Ed The Hurricane [or Tropical Storm] Harvey Thread

William Parcher

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William Parcher
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Strengthening Harvey forecast to slam Texas coast as first major hurricane in U.S. since 2005

Washington Post said:
Harvey rapidly intensified Thursday morning in the central Gulf of Mexico, and it officially became a hurricane early in the afternoon. The extremely dangerous storm is predicted to strengthen and plow into southeast Texas on Friday as the first major hurricane, rated Category 3 or higher (on the 1-5 Saffir-Simpson intensity scale), to strike U.S. soil in 12 years.

An incredible amount of rain, 15 to 25 inches with isolated amounts of up to 35 inches, is predicted along the middle and upper Texas coast, because the storm is expected to stall and unload torrents for four to six straight days. The National Hurricane Center said it expects "devastating and life-threatening" flash flooding.

Marshall Shepherd, a past-president of the American Meteorological Society, tweeted that he feared an "epic flood catastrophe."...
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https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...-slam-east-texas-as-major-hurricane-and-stall
 
I'm preparing for it now. My sons first day of 2nd grade will likely be canceled on Monday.

PS The article is wrong. Hurricane Ike was a Cat 4 and it hit in 2008.
 
Bad thing about this storm...it's expected to make land, then just stall out of the same area for several days. We are going to see some really bad flooding if that does happen. Not sure if it's going to get as far as Dallas, but we may see some of it's remnants.
 
Tony said:
I'm preparing for it now. My sons first day of 2nd grade will likely be canceled on Monday.

PS The article is wrong. Hurricane Ike was a Cat 4 and it hit in 2008.
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I remember Ike and it impacted other areas as well. 20% of oil refineries are located where it hit. Charlotte NC had a gas shortage that lasted long after the storm.
 
Victoria will be under water.
Lavaca County (where I started) won't be much above water.

I called my dad, told him that Harvey was on the way.
He says: "gettin' dry around here, we could use a little rain".
 
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Something about the name "Harvey" just doesn't sound threatening. In a really long hurricane season, they might get to Wilton or even Wimpy.

Let's go back to female names. Hurricane Winhulda, now, or Hurricane Yolanda -- them's names for real storms!

But good luck, Texas folks. Not trying to disparage here.

I think that naming storms is maybe a little bit superstitious. It's trying, in our feeble human way, to placate the terrible nature of the earth.
 
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sackett said:
I think that naming storms is maybe a little bit superstitious. It's trying, in our feeble human way, to placate the terrible nature of the earth.
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The origin of the naming system isn't based on superstition but rather on practicality, simplicity and elimination of worldwide confusion. It works really well with both professionals and the general population. This allows a specific hurricane to not be confused with any previous, future or simultaneous hurricanes. You could imagine other systems using large numbers or made-up words or something else but those would likely be more difficult than simple one word names used for people.
 
I wonder how Trump will handle this if it turns into a major disaster. A big test for an administration that barely seems functional.
 
I don't know about that issue. I recall under Clinton, FEMA choked and flopped around, and it turned out the head was an appointee as a political reward. Congress swore never again.

Then we got Heckuva Job "Can I go home now?" Brownie. I doubt it's changed here, even though reward appointments for raising money is part of the swamp that needs-a drainin'.
 
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Harvey is now Cat 2 and is projected to be Cat 3 when it makes landfall. If the timing of landfall coincides with the high tide it will be extra bad at the coast.
 
Trump's proposed budget would cut NOAA overall by %16; the Oceanic and Atmospheric Research program by 36%. The National Weather Service "only" 5.6%

But stepping away from petty politics: sincerely I wish the best of luck to the members in the path of this storm! May it peter out or hit some uninhabited section of the coast.
 
sylvan8798 said:
I wonder how Trump will handle this if it turns into a major disaster. A big test for an administration that barely seems functional.
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Two to three feet of rain in less than a week over a wide area seems like a guaranteed disaster.
 
Sustained winds now 120mph.

This will fluctuate so it's probably not worth my effort to mention unless there is a drastic change.
 
Highly respected computer model projects up to 60 inches of rain

Washington Post said:
The European model computer, widely-regarded as being the most accurate or skilled in the world, just came in with an astonishing forecast: Rainfall totals could go as high as 50 to 60 inches in isolated areas of Texas near the path of Harvey.

The model is able to generate this much rainfall because it stalls the hurricane over approximately the same area through Friday of next week.

While it is impossible to pinpoint exactly where such rainfall might occur, and it’s possible this model forecast could be overdone, this amount of water would result in a flooding disaster which is difficult to imagine.
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https://www.washingtonpost.com/nati...rain/?hpid=hp_hp-top-table-main_liveblog-110p
 
Keep your head down, all forum Texans. Hope you're all OK through this one.
 
William Parcher said:
Strengthening Harvey forecast to slam Texas coast as first major hurricane in U.S. since 2005

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...cane-and-stall
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Trebuchet said:
Washington Post? Fake News!
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Well, some years ago the Post had an article about a groundbreaking for the Astrodome, back when the Astros were still the Colt .45s (and the groundbreaking was done with actual .45s rather than shovels):

"On this day in 1962, in this dry, dusty town in the middle of Texas,..."

That was pretty funny to read, having sweated through many Houston summers, been bitten by many Houston mosquitos, and having had the pleasure of tackling the St. Augustine grass (typical growth rate: 4 feet/hr during said summers) with a gang-reel mower.

Seriously, though, this is gonna suck for a lot of people. Y'all be safe down there.
 
Local/state authorities are hopefully taking it all on with the assumption that a Trump administration FEMA won't be much help. I know there's a whole slew of mandatory evacuation orders for the coastal areas.
 
sackett said:
Something about the name "Harvey" just doesn't sound threatening. In a really long hurricane season, they might get to Wilton or even Wimpy.

Let's go back to female names. Hurricane Winhulda, now, or Hurricane Yolanda -- them's names for real storms!

But good luck, Texas folks. Not trying to disparage here.

I think that naming storms is maybe a little bit superstitious. It's trying, in our feeble human way, to placate the terrible nature of the earth.
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Never works though!!!!!
 
Speaking of naming hurricanes...anyone else have a hurricane with the same name as you? It feels kinda weird...especially when your namesake is a Cat 5 and kills nearly 20,000 people. (Hurricane Mitch)
 
Now announced as Cat 4 with sustained 130mph.

Radar shows landfall real soon, but throughout the day forecasters were saying midnight to 1am. That's six hours from now but the eyewall is really near the coast right now.
 
William Parcher said:
Tide is rising and will peak in about 30 minutes.
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There were some guys interviewed who said they were too poor to evacuate. Just get the hell outta there, is my take.

Probably too late now.

And Trump on holiday at Camp David.

Perhaps the Dear Leader is hoping his missile will be blown into the eye of the hurricane or something.
 
Eyewall is like 15 miles from coast, but has slowed in progress from 10mph to 8mph.

It's interesting to watch the footage from Streaming Guy but difficult to listen to him. He's very manic and regularly contradicting himself. It's all bad enough but he exaggerates and describes things happening which you can see aren't. He's been talking about zero visibility but you can still see far into the distance.
 
Weather Channel let Jim Cantore go instead already. We know what hurricanes look like.

I'm surprised they didn't have him reporting on the eclipse from the surface of the sun.
 
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