|
Welcome to the International Skeptics Forum, where we discuss skepticism, critical thinking, the paranormal and science in a friendly but lively way. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest, which means you are missing out on discussing matters that are of interest to you. Please consider registering so you can gain full use of the forum features and interact with other Members. Registration is simple, fast and free! Click here to register today. |
![]() |
#1 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 31,559
|
2020 Congressional Election
General purpose thread for news, discussion, debate, predictions, questions etc.
____________________________________ Background info: The United States Congress is the head of the Legislative Branch. It consists of two houses: - The Senate. 100 seats. Each state, regardless of population, gets to elect two Senators each. - The House of Representatives. 435 seats. States get a number of Representatives ranging from 1 to 53 depending on population. //These number do not account for non-voting members elected by American territories such as Puerto Rico// All 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives and 35 out of 100 seats in the United States Senate are up for grabs in November. Currently the Democrats hold a majority in the House (232 to the Republicans 198, with one Libertarian and 4 vacant) while the Republicans hold a majority in the Senate (53 to the Democrats 45, with 2 Independents who generally caucus and vote with the Democrats giving them a de-facto 47) Current political polling suggests a tight race for the Senate, with a 50-50 split not being one of the less likely outcomes, with the Democrats retaining a majority in the house. Either party achieving a super-majority in either of the Houses looks extremely unlikely. |
__________________
Yahtzee: "You're doing that thing again where when asked a question you just discuss the philosophy of the question instead of answering the bloody question." Gabriel: "Well yeah, you see..." Yahtzee: "No. When you are asked a Yes or No question the first word out of your mouth needs to be Yes or No. Only after that have you earned the right to elaborate." |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#2 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Sir Fynwy
Posts: 31,617
|
Due to a combination of industrial scale voter suppression, gerrymandering and wholesale discounting of postal votes, President Trump will be re-elected, the GOP will increase their majority in the senate and will regain control of the house with a comfortable majority.
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#3 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: I live in a swamp
Posts: 22,873
|
The lesson with gerrymandering is that it doesn't work for very long. The Democrats took the House by winning those gerrymandered districts. Not all states have voter suppression issues. Dems control the voting mechanisms in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan. Gerrymandering doesn't matter at all in the Senate or presidential races. And really, no one is talking about the Republicans taking back the House. Trump would need to be both leading and by a wide margin for that to happen.
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#4 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Norway
Posts: 10,396
|
Trump only barely won in 2016, by a total of only, what was it, 14 000 or 40 000 votes across several states he needed to win? Of course more of the votes this year will be by mail, and Trump has had four years in which to sabotage things, but this election-rigging can only get him so far.
|
__________________
"He's like a drunk being given a sobriety test by the police after being pulled over. Just as a drunk can't walk a straight line, Trump can't think in a straight line. He's all over the place."--Stacyhs "If you are still hung up on that whole words-have-meaning thing, then 2020 is going to be a long year for you." --Ladewig |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#5 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Sep 2016
Location: Ottawa
Posts: 1,666
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#6 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Massachusetts, USA
Posts: 8,537
|
This was posted elsewhere, but it should be noted that Nancy Pelosi and other DP heavyweights endorsed Joe Kennedy III in a primary challenge for progressive Ed Markey's incumbent Senate seat. For all the talk of party unity and the need to defeat Trump, money and political attention was squandered in order to try to challenge a relatively progressive Democratic Senator with a centrist candidate.
Kennedy lost. I guess that last name doesn't have the same cache it used to. Back to Hyannis Joe. |
__________________
Gobble gobble |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#7 |
Master Poster
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: Disneyland
Posts: 2,486
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#8 |
Proud Award Award recipient
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Belgium
Posts: 2,998
|
Lindsey Graham tweets:
"It’s been 72 hours since I released 11 years of state and federal tax returns and challenged @HarrisonJaime to do the same. Crickets. What is he hiding?" https://twitter.com/LindseyGrahamSC/...637922818?s=19 |
__________________
The method of science is tried and true. It is not perfect, it's just the best we have. And to abandon it, with its skeptical protocols is the pathway to a dark age. -- Carl Sagan |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#9 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Puget Sound
Posts: 15,466
|
|
__________________
To survive election season on a skeptics forum, one must understand Hymie-the-Robot.
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#10 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: I live in a swamp
Posts: 22,873
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#11 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 50,627
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#12 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: I live in a swamp
Posts: 22,873
|
Not that I care about the Trumptrash at the rally in Nevada tonight. However, we know the virus passes from animals to people and the attendees could pass the virus to real people who have value.
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#13 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Sorth Dakonsin
Posts: 25,061
|
|
__________________
Science is self-correcting. Woo is self-contradicting. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#14 |
I lost an avatar bet.
Join Date: Dec 2001
Posts: 28,095
|
|
__________________
I lost an avatar bet to Doghouse Reilly. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#15 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Sir Fynwy
Posts: 31,617
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#16 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Canada, eh?
Posts: 17,348
|
Some recent polling numbers for the U.S. senate races:
(Via: Politico) - Susan "He's learned his Lesson" Collins is WAY down in the Maine senate race. (She is behind Sarah Gideon by 54-42.) I thought the Democrats had a good shot at taking this seat, but a margin like that is more than I was expecting. Hopefully Collins has learned her lesson. - Lady Lindsey is currently tied with his opponent (Harrison) in South Carolina. (Strangely enough, Harrison actually rates better who is seen as more favorable. Sadly with voter suppression, I don't have much hope of the Democrats winning S.C. - Sadly, Moscow Mitch is leading in Kentucky. But being the backwards state that it is, its not surprising that Kentucky is sticking with the turtle. (I have sometimes wondered if it would be more fitting to see Moscow Mitch lose, or see him win but have the GOP lose the senate so he loses his power.) |
__________________
Trust me, I know what I'm doing. - Sledgehammer I'm Mary Poppin's Y'all! - Yondu We are Groot - Groot |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#17 |
Alta Viro
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 2,221
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#18 |
Proud Award Award recipient
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Belgium
Posts: 2,998
|
|
__________________
The method of science is tried and true. It is not perfect, it's just the best we have. And to abandon it, with its skeptical protocols is the pathway to a dark age. -- Carl Sagan |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#19 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 31,559
|
Is this just becoming some weird affect now?
Raise your hand if anyone's tax return ever caused you to vote or not vote for them. |
__________________
Yahtzee: "You're doing that thing again where when asked a question you just discuss the philosophy of the question instead of answering the bloody question." Gabriel: "Well yeah, you see..." Yahtzee: "No. When you are asked a Yes or No question the first word out of your mouth needs to be Yes or No. Only after that have you earned the right to elaborate." |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#20 |
Proud Award Award recipient
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Belgium
Posts: 2,998
|
538's Senate forecast is live.
The gist: Democrats *probably* need 4 or 5 pickups, depending on the presidency, since Doug Jones is an underdog in AL-Sen. A lot of these races are against incumbents in red states. Still, Democrats have so many opportunities (~12!) that they're slight favorites to do it. (Nate Silver on Twitter) |
__________________
The method of science is tried and true. It is not perfect, it's just the best we have. And to abandon it, with its skeptical protocols is the pathway to a dark age. -- Carl Sagan |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#21 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 31,559
|
The Minnesota 2nd District Congressional Race is being delayed until next year after a 3rd party candidate has died.
Adam Weeks, 38, was a farmer running under the Legal Marijuana Now Party against freshman Democratic Rep. Angie Craig. Minnesota has a state law requiring a delay of election of a candidate dies with 79 days of the election. Minnesota's 2nd District is considered a tight race between Craig and Republican challenger Tyler Kistner. |
__________________
Yahtzee: "You're doing that thing again where when asked a question you just discuss the philosophy of the question instead of answering the bloody question." Gabriel: "Well yeah, you see..." Yahtzee: "No. When you are asked a Yes or No question the first word out of your mouth needs to be Yes or No. Only after that have you earned the right to elaborate." |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#22 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Canada, eh?
Posts: 17,348
|
Lady Linsey Graham seems to be having some funding problems...
From: Politico Twice on Thursday, Graham...went on Fox News Channel and implored viewers to donate to his campaign...“I’m getting overwhelmed,” Graham told conservative talk-show host Sean Hannity Thursday night. “...Help me. They’re killing me, money-wise. Help me. You helped me last week — help me again." Maybe we can hold a telethon for him. Now, I admit, despite a close race, the republicans will still probably hold on to the seat. But it is nice to see them sweating over it. And the folks at the Lincoln project have picked up on things. https://twitter.com/i/status/1309620608561414144 |
__________________
Trust me, I know what I'm doing. - Sledgehammer I'm Mary Poppin's Y'all! - Yondu We are Groot - Groot |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#23 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 20,224
|
One issue is that the GOP is having to funnel money into places that used to not need it. Lee Zeldin is spending like $6 mil in Long Island. He won his seat by 8% in 2018 but is facing a bigger challenge this time around (the the democrats are putting some weight into it as a flippable district).
|
__________________
"As your friend, I have to be honest with you: I don't care about you or your problems" - Chloe, Secret Life of Pets |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#24 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Canada, eh?
Posts: 17,348
|
|
__________________
Trust me, I know what I'm doing. - Sledgehammer I'm Mary Poppin's Y'all! - Yondu We are Groot - Groot |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#25 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 20,224
|
|
__________________
"As your friend, I have to be honest with you: I don't care about you or your problems" - Chloe, Secret Life of Pets |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#26 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,396
|
This might have something to do with it:
https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/...-defend-mccain One of Graham's long-time donors shifted his money to his opponent for the following reasons:
Quote:
|
__________________
"There's vastly more truth to be found in rocks than in holy books. Rocks are far superior, in fact, because you can DEMONSTRATE the truth found in rocks. Plus, they're pretty. Holy books are just heavy." - Dinwar "Let your ears hear this beautiful song that's hiding underneath the sound," Ed Kowalczyk. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#27 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: United States
Posts: 18,229
|
Lindsey Graham wouldn't recognize 'character' if was spelled out for him in a dictionary.
I think both Cindy and Meghan McCain have been hugely disappointed in him and disgusted by his betrayal of John McCain. |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#28 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Massachusetts, USA
Posts: 8,537
|
Not saying it isn't true, but desperate pleas for money is a common tactic in political fundraising. Telling your audience that you're getting clobbered may just be a ploy.
Graham seems to be facing a more serious challenge than normal, but hoping for a Democrat in S. Carolina is long shot odds. |
__________________
Gobble gobble |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#29 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Port Townsend, Washington
Posts: 31,300
|
Won't you please help stop the suffering?
ETA: "autographed picture of Lindsay Graham enjoying a hot dog" is a nice, though homophobic, touch. |
__________________
Cum catapultae proscribeantur tum soli proscripti catapultas habeant. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#30 |
Thinker
Join Date: Jun 2014
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 205
|
Cal Cunningham, who is trying to defeat GOP incumbent Thom Tillis in a very competitive race in NC, apologizes for sending sexy texts to a woman not his wife.
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#31 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Port Townsend, Washington
Posts: 31,300
|
|
__________________
Cum catapultae proscribeantur tum soli proscripti catapultas habeant. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#32 |
Skepticifimisticalationist
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Gulf Coast
Posts: 26,546
|
There was a debate tonight between Lindsey Graham and Democratic challenger Jaime Harrison. Harrison began the debate by setting up a giant plexiglass shield next to his podium facing Graham's.
By all accounts, the debate was a one-sided savaging and Graham was visibly helpless for most of it. |
__________________
"¿WHAT KIND OF BIRD? ¿A PARANORMAL BIRD?" --- Carlos S., 2002 |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#33 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 87,872
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#34 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Canada, eh?
Posts: 17,348
|
|
__________________
Trust me, I know what I'm doing. - Sledgehammer I'm Mary Poppin's Y'all! - Yondu We are Groot - Groot |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#35 |
Skepticifimisticalationist
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Gulf Coast
Posts: 26,546
|
|
__________________
"¿WHAT KIND OF BIRD? ¿A PARANORMAL BIRD?" --- Carlos S., 2002 |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#36 |
Nasty Woman
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 87,872
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#37 |
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 1,576
|
I don't think "barrier to prevent possible COVID-19 infection" counts as "physical prop".
Maybe Graham didn't catch the plague. Maybe intention was actually there, to use this screen as physical prop to remind people about coronavirus. But unfortunately (for republicans), this kind of thing has very, very good excuse now. |
__________________
Sanity is overrated. / Voting for Republicans is morally equivalent to voting for Nazis in early 30's. |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#38 |
Proud Award Award recipient
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Belgium
Posts: 2,998
|
Schadenfreude is not ok, but hey:
"Rep. Jeff Van Drew (R-N.J.), who switched parties with the hope of keeping his seat, now trails his Democratic opponent Amy Kennedy by a margin of 49% to 44% in a new Monmouth poll." https://twitter.com/sahilkapur/statu...31948332716033 https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/sta...32417360818176 |
__________________
The method of science is tried and true. It is not perfect, it's just the best we have. And to abandon it, with its skeptical protocols is the pathway to a dark age. -- Carl Sagan |
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#39 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Central City, Colorado, USA
Posts: 10,140
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
#40 |
Thinker
Join Date: Jun 2014
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 205
|
|
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
Bookmarks |
Thread Tools | |
|
|