José is Coming!

Vixen

Penultimate Amazing
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So now José is a designated Cat 1 hurricane.

No way, José!

With Katia also upgraded to Hurricane, that's four hurricane storms within weeks of each other.
 
And? Do you have a point? There were 4 major hurricanes in the US in 2004. A friend of mine lost his house in northern Florida thanks to George. I don't understand the point of your post.
 
I saw the movie. Burt Lancaster. "Jose Valdez is Coming".
 
Jose, having drifted northwards, slowly, and expected to dissipate in the middle of the ocean, is now vaguely drifting south eastwards at 5 mph with wind gusts of 75mph.

If it is going towards warmer waters, it might speed up again.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
 
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Jose has become a hurricane again, according to National Hurricane Centre today at 17:00 EST (GMT BST 22:00):

5:00 PM EDT Fri Sep 15
Location: 27.1°N 70.3°W
Moving: NW at 10 mph
Min pressure: 983 mb
Max sustained: 75 mph

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES POSSIBLE IN THE UNITED STATES ON SATURDAY..

It's moving North West at 10 mph wind gusts 90 mph Air pressure 983mb (Irma was as low as 913).

Co-ordinates 27 North and 70 West - so could mean heavy storms over Louisiana/Florida if it goes northwestwards?
 
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...JOSE MOVING STEADILY NORTHWESTWARD... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES POSSIBLE IN THE UNITED STATES LATER TODAY...


5:00 AM EDT Sat Sep 16
Location: 27.9°N 71.8°W
Moving: NW at 9 mph
Min pressure: 983 mb
Max sustained: 80 mph

From the National Hurricane Centre.

Still moving northwestwards.
 
Looks like its our turn, but these things never cause the damage here that they do in the south. I needed to trim trees anyway
 
...JOSE MOVING STEADILY NORTHWESTWARD... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES POSSIBLE IN THE UNITED STATES LATER TODAY...


5:00 AM EDT Sat Sep 16
Location: 27.9°N 71.8°W
Moving: NW at 9 mph
Min pressure: 983 mb
Max sustained: 80 mph

From the National Hurricane Centre.

Still moving northwestwards.

I see from the link that TS Lee and TS 15 (Maria) are heading in as well.
Buckle up!

eta:
Lee expected to fizzle to depression by Wednesday
Maria expected to be a Hurricane by Tuesday
 
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Jose, having drifted northwards, slowly, and expected to dissipate in the middle of the ocean, is now vaguely drifting south eastwards at 5 mph with wind gusts of 75mph.

If it is going towards warmer waters, it might speed up again.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Woo...woo...woo,

Ma'am I pulled you over because I need to see your masters of science in meteorology.
 
Riptides predicted by the NHC.

5:00 AM EDT Sun Sep 17
Location: 30.0°N 71.7°W
Moving: N at 8 mph
Min pressure: 973 mb
Max sustained: 80 mph

...JOSE MOVING A LITTLE FASTER NORTHWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... ...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...

Its air pressure has dropped.

The European model has it dissipating over New Jersey.

Maria has strengthened and is threatening the Caribbean northern islands. Like Lee, headed to Mexico from the west, it is a relatively weak tropical storm.
 
I see from the link that TS Lee and TS 15 (Maria) are heading in as well.
Buckle up!

eta:
Lee expected to fizzle to depression by Wednesday
Maria expected to be a Hurricane by Tuesday

Moron on CNN this morning: "How do you solve a problem like Maria?"
Now I've had that as an earworm all day.
 
She moves like she don't care
Smooth as silk, cool as air
Ooh it makes you wanna cry...

Maria, you've gotta see her
Go insane and out of your mind...
 
So now Maria is a Category5 Hurricane bearing down on Puerto Rica and Dominica, its first Cat 5 in 100 years.

https://youtu.be/VpdB6CN7jww

Wilma holds the record in going to Cat 5 within 12 hours. Maria had done it in 14.

I doubt the residents have had any time to be prepared or a had a chance to get away.
 
Making landfall right around now on Dominica. Expected to remain cat 5 and cross PR as cat 4 or 5 on Wednesday.

There's time for people to get away, not off the islands of course but to safe locations and safe structures. Puerto Rico (and even Dominica) aren't exactly sandbars with groves of palm trees in the middle. They've got mountains.

But, catastrophic coastal damage looks very likely.
 
Making landfall right around now on Dominica. Expected to remain cat 5 and cross PR as cat 4 or 5 on Wednesday.

There's time for people to get away, not off the islands of course but to safe locations and safe structures. Puerto Rico (and even Dominica) aren't exactly sandbars with groves of palm trees in the middle. They've got mountains.

But, catastrophic coastal damage looks very likely.

Hopefully the mountains will have the effect of breaking it up a bit.
 
Hopefully the mountains will have the effect of breaking it up a bit.


Dominica (and Guadeloupe and Martinique that it passed near) didn't have that effect. Their mountains are high enough but not spread out over a large enough area.

If the center crosses Puerto Rico as expected, that will probably slow down its winds but only by about 10 mph or so. More slowing will result from its passage into cooler waters.
 
Not a lot of coverage of Maria on U.S. news channels.

I think the reason isn't (or isn't only) "it's not hitting the U.S. so who cares?" It's that there's not much actual information to convey. Current status of the storm, where it's headed, where the range of the uncertainty is, what kind of damage it could maybe cause (with plenty of hedging due to the forecast track uncertainties).

When it's headed for the U.S. they can fill hour after hour with boilerplate preparation warnings, footage of gas lines and sold-out stores, live video ("well, it was live the first of the 97 times we showed it") of rain falling into a puddle and a sidewalk cafe umbrella being knocked over by the mild winds a safe distance away from the storm, and so forth. Experts can come on and have interviews like:

"Jake, I was just on the phone with a local resident who says he's going to ride out the storm doing a handstand on the top of a billboard with cats glued to his torso. Is that a good plan, in your opinion?"

"No it's not, Marcia, and here's why..."

But when their vans and reporters aren't there, the people affected aren't tuned in to their network to hear their warnings, and footage of the actual damage won't be available for days, they're pretty much reduced to a three minute segment once per hourly cycle.

They have to figure out how to get politicians to come on and argue about where the storm should have gone instead and whose fault it is that it didn't.
 

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