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#81 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Yokohama, Japan
Posts: 25,748
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A fool thinks himself to be wise, but a wise man knows himself to be a fool. William Shakespeare |
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#82 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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That's true. Putin managed to get the right-wing idiots on board with his chauvinistic conservatism and left-wing idiots always were on Russian side. In the words of one left-wing useful idiot I had the displeasure to talk to, "Russia and China are fighting against western fascism". That's why he supports them.
I'm not sure "idiot" is strong enough a word to describe such people. McHrozni |
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لا إله إلا رجل والعلوم والتكنولوجيا وأنبيائه |
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#83 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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لا إله إلا رجل والعلوم والتكنولوجيا وأنبيائه |
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#84 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 3,417
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#85 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Massachusetts, USA
Posts: 8,012
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It's not really a case of "both sides".
Dirty politics to eliminate term limits is not a coup. Bloomberg extended term limits to stay on as NYC mayor, but no one would consider the NYPD killing protestors in the street and installing a coup mayor as an acceptable solution. |
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#86 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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It's really a case when one side - Morales - carries >99% of all blame. Whether or not there was a credible alternative course of action is for you to prove.
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What happened then was a blatant travesty: a pro-Morales court blatantly violated the constitution and exceeded their authority to allow him to run a third term, based on a principle the Constitution explicitly voided when it was written. This goes above and beyond "dirty politics" and already shows there was no independent jurdiciary in Bolivia under Morales, thanks to Morales. That could be described as a creeping coup. McHrozni |
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لا إله إلا رجل والعلوم والتكنولوجيا وأنبيائه |
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#87 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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I'm not sure I agree with the military being just as bad if not worse. Morales already usurped jurdiciary independence, it's not like there is a way to petition the government to restore constitutional authority. Obviously I'd perfer if it was done in a non-violent fashion. However given the disaster of a country in Venezuela - a mentor-country and regime for Morales - I'm not sure if there was a better way at all.
McHrozni |
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لا إله إلا رجل والعلوم والتكنولوجيا وأنبيائه |
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#88 |
Orthogonal Vector
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 50,461
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Sufficiently advanced Woo is indistinguishable from Parody "There shall be no *poofing* in science" Paul C. Anagnostopoulos Force ***** on reasons back" Ben Franklin |
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#89 | |||
Ewige Blumenkraft
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Ivory Tower
Posts: 18,997
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Glenn Greenwald interviewed Evo:
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If they want the pandemic to end, they just have to stop testing. Then people will die of the flu again, like they did before - Wolfgang Wodarg |
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#90 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Massachusetts, USA
Posts: 8,012
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Washington Post: Bolivia dismissed its October elections as fraudulent. Our research found no reason to suspect fraud.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...mments-wrapper No meaningful evidence to support the claim by the OAS of fraudulent voting. |
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#91 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,605
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Based on the same MIT study:
MIT Study Finds No Evidence of Fraud in Bolivia’s October Election (The Globe Post, Feb. 27, 2020) MIT study: Right-wing coup in Bolivia was based on false claims (Salon, Feb. 28, 2020) MIT Researchers Cast Doubt on Bolivian Election Fraud (NYT, Feb. 28, 2020) Es gab keine Wahlfälschung in Bolivien und die Analyse der OAS erscheint „zutiefst fehlerhaft“, heißt es im Bericht des Political Science Research Lab der USA (Granma.cu, Feb. 28, 2020) ’No evidence of fraud’ in Morales poll victory, say US researchers (Guardian, March 1, 2020) |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#92 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Massachusetts, USA
Posts: 8,012
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It's been six months since the coup. No elections have been held.
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#93 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 49,663
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Time to send in the mercenaries!
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#94 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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Do mention the whole story, please.
The elections were scheduled for 3rd of May, but were moved back to between June and September due to the ongoing epidemic. The decision was made back in March. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-h...-idUSKBN21D39N Would you perfer the Bolivians having to choose between health and democracy instead? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-...mic_in_Bolivia McHrozni |
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لا إله إلا رجل والعلوم والتكنولوجيا وأنبيائه |
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#95 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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لا إله إلا رجل والعلوم والتكنولوجيا وأنبيائه |
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#96 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,605
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#97 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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The interim regime doesn't want an election where people get to choose between their health and casting their votes.
There are zero good solutions available to the current government. Either they hold elections and the people are forced to choose between catching a potentially deadly disease, or else they don't hold elections and are criticized for leading a 'coup'. Neither solution is good or even acceptable, but that's what they have to work with. Considering the severity of their quarantine, I do not consider delaying the election as excessive. https://bo.usembassy.gov/covid-19-information/ It's certainly anything but ideal and I'd wish there was a better solution. However if their measures are followed at least somewhat well Bolivia will be out of quarantine by the end of the month and there will be no reason not to hold the election. If they delay then then the wording of regime can become acceptable. Until then it's not a regime, it's an interim government that took over because the old regime blatantly violated the constitution to remain in power. McHrozni |
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لا إله إلا رجل والعلوم والتكنولوجيا وأنبيائه |
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#98 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Massachusetts, USA
Posts: 8,012
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"Bolivia's coup president Ańez is trying to push through promotions within the military without congressional approval."
https://twitter.com/KawsachunNews/st...14894227275776 Military officers have entered the legislature and demanded that these promotions approved within one week, or the military will just announce the promotions without approval. Anez's coup government is ensuring sympathetic officers are in high positions of the military. Wide speculation that the military may move soon to disband the legislature, cancel elections, and formalize a dictatorship. |
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#99 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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The source seems about as legit as Breitbart regarding the current US government, just on the other side of ideological spectrum.
https://www.kawsachuncoca.com/index....pending-by-700 You need to about halve that if you account for inflation. There could be other problems with the spending, but if they're off by a factor of 2 right from the start then you aren't dealing with a credible source. McHrozni |
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لا إله إلا رجل والعلوم والتكنولوجيا وأنبيائه |
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#100 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,605
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It's the only way? Really?! You have considered every possible way of having an election without the risk of contagion? Oh, those poor regime of coup makers who selflessly risk being criticized for leading a coop!
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No, considering who's behind the delay, you wouldn't, would your?
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Tell us again why it is utterly impossible to make sure that a contagion-free election can't take place. |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#101 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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"Every possible way"? No, of course not. Every way that is possible for Bolivia in the time alotted?
I think so, yes.
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McHrozni |
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#102 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,605
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And that is the only way you could think of to make sure that a contagion-free election could take place? A sign above polling booths saying, "entrace of SARS-CoV-2 is strictly prohibited."
You are not even trying, are you?! |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#103 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,605
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#104 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 49,663
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NVM
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#105 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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Bolivia initially rescheduled elections to September. If the epidemic subsides in June, then it could probably be moved to August or so.
You need to make room for about 4 weeks of campaign you see. An election without a window for campaign ... won't be democratic. You also want to wait a little (2-4 weeks) to determine whether you eased restrictions too early. North Macedonia did and it's now under lockdown again. You do not want to postpone elections a second time, for a whole host of obvious reasons. August is mid-winter down there and that's prime time for Covid-19 to erupt again. It would be better for Bolivia if they held the election in September and use the extra month to allow for as much absentee voting as possible. You actually need some infrastructure for that and two months to set it up is going to be tight. It's doable though, two months is enough to at least significantly expand the option. Making sure as many people as possible can vote without risking their lives and health is more important than cutting the term of a temporary government by a single month. Whether they'll do so or not is what determines the historic judgment of the interm government. McHrozni |
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لا إله إلا رجل والعلوم والتكنولوجيا وأنبيائه |
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#106 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,605
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#107 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Massachusetts, USA
Posts: 8,012
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A Bitter Election. Accusations of Fraud. And Now Second Thoughts.
A close look at Bolivian election data suggests an initial analysis by the O.A.S. that raised questions of vote-rigging — and helped force out a president — was flawed. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/07/w...?smid=tw-share
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#108 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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No, it's just that you think "winter" means "snow and ice". A common mistake.
It actually means "shorter days and colder weather". You know, the kind of weather better suited for respiratory viruses to thrive? Cuba is sorrounded by ocean and has oceanic climate, so it would have a drastically different climate to a country removed from the ocean. Have someone point out Bolivia on a map for you and note all their magnificent coastline. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_of_the_Pacific McHrozni |
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لا إله إلا رجل والعلوم والتكنولوجيا وأنبيائه |
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#109 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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I'll just point out Morales wasn't forced out because of accusations of fraud, but because his candidacy itself was unconstitutional.
I find it baffling how someone could defend Morales as democraticaly elected president when the constitution he wrote explicity bars him from running at all. McHrozni |
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لا إله إلا رجل والعلوم والتكنولوجيا وأنبيائه |
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#110 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,605
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That was not the word in November and December:
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#111 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,605
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Yes, maybe. It's just a pity that I didn't make that mistake.
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Yes, that would be a problem if Bolivia had the kind of winters that are suited for the coronavirus to thrive. It doesn't! It would also be weird to stop the lockdown and ease restrictions exactly at the point when the coronavirus begins to really thrive, which is what is happening now, but more about that later. The coronavirus actually thrives (not fantasy thrives like in your fairy tale) when people spend their time indoors instead of outdoors where the transmission is insignificant. However, they don't do so in Bolivia because "colder weather" isn't cold, it's cool - like in Cuba. What does make people stay indoors in Bolivia is the rainfall, which also happens to be what will make it difficult for many of them to participate in elections if they try to postpone the election till after October. The rainfall is also the reason why "the best time of the year for a visit is the cool, dry period from May to October." It is the best time of the year for elections, too. Bolivia climate: average weather, temperature, precipitation, best time to travel Now the coup regime has postponed the May election with the argument that they are fighting the pandemic, but the numbers - all the numbers - are only rising, and the minister of health appointed by the coup regime has already been forced to resign after this little 'incident', which probably won't help:
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No, it wouldn't have a "drastically different climate" than Bolivia because the countries are both approximately the same distance from the Equator. (Denmark's climate is far more "drastically different" from that of both countries.) As I already pointed out: Right now is the good season in Bolivia - both for elections and for fighting the coronavirus, but the regime seems prefers to postpone both. This doesn't sound good at all:
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We'll see what kind of excuse the regime comes up with to postpone the "general elections delayed by the coronavirus pandemic by September 6." My guess is that the virus will be an even better excuse in September. |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#112 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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You seem to be under the impression "it's winter down there" was somehow the key reason why election should take place in September. It is not. It is a factor, but not the major one.
The major factor is that you can, at most, hope to accelerate the election from the initial plan by one month at most, possibly as little as two weeks. You can't hold a democratic election by saying "oh yeah, there's an election next week, candidacies close at midnight by the way". There needs to be a process and that process takes two months if it's rushed. Rather than rushing the process Bolivia should instad proceed with the initial plan to hold the election on September, while using the time to make sure as many people can vote as possible - and without risking their health to do so. That's way more democratic than rushing the election to the earliest possible date, because "the epidemic is maybe over".
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McHrozni |
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لا إله إلا رجل والعلوم والتكنولوجيا وأنبيائه |
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#113 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,605
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Not at all. You are the one who came up with the idea that elections had to be postponed because the virus thrives in winter. I'm the one who pointed out that the Bolivian winter is not the kind of winter that coronavirus thrives in. Besides, the regime is now reopening again after the lockdown in the middle of the season that is supposed to be so beneficial to the virus, so your argument doesn't really make sense at all.
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The initial plan was not to hold it in September. That was only after the pandemic was used as an excuse to postpone it. If the election had been held at "the earliest possible date" there would have been no rush. Or better still, they shouldn't have made a coup and accepted the election that was held in October. But now I guess that they have already created the perfect excuse for not having it in September since they seem to be doing what they can to make Covid-19 flare up instead of containing it. |
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#114 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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This again?
Let me quote a somewhat relevant document here, okay? Article 168 • Head of state term limits The period of the mandate of the President or Vice President is five years, and they may be reelected once for a continuous term. Ninth (transitory provision) The international treaties existing prior to the Constitution, which do not contradict it, shall be maintained in the internal legal order with the rank of law. Within the period of four years after the election of the new Executive Organ, the Executive shall renounce and, in that case, renegotiate the international treaties that may be contrary to the Constitution. https://www.constituteproject.org/co...livia_2009.pdf Morales was allowed to run for a third term by a 'court' of his choosing, because to deny him candidacy would violate an international treaty that predated the Bolivian constitution. It's a little bit disingenious to claim they should have agreed to an election, when the constitution of the country Morales was supposed to uphold explicitly prohibits such an election from taking place, don't you think?
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But I guess you only criticise questionable decisions of the other side and choose to ignore the flagrant violations of the constitution of your side. Because that's how fairness works, after all. McHrozni |
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#115 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,605
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You're the one who came up with the excuse for postponing the election that they needed to lock down because of the virus, and yet they are reopening and the outbreak is only getting worse.
June 5: You have to come up with a few more excuses for postponing it till September. In the meantime, the coup regime is doing fine:
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#116 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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If the outbreak is getting worse then rushing an election is hardly the most sensible course of action.
I find it interesting you completely ignored the fact this SNAFU in Bolivia is a direct result of Morales using his own constitution as fancy toilet paper. You can't have democracy without rule of law. It's at least as integral to democracy as elections are, possibly even more so. A country that has rule of law but chooses representatives in some other way (i.e. via a lottery of some sort) will be more democratic than a country that holds elections but laws are wind (i.e. Venezuela, North Korea). McHrozni |
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#117 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 13,605
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The election wasn't rushed. It was (allegedly) postponed until after the lockdown had had time to quench the outbreak, and yet they reopened to let the virus infect and kill even more people, which will, of course, be a wonderful excuse to postpone the next proposed election ...
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/dann "Stupidity renders itself invisible by assuming very large proportions. Completely unreasonable claims are irrefutable. Ni-en-leh pointed out that a philosopher might get into trouble by claiming that two times two makes five, but he does not risk much by claiming that two times two makes shoe polish." B. Brecht "The abolition of religion as the illusory happiness of the people is required for their real happiness. The demand to give up the illusion about its condition is the demand to give up a condition which needs illusions." K. Marx |
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#118 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 11,919
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لا إله إلا رجل والعلوم والتكنولوجيا وأنبيائه |
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#119 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Massachusetts, USA
Posts: 8,012
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Current polling shows MAS far enough ahead to qualify for a first round win, 15+ points ahead of the next contender. Coup president Anez trails in a distant 3rd.
https://twitter.com/KawsachunNews/st...37047263051778 I can see why the coup government is in no rush to have the election. |
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#120 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Massachusetts, USA
Posts: 8,012
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Coup government further postpones September elections. Recent polling has shown that MAS would win handily, likely even in the first round of voting without need for runoff.
This article details the numerous actions taken by the "interim" government. Numerous reforms have been enacted by the current transition government that has little mandate other than to hold a prompt and fair election.
Quote:
https://jacobinmag.com/2020/07/boliv...s-morales-anez |
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