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#1 |
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Thinker
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 165
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Focus Fusion?
So. Another one of these unlimited free (edit: well... not free but cheap...ish) energy things.
https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/f...wertheworld--3 Is this woo or is this as groundbreaking as they claim? http://vimeo.com/92680177 I dont really understand much about the science behind it. certainly not enough to have any idea if this has actual chance of becoming something that will basically save humanity from fossil fuels and nuclear waste
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I'm a lumberjack and I'm ok. |
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#2 |
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Non credunt, semper verificare
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Sigil, the city of doors
Posts: 14,581
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Not as much woo as more of a scam.
My rule of thumb is , if it is on indiegogo or kickstarter and is a fundemmental physic experiment or something icnredibly deal changing like fusion pwoer, it is a scam. Focus fusion is elgit in the sense that there is research, but so far as I can tell is far away from even being energy positive. If it was legit and they got positive yield they would be attracting real investor by the bucketload. In this specific case the group proposing the research might be legit (I did not check) but they are clearly misrepresenting how far away they are from positive yield "scientifics at LPP Fusion, led by Chief Scientist Eric Lerner, are just one step away from this groundbreaking technology and we need your help for the final push." |
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#3 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,841
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Yes, it's been around for a while.
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Look at this for example. If you donate $5,000
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#4 |
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Guest
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 6,387
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To start with, they lose a whole big heap of credibility-points because Eric Lerner---author of the crackpot plasma-cosmology book "The Big Bang Never Happened"---is running the show. Plasma cosmology requires such deeply delusional thinking about the role of plasma physics in cosmology that I find it hard to imagine a PC adherent producing non-delusional laboratory plasma physics.
Regarding the details of "focus fusion", an actual plasma physicist weighs in here: http://mikebhopkins.wordpress.com/20...iled-analysis/ Reading some Lerner papers myself I saw some things that raised warning flags. Lerner attempts to explain a "quantum magnetic field effect". It's explained in a mix of physics-speak and crackpotspeak, but it amounts to the idea that a fusion plasma heating suffers from energetic ions losing energy to (lossy) electrons, and that in strong magnetic fields (and nonthermal ions) this energy-transfer is suppressed due to a sort of bandgap-like behavior of the Landau levels. But it only makes sense at huge magnetic fields. Red Flag #1 is the fact that Lerner claims to have achieved 0.4 gigagauss magnetic fields in his sort of garage-grade apparatus, and expects to get 10 gigagauss. Um! That's a claimed 40,000 tesla! He's targeting a megatesla! Did you manage to convince anyone other than yourself that you've broken the world record for strong laboratory fields? Oh, sure, there's a citation claiming that these strong fields are precedented ... but the citation is to Winston Bostick. Recognize the name? Of course you don't. Bostick was a dense plasma focus researcher and a plasma cosmology crackpot. After a decade or two of actual plasma physics research, he spent most of his life "publishing" lone-wolf astro/particle/gravity crackpottery in Physics Essays and the like and hanging out with Lyndon Larouche. (It so happens that I'd heard of him ... because his particle-physics crackpottery had been adopted by a creationist crackpot I argued with a decade or so ago.) So: Maybe he's made these fields and maybe he hasn't. The problem is that he seems to have convinced himself that he made the fields on virtually no evidence. It looks the same or lesser evidence is how he convinced himself (again, himself and no one else) that he's got a scaleable fusion technology. Yikes. Red Flag #2: He "derives" what he calls a theory of this scattering suppression. Totally illegitimate derivation, I think. He cites an astro paper that discusses this suppression in neutron stars, i.e. in magnetic fields 1000 times higher than Lerner wants. In these ultrahigh fields, the astronomers only care about electrons in the ground state. Lerner misuses this result by applying it to a plasma where virtually nothing is in the ground state. This is not a small detail, this is the detail that (he thinks) makes his fusion device different than everyone else's. He's going to get huge suppression of ion-electron coupling! Because he'll have megatesla fields, and megatesla fields mean big suppression! But he has no evidence (or crappy evidence) that he's got world-record fields. He's got no theory (or a crappy theory) predicting big suppression. That's a whole lot of nothing. |
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#5 |
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Thinker
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 165
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Thanks. So it seems like this is wishful thinking at best and a scam at worst.
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I'm a lumberjack and I'm ok. |
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#6 |
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No longer the 1
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 24,057
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The RW Fusion woo article mentions Lerner and Fusion Focus.
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__________________
As human right is always something given, it always in reality reduces to the right which men give, "concede," to each other. If the right to existence is conceded to new-born children, then they have the right; if it is not conceded to them, as was the case among the Spartans and ancient Romans, then they do not have it. For only society can give or concede it to them; they themselves cannot take it, or give it to themselves. |
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#7 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 18,590
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Beat me to it. All we have here is a crackpot continuing to make the same crackpot claims, except now he seems to have graduated to actively scamming the public because no-one serious believes his nonsense any more. And yes, we can be sure it's a scam and not just someone who genuinely believes he has something. Some quotes from the Indiegogo page:
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There are more lies as well:
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So to summarise - a known crackpot lies about his funding, lies about the benefits of his claim, and is asking for money from people who are generally not qualified to know anything about what they're paying for. It would be difficult for this to look more like a scam without having a Nigerian prince involved. |
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#8 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 2,582
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This part struck me as particularly odd: if he has, in fact, managed to create such strong magnetic fields in his garage, all he needs to do to get all the funding he could ever want is patent and then commercialize the methods (etc) he uses to generate these intense fields!
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#9 |
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Guest
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 6,387
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Actually, it mentions Lerner and Focus Fusion but there's an awkward pro-Lerner rebuttal tacked onto every anti-Lerner sentence. One editor "allenev" seems to be responsible.
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Those are all from a single editor. |
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#10 |
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Guest
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 6,387
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Here is Lerner claiming 4e8 gauss:
Originally Posted by http://arxiv.org/abs/0710.3149v1
Reference #9: is Lerner's ex-colleagues at Stevens, in a paper that does not mention magnetic field measurements at all. Reference #10: Does not mention magnetic field measurements. Reference #11: Is a Soviet journal article from 1988, not indexed online Available evidence that dense plasma focuses can produce 400MG fields: zero. Field at which Lerner thinks he can get to and where he thinks quantum mechanics suppresses electron-ion scattering: 10,000 MG. Field at which non-crackpot physicists calculated that quantum mechanics suppresses electron-ion scattering: 1,000,000 MG. |
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#11 |
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Guest
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 6,387
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(Following up) Actually Google Books *does* have the first paper Lerner cites:
http://books.google.com/books?id=Jtd...e&q=mg&f=false in which he accidentally a world-record magnetic field (without thinking it worth mentioning). There is no direct magnetic field probe whatsoever. There is a huge train of assumptions from which he derives that 0.4 gigagauss. It all hinges on a measurement of low x-ray power P emitted by some fusion shot, coupled with what he describes as a upper bound (from fusion neutron production) on the density n in some transient plasmoid. From this he finds the volume V proportional to P/n^2. (Except, he fails to mention, that's now a lower bound on the volume, not a measurement of it.) He has some other idea---poorly constrained---that the tiny transient plasmoid has to obey a bunch of field-compression conservation laws, and that it has to have a B field large enough to confine 1 MeV tritium ions in a tiny radius. If you believe that constraint, and if you take use his claimed tiny radius ... yes, the B field has to be large in order to bend tritions around in this tiny r. But by now he's forgotten that r is a lower bound on the radius. The B field has to be no bigger than 0.4 GG to bend tritons in a circle no smaller than 6 microns. That's all he has actually shown, even allowing that all his other assumptions are correct. So: Lerner's paper, which he claims is the proof-of-concept that Focus Fusion has reached a world-record 0.4 GG, in fact contains only a calculation (not a measurement!) suggesting fields somewhere between 0 and 0.4 gigagauss. In other words, it's no proof of concept at all; Lerner has misrepresented it. I hope some of his IndieGoGo funders are reading this: Do not fund this campaign, people. Lerner's fusion contraption, is no better than that of any other garage-tinkerer's. Lerner's record of running, analyzing, and reporting the behavior of his machine is terrible, and his presence in the field does more to hurt fusion than to help it. |
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#12 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 37,538
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It might be wrong but I don't think it's dishonest.
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__________________
For what doth it profit a man, to fix one bug, but crash the system? |
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#13 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,841
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#14 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 37,538
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I think it's worth trying, too.
Sometimes knowing what doesn't work is valuable. And, the Farnsworth Fusor looks daft too, but it does fuse deuterium. |
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For what doth it profit a man, to fix one bug, but crash the system? |
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#15 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,841
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#16 |
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Guest
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 6,387
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I have no problem with someone trying to improve the science and engineering of dense plasma focuses. I have a problem with Eric Lerner doing whatever it is he does, which though it involves a plasma focus machine, does not actually produce believable, followup-worthy, non-crackpot results about such machines.
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#17 |
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Banned
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 399
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From the comments section..
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eta. I wondered why there is not one skeptical post.
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#18 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,841
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#19 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 1,696
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Originally Posted by George
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__________________
Truthers only insist that there must have been some sinister purpose behind [WTC7] because they already think there's a sinister purpose behind everything. -Horatius |
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#20 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 18,590
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Why not? As I noted in my previous post, there are several deliberate lies being told in order to persuade people to give him money. How is that not dishonest?
Again, see my previous post. This is not a new idea, it's something that has been worked on for decades with funding from the US government, both the DoE and NASA at least. This is precisely why we can say it's dishonest - it's already been tried with government funding, but Lerner claims it's not been tried and the government refuses to fund it (and apparently also refuse to fund NIF). Yes, this is one reason IndieGoGo is popular with scammers - you can solicit funds for pretty much anything, and get the money regardless of whether you actually have enough to do anything.
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#21 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 37,538
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This is why I think there is possibly something to this; http://physics.aps.org/synopsis-for/...ett.111.115003
A high energy discharge phenomenon that is unexplained and suggests a nuclear reaction. I do think it's hucksterism to offer those premiums, but heck I think it might be worth pitching $10 at just to see what it does. Then again, I like building weird high voltage machines just for the awesome effects you get. |
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For what doth it profit a man, to fix one bug, but crash the system? |
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#22 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,841
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#23 |
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Guest
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 6,387
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Pitching $10 at Eric Lerner does not help "see what it does." The concern is that throwing $10 at Eric Lerner would allow him to operate "it", but merely operating "it" doesn't tell anyone what it does. If Lerner runs some contraption and self-publishes some unintelligible mix of raw data, poorly-processed data, crackpot confirmation biases, and simple errors ... well, whether or not the device in fact produced some interesting fusion effect, the world will be just as much in the dark about it as we were if Lerner hadn't bothered.
Find a competent plasma researcher (including, yes, garage experimenters) and give them your $10. |
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#24 |
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Thinker
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 165
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Just as an update, they were able to raise $180,279 for this "fusion" scam.
sigh. I wish some science project that actually had a chance at successful results would get that kind of money from strangers. |
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__________________
I'm a lumberjack and I'm ok. |
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#25 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 27,766
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__________________
"That is a very graphic analogy which aids understanding wonderfully while being, strictly speaking, wrong in every possible way." —Ponder Stibbons |
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#26 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,841
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What about the Holy Roman Emperor Rudolph II?
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Mind you, Rudolph was concerned mainly with astrological predictions, so his motivations were a bit crazy. Your Majesty, the orbit of Mars is an ellipse, and you will meet a tall dark stranger. That'll be a hundred florins please. |
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#27 |
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Guest
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 6,387
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Your comment prompted me to go to IndieGogo and see what other science projects are trying to get funding:
Fund these zero-point energy crackpots to turn their theory into a startup company! https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/z...ery-of-science $4,080USD RAISED OF $2,000,000 GOAL Help this author publish a free-energy-crackpot book! https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/e...-in-fuel-free- electromagnetic-generators $25USD RAISED OF $5,000 GOAL Or a gravity crackpot book! https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/w...for-the-masses $45USD RAISED OF $12,000 GOAL Help this guy use my cold-fusion apparatus to power a car! https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/f...red-car-part-2 $894USD RAISED OF $19,640 GOAL Help some high-school kids start up a cold-fusion lab! https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/t...fusion-project $100USD RAISED OF $8,250 GOAL There's lots more, too lazy to link: "I had begun researching fundamental physics for 2 years now. So far, I've made over 4 discoveries and about a dozen hypothesis or postulates. I want you guys to donate to me today, so that a better quality the theory would be. Thank you." $0CAD RAISED OF $80,250 GOAL Test space engine on 0 Gravity: $5USD RAISED OF $36,000 GOAL Mechanical Anti-gravity Propulsion: $0USD RAISED OF $2,343,750 GOAL Alternative energy from gravity: $0USD RAISED OF $250,000 GOAL Gravity based Electricity Generator - Free Power: $0USD RAISED OF $200,000 GOAL |
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#28 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,841
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#29 |
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Guest
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 6,387
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#30 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2013
Location: Gainesville, FL
Posts: 1,273
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Kickstarter is plagued with these scams too. There are four I found in a quick search:
https://www.kickstarter.com/projects...or-los-angeles Quantum Energy generator using technology invented by Tesla over a hundred years ago, but suppressed by the evil ones running the world! https://www.kickstarter.com/projects...?ref=discovery Perpetual motion machine with no details given. At all. https://www.kickstarter.com/projects...?ref=discovery Perpetual motion machine using gravity because... that hasn't been thought of before. More talk of evil people out to steal their technology. But at least this one has a patent pending (which will get denied because the patent office tends to not award patents to perpetual motion devices). https://www.kickstarter.com/projects...?ref=discovery Another perpetual motion device, this time to power your car indefinitely! Little modification needed! Again, no details given due to the evil people out there who will steal their ideas. You just have to trust them that this will work. I reported all these to Kickstarter last week and am sad to see they are still up. Kickstarter states they don't allow scams, and they seem to be a little more strict than Indiegogo in that funds only get transferred if 100% of the goal is met. These four examples clearly will never hit their goals. |
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#31 |
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Guest
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 6,387
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#32 |
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Half True Scotsperson
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,666
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I keep thinking this thread is about a small, hybrid car manufactured by Ford...
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#33 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 37,538
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OK, an update on Focus Fusion; Since I did send $10 to their kickstarter, I get their updates.
Work is progressing. They have acquired the ultra-pure Be and after acceptance testing will be machining the electrodes. They are still refining their techniques with the W electrodes and have developed some methods of limiting the W electrode destruction which they are now testing. Here is their newsletter; http://us8.campaign-archive2.com/?u=...1&e=c2628ac2f8 |
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For what doth it profit a man, to fix one bug, but crash the system? |
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#34 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,841
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The newsletter ticks ALL the boxes labeled "scam".
The cylinders, weighing together 35 kg, are to be machined over the next five months into two anodes and a cathode for experiments in the second half of 2016. They were fabricated from 97.8% pure beryllium at the Ulba Metallurgical Plant in Kazakhstan ... The purchase of the beryllium was made possible by money that LPPFusion raised in an Indiegogo crowdfunding campaign in 2014. However, Focus Fusion still needs contributions. The Focus Fusion Society, in cooperation with LPPFusion, Inc. is making a set of new videos explaining the physics behind Focus Fusion. Everyone can help fund these videos (and be credited in them if you donate $75 or more) with a tax-deductible donation to Focus Fusion Society. Please do it here. |
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#35 |
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No longer the 1
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 24,057
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__________________
As human right is always something given, it always in reality reduces to the right which men give, "concede," to each other. If the right to existence is conceded to new-born children, then they have the right; if it is not conceded to them, as was the case among the Spartans and ancient Romans, then they do not have it. For only society can give or concede it to them; they themselves cannot take it, or give it to themselves. |
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#36 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Sep 2003
Posts: 2,204
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While there is a healthy skepticism re perpetual motion there is the ever present greed and belief that some individual in a garage will do the impossible. The mother's milk of scamsters.
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__________________
Flying's easy. Walking on water, now that's cool. |
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#37 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 37,538
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Fusion is not perpetual motion. Fusion has an energy source.
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__________________
For what doth it profit a man, to fix one bug, but crash the system? |
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#38 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,841
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#39 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Port Townsend, Washington
Posts: 31,153
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Off-topic: I keep seeing this thread title and thinking it's about Fords.
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Cum catapultae proscribeantur tum soli proscripti catapultas habeant. |
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#40 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 37,538
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__________________
For what doth it profit a man, to fix one bug, but crash the system? |
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