level of treason, bribery and other high crimes and misdemeanors, then that's the standard by which the House should act in 2019. |
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#57 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 29,809
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Clinton was impeached while his party was in power. Outcome he wasn't convicted and his approval rating went up. The same thing is going to happen if we impeach Trump before 2020.
The difference is we're talking about impeaching Trump while he's in his first time, while Clinton was in his second. |
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Yahtzee: "You're doing that thing again where when asked a question you just discuss the philosophy of the question instead of answering the bloody question." Gabriel: "Well yeah, you see..." Yahtzee: "No. When you are asked a Yes or No question the first word out of your mouth needs to be Yes or No. Only after that have you earned the right to elaborate." |
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#58 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 48,538
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I'm agnostic. But the fact that they went nowhere and became a laughingstock suggests that Congressional hearings maybe aren't such great tool for proving stuff and winning political arguments.
Quote:
"Alice's testimony proves that Bob lied!" "'Proves.'" |
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#59 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 85,746
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I don't see how first or second term matters. Care to explain?
Also you can't compare the two impeachments. In Clinton's case a large segment of the population was sick of Starr by that time and thought lying about an affair was petty. Only Trump loyalists feel similarly about Trump's case. |
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Trump lost and he knows it.
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#60 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,092
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#61 |
Maledictorian
Join Date: Aug 2016
Posts: 14,307
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Ceterum autem censeo fox et amicis esse delendam. |
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#62 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 48,538
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There was no explanation. Would you like one? I think Craig4 gives a good one:
It's a question of timing. Deciding that there's enough to impeach, but deferring the question of impeachment itself until a more politically-advantageous moment, is a very different decision from deciding to impeach right now.
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#63 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 29,809
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Yahtzee: "You're doing that thing again where when asked a question you just discuss the philosophy of the question instead of answering the bloody question." Gabriel: "Well yeah, you see..." Yahtzee: "No. When you are asked a Yes or No question the first word out of your mouth needs to be Yes or No. Only after that have you earned the right to elaborate." |
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#64 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 48,538
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So the House majority votes a non-legislative resolution, finding that Alice's testimony "proves" Bob's lies. And then what? If it doesn't change the national conversation? If it doesn't resolve any larger controversy? If it doesn't peel votes? If it doesn't even indict Bob?
It's easy to have hearings. It's easy to proclaim "victory" according to some metric at the conclusion. It's a lot harder to make that conclusion stick, and change the larger national conversation, and move the needle in the next election. Look at the Benghazi hearings. Or the Mueller hearings, for that matter. |
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#65 |
Maledictorian
Join Date: Aug 2016
Posts: 14,307
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We don't know what testimony would significantly change the voters' minds - or those of the Senators.
There is certainly enough in the Mueller report to impeach, objectively speaking, but perhaps not politically: Trump has set the bar so low that even ordering his staff to lie to Mueller doesn't surprise anyone. But there is a very good chance that the bank subpoenas will show Trump involved in money laundering. And that might be enough for most voters. |
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Ceterum autem censeo fox et amicis esse delendam. |
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#66 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,092
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Yes, timing is an important strategic detail, but it wasn't clear what you were trying to say about a "technical" difference between your two choices. I'd say neither of them quite describes where we are now, which is "Do we know everything knowable about what appears to already be a dang good case for obstruction of justice and campaign finance violations, at the least?" For timing purposes, that threshold is easily achieved by adjusting the threshold.
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#67 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Port Townsend, Washington
Posts: 30,599
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Waste of time, waste of outrage.
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Cum catapultae proscribeantur tum soli proscripti catapultas habeant. |
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#68 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
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#69 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 29,809
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Yahtzee: "You're doing that thing again where when asked a question you just discuss the philosophy of the question instead of answering the bloody question." Gabriel: "Well yeah, you see..." Yahtzee: "No. When you are asked a Yes or No question the first word out of your mouth needs to be Yes or No. Only after that have you earned the right to elaborate." |
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#70 |
Great minds think...
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: North Dakota
Posts: 8,387
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We don't even know what's going on with some of the other investigations. I think Mueller's being downplayed by the GOP and blown up by the Dem's.
It was good. Some decent soundbytes, Mueller confirmed that Trump wasn't innocent, and it actually got Trump to shut the **** up about it a little bit, I think. That being said, I think the taxes will be just as damning, and hopefully more so. Mueller basically said that he didn't know if Trump and his idiots were smart enough to know they were breaking the law intentionally. Which, sadly, I kind of agree with. I think Trump was completely ignorant of how the law works up until he made his statement about taking help again and got his ass firmly handed to him from multiple people. Then he learned, 'Oh, I actually can't take information'. That caused him to backpedal. When it comes to taxes I really and truly don't feel that defense will work. Sure, the Trump Tower meeting was sketchy, but you can feign ignorance. A few decades of tax fraud\evasion is not as easy to skate on. Those investigations also aren't being handled by the DOJ, they're being handled by the House. |
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"Circumcision and death threats go together like milk and cookies." - William Parcher “There are times when the mind is dealt such a blow it hides itself in insanity. While this may not seem beneficial, it is. There are times when reality is nothing but pain, and to escape that pain the mind must leave reality behind.” - Patrick Rothfuss |
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#71 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
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It doesn't matter how many investigations are going on. The Constitution only provides two ways to remove a sitting President; the 25th Amendment and Conviction through Impeachment.
The 25th Amendment requires the The Vice President and a majority of the President's Cabinet and they're all a bunch of yes-men that Trump will fire at the first sign of resistance. We'd have better luck painting a fake tunnel on the side of a cliff in the desert and tricking Trump into running into it like the Roadrunner. Impeachment requires 2/3rds majority in Senate. Newsflash the Dems don't have a 2/3rds majority in the Senate. You could maybe, maybe get a half dozen Republicans to jump aisle on the best day if Trump gets caught doing something like outrageous, we're talking Nixon's tapes time Clinton's blowjob times the Teapot Dome Scandal times a thousand. That's nowhere near enough. The vast majority of the Republicans will back up him up with no qualms, a few might make meaningless surface level rebukes but still support him, and Susan Collins of Maine will be "very, very concerned." |
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Yahtzee: "You're doing that thing again where when asked a question you just discuss the philosophy of the question instead of answering the bloody question." Gabriel: "Well yeah, you see..." Yahtzee: "No. When you are asked a Yes or No question the first word out of your mouth needs to be Yes or No. Only after that have you earned the right to elaborate." |
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#72 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,092
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When you said there was an important "technical difference" between your two choices, I thought you might mean, e.g. a difference in how they could proceed or what grand jury testimony a judge might grant them, etc. After you explained what you meant, my "quibble" is that the distinction you're making in your two choices is not really driving the process or the timing, so it's irrelevant.
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#73 |
Great minds think...
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: North Dakota
Posts: 8,387
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I assure you, a newsflash I didn't need at all.
That being said, you're entire post was a non sequitur from mine. All information I didn't need, nor added\detracted from my post in the slightest bit. See, it DOES matter how many investigations are going. I'll tell you why. Just because the Mueller investigation didn't bring about the damaging information that would lead to impeachment doesn't mean a different investigation can't\won't provide that information. Now, yes, I understand you've perpetually screamed from the rooftops that any form of impeachment proceedings will hand Trump the White House OMGZ! But that isn't true at all. There's nothing to support that even a little bit. If there's rampant tax fraud\evasion that is able to be proven through clear cut evidence, who knows what could happen? Even Fox hasn't been their standard, ass kissy selves. If more damaging information comes out it could be even worse for Trump. It might even turn a few heads that aren't turned now. I digress though. Just for future reference, I don't really need newsflashes or anything. I'm good. |
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"Circumcision and death threats go together like milk and cookies." - William Parcher “There are times when the mind is dealt such a blow it hides itself in insanity. While this may not seem beneficial, it is. There are times when reality is nothing but pain, and to escape that pain the mind must leave reality behind.” - Patrick Rothfuss |
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#74 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 16,848
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You still don't get it. The facts don't matter. The house isn't going to impeach because Trump's actions are so egregious that they warrant impeachment. They will only impeach if they think that it will increase the chances of getting a Democrat in the white house in 2020. The Senate would uphold impeachment for the same reason - if it wasn't Republican controlled.
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__________________
"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#75 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 85,746
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Trump lost and he knows it.
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#76 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Oklahoma, USA
Posts: 5,140
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Two-way street, evidently.
I'm not predicting what House Dems will do, I'm suggesting the route they should take to pursue impeachment while minimizing backlash of partisanship. Seldom have modern Democrats spoken strongly enough about their core beliefs, and this has ceded the narrative to the GOP time and time again. This is, obviously, moot if the House lacks the votes to pursue impeachment. |
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#77 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 29,809
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__________________
Yahtzee: "You're doing that thing again where when asked a question you just discuss the philosophy of the question instead of answering the bloody question." Gabriel: "Well yeah, you see..." Yahtzee: "No. When you are asked a Yes or No question the first word out of your mouth needs to be Yes or No. Only after that have you earned the right to elaborate." |
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#78 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 48,538
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Ultimately it's a political thing. It's not like a regular criminal case where you appeal to a higher authority and call on them to dispassionately judge the complaint on its merits.
Yes, that's part of it, but there's no higher authority than the federal government. Just the separation of highest authority in to separate, co-equal, and highly politicized branches. Impeachment happens not when there is a crime to prosecute in the conventional sense, but when there is overwhelming public outcry demanding a political ouster. Public opinion on Trump, despite all his documented and alleged shenanigans, is still sharply split. The Republican establishment would impeach in a heartbeat, if they thought it would energize Republican voters and increase their chances of picking up seats and staying in the Oval Office. But Republican voters don't want Trump out of office that badly. And Democrats don't have the majority they need to override that public sentiment. So it's not going to happen. |
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#79 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 30,962
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This seems somewhat related to some of the discussion thus far generated: https://twitter.com/JoyAnnReid/statu...80051268980737
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I don't trust atoms. They make up everything. |
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#80 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 16,345
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__________________
Circled nothing is still nothing. "Nothing will stop the U.S. from being a world leader, not even a handful of adults who want their kids to take science lessons from a book that mentions unicorns six times." -UNLoVedRebel Mumpsimus: a stubborn person who insists on making an error in spite of being shown that it is wrong |
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