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#1 | ||
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Sir Fynwy
Posts: 37,271
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The Trump Presidency: Part 24
President Trump doesn't need 51%, he just needs around 45% of the votes that people are able to, or are willing to, cast.
Even if "only" 40% of people approve of him, if turnout among that 40% is significantly higher than it is among the electorate in general then he can easily get 45% of the votes cast. We've seen a million, mostly poor, ex-felons disenfranchised (or more accurately not re-enfranchised) in Florida and that's just the tip of the GOP roll-purging. Throw in a healthy dose of too few polling stations in Democrat-leaning districts, large-scale throwing out of postal votes from those same districts (to prevent voter fraud ![]()
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#2 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Sir Fynwy
Posts: 37,271
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Why not ? He doesn't need to convince people that he is clean, he just needs to make people suspect that Biden is dirty.
There are a lot of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents who don't like Trump who are looking for a reason, any reason, not to vote for Biden. Even if it only persuades a few thousand people, if they are in the right state(s) it could be the deciding factor. I think you underestimate how desperate people are for good news regarding Covid-19. IMO the worse the situation is in October, the more people will be desperate for a solution. 40% already approve of his handling of Coronavirus - this news isn't going to affect them - but there may be a sizeable minority of the remaining 60% who might have their view changed by some good news in October - especially if that news is "It's all great, a solution has been found". The real message would be far more nuanced than that, but a lot of people don't have time, or desire, for nuance. |
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#3 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 32,124
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Trump has decided to elucidate on the test he "aced", by describing the last very difficult question. It's exactly what everybody has been saying it is.
https://twitter.com/ProjectLincoln/s...205405184?s=20
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I don't trust atoms. They make up everything. |
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#4 |
Nitpicking dilettante
Administrator Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Berkshire, mostly
Posts: 57,139
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One hopes that the ambassador quoted the response in Arkell v Pressdram, though I suspect not.
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The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts.Bertrand Russell Zooterkin is correct Darat Nerd! Hokulele Join the JREF Folders ! Team 13232 Ezekiel 23:20 |
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#5 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 32,124
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I don't trust atoms. They make up everything. |
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#6 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 46,390
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#7 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Norway
Posts: 10,415
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"He's like a drunk being given a sobriety test by the police after being pulled over. Just as a drunk can't walk a straight line, Trump can't think in a straight line. He's all over the place."--Stacyhs "If you are still hung up on that whole words-have-meaning thing, then 2020 is going to be a long year for you." --Ladewig |
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#8 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Dharug & Gundungurra
Posts: 16,171
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...our governments are just trying to protect us from terror. In the same way that someone banging a hornets’ nest with a stick is trying to protect us from hornets. Frankie Boyle, Guardian, July 2015 |
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#9 |
I lost an avatar bet.
Join Date: Dec 2001
Posts: 28,781
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I lost an avatar bet to Doghouse Reilly. |
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#10 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Dharug & Gundungurra
Posts: 16,171
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__________________
...our governments are just trying to protect us from terror. In the same way that someone banging a hornets’ nest with a stick is trying to protect us from hornets. Frankie Boyle, Guardian, July 2015 |
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#11 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: North American prairie
Posts: 3,268
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It just goes on and on. What stunts will Trump come up with before November? I wrote a short "biography" of Trump a few weeks back, hoping to spin it toward the comical. But his stunts just keep coming and coming. Had to add a paragraph about his federal troops in the developing entry:
https://esapolitics.blogspot.com/202...ald-trump.html
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Dominus vo-bisque'em Et cum spear a tu-tu, oh! Politics blog: https://esapolitics.blogspot.com/ Parody: http://karireport.blogspot.com/ Poll: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...proval-rating/ |
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#12 |
NWO Litter Technician
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Looks like Finland. Smells like Finland. Quacks like Finland. Where the hell am I?
Posts: 15,150
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When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle. Then I realised that the Lord, in his wisdom, doesn't work that way. I just stole one and asked Him to forgive me. - Emo Philips
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#13 |
Lackey
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: South East, UK
Posts: 112,595
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I wish I knew how to quit you |
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#14 |
I lost an avatar bet.
Join Date: Dec 2001
Posts: 28,781
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I lost an avatar bet to Doghouse Reilly. |
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#15 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Lenoir City, TN/Mineral Bluff, GA
Posts: 7,743
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#16 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 46,102
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"If everyone in the room says water is wet and I say it's dry that makes me smart because at least I'm thinking for myself!" - The Proudly Wrong. |
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#17 |
Mostly harmless
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Nor Flanden
Posts: 38,056
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"You got to use your brain." - McKinley Morganfield "The poor mystic homeopaths feel like petted house-cats thrown at high flood on the breaking ice." - Leon Trotsky |
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#18 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 46,390
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Trump Tweets
Liz Cheney is only upset because I have been actively getting our great and beautiful Country out of the ridiculous and costly Endless Wars. I am also making our so-called allies pay tens of billions of dollars in delinquent military costs. They must, at least, treat us fairly!!! |
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#19 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 46,390
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Trump Retweeted
Senator Rand Paul @RandPaul We should all join @realDonaldTrump in advocating to stop our endless wars. Liz Cheney not only wants to stay forever, she’s leading the fight to try to stop him from leaving. Unacceptable. Mollie @MZHemingway FWIW, quite a few people in recent weeks who generally like Cheney -- including those not on the Hill -- were extremely disappointed with how she worked so hard to help the NYT spread its false anti-Trump story about Russia bounties. Matt Gaetz @mattgaetz Liz Cheney has worked behind the scenes (and now in public) against @realDonaldTrump and his agenda. House Republicans deserve better as our Conference Chair. Liz Cheney should step down or be removed. #MAGA I'm fighting for President @realDonaldTrump's #AmericaFirst vision for the Republican party. |
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#20 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 46,390
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Trump Tweets
Great, but did MAGA have anything to do with this great ratings success? Quote Tweet Jeffrey Lord @realJeffreyLord 'Tucker Carlson Tonight,' 'Hannity' help Fox News Channel finish quarter with record-setting viewership |
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#21 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 46,390
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Trump Retweeted
Buck Sexton @BuckSexton The worst mayor in America seems to think his city isn’t under the jurisdiction of America A reminder that those who pander and bow to the mob will still be threatened and humiliated by it Brit Hume @brithume Quote: “Even if the charges are dis*missed, or the McCloskeys are par*doned af*ter be*ing con*victed, again we have a pub*lic of*fi*cial re*spon*si*ble for up*hold*ing law and or*der wink at a mob while treat*ing law-abid*ing cit*i*zens as crim*i*nals.” |
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#22 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 46,390
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Trump Retweeted
Will Chamberlain @willchamberlain Matt Borges - the former chair of the Ohio Republican Party - set up a #NeverTrump PAC to try and elect Joe Biden Today he was arrested in a $60 million bribery case Christian Datoc @TocRadio NEW: Daily Caller has learned that Ben Carson and HUD are ending the Obama-era Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing rule on Thursday, something Carson and Trump haven been eying since the administration took over in 2017 |
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#23 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 46,390
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Trump Tweets
We did great things, but it doesn’t matter to the Dems! Quote Tweet Buck Sexton @BuckSexton No matter what @realDonaldTrump did, what he closed down, how many masks he wore, @TheDemocrats were going to use his response to the #coronavirus as a political weapon in 2020. |
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#24 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 46,102
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__________________
"If everyone in the room says water is wet and I say it's dry that makes me smart because at least I'm thinking for myself!" - The Proudly Wrong. |
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#25 |
Fiend God
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: In a post-fact world
Posts: 96,875
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#26 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Sorth Dakonsin
Posts: 28,759
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__________________
Science is self-correcting. Woo is self-contradicting. |
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#27 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Norway
Posts: 10,415
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__________________
"He's like a drunk being given a sobriety test by the police after being pulled over. Just as a drunk can't walk a straight line, Trump can't think in a straight line. He's all over the place."--Stacyhs "If you are still hung up on that whole words-have-meaning thing, then 2020 is going to be a long year for you." --Ladewig |
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#28 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Sir Fynwy
Posts: 37,271
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#29 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Near Harmonica Virgins, AZ
Posts: 3,634
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"You have done nothing to demonstrate an understanding of scientific methodology or modern skepticism, both of which are, by necessity, driven by the facts and evidence, not by preconceptions, and both of which are strengthened by, and rely upon, change." - Arkan Wolfshade |
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#30 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Canada, eh?
Posts: 20,474
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Wow... talk about a purity test.
The fact is, Cheney has been a pretty faithful republican... voting in favor of almost all republican legislation (including legislation to gut health cair, cut taxes/increase the deficit, and roll back regulations.). In fact, she has voted to support Trump ~96% of the time on legislation she has voted on in congress. By comparison, Gaetz has supported Trump ~85% of the time, and Rand Paul only 70% of the time. See: Five thirty eight |
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Trust me, I know what I'm doing. - Sledgehammer I'm Mary Poppins Y'all! - Yondu We are Groot - Groot |
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#31 |
Alta Viro
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 2,307
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#32 |
Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 9,644
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#33 |
a flimsy character...perfidious and despised
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Where the Old Man of the Mountain used to stand
Posts: 57,297
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"An empty void is growing between his ears. Distant screams can be heard echoing in the darkness." -- JihadJane "THIS is why we shouldn't let hippies onto airplanes! If they're all in to natural things and wildlife and stuff, maybe they should fly on a dolphin!" -- gnome |
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#34 |
Illuminator
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Near Harmonica Virgins, AZ
Posts: 3,634
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__________________
"You have done nothing to demonstrate an understanding of scientific methodology or modern skepticism, both of which are, by necessity, driven by the facts and evidence, not by preconceptions, and both of which are strengthened by, and rely upon, change." - Arkan Wolfshade |
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#35 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Sorth Dakonsin
Posts: 28,759
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__________________
Science is self-correcting. Woo is self-contradicting. |
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#36 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Central City, Colorado, USA
Posts: 10,589
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#37 |
Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 46,102
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Listen Trump is just showing us that all us intellectual eggheads with our "facts" aren't as smart as we think we are.
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"If everyone in the room says water is wet and I say it's dry that makes me smart because at least I'm thinking for myself!" - The Proudly Wrong. |
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#38 |
Lackey
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: South East, UK
Posts: 112,595
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__________________
I wish I knew how to quit you |
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#39 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 32,124
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__________________
I don't trust atoms. They make up everything. |
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#40 |
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Port Townsend, Washington
Posts: 38,281
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Cum catapultae proscribeantur tum soli proscripti catapultas habeant. |
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