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Old 23rd January 2021, 01:44 AM   #2641
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Originally Posted by PartSkeptic View Post
I posted that I was doing quite well. The last week that has changed. I am nauseous, brain fog, debilitated, fatigued, stomach pains and having diarrhea.

So what changed? I have been following the routine that I know does work. Same diet, same pills at the same time.

Perhaps you did something that displeased your god.
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Old 23rd January 2021, 01:45 AM   #2642
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Originally Posted by Spektator View Post
Magic 8-Ball time! After I made a burnt offering of this morning's toast (somehow the toaster lever got shoved all the way over), I dedicated it to the phantasmic forces governing the revered 8-Ball and asked, "When a failed seer makes a prediction on the Internet and it doesn't come true, will the failed seer frankly admit he/she was wrong?"

The 8-Ball's answer: "Don't count on it."

So true, Eighty. So very true.

I am not a failed seer.

With regard to my prediction about Biden, I was wrong.

However, many worried so much about the threat to him they turned the Capital into a Green Zone. And many others worry about his health. Some are counting the days to see if he beats the record of 32 days. The presidency ages men. Biden cannot take much more "aging".

So, come on man. Gimme a break.
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Old 23rd January 2021, 01:50 AM   #2643
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Originally Posted by Mojo View Post
Perhaps you did something that displeased your god.

No. I am carrying out his wishes to spread the message. Often, I find the delays are serendipitous. These last few days have illustrated how subtle and how nasty emfs can be. I now know how some people with serious EHS feel and why they choose to sleep in a car in the countryside.

On Monday I must run some errands. I am planning on making a cap and shirt with emf reflective stuff in them that is not obvious.
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Old 23rd January 2021, 02:03 AM   #2644
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My prediction of more problems is based on my message from God that the population is going to be decreased. Trump was part of that, and now Biden will amplify the chaos. We only have to wait 1 year, not four.
Is that an actual verifiable prediction at last? That there will a reduction in the global population in the next year? IIRC that would require a total death toll approaching 100 million, as annual population growth is currently running at about 80 million. The current death toll is about 2.1 million, so you're predicting 40 times more deaths in the second year than the first, despite the fact we now have several effective vaccines. That's a ... bold prediction.

Originally Posted by PartSkeptic View Post
Who predicted it would get so bad? (Apart from me). .
The prediction that it would get this bad is what led governments to implement drastic measures to reduce the impact, with mixed success. You, OTOH, alone predicted that it would get much much worse. A prediction that so far has not been borne out.
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Old 23rd January 2021, 11:05 AM   #2645
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Originally Posted by PartSkeptic View Post
For those who claim I am pushing a conspiracy theory (emf harm) you are wrong.
Yes, you are. You took the people to court over allegations they were targeting you with EMF and posted the records of the trial here.

Quote:
For those who claim I am pushing a conspiracy theory (media silenced by industry) you are right.
You're also doing that, having been fed a load of pseudo-scientific hogwash by activist groups and pretending that you can pass it off here to actual scientists who actually work in the appropriate fields, and yourself as some sort of expert.

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Cell tower radiation is what has changed.
Cell tower radiation changes all the time. But you have provided no valid scientific grounds for your claim that (1) it is causing your health problems and (2) there is a vast conspiracy to cover it up. We spent months helping you prepare an experiment to test (1) on your behalf, but you abandoned it as soon as it became evident you couldn't stall anymore.

You are steeping yourself in fretful interpretations of the science postured to you by media and activists. And yes, that's the links you're posting. They're not scientists, they're activists -- as a moment's careful reading of their literature-survey methods demonstrates.

This is clearly what you want to believe. But if you want anyone else to accept your claims on the subject, you will need to provide evidence and demonstrate the ability to understand and discuss it. It's clear you have none, and no interest at all in any of that.
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Old 23rd January 2021, 11:07 AM   #2646
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Originally Posted by PartSkeptic View Post
I am not a failed seer.
Yes, you are.

Quote:
With regard to my prediction about Biden, I was wrong.
Yes, you were.

Quote:
However...
And now you're try to shift the goalposts to make it look like your original prediction is somehow borne out by the events that actually occurred. Just like every failed seer and knowingly fake prophet tries to do.

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So, come on man. Gimme a break.
No. Your frantic attempts to get people to believe you're something you clearly aren't are beyond pathetic at this point.
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Old 23rd January 2021, 11:09 AM   #2647
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Just a reminder.

I stated before Covid that the coming pandemic would be stealthy and the rich and powerful would not be able to avoid it as they did with the Spanish Flu. SA had a Minister die and so Larry King has also passed on.

I just saw a RT documentary on Covid long-haulers. My 2018 and current symptoms are very similar. So much so, that I think they might have been sensitized by Covid and are now actually EHS. But do you think any one will even consider doing a study? No, of course not. It is loony tunes to even suggest it. Right? Like telling flat-earthers the earth is a sphere.
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Old 23rd January 2021, 11:22 AM   #2648
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Originally Posted by PartSkeptic View Post
Who predicted it would get so bad? (Apart from me). Not the scientific community who advise governments.
Yes, they did. They've been predicting exactly this sort of pandemic with exactly this sort of spread and death toll for decades. In contrast, you predicted an AIDS-like pandemic profile with up to millions or billions dead. You took the general idea that epidemics are perennial problems for the human race, extrapolated the last pandemic you were familiar with (an anomalous epidemiological profile), and gave us a death toll that's orders of magnitude off.

In other words, you did what every fake prophet does: try to predict something that anyone -- or everyone -- could predict and pretend you're special for doing so. And you couldn't even get that right.

Quote:
Otherwise the preparation would have been intense. Heck, they did not even believe a pandemic was forming until it was too late.
Preparation requires two things: the careful, scientific study of a phenomenon to characterize its likely causes and effects, and the willingness of those who control public policy and resources to act upon the predictions generated by the scientific model. The former is governed by the scientific method; the latter by the ever-shifting sands of politics. The Obama-Biden administration took the scientists seriously and put a plan in place to deal with an eventual epidemic. The Trump administration threw the plan in the trash and -- for entirely political reasons -- tried to pretend nothing was happening. Don't confuse political intransigence with the inability of science to predict and plan for pandemics. Sorry, your latest anti-science rant falls flat. And demonstrates what happens when you don't listen to scientists and put your faith in superstition and nonsense.

Last edited by JayUtah; 23rd January 2021 at 11:48 AM.
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Old 23rd January 2021, 11:33 AM   #2649
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Originally Posted by PartSkeptic View Post
I am not a failed seer.

With regard to my prediction about Biden, I was wrong.

However, many worried so much about the threat to him they turned the Capital into a Green Zone. And many others worry about his health. Some are counting the days to see if he beats the record of 32 days. The presidency ages men. Biden cannot take much more "aging".

So, come on man. Gimme a break.
Perhaps I'm not up on the subtleties here, but it looks from the above as if you're saying though you failed as a seer you're not a failed seer because you have applied a retroactive veil of vagueness.

I predicted A and A did not happen, but if you hold on long enough, a B that is tantamount to an A might happen. If it doesn't, we can still look forward to a C that seen through the right prism can be taken for a B. To fully appreciate PartSkeptic's talents we must master the transitive prophecy.
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Old 23rd January 2021, 11:37 AM   #2650
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Originally Posted by PartSkeptic View Post
I stated before Covid that the coming pandemic would be stealthy...
Which it wasn't. You were basing your hypothetical pandemic on the spread of HIV. In comparison, the spread of nCoV-SARS-2 was like wildfire.

Quote:
...so Larry King has also passed on.
...at age 87 after a whole long string of health problems. I knew Larry King and have worked with him. His health has been fragile for many, many years. That he was rich and powerful and able -- at least in the United States -- to afford much better health care than poor people, he was still a frail old man.

Quote:
My 2018 and current symptoms are very similar. So much so, that I think they might have been sensitized by Covid and are now actually EHS.
Oh, please. This is gibberish.

Quote:
But do you think any one will even consider doing a study?
Many people here contributed months of their time and considerable talent attempting to help you discover whether the purported causes of your health problems were really to blame. You wasted our time and finally expressed no further interest in a scientific test of your claims. You were invited to prove with evidence that you know best and science doesn't, but you chickened out.

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Like telling flat-earthers the earth is a sphere.
Yes, trying to reason with you is like trying to reason with a flat-Earther.
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Old Today, 01:43 AM   #2651
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Correlation or causation?

I am keeping my meds and diet the same, and other routines. Because I know they work.

On Saturday, the cumulative effect of exposure to cell towers really hit me hard. I was not able to do much. I had to rest and sleep most of the day. Horrible nausea, brain fog and fatigue.

On Sunday I was in much better shape. Almost normal (for me). Not very tired and could get things done. Did not have to have sleep to heal. In fact, at midnight I took half a sleeping tablet because my mind was now so active. Got up this Monday morning and am into work. Stomach is fine.

I have a friend who is a journalist in the USA. Totally anti-Trump. Also totally anti-EMF harm. Rubbish, nonsense, and loony tunes stuff she reckons. Sigh. The Telcos have done their job well. So God can continue to use it to amplify to effects of Covid. At some point the people will wake up. And I reckon they will be angry.
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Old Today, 01:45 AM   #2652
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Originally Posted by JayUtah View Post
(snip)

Yes, trying to reason with you is like trying to reason with a flat-Earther.
Strange how I feel the same way about you.
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Old Today, 01:55 AM   #2653
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Originally Posted by bruto View Post
Perhaps I'm not up on the subtleties here, but it looks from the above as if you're saying though you failed as a seer you're not a failed seer because you have applied a retroactive veil of vagueness.

I predicted A and A did not happen, but if you hold on long enough, a B that is tantamount to an A might happen. If it doesn't, we can still look forward to a C that seen through the right prism can be taken for a B. To fully appreciate PartSkeptic's talents we must master the transitive prophecy.

It is simple. I have not a professional psychic. I do not claim to have a hotline to any spirit entity, or God. I get omens and sign and feelings. Unfortunately, I am not a machine, so my personal views and ego interferes with both the messages and their interpretation.

So one has to look at my overall success rate on the big ones. It is good, despite the twisting and distortion in order to rate them as fails. This last one was more of a personal feeling - one in which I got no input from Tarot cards or other omens. I would have advised people not to give it credence (like betting on it.)

I do not care how I rate by others. I get input from the thread which shows me how intelligent (some of you clearly are) people think. I know how some dumb people think as well.

What surprises me is the total rejection that the world might be entering a very horrific phase which I am saying is going to get much worse. One reason for this is that people want to be positive, and many have been dulled by the many messages of doom from all over. This means some parts of the world react and change too slowly. They are at more risk. The USA is definitely one.

My message is that there is HOPE. But after the meltdown.
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Old Today, 01:56 AM   #2654
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Originally Posted by PartSkeptic View Post
Correlation or causation?
There's only one way to find out, but for some reason you refuse to employ it.
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Old Today, 02:00 AM   #2655
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Originally Posted by PartSkeptic View Post
Strange how I feel the same way about you.
It's easy to see which side is actually employing the same kind of arguments and "evidence" that flat earthers use.
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Old Today, 07:48 AM   #2656
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Originally Posted by PartSkeptic View Post
It is simple. I have not a professional psychic. I do not claim to have a hotline to any spirit entity, or God. I get omens and sign and feelings. Unfortunately, I am not a machine, so my personal views and ego interferes with both the messages and their interpretation.

So one has to look at my overall success rate on the big ones. It is good, despite the twisting and distortion in order to rate them as fails. This last one was more of a personal feeling - one in which I got no input from Tarot cards or other omens. I would have advised people not to give it credence (like betting on it.)

I do not care how I rate by others. I get input from the thread which shows me how intelligent (some of you clearly are) people think. I know how some dumb people think as well.

What surprises me is the total rejection that the world might be entering a very horrific phase which I am saying is going to get much worse. One reason for this is that people want to be positive, and many have been dulled by the many messages of doom from all over. This means some parts of the world react and change too slowly. They are at more risk. The USA is definitely one.

My message is that there is HOPE. But after the meltdown.
Yes indeed, it is simple. Many people can look at the world, and predict trends and developments, and get them more or less right. But if you claim to know details and the details are wrong, or contend that the prediction involves more than an evaluation of what you see, then the simple word that describes the process is "failure." Being wrong is not a variant form of being right.
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Old Today, 07:55 AM   #2657
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Originally Posted by bruto View Post
Yes indeed, it is simple. Many people can look at the world, and predict trends and developments, and get them more or less right. But if you claim to know details and the details are wrong, or contend that the prediction involves more than an evaluation of what you see, then the simple word that describes the process is "failure." Being wrong is not a variant form of being right.
Alt-right?
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Old Today, 07:56 AM   #2658
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Originally Posted by PartSkeptic View Post
Strange how I feel the same way about you.
You haven't yet attempted to reason. As I keep pointing out, you're simply decrying science based on your profound misunderstanding of it, claiming all sorts of natural and supernatural abilities you can't demonstrate you possess, and then whining when the skeptics you choose as your audience don't simply take your word for it.

Reasoning begins with facts that have evidentiary potential. At worst what we get from you are anecdotes, many of which are obvious lies. At best we get cherry-picked claims you copy from dubious sources, and then can't discuss further. Then reasoning proceeds to test those facts, which you don't know how to do and abjectly refuse to learn how to do. Then with solid facts in hand, reasoning determines by sound rules of inference what propositions or conclusions might reliably follow. Instead you just call everyone else stupid or irrational if they reject your claims.

None of what you're doing here gives that process more than a tantalizing illusion of a toehold. A number of people have tried to take you seriously, only to be ignored or insulted.
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Old Today, 08:19 AM   #2659
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Originally Posted by PartSkeptic View Post
I get omens and sign and feelings.
Yes, this is how many self-proclaimed psychics claim they work. It has to be portrayed as "soft" so that it can be walked back when it doesn't work.

Quote:
Unfortunately, I am not a machine, so my personal views and ego interferes with both the messages and their interpretation.
A common excuse given by self-proclaimed psychics when they fail at providing evidence of their claims. It's an attempt to take credit for apparent success without having to accommodate failures. It doesn't matter how you waffle. Unless you can demonstrate objective evidence of an ability to predict the future at a rate greater than natural, your excuses fall flat.

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So one has to look at my overall success rate on the big ones. It is good, despite the twisting and distortion in order to rate them as fails
No. Every time you make a prediction, the skeptics ask you at the time whether it's going to be one you stand beside as evidence of your claimed gifts. And every time you waffle until the answer becomes clear, whereupon you retrospectively claim it either as a bona fide hit or an inconsequential miss. You seem to think we can't see you doing this.

A claim that you can make predictions with an "overall success rate" greater than normal requires the rules to be spelled out in advance and followed methodically. In all the time you have been at this forum you have gyrated spectacularly to avoid a valid test of your claimed abilities. Today is no different.

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I do not care how I rate by others.
Judging by your performance at this forum, how you rate by others is practically the only thing you seem to care about. You keep telling us tall tales about your unmatched abilities, both normal and supernatural. And you throw some pretty profound conniption fits when those tales aren't taken at face value. Your ongoing arrogance is the foundational problem with your participation at this forum.

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What surprises me is the total rejection that the world might be entering a very horrific phase which I am saying is going to get much worse.
It shouldn't surprise you that claims for which you can provide no evidence are rejected by the skeptics you choose to present them to. For all the ways in which you claim the world is getting worse, you've been shown metrics that show the opposite. The only reason you can give people for why they should accept your predictions for the future is that you have a good track record at predicting the future. But you don't, and you won't submit to a test of that ability. In fact, you're not even very good at faking being a prophet. You make far too many mistakes playing the game. So no, it should come as no surprise to you that when you can't give people good reasons to believe something, they don't.

Quote:
One reason for this is that people want to be positive, and many have been dulled by the many messages of doom from all over.
Or, there is the reason that there's no evidence to support your position.

Quote:
My message is that there is HOPE. But after the meltdown.
Specifically with respect to COVID-19, your message was that science should stop spending resources discovering and applying a cure, and instead we should just build more hospices for people to go die in. Your message has been that it's God's will that millions or billions should die, and you advocate for a plan that would make that seem more true. Maybe you should consider that your message is being rejected not only because you're an obviously fake prophet, but also because your message per se is sick and twisted.
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Old Today, 08:50 AM   #2660
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Originally Posted by PartSkeptic View Post
It is simple. I have not a professional psychic. I do not claim to have a hotline to any spirit entity, or God. I get omens and sign and feelings. Unfortunately, I am not a machine, so my personal views and ego interferes with both the messages and their interpretation.

So one has to look at my overall success rate on the big ones. It is good, despite the twisting and distortion in order to rate them as fails. This last one was more of a personal feeling - one in which I got no input from Tarot cards or other omens. I would have advised people not to give it credence (like betting on it.)

I do not care how I rate by others. I get input from the thread which shows me how intelligent (some of you clearly are) people think. I know how some dumb people think as well.

What surprises me is the total rejection that the world might be entering a very horrific phase which I am saying is going to get much worse. One reason for this is that people want to be positive, and many have been dulled by the many messages of doom from all over. This means some parts of the world react and change too slowly. They are at more risk. The USA is definitely one.

My message is that there is HOPE. But after the meltdown.
Only if "overall success rate" is something quite different from "measurable (and measured) success rate." You seem quite determined to avoid the objective latter so you can claim the subjective former. If all you want is to soothe your ego, that's a good way to do it; but I'd suggest then that the problem isn't that your "personal views and ego interfere with both the messages and their interpretation," it's that your personal views and ego are the message and their interpretation. You're not some indifferent middleman just passing along what a god wants us to hear- you're the ego playing god who just wants us to pay attention to you.
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Old Today, 09:48 AM   #2661
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Originally Posted by PartSkeptic View Post
One reason for this is that people want to be positive, and many have been dulled by the many messages of doom from all over. This means some parts of the world react and change too slowly. They are at more risk. The USA is definitely one.
This bears attention of a different kind. The swiftness with which any part of the world, or a specific country, responds to a crisis depends on many factors having to do with both the country and the kind of crisis. There are many avenues of preparedness that apply at once to all crises and at times to particular events. I agree that effective change in pursuing those avenues will happen at various rates, again depending on the country.

The problem in the United States has been a social and political climate in which facts matter less, and in which there is a lessening desire and/or ability to sift fact from fiction. This may very well lead to downplaying emergent risks. It may certainly lead -- and probably has led -- to political leaders glossing over the risk in the hope that they won't be responsible for responding to a catastrophe on their watch. That also speaks to a crisis of leadership.

But when the root cause is simply an unwillingness to mind the facts, the solution is clearly not more "spirutualism" or other modes of thinking that substitute speculation and wishful thinking for fact. The solution is more critical thinking.
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Old Today, 10:11 AM   #2662
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Originally Posted by PartSkeptic View Post
So one has to look at my overall success rate on the big ones. It is good, despite the twisting and distortion in order to rate them as fails.
You keep claiming this but you have yet to give any examples of how I, or anyone else, am guilty of "twisting and distortion".

It prompted me to look back at the lists of PartSkeptic predictions I've kept over the years, and I noticed we can now finalise the ones concerning Trump's presidency. I've decided to add the Biden prediction to that list - yes I know he's been trying to downplay it, but we all know that in the unlikely event it had been correct he would have been crowing about it as a massive hit for the rest of his life, so it seems only fair to record its actual status.

I found a link to an early list, at this point the first three were hits with one miss and the rest pending. [Other posters have pointed out that 1 and 3 were pretty much already fait accompli at the time he made them, but I was being generous].

So here's the final status for PartSkeptic's predictions re Trump's term as President. Note some were dependant on earlier predictions being hits, and so failed automatically when the predecessor failed.

1. Trump will be chosen as Republican candidate. Status: Hit
2. Trump will win the Presidential election. Status: Hit
3. Trump will be sworn in as President. Status: Hit
4. There will be a very surprising event between 2 and 3. Status: Miss
5. A serious global health problem will be apparent by the end of 2017. Status: Miss
6. Trump will serve a full term. Status: Hit
7. Trump will do well. Status: Miss
8. 5 will be the start of a pandemic that will kill 50% of the population by 2027. Status: Miss
9. The USA will make a pre-emptive nuclear attack on North Korea in September 2017. Status: Miss
10. 9 will not escalate to WW3/war with China. Status: Miss
11. The North Korean nuclear threat will be ended by 12th August 2018. Status: Miss
12. Biden will not live to be sworn in as President on 20th Jan 2021. Status: Miss

So that's 4 hits and 8 misses, giving a final hit rate for this set of predictions of 33%.

The only one where there's any leeway for interpretation is 7, but I doubt even PS's "talent" for subjective validation would rate that one a hit.
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Old Today, 11:19 AM   #2663
JayUtah
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Originally Posted by Pixel42 View Post
You keep claiming this but you have yet to give any examples of how I, or anyone else, am guilty of "twisting and distortion".
And as a corollary, there have been many attempts to reach suitable clarity on what exactly is being predicted and whether a prediction is made as an ordinary prognostication or a supernatural prophecy. These attempts are almost always fruitless, leaving enough wiggle room for the claimant to shift the goalposts to achieve a hit, or to accuse any skeptics of doing the same thing. The accusation falls flat because the skeptics are the ones trying to fix the goalposts and take the data as they come. Who expects to benefit from ambiguous claims can be determined usually by who is trying to keep them ambiguous.

Quote:
I've decided to add the Biden prediction to that list - yes I know he's been trying to downplay it...
He was given ample opportunity at the time, and was asked several times, to clarify whether he was going to stand by this as a prediction. Any test of his alleged prophetic ability that has any value in this forum must agree at least that the decision to include or exclude trials must be made before the outcome of the trial is known or apparent.

Quote:
So that's 4 hits and 8 misses, giving a final hit rate for this set of predictions of 33%.
Which is at least a proposition that can be debated rationally. As opposed to the vague, handwaving "good" "overall success rate on the big ones," the predictions that took part in the analysis are clearly enumerated, the method of calculation is apparent, and the results -- right or wrong -- are expressed as an objective fraction. These are aspects of the analysis that lend themselves to scrutiny, debate, and -- if advisable -- revision. We've failed to reach any sort of agreement with PartSkeptic on what constitutes a viable prediction, what constitutes a "big" prediction, and what will actually count as a hit or miss. Instead we just get a broad-strokes, nebulous insistence that he is still somehow good at this. It's just the naked demand to be believed, even where evidence is missing or contrary.

Quote:
The only one where there's any leeway for interpretation is 7, but I doubt even PS's "talent" for subjective validation would rate that one a hit.
I cannot conceive of any way of looking at the Trump tenure that qualifies as "doing well," except perhaps his complicity in the Republican party's goal of staffing the judiciary with judges likely to render judgments favorable to their interests. By objective measures of the success of a U.S. Presidency that I can think of, I would judge him a complete failure.

Further, by Trump's own likely criteria he was a failure. It has been widely reported that Donald Trump ran for the office not expecting to win, but rather to promote his business. His businesses now lie in ruin, his properties devalued, and he's facing a likely onslaught of civil and criminal court proceedings.

But whatever criteria you want to use, those had to have been laid down more than four years ago so that we don't have to quibble now over what historical facts might be cherry-picked to support one outcome or another.
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