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#2401 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 13,994
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#2402 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2003
Posts: 3,688
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While gold has actual uses. industrial and jewelry, the amount extant is far more that those consume. So it is used as a sort of store of value. And, of course, is widely held in many countries central banks which is a big reason why there is so much of it beyond it's normal uses. Gold's disadvantage (or advantage in a sense) is that it isn't as easily transferred. Especially across borders as bitcoin.
Bitcoin, otoh, has no base value. It's worth what someone else will buy it for. There is no intrinsic limit, up or down to that. It's difference from gold is low friction for buying/selling and the ability to transfer it easily globally. No real barriers across borders. |
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Flying's easy. Walking on water, now that's cool. |
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#2403 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Oct 2013
Posts: 10,357
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Another way to look at it is what would you pack to dine at the restaurant at the end of the universe.
10 oz of gold or a bitcoin? |
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#2404 |
Neoclinus blanchardi
Join Date: Jul 2001
Posts: 2,765
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Hold it. I think you're off by a factor of a thousand. That's 77,000 dollars worth of cheep renewable energy at 3 cents per kWh. $77 seems much more likely. P. S. Visual Capitalist has an interesting graph. |
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Schrodinger's cat walks into a bar. And doesn't. |
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#2405 |
Director of Hatcheries and Conditioning
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Waiting for the pod bay door to open.
Posts: 45,029
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Mining gold takes a hell of a lot of energy. But I'm not a gold bug either.
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Continually pushing the boundaries of mediocrity. Everything is possible, but not everything is probable. “Perception is real, but the truth is not.” - Imelda Marcos |
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#2406 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 3,909
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Google: "How much energy does it take to mine 1 ounce of gold?
The answer is 8.3 Terajoules of energy required to mine one ounce of gold. Convert 1 terajoule to kilowatt hours 1 terajoule of energy = 277777.7777777778 KWH Let's shorten that to a 2 and five 7's and not worry about the right side of the decimal. 8.3 X 277777 = 2,305,549 KWH Keep in mind most of the energy actually used to mine gold would come from diesel fueled equipment and not KWH of electricity, but the converted energy required to do so is correct at well over 2 Million KWH per ounce mined. Gold is more damaging to the environment as well. I still like it though. |
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#2407 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 6,121
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So the cheaper Bitcoin gets, the better it is than gold!
![]() Problem is Bitcoin - if it is to do what was intended - will have to become much more expensive, whereas gold normally maintains a relatively stable price. Over 90% of gold consumed is recycled, so the actual impact of mining is not that great. If we consider only industrial needs then we could stop all gold mining today and not require any more for hundreds of years, whereas Bitcoin has ongoing mining costs that keep going up exponentially - by design. The truly appalling thing about Bitcoin is that it was designed to get less efficient over time, to benefit early adopters at everyone else's expense. Their is no technical reason for it being so expensive to 'mine', in fact it should be cheaper now that mining rigs are so powerful. Fees fluctuate wildly, reaching ridiculous levels of up to $60 per transaction in bubbles. The instability of Bitcoin's value and transaction fess makes it risky to do business in - which translates to higher prices. Being unregulated means you have no protections. Exchanges can (and do) lose people's coins with no compensation. Many times governments have restricted or threatened to ban it. Just a pity they didn't all ban it from the start - but then we would never hear the end of it from libertarians. Bitcoin was touted as the answer to 'worthless' fiat currencies, but in reality it is more like shares in a publicly traded company - without the rules. And what does this company make? Why more Cryptocurrency's Dirty Secret: Energy Consumption
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And it's getting dirtier:-
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We don't want good, sound arguments. We want arguments that sound good. |
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#2408 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 6,121
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What would it take to get you there? Well let's see...
Heart of Gold
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Real Gold, that durable metal created by nuclear fusion in stars, or fake money 'created' by twiddling bits in a computer? I know which one I would pack... |
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We don't want good, sound arguments. We want arguments that sound good. |
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#2409 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Oct 2013
Posts: 10,357
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Meanwhile we have nearly completed the second "bitcoin halving event" chortle chortle.
69k to 34.5k 34.5k to 17.25k.... |
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#2410 |
"más divertido"
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: USA! USA!
Posts: 24,384
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It’s a zero-sum game. Those that got in early can’t get real money out unless retail buyers come in with actual currency. That’s why we saw all of the Super bowl ads, NFTs and affinity marketing. That’s why all of the venture capitalists’ projects had tokens attached to them pre-release so they could dump them on “investors” when the project went public.
Meanwhile, 2 exchanges, a couple of hedge funds and a handful of “stablecoins” have crashed in the last few weeks. When Tetber goes, it’s a downward spiral for bitcoin and everything else. Bitcoin still underperforming for a week now. “Mining” is about to become unprofitable even in Texas and Alberta. Will be uglier soon. ![]() |
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#2411 |
Master Poster
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: ZZ9 Plural Z Alpha
Posts: 2,417
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#2412 |
Master Poster
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: ZZ9 Plural Z Alpha
Posts: 2,417
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Did that and found this article https://www.goldmoney.com/research/g...uation-part-ii
Look at the total line on table 1. It says 8.4, so I assume that is where you got your number from. However, the column is labelled as "Energy intensity GJ per ozt". i.e. giga joules per troy ounce Your figure is out by a factor of 1,000. I can see where your mistake was made. The first three energy columns are in TJ. It would be easy to overlook the units for the energy/mass column. Another pointer to the fact that there was a mistake in the calculation is the cost of all that energy. If it was even close to Solitaire's $77k per ounce, it would be impossible to mine gold at a profit. Another point you have overlooked is that, even if they mined no more gold at all, you could still trade it as a commodity and the energy costs would be no more than those of any other financial transaction. This is not the case for Bitcoin where the energy requirement comes from adding blocks to the blockchain, not creating new coins. |
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#2413 |
Master Poster
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: ZZ9 Plural Z Alpha
Posts: 2,417
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No, it's nothing like the shares in a publicly traded company. If you buy shares in a publicly traded company, you literally own a small piece of that company. That means you own a share of their assets and you are entitled to dividends as and when the company chooses to pay them.
With Bitcoin, all you are buying is the hope that somebody else will come along later and give you more money than you gave to the person who gave you the Bitcoins. |
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#2414 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 43,373
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If mining becomes unprofitable and it all collapses, will we see cheaper graphics card?
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#2415 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 13,994
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#2416 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 19,922
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It is in that fools think that they can stop its use by making it illegal.
Those are spurious reason for banning cryptos especially since banning won't work. I have addressed the energy consumption many times. It won't be an issue once proof of stake supplants proof of work. |
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"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#2417 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: Olomouc, Czech Republic
Posts: 4,033
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#2418 |
Master Poster
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: ZZ9 Plural Z Alpha
Posts: 2,417
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Evidence that this is the case please.
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If it ever does happen (and I'd like to see how you are going to move the most popular cryptocurrency - BTC - to proof of stake), it will bring its own problems. Wikipedia says
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Bitcoin mining is destroying the environment now. We need to stop it now. Of course we won't, but we need to. |
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#2419 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 13,570
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#2420 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 13,570
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The question of whether to ban something is separate from the question of whether there is a way to. At least, questions of what the consequence would be to existing investors, which seems to presume a reliable method.
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#2421 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 19,922
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"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#2422 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 19,922
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"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#2423 |
Master Poster
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: ZZ9 Plural Z Alpha
Posts: 2,417
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False equivalence.
We've tried to ban various things with various degrees of success. You have presented zero evidence that cryptocurrencies are more like prostitution, alcohol and drugs* than CFCs, asbestos and firearms in respect of how easy it is to ban them. * Crypto currencies are a form of gambling, but while it's hard to ban the entirety of gambling, that doesn't mean it's impossible to ban a specific form. |
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#2424 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 19,922
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"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#2425 |
Orthogonal Vector
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 52,943
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I don't see banning bitcoin as likely, though I think regulations to treat it more like the speculative investment it is being held up as would have a similar effect in the long run.
I don't think we can get rid of crypto, but that is a very poor reason to leave it totally unregulated and a pretty poor argument against banning it. There are lots of things that are best banned that we can not totally get rid of. We aren't ever going to end child molestation but that is not a good reason to make it legal. |
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Sufficiently advanced Woo is indistinguishable from Parody "There shall be no *poofing* in science" Paul C. Anagnostopoulos Force ***** on reasons back" Ben Franklin |
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#2426 |
Orthogonal Vector
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 52,943
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Exactly we tried to ban child molestation and kiddy porn and it has gotten us nowhere. Clearly the catholic church was right and just covering it up is the real solution not throwing people in prison.
That a law get broken is not actually a terribly good argument against the law. You have to look at why they were outlawed in the first place and what the goal was, and if it could be better achieved some other way. |
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Sufficiently advanced Woo is indistinguishable from Parody "There shall be no *poofing* in science" Paul C. Anagnostopoulos Force ***** on reasons back" Ben Franklin |
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#2427 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 19,922
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"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#2428 |
Orthogonal Vector
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 52,943
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Sufficiently advanced Woo is indistinguishable from Parody "There shall be no *poofing* in science" Paul C. Anagnostopoulos Force ***** on reasons back" Ben Franklin |
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#2429 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 13,994
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#2430 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 13,570
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#2431 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 19,922
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"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#2432 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 3,909
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I double checked and the numbers I quoted should be accurate. Still comes out to 8.3 Terajoules of energy required to mine 1 ounce of Gold.
I did look at the chart from your link posted from Goldmoney.com and they do list energy requirements in "GJ" in the chart which evidently is a misprint of Table 1 on the site as directly above it and I quote: "The data allows to calculate roughly what the energy intensity of the individual companies by dividing the total direct energy consumption in one year by the amount of gold mined. On average, the top gold miners need about 8.3 Terajoules (TJ) per ounce of gold1. However, there are some caveats; The companies report energy consumption in the form of fuels and electricity. The electricity consumption data is broken down into electricity that is purchased, electricity that is produced from renewable sources and electricity that is produced from non-renewable sources. The latter thus comes from power production based on the fuels the company consumes, which it reports separately. In addition, all energy data is reported in Terajoules (TJ)" Yet in table 1 they list energy reported in "GJ", which is incorrect by their own admission, quote taken from just above it. I do see where you are going, but with the mining of Gold the energy requirement doesn't stop there as energy is also required to refine and there's always the transportation costs associated with the Gold too. So Bitcoin requires energy to mine and energy to transfer it as does Gold. I get that you'd rather have Gold and there's nothing wrong with owning Gold, I've purchased Gold and Silver with Bitcoin in the past. I've noticed it's much easier to purchase Gold with Bitcoin than it is to purchase Bitcoin with Gold. I'm not even sure you can purchase Bitcoin with Gold? Or make payroll with it? And one thing's for certain, the next time I visit Thailand I won't be bringing along Gold bars on the plane. I may transfer a few BTC though which will already be waiting for me when I arrive. |
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#2433 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 3,909
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Deceptive? I don't think so. psionl0 has been open and honest in this forum as long as I've been reading it. For the life of me I cannot understand how he stands the never-ending barrage from those who are anti-Bitcoin to the point of hysterics. Look back in the multiple merged threads over just the past 11 years and you'll read the same exact routines over and over. "Bitcoin bad" "Bitcoin gonna fail" "Bitcoin crashing" "Bitcoin is a bubble" "Bitcoin is a scam" etc. Never a new argument or complaint. Always the same old stuff that's been proven wrong over and again.
Sometime around December 2011 psionl0 was talking about Bitcoin falling to $8 and rising to $22 and he said: "With that sort of volatility, it must be a day trader's delight" Absolutely true. I was late to the party myself and didn't get interested until 2013, but I'm glad I did! As time has passed day trading has went from making $10/BTC to $100/BTC to $1000+/BTC and last year 2-3K/BTC, almost daily. (obviously when the market moves sideways day trading takes a break) If every naysayer in 2011 purchased just a measly $100 worth of Bitcoin at $10/BTC, at one point in the recent past they would have reaped a bit over half a million USD for that $100 investment. And the guy who invested $1000, would have had around 6 million USD, in pocket if he chose to do so. And that's just from holding BTC, no day trading! I posted some time ago that it was easy to make $1000 a day trading Bitcoin. Some may have been intrigued some may not but it certainly was true. I'm a Bitcoin advocate. I always say Bitcoin is not for everyone. Not everyone likes it or agrees with the concept but I'm of the opinion that just because you don't like something or agree with the concept it doesn't mean you can't or shouldn't profit from it. You may not like coffee but owning Starbucks stock shouldn't bother you. (Well it might now) If you think Bitcoin is evil or a scam, then use it to make a few million and start a charity with that money. Do some good and get back at the evil of BTC. Buy a homeless person a home. Or one could continue to complain about BTC and point a finger. I've noticed it's been the case here since 2011. |
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#2434 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 13,570
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It is deceptive to deliberately misstate the logic of an argument in order not to respond to it substantively, and provide a straw man instead. I've seen it twice recently.
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#2435 |
Master Poster
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: ZZ9 Plural Z Alpha
Posts: 2,417
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No. The table is right. The text is wrong. The energy consumed by the top 20 gold producers is given as 306,646 TJ. The gold produced by the top 20 gold producers is given as 30,857 koz. Divide the one figure by the other and you get approximately 8 GJ/oz. The figures only make sense if the column labels are correct.
And think about it: if the energy requirement was as high as you say it is, nobody would be able to afford to mine gold.
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#2436 |
Master Poster
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: ZZ9 Plural Z Alpha
Posts: 2,417
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Well on this thread in the last few pages he has accused others of "false equivalences" whilst failing to acknowledge that his own points about the difficulty of banning Bitcoin are false equivalences. His latest tactic is to affect outrage because somebody pointed out we often ban things like child porn even though it's impossible to completely stamp them out. He's totally misrepresenting the arguments of others.
I wouldn't call it deception though because it's pretty blatantly transparent.
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#2437 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 19,922
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"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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#2438 |
Orthogonal Vector
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 52,943
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Sufficiently advanced Woo is indistinguishable from Parody "There shall be no *poofing* in science" Paul C. Anagnostopoulos Force ***** on reasons back" Ben Franklin |
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#2439 |
Schrödinger's cat
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Malmesbury, UK
Posts: 15,300
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Before I do that, can you please explain to me where those "few million" would have come from? Did they just materialise out of thin air, did they use to belong to other people who are now a little (or a lot) poorer, did making them have an environmental impact?
I'd need to know what the cost of them was so I can choose the most appropriate charity to pay it back, and then calculate whether I'd done more harm than good. |
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"If you trust in yourself ... and believe in your dreams ... and follow your star ... you'll still get beaten by people who spent their time working hard and learning things" - Terry Pratchett |
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#2440 |
Skeptical about skeptics
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°57'S 115°57'E
Posts: 19,922
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__________________
"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled. Where something so important is involved, a deeper mystery seems only decent." - Galbraith, 1975 |
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