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#1 |
Lackey
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: South East, UK
Posts: 96,096
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Next Labour Leader
Couple of names are starting to appear.
Keir Starmer seems ready to throw his hat into the ring. I think he could be a good leader, he is a good communicator, and intelligent. |
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#2 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Sir Fynwy
Posts: 31,034
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I guess it will come down to whether the Labour Party is minded to make itself electable again, or whether ideological purity is seen to be more important.
My experience in the 70's and 80's is that it may take considerable time and effort to move the party from the latter to the former. |
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#3 |
Lackey
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: South East, UK
Posts: 96,096
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Emily Thornberry*throwing her hat in.
I do like her bluntness. |
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#4 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: Suomi
Posts: 20,240
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#5 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: Suomi
Posts: 20,240
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#6 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Leicester Square, London
Posts: 8,087
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I've met her a few times (she's my local MP) and I've found her to be very pleasant in person.
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#7 |
Loggerheaded, earth-vexing fustilarian
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Usk, Wales
Posts: 26,252
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Long-Bailey is warm favourite at 7-4. 'Continuation Corbyn' it seems.
Nandy 3-1 Starmer 6-1 etc But there are plausible candidates yet to make it official. |
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#8 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 16,252
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#9 |
puzzler
Join Date: May 2003
Posts: 6,460
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The ideal candidate for the modern Labour party would be a black Marxist transexual Muslim - apparently mostly female - and preferably disabled somehow: perhaps in a wheelchair. Such a candidate would tick all the boxes for them, but unfortunately, there is currently no such person available amongst Labour MPs.
So let's look at the likely runners. Long-Bailey is Corybn in his younger days, with painted on eyebrows, lipstick, and a shouty voice. As I posted before in another thread, she will be the choice of most of the existing front bench and probably the unions too. Starmer is a younger more articulate Corbyn with a knighthood. He's a man though, so has no chance. Nandy, if she stands, seems the most human and normal of the bunch. Jess Phillips is similar but I don't know if she's considering standing. That leaves Lady Nugee (Thornberry) - the most sneering and contemptuous MP I can think of at the moment (from any party). She's the one who had to be sacked when Milliband was the leader for making mocking media posts about an Englishman who was so racist that he actually displayed English flags on his house! And he drove a white van too! Disgusting! I'm sure that if she woman-splains loudly and often enough to leave supporters how they were misguided, stupid, or racist, then that will persuade them to give her their full support. Tories will be delighted to have any of these candidates as the new Labour leader as it will likely gift them another fifteen years in power. Nandy or Phillips would worry them the most - but I've yet to see a candidate that will really trouble them. The rot for Labour began when they elected the wrong Milliband as leader, and locked themselves into a system where their activist mostly Marxist members get to choose the leader - and the MPs have relatively little say in the matter. |
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#10 |
Critical Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 483
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#11 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Mazes of Menace
Posts: 9,082
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In the short term, I think what's needed is someone to cut Boris down to size, tear strips off that egomaniac. He might be able to escape journalists [sic] by hiding in a fridge, but he can't get away with that trick at the despatch box, if only because there's little enough room in the Commons as it is.
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#12 |
Winking at the Moon
Deputy Admin
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: UK
Posts: 13,955
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Please, not Wrong-Daily. Or any other Momentum-backed candidate, still clinging to the idea that voters just didn't understand their core message. When will they accept that voters understood and rejected the message?
I'd like Jess Philips, but Kier Starmer is probably a safer bet. |
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#13 |
Nitpicking dilettante
Administrator Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Berkshire, mostly
Posts: 48,011
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I quite fancy Yvette Cooper; whether she has a chance as Labour leader is another matter entirely, of course.
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#14 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: Suomi
Posts: 20,240
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#15 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Apr 2015
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#16 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: Suomi
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#17 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 16,252
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She certainly could, as a member of the House of Lords. And one can be Prime Minister from the Lords as well (and up to the beginning of the 20th Century, I believe more PMs had governed from the Lords than from the Commons....). In addition, plenty of peers have served as government ministers and shadow ministers in modern times (indeed, there's talk of Nicky Morgan being ennobled in order to be made a minister in Johnson's new government). It's true that modern tradition dictates that the Prime Minister and the Leader of the Opposition should both sit as MPs in the Commons (though, as I said, it's certainly not mandatory). But there's absolutely no reason whatsoever why someone like Chakrabarty could not stand for election to the leadership of the opposition (and win) from her current seat in the Lords. What would probably need to happen at that point would be that a serving Labour MP in a safe seat would accept an ennoblement, and Chakrabarti would renounce her peerage and stand for Labour in the by-election (and win it)*. Let's see how things play out. One thing's for certain however: Chakrabarty absolutely is not out of the running purely on account of her (currently) being a peer in the Lords rather than an MP in the Commons. * Incidentally, something similar to this actually happened within the past 60 years, and what's more, it concerned the transition of the position of Prime Minister rather than just the Leader of the Opposition. When Macmillan was forced to resign as PM in 1963, Alec Douglas-Home stood for, and won, the leadership of the Conservative Party - and by extension became PM - from his seat in the Lords. As soon as he won, he renounced his peerage and stood in a by-election to replace a Conservative in a safe seat who in turn accepted a peerage. |
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#18 |
Winter is Coming
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 8,914
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Speaking as a paid up member of the party I'm voting for Kier Starmer.
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Naturalism adjusts it's principles to fit with the observed data. It's a god of the facts world view. -joobz They for example thought that slavery was perfectly fine, absolutely OK, and then they didn't and what is the point of the Catholic Church if it says "Oh we couldn't know better because no one else did" THEN WHAT ARE YOU FOR? - Stephen Fry |
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#19 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 16,252
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I had three substantial meetings with Rees-Mogg in the 90s when he was running an investment fund under the Rothschild Asset Management umbrella and I was pitching advisory services to him on behalf of a boutique investment bank I was working for at the time. He was an arse throughout, and had a worryingly-poor grasp of both figures and the industries we were discussing. And I particularly noticed at the time (and remember to this day) that he was curt and verging on unpleasant to the RAM reception staff and the girl who brought in teas and coffees etc (the meetings were all in RAM's offices). (On that last point, I remember reading something by Ricky Gervais which has always resonated, and which immediately reminded me of exactly this Rees-Mogg set of incidents. Gervais recounted that after The Office went gangbusters in the USA, all sorts of big-time producers and studios in LA/Hollywood wanted to work with him. Inevitably he'd meet them for lunch (since "lunching" is almost always how one conducts early-stage meetings in Hollywood...). Gervais would notice how the producers or studio honchos treated the restaurant staff (and it was always the producers/honchos who booked the tables, took the lead within the restaurant, paid the bill, etc). He was surprised and somewhat angered by the high proportion of them who were either abrupt and unfriendly towards the restaurant staff, or even downright hostile. And he resolved that there was no way whatsoever that he'd ever work with any such producers/honchos, no matter how seemingly-attractive the offer. A good rule to live by, in my opinion.) |
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#20 |
puzzler
Join Date: May 2003
Posts: 6,460
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If you think that, you haven't grasped yet how disconnected the average working class voter is from the North London champagne socialists currently leading the Labour party.
Many Labour MPs are still in denial - they believe they just need to explain their policies better, and have a more likeable leader - they think once ex-Labour voters understand their policies, they'll vote for them. They are wrong. Working class people fully understand that you can't give everything for free to everyone, and have just a few rich people pay for it. Working class voters did understand what Labour were offering - and that's why they chose not to vote Labour. |
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#21 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 16,252
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I'm afraid I just can't see Starmer getting the job done (i.e., ultimately, getting his party back into power with himself as PM). He's tremendously able, a good speaker, and someone with real experience and skills outside of politics (all big plus points). But..... I just don't think he has the "X-Factor": the charisma, the drive, the hunger in his eyes, the personality that gives off an urge for change and improvement and the promise of a better world ahead (stop me if I'm getting all esoteric, new-age and wonky....). I think someone like Starmer would make an outstanding occupant of one of the other great offices of State: Foreign Secretary, Home Secretary, or Chancellor. But under someone else as PM. I think back to when John Smith died in 1994 as Labour leader. It was likely that the next election was going to be in 1997 (as indeed it was), and John Major's premiership was sailing onto ever-rockier ground. The received wisdom is that a) John Smith's Labour would have won a stonking majority in 1997 if he'd lived, and b) John Smith would have been a towering PM in the same way as his successor Blair ended up being (and that Smith and the country had been robbed of this by his untimely death). But I think differently (and my view echoe that of some political commentators): I think that Smith was a fantastically talented man, with moderate views and the ability to unite the party. But.... he just was not very charismatic or dynamic (nor was he all that young, and he looked like a late-middle-aged accountant). By contrast, Blair was younger, dynamic and photogenic, as well as being extremely intelligent and able. I think the country could see in Blair the prospect (whether just an illusion or not) of real change, re-invigoration, excitement and prosperity. I think that had Smith lived, Labour would most likely have won a majority in 1997. But I don't think Smith would have served more than one term in office, and nor would he have much of a lasting legacy. As ironic and unpleasant as it sounds, Smith's death in 1994 was perhaps in many ways the best thing that could have happened to the Labour party: Blair was consequently able to lead them into 13 years of Labour government and (at the time at least - even though horribly sullied by history, especially with respect to foreign policy) a true legacy of achievement in power. |
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#22 |
Philosophile
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Osaka, Japan
Posts: 28,991
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"The thief and the murderer follow nature just as much as the philanthropist. Cosmic evolution may teach us how the good and the evil tendencies of man may have come about; but, in itself, it is incompetent to furnish any better reason why what we call good is preferable to what we call evil than we had before." "Evolution and Ethics" T.H. Huxley (1893) |
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#23 |
Heb ei fai, heb ei eni
Join Date: Jul 2002
Posts: 3,753
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"In science it often happens that scientists say, "You know that's a really good argument; my position is mistaken," and then they would actually change their minds and you never hear that old view from them again. They really do it. I cannot recall the last time something like that happened in politics or religion." Carl Sagan 1934 - 1996 RIP |
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#24 |
Heb ei fai, heb ei eni
Join Date: Jul 2002
Posts: 3,753
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"In science it often happens that scientists say, "You know that's a really good argument; my position is mistaken," and then they would actually change their minds and you never hear that old view from them again. They really do it. I cannot recall the last time something like that happened in politics or religion." Carl Sagan 1934 - 1996 RIP |
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#25 |
Featherless biped
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Aporia
Posts: 24,129
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Needs to be someone who wont frighten voters on issues like climate change or the widening wealth gap. Take a leaf from Australian Labor’s Albanese who likes coal mines and doesn’t rock the boat by voting against the incumbent right wing coalition too much.
Socialists need not apply for Labour Party leadership. |
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#26 |
Heb ei fai, heb ei eni
Join Date: Jul 2002
Posts: 3,753
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What the opposition needs is a leader that can galvanise the centre right, the remain vote and the anti buffoon ex Tory that will never vote for Johnson. Add in the disaffected brexiteers from the north and they could be a party that a disenfranchised loyal Tory could and would vote for.
Can't see me voting Tory again. Will never vote for anything vaguely smelling of Corbyn. Wasted my Dec 12 vote on SDP rather than spoil. I am one of many that need representation but have nowhere to turn. |
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"In science it often happens that scientists say, "You know that's a really good argument; my position is mistaken," and then they would actually change their minds and you never hear that old view from them again. They really do it. I cannot recall the last time something like that happened in politics or religion." Carl Sagan 1934 - 1996 RIP |
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#27 |
Philosophile
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Osaka, Japan
Posts: 28,991
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"The thief and the murderer follow nature just as much as the philanthropist. Cosmic evolution may teach us how the good and the evil tendencies of man may have come about; but, in itself, it is incompetent to furnish any better reason why what we call good is preferable to what we call evil than we had before." "Evolution and Ethics" T.H. Huxley (1893) |
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#28 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: UK
Posts: 5,212
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#29 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Sir Fynwy
Posts: 31,034
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#30 |
Philosophile
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Osaka, Japan
Posts: 28,991
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"The thief and the murderer follow nature just as much as the philanthropist. Cosmic evolution may teach us how the good and the evil tendencies of man may have come about; but, in itself, it is incompetent to furnish any better reason why what we call good is preferable to what we call evil than we had before." "Evolution and Ethics" T.H. Huxley (1893) |
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#31 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Dundee
Posts: 3,251
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I'm not sure about the technicalities of it, and I take the point about a successful leadership candidate standing in a 'safe' by-election to become an MP, but my understanding from reporting I have seen is that one has to already be an MP to stand for Labour leader. That's not a parliamentary rule or precedent, it's a Labour Party rule.
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#32 |
Critical Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 483
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Live long and prosper. |
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#33 |
BOFH
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: People's Republic of South Yorkshire
Posts: 13,384
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Was it Healey who talked about people "who perfer the ideological purity of opposition to the hard decisions of power"?
I've been in a few Labour discussions where all the loudest Corynistas apparently thought that Labour centrists (i.e. anyone not of their stamp) was the first enemy to be removed. Good call guys, alienate the people you have most common ground with. I think another Corbynista would be a bad idea as they seem totally tone deaf. And the first layoff should have been Seamus. There's been a spike in Labour party membership as a lot of people for various reasons want a say in selecting the next leader. |
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#34 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Jul 2002
Posts: 8,709
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Yvette Cooper or Kier Starmer sound OK.
Only go with Thornberry if you have a burning desire to guarantee Boris wins the next election. |
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#35 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Mazes of Menace
Posts: 9,082
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He bade me take any rug in the house. |
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#36 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 16,252
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Oh I agree. But at the time of the Thatcher downfall, as bizarre at it may seem now, Major was actually the most go-getting "Young Turk" from among the credible candidates to succeed her as Conservative leader! And it also needs to be borne in mind that Kinnock lost the 92 election as much as Major won it. I'd strongly argue that between the mid-80s and the mid-90s, the game changed significantly in politics to one where presentation and (perceived) dynamism started to count for much more electorally than ever before. I suspect a big catalyst for that change was (Bill) Clinton's ascent to the Democratic nomination and then the presidency in 92. Suddenly it seemed that the leaders of major democracies had to have the verve, dynamism and sheer youth to be able to credibly claim that their victory would bring real change, prosperity and national pride. As I said in my previous post, I suspect that Labour under Smith would have won a majority in 97 and Smith would have become PM. But I just can't see that Labour would have lasted nearly so long in power, nor been so successful, had Smith been at the helm. Perhaps one single incident encapsulates the difference for me pretty vividly: when Diana died in 1997, only a couple of months after Blair's labour victory, Blair stood outside the church near Chequers the following morning and made that now-legendary speech packed with empathy and feeling in which he identified Diana as "The People's Princess". IMO, even if those exact same words had been spoken by either Major or Smith (though I don't think they'd have even chosen those sorts of words...), neither of those men would have been able to "sell" the words anything like Blair did. He seemed, in a very real sense, to be the mouthpiece of the whole nation that day (irrespective of your party politics). And that's just one (albeit good) example. |
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#37 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 16,252
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#38 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Besźel or Ul Qoma - not sure...
Posts: 10,099
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#39 |
Philosophile
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Osaka, Japan
Posts: 28,991
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"The thief and the murderer follow nature just as much as the philanthropist. Cosmic evolution may teach us how the good and the evil tendencies of man may have come about; but, in itself, it is incompetent to furnish any better reason why what we call good is preferable to what we call evil than we had before." "Evolution and Ethics" T.H. Huxley (1893) |
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#40 |
Pi
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 20,405
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If the last few weeks have taught me anything it's that the most important thing is that he be acceptable to the Tory press.
Which, to my mind, is not a good starting point. |
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